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Smerconish

predictive of what happens in iowa. that's observation one that i hope you'll speak to. and observation two is that even when there's an upset in iowa, the bounce is not what people might expect it to be headed into new hampshire. your thoughts? >> that's right. we looked at the historical data for an article next week coming out after the iowa caucuses because we wanted to know how much momentum does a candidate gain if they beat the polls or win iowa unexpectedly. we find that the candidate who does about one percentage point better -- i'll put it this way, every one percentage point a candidate beats their polls by, they gain about a percentage point in the national polls. so if you do this math backwards, we think nikki haley needs to gain about 35 percentage points in the national polls to be tied with donald trump. that would suggest she needs to beat her target, her polls in iowa by about 35 percentage

People , Iowa , New-hampshire , Bounce , Upset , Two , One , Polls , Data , Caucuses , Thoughts , Momentum

Smerconish

predictive of what happens in iowa. that is besis observation one. and observation two, even when there is an upset in iowa, the bounce is not what people might expect it to be headed in to new hampshire. your thoughts. >> that's right. we looked at the historical data for an article next week coming out after the iowa caucuses. because we wanted to know how much momentum does a candidate gain if they beat their polls or if they win iowa unexpectedly. we find that candidate who does about one percentage points better, i'll put this way, every one percentage point a candidate beats their polls by, they gain about a percentage point in the national polls. so if you do the math backwards, we think nikki haley needs to gain about 35 percentage points in the national polls to tie donald trump. that would suggest that she needs to beat her polls in iowa by about 35 percentage points as

People , Iowa , Bounce , New-hampshire , Upset , Besis-observation-one , Two , One , Polls , Data , Thoughts , Article

Asia Business Report

the housing price to income ratio is the highest in taiwan compared to other countries i just mentioned. so all the major parties are doing are trying to place voters one way or another towards cutting tax and spending more so the issue is that will lead to more covenant that in the future and who will pay for the debt? if you are young urban and educated you need to think that this is an issue. this educated you need to think that this is an issue.— this is an issue. as young taiwanese _ this is an issue. as young taiwanese people - this is an issue. as young taiwanese people had - this is an issue. as young taiwanese people had to| this is an issue. as young i taiwanese people had to the polls, these struggles will be on their minds. it is something that the next administration will have to contend with, how to tackle the rising cost of living and home prices. we will step away _ living and home prices. we will step away from _ living and home prices. we will step away from taiwan - living and home prices. we will step away from taiwan for - living and home prices. we will step away from taiwan for a i step away from taiwan for a moment and tell you about other stories. starting with the us inflation, we can give you an update. prices in the us rose by more than analysts had forecast in december and consumer inflation hit 3.4% for the year, up by three tenths of a percentage point. president biden said more needed to be done to lower the cost for

Taiwan , Voters , Way , Countries , Parties , Housing-price , Highest , Ratio , Tax , Another , Doing , One

The Faulkner Focus

after former new jersey governor was caught on a hot mic saying nikki haley will be smoked and said she sets herself apart from the fellows. >> she will get smoked. you and i both know it. >> i didn't know about the op mic comments. it is personal to get in a race and personal to get out of a race. i know how tough that must be. at the same time, i'm not like the fellows. politics is not personal for me. >> julie: it is so aptly said. this shouldn't be personal. when it gets personal, whenever you are in an argument and it gets personal that's a sign of weakness. that didn't help desantis, leslie. >> i have agree. sadly that's what politics has become. whether you are a democrat, republican, male or female and the frontrunner for the gop knows how to make personal attacks. she earned the percentage point bumps that she got from wednesday night. you are correct. but when you are 34% points in

Nikki-haley , Fellows , Op-mic-comments , Governor , Mic , New-jersey , Politics , Race , Julie-banderas , Democrat , Argument , Weakness

