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November is the number which remains high in historical comparisons. The consumer is not falling off a cliff and that is important because as we look into 2020, it is the consumer which will be doing the legwork and driving prices. David you are our chief economist. It seems like different data in different directions. The university of Michigan Consumer was high. It seems like it is up and down. Can you get a clear picture of where the u. S. Economy is right now. Tom our view is we are looking at a slow down, but not a meltdown. The key way to look at this is through the lens of the job data....

Earlier. Still up quite substantially. Applied materials, essentially an earnings story, but having an impact more broadly only semis as well. Guy in europe this friday afternoon, european stocks broadly higher on the trade narratives. You can certainly see that in the sector breakdown. Volume is a little light. The pound rising, but the dollar on the back foot this afternoon. Again, the trade narrative feeding into that fx channel. When it comes to the bond market, a little bit of a selloff. We are seeing yields getting a little bit of a lift when it comes to the german tenyear. This week, we...

Investors investing in china, but also a broader issue of these financial flows between the u. S. And china and how you addressed those when they involve an economic rival, a Rising Economic rival like china. I think we have seen these qualified denial from the u. S. Treasury and peter navarro, but also confirmation that this conversation is taking place inside the white house. Kevin what are the expectations for next meets meeting with the chinese for next weeks meeting with the chinese vice premier . Thethe explanation expectation are they continue talking. We should be clear that we are not...

Oil story in just a bit as well. Guy weve barely gone anywhere when it comes to stocks. Over three months, up by 1. 36 . Bond yields getting absolutely crushed. We see prices jump. We see equity markets under pressure. It was a real what cup call for the market. After that wakeup call, we kind of gone back to where we were. What does Fourth Quarter bring . Number last years Fourth Quarter . December, incredibly rocky. This is the picture we have in europe. Stoxx 600 trading at session highs. We are up by around 0. 3 . We have the holidays. We have china closed the rest of the week. Volume is a...

, next election. If he sees any possibility, he will name a new Prime Minister and ask them to form a government and seek a confidence vote in the parliament. The story behind the scenes is that the Democratic Party and the five stars, which used to be enemies until a few hours ago, are now discussing and awaiting the possibility to form an alternative majority. Essentially wanted the next election to get consensus he has now, he is close to 40 , may be left out of the game. David how ironic. Mr. Salvini may have overplayed his hand. Thank you to Tommaso Ebhardt in milan. Now we go to washingt...