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Top 39 Prospects: San Diego Padres | FanGraphs Baseball

Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.

Mexico , Arizona , United-states , Whiteville , Massachusetts , Texas , Dominican-republic , Boston , High-lake , California , Cross-creek , San-diego

Top 51 Prospects: Kansas City Royals | FanGraphs Baseball

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How much contact does Bobby Witt Jr. need to make to be a star? Even with a raucous 2021 spring performance on his ledger, there are reasonable concerns among pro scouts who saw him about how often he’s going to swing and miss. None of this is new. Witt swung and missed a lot during his showcase summer but his subsequent fall and spring were strong enough to make him the second overall pick of the 2019 draft class, and he’s the type of talent who’d be a threat to go first in most drafts.
His skillset compares quite closely to Trevor Story‘s. There are going to be some strikeouts here because Witt’s swing path makes it hard for him to get to pitches down and in, but his combination of defensive fit and game power make him a likely impact player anyway. He’s is a big, athletic young guy who moves so well that he makes the field look small when he’s running the bases or ranging for a grounder, and he is very likely to not only stay at shortstop but be quite good there. He also has a swing geared for pullside lift (he can bend at the waist to go down and yank balls away from him, too) and the power to hit balls out even when he swings a little flat-footed. He is the son of a former big leaguer and carries himself like one, which has endeared him to scouts and coaches during the course of a high-profile career laden with very high expectations, which Witt has always met and often exceeded. His 2019 pro debut statline lacked power on the surface, but the batted ball data from that year and this spring suggests we shouldn’t worry about that.

Alabama , United-states , Texas , Kentucky , Cuba , Florida , Illinois , Virginia , New-mexico , Oregon , Toronto , Ontario

Top 22 Prospects: Washington Nationals | FanGraphs Baseball

95-98 / 101
After an up-and-down freshman year at Arkansas, Rutledge transferred to Houston-area junior college powerhouse San Jacinto and immediately looked like a first-round pick. He had trouble getting on the mound in Fayetteville in part due to his command, which still isn’t great. Rutledge often worked 96-100 at San Jac, mixing in a comfortably-plus slider and a curveball that was closer to average. He would occasionally flash a good changeup, too, but that pitch was a distant fourth offering at the time. That’s not really the case anymore, as Rutledge has hit the breaks on his curveball and spent most of 2020 focusing on his changeup, which had good fade and tailing action during spring training this year.

Cape-cod , Washington , United-states , Arkansas , Oklahoma , Licey , La-vega , Dominican-republic , Texas , Merritt-island , Florida , Virginia

Top 46 Prospects: Miami Marlins | FanGraphs Baseball

94-98 / 101
I was too low on Meyer before the draft. I saw him up to 101 mph in his first start of the year when he threw a lot of well-located sliders in the 89-92 mph range and struck out several Oregon Ducks. But his stuff and command waned later in the outing, which gave me relief-risk concern, though I should have realized the context for the look (it was his first outing of the season) was likely at play. He proceeded to dismantle TCU (10 K in 5.2 IP), North Carolina (CG, 1 BB, 14 K), and Utah (8 IP, 15 K) in the following three weeks before the shutdown, mostly with the fastball/slider combo, though he did flash a good changeup on occasion, too. Fold in some of the peripheral projection elements I like to bet on (Meyer was also an important offensive player in college, he’s a great on-mound athlete, and he’s coming from a cold weather school) and you can go nuts projecting on the things (mostly the changeup, command, and in-start stamina) that complete what could be a front-end profile.

Miami , Florida , United-states , Tampa-bay , Encinal , California , North-carolina , Missouri , Peachtree-ridge , Kentucky , Cuba , Minnesota

Top 33 Prospects: Houston Astros | FanGraphs Baseball

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Billed as the best collegiate defensive player in the 2018 Draft, Peña has since added 20 pounds of muscle and now has modest, but relevant power. After looking uncharacteristically mistake-prone during the 2019 Fall League, he was the Dominican Winter League’s best infield defender in 2020 and should be a plus big league defender at shortstop. While he isn’t as deft and precise with the barrel, Peña’s swing shares some common rotational elements with fellow Astro Yuli Gurriel. Peña can pull his hands in and get the fat part of the bat on pitches on the inner half, which should enable him to hit 12 to 15 annual pull shots, maybe a couple more because of the Crawford Boxes in Houston. But the profile foundation here is Peña’s on-base ability and plus glove at a premium position. He’s 23 and hasn’t played above A-ball, but is still a pretty stable prospect, in part thanks to his coming of age in LIDOM.

