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Weekly Focus - Decent Data Over Easter Dampen Rate Cut Expectations

Positive data surprises especially in the US have continued to mostly drive interest rates higher and the USD stronger over the last two weeks. Americans increased their consumption by 0.4% in February and reduced their savings rate to its lowest level since December 2022, while the ISM survey showed a clear positive surprise in March for US manufacturers who are now reporting expansion, also for the first time since 2022. While core PCE inflation (the Fed's preferred measure) came out as expected for February, 0.3% m/m price increase is still too much, and the January number was revised up to 0.5% m/m. All in all, the data does not support an early rate cut. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, among others, signalled over Easter that the direction of interest rates is still down, but that the strong data allows for waiting in order to gain more confidence about declining inflation before moving. The market is now pricing almost no chance of a May rate cut, instead looking for June. Key data to watch will be the jobs report later today (Friday) and March CPI on Wednesday next week.

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Weekly focus – Decent data over Easter dampen rate cut expectations

Positive data surprises especially in the US have continued to mostly drive interest rates higher and the USD stronger over the last two weeks.

Ukraine , China , France , Tankan , Khabarovskiy-kray , Russia , Japan , United-states , Americans , Jerome-powell , Moody , Chair-jerome-powell

US stocks hit by latest inflation data; gold prices jump

Wall Street stocks mostly fell Monday after fresh inflation data raised questions about US monetary policy, while gold prices shot to a fresh record.

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Signs Of Light At End Of China's Economic Tunnel?

Signs Of Light At End Of China's Economic Tunnel?
menafn.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from menafn.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Tankan , Zhanghua-xian , Taiwan , South-korea , Tokyo , Japan , Germany , Beijing , China , Washington , United-states , Japanese

Markets mixed after US inflation data, China figures give boost

Markets mixed after US inflation data, China figures give boost
menafn.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from menafn.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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US stocks hit by latest inflation data; gold prices jump

US stocks hit by latest inflation data; gold prices jump
thefrontierpost.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from thefrontierpost.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Asian Stocks Poised to Gain, Chinese PMI Expands: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Equity markets in Asia look set to open higher Monday as fresh inflation data did little to alter views that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. Stock futures for the Nikkei 225 index pointed higher, while trading is still closed in Australia and Hong Kong due to holidays. Contracts for…

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Asian Stocks Gain as Data Reinforce Fed Rate Path: Markets Wrap

Asian Stocks Gain as Data Reinforce Fed Rate Path: Markets Wrap
swissinfo.ch - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from swissinfo.ch Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Asian Stocks Set to Gain as Fed Awaits More Data: Markets Wrap

Asian Stocks Set to Gain as Fed Awaits More Data: Markets Wrap
bnnbloomberg.ca - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from bnnbloomberg.ca Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Asian Stocks Mostly Up on US Data, China Recovery: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Chinese shares rose by the most in a month on fresh signs of an economic recovery, forming a bright spot in Asia. Gold hit a record. Benchmarks gained in China and South Korea, while Japanese equities fell after a report showed confidence among the country’s large manufacturers weakened slightly for the first time…

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