blood in the water does not cooperate because they want the weak president out of there. that's what's happening to barack obama right now. his power is in steep decline. the russian tyrant putin knows that and totally disrespected president obama at the g 20 summit. putin done that reagan he would have been punished behind the scenes. rightow obama no such power. he seems discome bob blatted press conference rambling and at times incoherent. a troubling performance. more bad news ahead. next week the full house will most likely hold attorney general holder in contempt for not handing over relevant fast and furious documents. if that happens, a grand jury will be con veebed to possibly prosecute holder meantime the president is defending attorney general by invoking executive privilege stonewalling the documents. that means that mr. obama is now tied into mr. hoirltd's fate. then there is obama care. the factor has learned that administration has narrative anticipating the supreme court will rule the healthcare mandate unconstitutional next week. if that happens the president will become even weaker because obama care is his signature achievement. factor has also learned the re-election campaign believes the economy will not improve by election day and therefore, is targeting liberal americans to the president's cause by using personal, not policy arguments. all in all, about five months before the election, president obama is at his weakest point and things seem to be getting worse. and that's the memo. now for the top story tonight, reaction, joining us from washington, fox news analyst and radio talk show star laura ingraham. you are plugged in down there. your former supreme court clerk. what are you hearing about obama care? >> well, ruth bader ginsburg is right, bill. people who say they know how the court is going to come out on an issue really don't know anything. the only people who know are the clerks at the court and the justices themselves and maybe their secretaries. nobody else knows. what i can tell you is that the medical communities that i have a lot of contact with, on a regular basis. and business folks are anticipating a reversal of obama care, meaning that at the very least the mandate will be deemed unconstitutional. and given the tenure of some of the questions one might conclude that the entire law will be thrown out. that's, you know, that's a big decision if that happens, but, nevertheless, it's really hard to see how the mandate will be implemented. >> bill: if the mandate goes the law goes. >> you don't know that what do you mean you don't know if the mandate goes the law goes. the justices could take that mandate, carve it out and they could say y'all fix this mess. you go back and you fix the rest of the mess of this bill. we're not going to comment on the rest of that they could hold it, make a very narrow holding here and decide to carve out just the mandate. so i don't think you can say that the whole thing is necessarily will be tossed. >> bill: the government cannot compel to you buy their health insurance vision. it goes down the drain because there will be people that say i'm just not going to cooperate. >> i'm not saying they shouldn't you can't predict the court. >> bill: the reality of the situation is now. now, we know that the democratic party is already rehearsing their pundits. >> oh, yeah. >> they are rehearsing their pundits who are going to be booked on the cable shows, the talk radio shows to explain why this doesn't hurt president obama now, you might say this is just smart in case but it looks like the intensity of the training sessions going on right now they believe, they being the democrats they think it's going to go down. >> yeah, a couple things they could do, bill. they could say well, this just shows you why it's so important for us to have a second term, right? so can i nominate, perhaps, other justices to the bench so the will of congress will not be overturned. they could make that argument. i think it's a weak argument. >> bill: alan colmes on tonight to tell us what that argument is going to be. >> speaker of the house john boehner republic has issued a dictum to his people in the house not to do a quote, unquote celebratory thing if obama care goes down. to quote the speaker: we don't want to spike the ball in the end zone or some crazy sports cliche that he uses. all right? so he is anticipating that will happen because is he ordering people not to gloat. >> no parties. finally, i don't believe that the folks have caught up to the news cycle where president obama is having so much trouble. is he having trouble with leaks. he is having trouble with fast and furious. is he interesting trouble with obama care at the g 20 summit would you agree he looked discome bob blatted. >> he looks very confused. i went back and read the statement that sarkozy made back in april of 2009 when he said he came off as weak and badly experienced. they said he didn't say that we pretty much can conclude he did say that that descriptor has really sadly for the american have played out. >> bill: far worse than i have ever seen him. i don't think the folks have caught up with the news cycle yet. >> the momentum. let me tell you what i think is going to happen, bill. this is momentum game. the momentum right now seems to be against president obama. against this legacy that he hoped he would be at least beginning now of the real reformer in washington the progressive reformer that momentum has not in any way shifted in his favor. if that momentum continues into the con sequential season and it continues through the republic convention and the democrat convention, you know, ends up being kind of a disaster in charlotte as i predict it could be, then it's going to be hard, in my mind to see this momentum seed change for romney shift back to obama. not where the economy is and not where both these investigations are going and the foreign policy angle which i think is only beginning to be revealed to the people. >> bill: putin is going to challenge him in my opinion. i wrote my newspaper column, it's available on broirl got come about all of this. i want people to check it out. two things, if the supreme court upholds obama care i believe the president will then regain some momentum. the mojo will come back a little bit. people should be prepared for that. >> i don't agree with that. >> bill: you don't think he is going to get any momentum. >> no. no. >> bill: obama care is the law of the land, it's going to particular people off more about the courts. they are already angry at run away justices and run