military defeat for russia. it was tremendous losses, that the army just kind of implodes on itself. and, it is definitely the case that the invasion has been a, wildly costly, enterprise for russia, in just three weeks. new york times reports, 7000 russian troops have been killed, in less than three weeks of fighting. that is according to conservative u.s. estimates. pentagon officials say a 10% casualty rate, including dead and wounded for a single unit, renders it unable to carry out combat related tasks. with more than 150,000 russian troops involved in the war in ukraine. russian casualties, one including the estimated 14 to 21,000 injured, or near that level. the second possibility here, and the second possible into the war, would be the opposite. an outright military defeat for ukraine, a victory for russia, with a full scale occupation of the country, and installation of a puppet government, friendly to the kremlin. after all we just said, the russian military is, still, much larger than ukraine's.