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Over the weekend, focus will turn to the Taiwan election on Saturday with the election of a new President as well as the parliament (Legislative Yuan). Polls are not allowed 10 days before the election but the most recent surveys show a tight margin between the ruling party DPP's Lai Ching-te (36%) and KMT's Hou Yu-ih (31%). A victory for Lai would point to more of the same, with an independence-leaning stance, whereas a victory by Hou could ease tensions in the Taiwan Strait, as KMT has a less confrontational stance towards Beijing. However, even if Lai wins, China-Taiwan tensions might ease, as Lai will have a weaker mandate to confront China than the current president Tsai Ing-wen, who got support from close to 60% of the voters in 2020. DPP will likely also lose its majority in the Taiwanese parliament, as a fairly new Party, Taiwan's People's Party (TPP), and its leading candidate, Ko Wen-je, have close to 25% support in the polls.

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