away judges. if that happens, i think that has the reverse effect. it's a boomerang positive effect for mitt romney and maybe that will be a feather temporarily in the cap of barack obama, but i do not think in the end that's going to be a game changer for barack obama in november. i think it helps romney, actually. >> bill: all right. laura ingraham, everybody, here is our new bill o'reilly.com poll question for you. please predict what you think will happen will the supreme court rule obama care fully constitutional, the individual mandate will be thrown out, the entire law unconstitutional. you select one there. and know that this is what you think will happen not what you want to happen. all right. you are predicting here. we want your prognostication. we will give you the results on monday. next on the run down, glenn beck will assess the situation. president obama finds himself in right now. and later megyn kelly on what a grand jury could possibly do to attorney general holder. the factor is coming right back. >> bill: in the impact segment tonight, as we stated president president obama's power is at its lowest ebb right now? will he lose the election in november? joining us from dallas to handicap the situation glenn beck the author of the big big big new best seller "cowards." all right. you heard laura ingraham and i talking about we don't think the folks have caught up with the story yet but it's going to get bigger next week with the full house report on holder. supreme court coming in on obama care. that could be the president's worst week ever starting on monday and you say? >> that's saying something. he has had some really bad weeks, especially lately. i think this is the arrogance of this administration coming home to roost as jeremiah wright would like to say. the american people happen to agree with, laura. the american people have not connected with this yet. i agree with you, bill, they will. and when they start to there is real trouble for the president. i think he is at his highest -- if everything remains stable, you know, he controls a few things that are out of everybody else's hands the calendar pretty much until lately the media, he can move at his own pace. he controls the military. he controls the events around the world or how he reacts to them in many cases. which could dramatically change this election but this is going to hurt him i think. they are tired of the partisanship which i think is he banking on. oh, look the republicans are just going after. once people really see the story of holder and they know what this is about, they are not going it like this. they are not going to like this at all. >> bill: obama care thing could be huge because that really is his signature achievement. if he doesn't have that, what has he done in three and a half years? >> saved a lot of money. >> got bin laden, you got to give him that. drone thing has caused chaos in al qaeda. you have got to give him that what else can he point to? he does have a big thing coming up. horrendous situation beck has been talking about on radio program outside of rochester, new york. 68-year-old woman bus monitor. rides on the bus to assure kids don't get hurt. 68 years old karen cline is taunted by four 13-year-olds, roll the tape. >> man >> bill: all right. the authorities at the school it's the ateenthena middle scho. >> middle school. >> going to take action against the children and beck says they are not. go. >> they are not going to. school is done. these kids know that they have gotten away with it it was my web site blaze.com that broke this story nationally yesterday and released this tape there is a couple of things that are fascinating to me on this story. first of all, these kids are dead inside. this is a 68-year-old woman. they talked about how her family doesn't love her and so her family just kills themselves. well, she had a son commit suicide. she is a widow. i mean, it's horrible. she was crying at one point. these kids are absolutely dead inside and one of the parents said well, you know, my kid he was just brought along with the other kids. he wasn't really that bad. the other parent said well, they have learned their lesson, they sure have learned their lesson. have they? have they, bill? i dare to say your parents, my parents would have had this raking the leaves of this woman's yard every fall, mowing her lawn every summer for free. we would have been busting our butt. we wouldn't have had anything, anything, our parents -- >> bill: let me read a quote from robert helms, the father of one of the boys. he said that it broke his heart to see that his son was involved with this. so he is not making excuses for the kid. but he says, quote, is he a 13-year-old kid. it was a stupid mistake and he is paying for it i just think it's a little out of control. >> i don't think it's out of control. >> you don't think so. >> i think these kids are dead inside. here is the i'm torn on this one americans do care. they see this and they are really hurt by it they feel for this woman. people are sending her money i think it's over $300,000 had been raised in this woman's name to give her a check. >> you are largely responsible for that, beck. i just want everybody to know you are largely responsible for the check going to the woman. >> here's the problem. that's a typical american response. let's just give her money. give money to the problem. >> bill: that's comfort though. >> it is, bill. the problem is deeper than this. >> would you expel these kids? would you kick them out. >> yes. absolutely. they would not ride the bus. you know what? and the parents would complain and say you can't do that then it's my inconvenience. yeah. and your children were the ones doing this. i guess you are inconvenienced. yeah. i would. >> now, beck has a book out, he runs around by the way. wherever beck goes somebody carries a sign behind him with the name of a book on it. >> very heavy. >> bill: here is the good part on july 1st "new york times" best seller list on sunday. beck's book is number two. whose book is number three? killing lincoln? how long has killing lincoln been in the marketplace. >> 40 weeks. >> how long has beck's book. >> one. >> i'm right behind you, beck. >> here you go, hang on a second, the "new york times" i beat the book that's number one by 65% in sales, 65%. >> bill: why are you number two? >> "new york times" we're number one in "u.s.a. today" and publishers weeksly. "new york times" number two. >> bill: why? >> just for this moment, i think, the "new york times" just to put me right next to you so you can say i have