<p><span>It is a pleasure to join the Economic Club of New York for this discussion.</span><a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20210601a.htm#fn1" title="footnote 1"><span>1</span></a><a name="f1"></a><span> Consumer demand is strong, vaccine coverage is expanding, and pandemic-affected sectors are reopening in fits and starts. As was the pandemic shutdown with its ebbs and flows, the reopening is without precedent, and it is generating supply–demand mismatches at the sectoral level that are temporary in nature. Separating signal from noise in the high-frequency data may be challenging for a stretch. The supply–demand mismatches at the sectoral level are making it difficult to precisely assess inflationary developments and the amount of resource slack from month to month.</span></p>
Patience And Progress As The Economy Reopens And Recovers, Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, At The Road To Recovery And What s Next, A Virtual Conference Sponsored By The Society For Advancing Business Editing And Writing (Via Webcast) Date 11/05/2021 I want to thank Heather Long and the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing for inviting me to join you today.1 Strong fiscal support and increasing vaccination rates drove a strong rebound in activity in the first quarter, and the second quarter looks to be even stronger. The outlook is bright, but uncertainty remains, and employment and inflation are far from our goals. While more balanced than earlier this year, risks remain from vaccine hesitancy, deadlier variants, and a resurgence of cases in some foreign countries. The latest jobs report is a reminder that the path of reopening and recovery like the shutdown is likely to be uneven and difficult to predict, so basing monetary policy on outcomes rather than the outlook will serve us well.
Parental Participation In A Pandemic Labor Market this post authored by Olivia Lofton, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, and Lily Seitelman Gender gaps in labor market outcomes during the pandemic largely reflect differences in parents’ experiences. Labor force participation fell much less for fathers compared with other men and all women at the onset of the pandemic; the recovery has been more pronounced for men and women without children. Meanwhile, labor force participation among mothers declined with the start of the school year. Evidence suggests flexibility in setting work schedules can offset some of the adverse impact on mothers’ employment, while the ability to work from home does not.
U.S. Economic Outlook And Monetary Policy: An Update, Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard At The C. Peter Mccolough Series On International Economics, Council On Foreign Relations, New York, New York (Via Webcast) Date 02/03/2021 It has been one year since the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hit our shores a year marked by heartbreak and hardship. We are all looking forward to a brighter time ahead, when vaccinations are widespread, the recovery is broad based and inclusive, and services, schools, sports, and social life are in person. The expected path of the U.S. economy has strengthened with the prospect of widespread vaccinations and additional fiscal stimulus, but risks remain, and we are currently far from our goals.1
How Should We Think About Full Employment In The Federal Reserve s Dual Mandate? Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard - At The Ec10, Principles Of Economics, Lecture, Faculty Of Arts And Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts (Via Webcast) Date 24/02/2021 I want to thank Jason Furman and David Laibson for inviting me to join your economics class. I often found it difficult in introductory economics to connect the abstract concepts in the textbooks to the real-world issues I cared about. So the one message I hope you remember from today is that economics provides powerful tools to enable you to analyze and affect the issues that matter most to you.1