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Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 11:31:00

Last weekend, we talked about the past. traditionally this is the time when fortunes are told and predictions made. our three guests need no crystal ball to rub. they bring decades of judgment and journalism to the task of foretelling 2022. bronwyn was foreign editor of the times newspaper and now leads the institute for government, making government better it hopes. marc is an economics journalist, and in studio with me is lyse doucet, bbc s chief international correspondent. welcome back. thank you for coming again to talk about 2022. now let s begin with the economy and the global economy. unlike 2020 and 2021,

Predictions , Guests , Judgment , Journalism , Fortunes , Crystal-ball , Three , British-government , Bronwyn , Economics-journalist , Newspaper , Institute-for-government

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 11:44:00

With french politics, who gets into that last round playoff between the two top placed candidates, assuming no candidate gets 50%? afghanistan is only the latest of the push factors that s helped contribute to migration, people flee a country that s perceived as being a failed state and women fear the consequences, retribution from the taliban. do you think that the british government, borisjohnson, in the new year, in the light of afghanistan, will perhaps look if not with love towards international aid but perhaps with more pragmatic appreciation of its value to the british when you talk about issues like international migration and unwanted migration from the coast of france? to use the expression i charity begins at home, what bronwyn was saying, coronavirus is going to be| on his mind. he wishes it wasn t but it is and it s - all over the front i pages of the paper. we had rishi sunak saying - that it is possible that the cuts to foreign spending that were put

People , France , Country , Migration , Politics , Afghanistan , Round , Push-factors , Latest , Consequences , State , Candidate

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 11:33:00

And the help to the economy will be much higher. and then on the demand side, we don t know what consumers will do. will they continue to spend like they did because they use savings accumulated during lockdown, or will they be more wary because of inflation and interest rates? and also the other side is the problem of the crisis of the property, the real estate. because in the us and in the uk in particular, growth depends on consumption and real estate. all this makes it really difficult to predict, but whatever happens, unfortunately, there will be a bumpy ride. bronwyn, 2022, unlike the yearjust going, could be seen as a sort of a year in which perhaps it s not so much a matter of life and death,

Consumers , Economy , We-don-t , Demand-side , Help , Inflation , Lockdown , Interest-rates , Problem , Side , Crisis , Savings

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 02:31:00

Hello, and welcome to the second of our seasonal editions of dateline london. last weekend, we talked about the the past. traditionally this is the time when fortunes are told and predictions made. our three guests need no crystal ball to rub. they bring decades ofjudgement and journalism to the task of foretelling 2022. bronwyn was foreign editor of the times newspaper and now leads the institute for government, making government better it hopes. marc is an economics journalist, and in studio with me is lyse doucet, bbc s chief international correspondent. thank you for coming again to talk about 2022. now let s begin with the economy and the global economy. unlike 2020 and 2021, we have a year now where it looks like everybody is going to be travelling and working again pretty much, the global supply system is juddering, but it s functional. what are the challenges

Predictions , Guests , Editions , Second , Fortunes , Dateline-london , Hello , Three , British-government , Bronwyn , Newspaper , Task

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 02:48:00

we don t - want to take. it s a tough, tough issue - and a very toxic, public issue as well even though . the needs are massive. and the economy could use the studies are there - the economy could usel an injection of talented, educated, hard working migrants l if they meet the qualifications l to be here. now, let s end this edition of dateline and normal business will resume next week looking at the week that s been looking at the year ahead. you can range freely and widely. let s start with bronwyn. what s 2022 hold ? what are you focusing on and what do you think we should be focusing on? i m almost tempted to say to make no predictions because just how they won t last a week if that. i m going cautiously to hope that this is the year that coronavirus lifts, that we begin to realise that we ve got enough vaccines, the ability to make new vaccines, the ability to sell or share them

Economy , We-don-t , Issue , Studies , Tough , Qualifications , Injection , Talented , Needs , Hard-working-migrants-l , Dateline , Business

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 02:33:00

Interest rates, the service of your debt which is much bigger now because of covid and the help to the economy will be much higher. and then on the demand side, we don t know what consumers will do. will they continue to spend like they did because they used savings accumulated during lockdown, or will they be more wary because of inflation and interest rates? and also the other side is the problem of the crisis of the property, the real estate. because in the us and in the uk in particular, growth depends on consumption and real estate. all this makes it really difficult to predict, but whatever happens, unfortunately, there will be a bumpy ride. bronwyn, 2022, unlike the year just going, could be seen as a sort of a year in which perhaps it s not so much a matter of life and death, covid, but a matter

Consumers , Economy , Interest-rates , Debt , Covid , Help , Demand-side , We-don-t , Service , Inflation , Lockdown , Savings

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220102 02:44:00

Into that last round playoff between the two top placed candidates, assuming no candidate gets 50%? afghanistan is only the latest of the push factors that s helped contribute to migration, people flee a country that s perceived as being a failed state and women fear the consequences, retribution from the taliban. do you think that the british government, borisjohnson, in the new year, in the light of afghanistan, will perhaps look if not with love towards international aid but perhaps with more pragmatic appreciation of its value to the british when you talk about issues like international migration and unwanted migration from the coast of france? to use the expression i charity begins at home. what bronwyn is saying, - it s coronavirus is going to be on his mind. my goodness, he wishes it wasn t, but it is and it s i au ove the front pages of the paper.

People , Migration , Country , Push-factors , Round , Afghanistan , Latest , Candidate , State , Candidates , Playoff , Women

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220101 11:32:15

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220101 11:32:15
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Predictions , Second , Editions , Fortunes , Dateline-london , Hello , Bronwyn , Guests , Task , Editor , Journalism , Judgment

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220101 11:35:00

All this makes it really difficult to predict, but whatever happens, unfortunately, there will be a bumpy ride. bronwyn, 2022, unlike the yearjust going, could be seen as a sort of a year in which perhaps it s not so much a matter of life and death, covid, but a matter of diminishing resources because it is still taking up so much of our economic activity and obviously diverting it or displacing it, but also it s going to continue to be presumably a significant health challenge. i think that s right. squeezing out a lot of things, the sheer cost of dealing with covid. i think we ve seen in the uk, it s squeezing out the social care budget, that s the care for the elderly and also the prime minister came in vowing

Bronwyn , Whatever , Sort , Bumpy-ride , Yearjust-going , 2022 , It , Matter , Covid , Resources , Displacing , Activity

Transcripts for BBCNEWS Dateline London 20220101 11:46:00

To the british when you talk about issues like international migration and unwanted migration from the coast of france? to use the expression i charity begins at home, what bronwyn was saying, coronavirus is going to be| on his mind. he wishes it wasn t but it is and it s - all over the front i pages of the paper. we had rishi sunak saying - that it is possible that the cuts to foreign spending that were put in place down to 0.5% rather- than 0.7%, which is actually a legal requirement since 2015 in britain, i he said we could go back- to our previous levels by 2024 25, but it was just a possibility. and of course it was brought down, it was said, sensibly because of the fiscal pressure, i because of the need to respond to the impact of the coronavirus. people are concerned . about the fiddling, too, about redefining foreign aid - because there s a suggestion that it will also include for example - vaccine donations and it will also include the currency transfers

Issues , Bronwyn , Uk , Migration , Saying , Covid , France , Home , Coast , Expression , Charity , Mind