had. people now think that after two years of almost complete power in washington, he's had more power man many presidents have had because he's had all the houses and tremendous mandate and he hasn't delivered. people feel the pain and they want a change and there's clear there will be a change. >> we'll put up on the screen. midterm history for first term presidents is bleak for a president in power as we see it realed here. a lot of losses across the board in our recent history. 2002 the exception after 9/11. what's happening here? >> pretty wide distribution. the first thing i learned this morning is if you are at 9.6% unemployment 's not going down, there's not a good answer to any question. in fact, people are looking at try saying the coun we're on the wrong track. ing is people's report of their own current circumstances but the level of optimism about the future. you talked about the ll down from 55% saying the economy will get better over the next year. 70% said that in the spring.