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Asia eyes muted open, oil in focus during tensions

Benchmarks for Japanese equities traded flat at the open while other markets including Hong Kong, New Zealand and Australia were shut. The S&P 500 notched an eight-week winning streak on Friday — the longest in more than five years on signs price pressures in the US were easing. Contracts for US stocks and Treasuries were also little changed in Asia trading.

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Asia Stocks Mixed, Currencies Gain in Thin Trading: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) -- US equity futures edged higher while the dollar extended losses as trading resumed after the Christmas holiday amid investor expectations for earlier and deep interest rate cuts next year. Stocks in Asia were mixed in a thin trading session with markets including Hong Kong, New Zealand and Australia shut. Emerging Asian currencies rose, with South Korea’s won and the Malaysian ringgit leading gains against a weak dollar that fell for a third straight session to its lowest in almost five months. Some on Wall Street are positioning for further stock gains ahead as the session kicked off the start of the “Santa Claus rally” — a seasonal trend where equities tend to climb into the first few days of the new year. The S&P 500 notched an eight-week winning streak on Friday — the longest in more than five years on signs price pressures in the US were easing. Treasuries were little changed in Asia trading. “As for emerging markets in Asia, ‘silent night’ says much, given that there isn’t particularly inspired trading, with Wall Street equivocating ahead of Christmas,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank. “It looks like a case of averting the China drag and hanging on to earlier Santa rallies being the best case for Boxing day - boxing in risks.” Stocks fell in mainland China, with the benchmark CSI 300 Index headed for its first decline in four sessions, as investor sentiment remains weak even after the authorities softened their stance following a move last week to tighten curbs on the videogame industry. Elsewhere, Singapore’s core inflation edged lower in November, giving the central bank room to extend its monetary-policy pause next month to support the economy. Japan’s auction of two-year sovereign debt saw tepid investor appetite, sending a gauge of demand to the weakest in a year, amid speculation the central bank will end negative interest rates in 2024. Its labor market remained relatively tight in November, keeping pressure on employers to boost wages in order to fill positions. The benchmark Topix index traded within tight ranges after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech on Monday that suggested he’s in no hurry to end the ultra-easy monetary policy. “With the Nikkei 225 at high levels, year-end selling to lock in profits and losses is likely to weigh on the upside,” says Hideyuki Ishiguro, senior strategist at Nomura Asset Management. In the corporate world, Chinese gaming shares outperformed the benchmark after a number of companies announced plans to repurchase their shares following news of the latest government curbs on the sector. Cathie Wood last week made her first purchase of shares in LY Corp. in over a year, indicating a possible shift toward more positive sentiment on the operator of Yahoo! Japan and popular messaging app Line. Oil rose slightly after posting the largest weekly gain in more than two months, with shipping disruptions in the Red Sea in focus after a spate of Houthi attacks against vessels in the vital waterway. West Texas Intermediate traded near $74 a barrel, after rallying by 3% in the prior week, the biggest advance since October. Geopolitical tensions still remain front of investors minds into the new year as tensions in the Middle East look set to increase. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi said Israel will pay a price for killing a senior commander of its Revolutionary Guard in air strike in Damascus on Monday. The US accused Iran at the weekend of an attack on a tanker in the Indian Ocean. READ: Israel Sees Defense Spending Climbing $8 Billion as War Rages US Growth Resilience Global markets have been buoyed in recent months as traders bet major central banks including the Federal Reserve will aggressively cut interest rates next year as inflation falls. Bond yields have tumbled while the S&P 500 is nearing a fresh record. Data released last week showed signs of resilience in US growth while the Fed’s preferred underlying inflation metric barely rose in November. Additional reports Friday showed consumers were also gaining conviction that inflation in the world’s largest economy was on the right track despite a bumpy housing market recovery. That helped cement investor expectations for earlier and deeper interest rate cuts next year, despite pushback from several Fed policymakers. Swaps traders are betting interest rates will be eased by more than 150 basis points in 2024, double the Fed’s forecast. Read more: Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauges Cool, Reinforcing Rate-Cut Tilt Key events this week: BOJ releases summery of opinions from December meeting, Wednesday China industrial profits, Wednesday Norway retail sales, Wednesday Japan industrial production, Thursday South Korea industrial production, Thursday Thailand trade, Thursday Mexico unemployment, Thursday Bank of Portugal releases quarterly report on banking system, Thursday South Korea CPI, Friday Spain CPI, Friday UK nationwide house prices, Friday Brazil unemployment, Friday Chile unemployment, Friday Colombia unemployment, Friday Some moves in major markets: Stocks S&P 500 futures rose 0.1% as of 2:10 p.m. Tokyo time Japan’s Topix fell 0.1% The Shanghai Composite fell 0.8% Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.3% Currencies The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1% The euro rose 0.1% to $1.1022 The Japanese yen was little changed at 142.25 per dollar The offshore yuan was little changed at 7.1495 per dollar The Australian dollar rose 0.3% to $0.6815 Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin fell 0.3% to $43,383.48 Ether fell 0.2% to $2,266.8 Bonds The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined one basis point to 3.89% Japan’s 10-year yield advanced 1.5 basis points to 0.625% Australia’s 10-year yield was unchanged at 4.01% Commodities West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.4% to $73.82 a barrel Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,064.28 an ounce This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation. --With assistance from Akemi Terukina. ©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

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Futures, Oil Rise In Thin Post-Holiday Trading

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Stocks decline as China growth slows, BOJ looms: markets wrap

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1 910.56 an ounce.

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Futures, Oil Rise As China Reopens

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Futures Storm Higher Ahead Of Last Most Important Datapoint Of 2022

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Top Money Managers See Global Stocks Gaining in 2023

Bloomberg survey shows optimism for year ahead, but worries about stagflation.

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Investors sceptical on Tokyo equity market reforms

Investors sceptical on Tokyo equity market reforms
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Futures Rebound On "Massive" EU Bond Stimulus Plan; Nickel Halted After Record Surge, Gold Over $2000

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Futures, Treasury Yields Tumble As Ukraine News Spike Risk Off Mood

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