democratic than the united states is. so if, let's say, the cnn/ssrs poll is right and biden's net approval rating is essentially even or plus one, there is basically no shot that the democrats lose in those two governors' races, in either virginia and new jersey. but if in fact, the other polling is right and, let's say, biden is underwater then especially in virginia, democrats might be in a bit of trouble. >> as always, be aware of polling. >> beware of outliers. average, average, average, and look, take the widest margin of error you possibly can because in that particular case, i can never be wrong. >> there is also insight into how americans feel about the infrastructure and larger social spending bills in congress right now. what can you tell about the differences? >> yeah. >> look, here's the bottom line. the democrats have to pass something if they want to satisfy their own voters. and here's essentially why. if you look at the polling, what you essentially see is that, look. enact all of it, right? enact the whole big package, the