BBC News at One

realistic picture. over three months, economic activity shrank by a fifth of a percentage point, which is slightly worse than economists were expecting. 0n the consumer side of things, where consumers are really feeling the pinch right now, consumer facing services are well below where they were, 6% below where they were pre—pandemic. it is a very mixed picture. 0ver where they were pre—pandemic. it is a very mixed picture. over three months, a slightly more sobering picture. months, a slightly more sobering icture. �* , ., months, a slightly more sobering icture. , ., ., ., months, a slightly more sobering icture, , ., ., ., �* , picture. andy, thanks for now. andy veri . there's been a 30 fold increase in the number of cases of measles across europe. the world health organization say there was 30,000 confirmed cases in 2023. cases across the uk have also risen. the west midlands are seeing its highest number for at least 30 years. it's thought the increase is due to a drop in uptake of the vaccination. the inquiry into the horizon it scandal has turned its attention to the failure by the post office to hand over documents to the inquiry team on time. 700 subpostmasters were convicted after the faulty software made it

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Special Report With Bret Baier

when the time comes. >> one analogy that we have used sometimes is we are effectively building a launching pad. if we offer our ballot line to the unity ticket they got to build the rocket ship to take themselves. >> not everyone is thrilled with the idea of no labels jumping in. former house speaker nancy pelosi blasted group back in november suggesting they could jeopardize president biden's re-election chances. no labels says they will announce their plan publicly by about mid march. bret? >> bret: okay, mark, thank you. stocks are mixed today as earnings season begins. the dow lost 118. the s&p 500 gained 4. the nasdaq was up 3. for the week the dow gained a third of a percentage point. the s&p 500 finished ahead almost two. the nasdaq 3. the state of texas takes over federal property in an effort to deal with the border crisis. we will have a live report from the border. first, here what happens some of our fox affiliates around the country are covering tonight. fox 29 in buffalo as federal prosecutors say they will seek

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Pick up in consumption contingent on controlling inflation: India Ratings & Research

"One percentage point reduction in inflation will lead to 64 basis points increase in GDP or 1.12 percentage points increase in PFCE (Private final consumption expenditure) growth... If inflation can be brought down by 1 percentage point, it would be a win win," India Ratings and Research Chief Economist Devendra Kumar Pant said in an interview.

India , New-delhi , Delhi , Fitch-ratings , India-ratings , Research-chief-economist-devendra-kumar-pant , Inflation , Consumption , India-ratings-amp-research , Economic-growth , Lower-income-bracket

View: Recalculate inequality — it hasn't worsened over time, it's stayed the same

Piketty and Chancel analysed different periods of taxation in India, and concluded that inequality dropped sharply from 1950 to the early 1980s under Nehru-Indira's socialism, but then rose sharply in the era of economic liberalisation. Was the Nehru-Indira era good for the poor? No. The poverty ratio remained unchanged from 1947 to 1980.

India , Manmohan-singh , Ronald-reagan , Thomas-piketty , Indira-gandhi , Gerald-auten , Cato-institute , National-sample-survey-office , Indian-human-development-surveys-ihdss , Lucas-chancel , Botched-analysis , Global-multidimensional-poverty-index

America Reports

better off than they were four years ago. that's the famous ronald reagan, jimmy carter thing in 1980. 58% they are not, and half the democrats think they are worse off than four years ago. but again, that reflects the crisis of affordability. now, there's other issues you mentioned housing, mortgage rates are down a percentage point, this is good. but they are way up from where they were three years ago. that's a problem. and manufacturing, we have not had any increase in manufacturing jobs in a couple years. we have not had any increase in manufacturing output. people who make things with their hands basically, no increases whatsoever. this stuff is gonna haunt biden. >> sandra: the piece struck me because you called it a crisis of affordability, and how republicans, if they are making the case to fix things, spell it out, real wages down, prices up

Thing , Democratic-party , Jimmy-carter , Ronald-reagan , 1980 , 58 , Four , Crisis , Affordability , Mortgage-rates , Problem , Manufacturing

Mortgage Interest Rates Today, Dec. 19, 2023 | What Lower Rates Mean for Your Mortgage Payment

These are today's mortgage and refinance rates. As mortgage rates fall, borrowers will likely be able to save thousands per year on their monthly payments.

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