favorite with a 33% chance of winning, greta thunberg has 25% chance of winning and then comes jacinda ardern, u.s. president donald trump is tied in the fourth spot with the u.n. refugee agency with 12-1 long shots. members of the nobel committee considered 318 candidates this year. that's it. thanks for spending your time with me. i'm kim brunhuber, "early start" is up next. you're watching cnn. robinhood believes now is the time to do money.