Transcripts For CSPAN2 Canada Votes 2011 20110503

in their history, the history of canada will not be either first or second. at this moment, they are well back in third place now. these have all been finalized yet, but nevertheless, there are many other ridings the store to clear indication the conservatives are doing extremely well, heading towards the potential of a majority government. right now there's 133 seats, 155 is what is needed for the majority. let's have a look at some numbers to give an indication of how this is playing out. for the conservatives it's a great light at 40% of the share of the vote that has been counted so far. that's not a final number. it's where we are at right now. sorry, 38.2% of the vote counted so far. they are trying to get the car to 40%, which is the generally accepted figure for a majority government. don't have to get there, 38.2 might be enough. it's certainly doing them no harm right now as the march very effectively towards 155. the ndp about 30%, the liberals down under 28% right now. the green's really not a significant factor. let's move from the share of the votes to the sense of the vote change. this is where the difference has been. the conservatives are doing their fairly effective seat count based on more or less the same vote so far that they had last time. right now, there are plus 22 on the evening. the only needs to be a plus nine to get a majority government, so they are heading very firmly in that direction because these are the moments -- they're just leaving but they still have to be very happy looking at that. the ndp up 46 seats leading their elected. it gives you those overall numbers of 133 for the conservatives, 694 the ndp, 26 for the liberals and four, four count them, only for the bloc quebecois but at this moment the story is the conservatives doing conservatives doing extremely well right across the country with the exception possibly of québec. we will break that down for you in a moment. in fact at the moment they are holding their seats in québec, so they are doing well everywhere. not the gains in québec but certainly holding. evan solomon is going to try to answer this question about majority for us by analyzing the numbers. go ahead. >> peter we know now project in conservative government as you say the question now is majority or minority and let's just look at exactly how this is playing out. right now leading an electorate in 132. doubt this is the key here. remember they only needed plus mine, and look at that. this whole, these are previous routings and we haven't heard from the cnn look at that they are over by 11 to what they need to go so that is -- looks like they are well on their way to that. and here is their riding that may illustrate that. we haven't heard from writing to and british king colombia yet but let me show you this. this is vancouver. this is a writing where of course the liberal incumbent. we haven't heard from vancouver south but look the conservatives are above what they needed, levin above that plus nine so do know is it conceivable they can win other writings that they are over performing and as you talk about, they are not performing necessarily much of the popular vote but their vote is very efficient. they could win that win and i will give you one writing where it looks like they are doing well. this is in 416 and these are the writings that they were looking at. this used to be what they called a fortress liberal and again only five of 211 poll showing that again but again the liberal incumbent, losing to the conservative there. it is not even necessarily a vote. it is a writing they had to rely on and it is going their way so across the country as we look to see if it is a majority or minority fare well on their way. it is not a very steep hill not to climb towards that majority. >> evan thanks very much. one of the 106 in ontario, where if the tories are going to win a majority, votes would have to work in their favor. let's get more detail on whether or not that is happening from diana swain. >> it is happening awry. this is not a good night so far for the liberal party in ontario because they are trailing in a number of seats in seats where high-profile names are running. not or higher profile than their leader ignatieff. a three-way race and that is what we have unfolding. michael ignatieff is in the lead in if you look at the numbers you have 175 votes to his name and michael right behind him, when 74. michael erickson with 147. this has been going back and forth and in fact michael ignatieff's snuck into the front spot in the last couple minutes. this will clearly be one to watch but it is one of anywhere the liberals have to be a little bit concerned about the way the vote counting is going so far. first of all, mark holland, one of the better known liberal mpice and a real thorn in the side of the conservatives. they targeted his writing because they don't like him because he is in their face all the time. they are running chris alexander who is never run for office before but he is a diplomat and they really had strong feelings about his ability to take this run and right now we see his got a sizable lead of 300 votes. that is was only 16 polls reporting. it is always curious to see where they're coming from so we will watch that. another writing we have got our eye on but now is in springdale. rupee della sitting in third place but again, very twice between the first, second and third challenger. harmed gillison the lead for the conservatives with two poles and so we will keep an eye on that. another writing edmundson lawrence, joel alt-a has been an mp since 1980. i'm not sure if that makes him the longest-serving mp but he would be one of them is not. joe oliver ran against him last time and lost in right now joe oliver is in the lead and look at the difference. 