Washington , United-states , Cuba , Florida , Illinois , Michigan , Jordan , Pleasant-valley , Texas , Mexico , Oklahoma , Grayson-county

A Conversation With Houston Astros Pitching Prospect Hunter Brown

A Conversation With Houston Astros Pitching Prospect Hunter Brown
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Wayne-state-university , Michigan , United-states , Houston , Texas , Ryan-kelley , Sal-colangelo , Justin-verlander , Tommy-john , Dusty-baker , Hunter-brown , Walker-buehler

Top 42 Prospects: Detroit Tigers | FanGraphs Baseball

March 17, 2021
Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Detroit Tigers. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. As there was no minor league season in 2020, there are some instances where no new information was gleaned about a player. Players whose write-ups have not been meaningfully altered begin by telling you so. Each blurb ends with an indication of where the player played in 2020, which in turn likely informed the changes to their report if there were any. As always, we’ve leaned more heavily on sources from outside of a given org than those within for reasons of objectivity. Because outside scouts were not allowed at the alternate sites, we’ve primarily focused on data from there, and the context of that data, in our opinion, reduces how meaningful it is. Lastly, in an effort to more clearly indicate relievers’ anticipated roles, you’ll see two reliever designations, both on team lists and on The Board: MIRP, or multi-inning relief pitcher, and SIRP, or single-inning relief pitcher.

Arkansas , United-states , Texas , Cuba , Florida , Puerto-rico , San-diego , California , Mexico , Arizona , Tennessee , Dominican-republic

Top 32 Prospects: Colorado Rockies | FanGraphs Baseball

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A series of swing changes have led to Vilade’s current “toe twist” stride, a very simple cut that leans into his great natural bat control and strength-derived pop. He can make contact with pitches all over the zone but typically does his damage slugging pitches on the inner half, especially wayward lefty fastballs in there. Watch how his groundball rate trends in 2021. The 2019 swing that may have helped bring his groundball rate closer to average (50% previously, down to 42% in ’19) has again been changed, so it’s hard to say how much damage he’s going to be capable of now.

Miami , Florida , United-states , Georgia , New-hampshire , Timber-creek , Ohio , Cuba , Minnesota , Virginia , Michigan , Stillwater

Top 40 Prospects: San Francisco Giants | FanGraphs Baseball

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The Giants’ dusty, tightly-confined backfields abut a gym with the sort of athleisure-wearing clientele you’d expect in Scottsdale. In January of 2019, when most baseball facilities across the country were dark, just feet away from oblivious Peloton riders and tennis-playing retirees, a few lucky scouts and media folks had a religious experience watching the sweetest-swinging teenager on Earth absolutely roast balls fed to his barrel by a high-speed pitching machine. Because of how close you can sit next to the field there, you can feel the sonic force of bat-to-ball impact radiate into your body. When Marco Luciano connects, you feel it to your core. He is not normal. To find bat speed comps you need to look toward Javier Báez, Eric Davis, or whoever the top of your mental catalog might be. And while he already generates plenty of it, Luciano’s square-shouldered frame indicated more power might be coming. After hitting the weight room throughout 2020, he weighed in for 2021 Spring Training at a square-shouldered 208, nearly 30 pounds heavier than his 2019 listed weight. The length created by Luciano’s natural, uppercut swing is offset by the explosiveness in his hands; he’s not particularly strikeout-prone and he doesn’t take out-of-control hacks. Unless something unforeseen is exposed about Luciano’s approach as he moves through the minors, all of this power seems likely to actualize in games. His AZL walk rate is encouraging early evidence that he’s unlikely to be so exposed.

Stanford , California , United-states , Georgia , Taiwan , Louisville , Kentucky , Luis-medina , San-pedro-de-macorídr , Dominican-republic , North-carolina , Grand-canyon

Top 46 Prospects: Arizona Diamondbacks | FanGraphs Baseball

Top 46 Prospects: Arizona Diamondbacks | FanGraphs Baseball
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Miami , Florida , United-states , Stanford , California , Arkansas , Louisiana , Millville , North-carolina , Texas , Chase-field , Arizona