been on for 40 weeks, beck. >> bill: i got to number one, but not on. >> please buy the book. >> fresh piece of humanity they did the same thing to me on that book. all right. book's provocative and we appreciate you coming on tonight. southwest airlines hassles a woman over the way she is dressed. we will tell you what happened there. then megyn kelly on whether a grand jury could lodge criminal charges against attorney general holder. big story upcoming. >> bill: culture warrior segment tonight, very interesting situation in las vegas. it's summertime, hot out there. a woman tried to board a southwest airlines jet dressed in this outfit right here. an airline employee gave her a hard time said it was too salacious. here now to tell us the resolution jeanine pirro, gretchen carlson off this evening. throw that picture up again. this doesn't look like a kardashian outfit or anything. this looks like a woman got a little cleavage going on but that's what happens today, right? >> you know what's amazing is the flannel shirt and burqa not the sexiest woman alive. >> that's obvious. >> southwest airlines throwing a cleavage hissy fit. >> bill: not the whole airline this one clerk. >> when you are on an airline that representative can throw you off. >> bill: she threatened to throw this woman off. >> southwest comes out and apologizes. it's not the first time they have tried to control the way women dress. they don't like cleavage not for nothing. they tried to control two other women for their cleavage and their legs throwing blankets on these women because they don't think they are properly dressed. they are a mode of transportation. >> bill: let me play devil's advocates here. here is what southwest said today we don't have a dress policy number one and we are a family-based airline. we obviously are sensitive to adults and the way they come on an behave and look because we are family friendly and all of that. >> that's hogwash. >> bill: hogwash, wow. >> i want to tell you why. >> bill: hogwash, ladies and gentlemen. their contract specifically says division 8 subdivision 1 the carrier may for any reason and in its sole discretion refuse to transport or remove from airport at any point any passenger whose clothe something lewd or patently offensive. how dare they say they don't have a clothing guideline. >> bill: that makes sense, if you had an airline you would have. >> this airline started with hot pants. >> we live in an age where we have a lot of people dressing in flamboyant ways, you know that. >> that's right. can you go to the beach and see more cleavage. >> bill: if you go to the beach can you move your blanket. if you are on the airline you are on the airline. you can't get a parachute and say i don't like how tricksy is dressed geronimo. >> allow you to breast feed. what if she takes her breast out and decides to breast feed. >> now you are frightening me? >> bill: what would your policy be? you are the president of southwest airlines. what would you tell your clerks if somebody comes up to you and i agree with you -- >> -- that's ridiculous. >> bill: that was ridiculous. they should give that woman free flights for six months that's what they should do. >> right. >> bill: what would you say to the clerks. who do you call out? >> first of all, i would say that lewd and offensive has to be defined more specifically. >> bill: like what? >> like, in other words, if a nipple is showing. >> bill: that's not allowed. >> by the way. no but family-friendly, they are not family friendly. they are antiwoman here. >> bill: antiwoman? >> let me tell you why, bill. i have never heard of a guy being thrown off because his beer belly is below his t-shirt. >> bill: if the guy wore the dress he would be though. don't you think if the guy came on in a dress. >> they already are in a dress you don't know it because they look like women. what about the butt cleavage. >> bill: i have never seen it on an airline. >> and underwear showing. >> bill: underwear showing okay. >> cleavage isn't okay? >> bill: you would have a no nipple and no underwear showing. >> and no butt cleavage of the men. i wouldn't have blankets wrapped around these women. >> bill: you are not going to get anybody to check that that would be impossible. not enough money in the world to pay anybody. tsa might do it. all right. so you are outraged. >> this is the love airline. they started parading their hostesses around in hot pants. >> bill: that was 1840. >> 1975. >> bill: were you really on. >> no i read about it though. >> bill: jeanine pirro, everyone. mistress of john edwards speaks out on national tv. why? hasn't she been embarrassed enough? then megyn kelly on whether she believes attorney general eric holder will be indicted by a grand jury. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. [ male announcer ] if you believe the mayan calendar, on december 21st polar shifts will reverse the earth's gravitational pull and hurtle us all into space. which would render retirement planning unnecessary. but say the sun rises on december 22nd, and you still need to retire. td ameritrade's investment consultants can help you build a plan that fits your life. we'll even throw in up to $600 when you open a new account or roll over an old 401(k). so who's in control now, mayans? >> bill: personal story segment tonight, as you may know john edwards beat the wrap in federal court. the jury acquitting him of misusing campaign funds to cover up his affair with a woman named rielle hunter. she has a book out tawdry activities. >> the assumptions are dark, rielle hunter as in man hunter, destroyer of marriage, destroyer of john edwards. how do you want yourself defined. >> first and foremost as a mom. rielle hunter is a mom. i'm also a woman who fell in love with a married man i'm not the first woman who has done that and i'm not going to be the last but that's what happened. >> bill: all right. with us now is abc news correspondent chris cuomo. what is the news value of this? voyeurism aside, we know that gets television ratings. what's the news value of listening to this woman. >> we hope it gets ratings. look, i'm here on the factor it has to be news, right? what we are looking at here is potentially the biggest political sex scandal of our generation. rielle hunter was at the middle of all of it we can finally get from her perspective why did this ever begin? how did it continue? >> how did the decisions about the money, how did these decisions about john edwards repeated lies how muchs she can tell us. >> bill: did you make any news with this interview? look, the guy is acquitted now