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Patrick Hill: Job Churn Creates Massive Economic Uncertainty – Investment Watch


Job Churn Creates Massive Economic Uncertainty
“Shocks in the initial months of the pandemic may have permanently destroyed a large share of employer-worker matches, many of which may have been highly productive,” Because highly productive matches are costly to find, the economic disruption induced by Covid-19 may have induced persistent reductions in productivity and employment.”
Alexander Bick – Arizona State University & Adam Blandin – Virginia Commonwealth University
The pandemic triggered a shock to both supply and demand in the economy. Management had no choice when lockdowns spread across the country but to lay off workers and ask those still working to work from home.  As a result, millions of workers were either permanently or temporally laid off. Laid-off workers reflected on the job they lost and whether they wanted to return to the same position even if it offered again.  While working from home, information services employees had time to evaluate their job demands versus time invested in their personal life and family. In addition, management evaluated their dependency on workers leading to record levels of investment in automation systems. Thus, the pandemic triggered an in-depth evaluation by all workers into what their job meant to them.

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RVA restaurant of 19 years cuts hours amid worker shortage: 'It's unbelievable'


RVA restaurant of 19 years cuts hours amid worker shortage: It s unbelievable
On Wednesday, the Virginia Workforce Connection showed more than 544,000 jobs available in Virginia.
and last updated 2021-05-27 10:09:47-04
RICHMOND, Va. For over 19 years, Family Secrets Restaurant Owner, Reginald Littleton has served up fresh plates for Richmonders. However, the once lively restaurant now keeps its doors closed, sticking strictly to catering and take-out, just the latest casualty in a state and nationwide worker shortage.
Most of the time we’ve got more and more people looking for jobs. Now we got more and more jobs looking for people, said Littleton.

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One in three U.S. workers changed or lost jobs in last year


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Millions of workers who lost their jobs in the spring of 2020 were back at work in March this year, and the paper implies that the recovery is largely due to people finding new jobs, rather returning to their old employers.
“Shocks in the initial months of the pandemic may have permanently destroyed a large share of employer-worker matches, many of which may have been highly productive,” the authors wrote. “Because highly productive matches are costly to find, the economic disruption induced by COVID-19 may have induced persistent reductions in productivity and employment.”
For people who had been at their job for less than two years before the pandemic, the churn was much higher, according to the study. Almost 62% had separated from their workplaces a year later, versus about 16% for those who had been employed by the same firm for at least a decade.

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Labor shortage spurs a rush to get Americans back to work


POLITICO
Labor shortage spurs a rush to get Americans back to work
At least a dozen states are cutting off jobless benefits and some companies are raising wages in an attempt to boost hiring.
People stand in line, resumes in hand, while waiting to apply for jobs during an outdoor hiring event for the Circa resort and casino on April 27, 2021 in Las Vegas.
| AP Photo/John Locher
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Federal and state officials, who spent the last year trying to keep Americans safe in their homes during the pandemic, are suddenly grappling with the opposite problem: how to lure them back to work.

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One in three U.S. workers changed or lost jobs in past year

One in three U.S. workers changed or lost jobs in past year
bnnbloomberg.ca - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from bnnbloomberg.ca Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Fears over post-pandemic job shortage likely overstated, but complicate Biden's relief deals


Fears over post-pandemic job shortage likely overstated, but complicate Biden s relief deals
In just numbers, there are not enough job openings to go around right now period,” said the Economic Policy Institute’s Heidi Shierholz, former DOL chief economist.
People wait in line for help with unemployment benefits at the One-Stop Career Center in Las Vegas. | John Locher/AP Photo
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Businesses and the White House in recent weeks have warned that they are combating a labor shortage despite the millions laid off due to the coronavirus pandemic, creating potential political friction for President Joe Biden as he pushes Congress to advance his trillion-dollar spending proposals to gas up the economy.

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Hybrid work week: good for some workers, bad for inequality


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Emerging data show work-from-home trends during the pandemic and employees expectations for 2022.
As many as 1 in 3 college-educated Americans expect to work partially from home post-COVID.
But those with less education won t get to work remotely in nearly the same numbers.
Since COVID-19 first sent vast swaths of US office workers home last spring, one of the biggest questions has been whether they ll get to keep doing their jobs remotely after the crisis recedes.
Two recent studies by economists suggest that many will, mostly through a hybrid arrangement in which employees divide their weeks between the office and home. 

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Real-time Economics


Real-time Economics
Economist Adam Blandin is a co-creator of the Real-Time Population Survey. (Photo by Ash Daniel)
Economist Adam Blandin has been tracking COVID-19 pandemic numbers since March, but not the ones you’re thinking of. 
Blandin, a Virginia Commonwealth University assistant professor of economics, worked with Alex Bick of Arizona State University to develop an online economic survey centered on pandemic unemployment trends. It’s called the
Real-Time Population Survey. Blandin says it was created as a tool to provide up-to-date data that was unavailable from larger federal government surveys. 
“We were both macroeconomists and labor economists and wondered, ‘Is there something we can work on that in some small way can contribute to trying to solve this problem related to the pandemic?’ ” Blandin says. “The typical government survey is high quality and for the most part reliable, but the government survey was coming out once a month, and the data was roughly between one and two months old on the day it came out because it took several weeks to build the data.” 

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