426 votes for him gives him a lead of over 200. this is not a good night for the liberals in ontario. >> alright, you know as you went through those numbers, it is very clear from looking at those individual writings that it is still early in the evening. people must be looking at the overall numbers and saying 133 and still early. what are you holding back for in terms of calling the majority? that seems to be the direction it is heading and however so many writings are still so close. to give you an indication, here is a selection of writings we say fall into the too close to call category. and there are lots and lots of them. in fact, there are close to 100 writings where the lead is less than 50 votes. this is some of them where they leads are so small. one, two, seven, seven so this is why we haven't pushed the button on this yet. it is pretty clear and that is just a start. it goes on and on. look at all these that are under 10 votes. you are not going to declare anybody elected with any indication that the buzzer that small. black st. louis and the list goes on, scheffer there as well. all within 10 so that is an indication. diana thanks very much. let's hear from the issue gang andrew alan and shauntel or when we look at the numbers like that. i mean, it really is quite something to see. mdp at 83 leading a reluctant. you wonder veteran journalist like you whether you ever thought you would see the day that the ndp would be position that high on a national number. >> of course not. i certainly never imagined the ndp winning the or 60 in québec which it looks like they are but their very success is going to lead to strong conservative ever met, probably a majority the way it looks right now. you see in ontario as an example that the ndp has picked up about three times more votes than the conservatives have. yet the conservatives have picked up three times more seats than the new democrats have. this is because this is the way the splits are working that we talked about earlier. and writings were the liberals go from first to third and the ndp go from third to second in the conservatives don't even have to move. that is what is happening and it will propel them into big government again. >> they could end up winning seats. >> that is what happening in the greater toronto area now. >> i think of shauntel three weeks ago when you first hinted to us that something was going on in the province of québec and it was to the benefit of the ndp and it could be staggering so you must be sitting there with. >> i can only imagine looking at those numbers, seven members leading, the social accreditation being reduced to a minor run and at the numbers they like that how do you come back from that? at six in the province. they could actually be the last in the province if the liberals hang onto their anglo montréal seats. then you look at the liberals coming out of atlantic canada so from québec to british columbia they are leading in less than 20 seats. and that is also of a magnitude that i don't think any of us have ever imagined, the party as almost half of its collective caucus at this point and atlantic canada and across the rest of the atlantic. they seem to be going down really quickly. >> alright, and your want your thoughts in just a second that we do want to make this official from our point of view now. we have been suggesting for a wild that the ndp would finish second based on those numbers. we have seen enough now even with those small leads to say making history tonight the first ndp leader to be the official opposition leader. there will be number two in the house of commons, behind the conservatives but it will be jack layton's opposition when they returned to parliament whenever that may be. for ndp supporters down in toronto, it is a happy night for them and you can see them cheering as they see the news on their board that the conservatives are going to win tonight but it is the ndp that will play second. they come from fourth to second in one night after an extremely successful campaign. okay, and/or can you hold on one second? i want to quickly go down to rosemary barden as brian talked with her onetime ndp organizer, senior should teach it level. take it away. >> the manager the last campaign in 2008 or they didn't come through, very different story here tonight. first of all your reaction to the numbers and the fact the ndp is --. >> that is pretty fabulous. what else can you say? people i've been working for that result for a long, long time. people i've been working in the tbs and the ndp and the farmer labor for 100 years. finally knocking on the door of apartment like that is wonderful to see. >> let's talk a little bit about that because it is think in the numbers we are seeing here tonight. why do you think quebecers woke up to what the ndp was offering this time? >> i think quebecers were the first of many to say it is time for a change in tried to do something new. i think also the québec cause of the caw -- in the province is ready for something new and they like that guy. they like jack layton who is throwing mud pies at his opponents and saying let's do it positive. >> there are challenges ahead for him. not all of these candidates in québec and other places were broke candidates in that you never thought they would get elected. they probably never thought that. we are talking about a steep learning curve for a lot of people starting as early as tomorrow morning. >> that is true but you know what? everybody starts now and what we have is a caucus made up of normal votes and the people some great people and former cabinet ministers and some ordinary people who will represent the folks so maybe they will see themselves in a parliament. that is fabulous but for the first time in 20 years, a fertile as parties going to be representing québec in parliament and that is great news for everybody. the real challenge is to live up to that and be respectful of those folks. >> for them and work are. is going to be great. >> i know you been working a long time for them so i know you thank you free time. back to peter. >> rosemary thanks very much. and her we left you about to comment on this staggering result for the ndp finishing second. we are monitoring the conservatives who have stalled a bit and the mid-130s to the low 140s. we will see whether they march towards that 155 figure but for the ndp you are looking now at a caucus that suddenly never had more than one person from québec and now is going to be dominated by quebecers, more than i think leading at 52 writings now. >> i then checked whether the woman has spent the campaign and vegas was elected that it will be nanchang crew. >> maybe that is a strategy one should take. the hide and go seek strategy. you are looking at the destruction of one party, the near destruction if not complete of the liberals and quite historic achievement for the conservatives. i don't see how they don't get a majority at this point. they are running for five points ahead of where the polls have them across the boards and there at 45% in ontario. if they put this together this is an entirely new governing coalition of the west and ontario. there's never been a majority government in our history it was basically put together by just those two regions and that is i think is extraordinary. we are all looking at 35 for 40% nationally. what we weren't focusing on is there at 45% plus ontario west and that is you know there's not reason and civility in intent to put together the west in québec. they are such incompatible values and interests of those mpice. ontario and the west mpice are much more of a fiscally conservative nature and it looks like they're much they are much more durable. >> you mentioned and i know shauntel i want to update you on this because i know you want to know this andrew. here is the ndp candidate who would campaign from her campaign in las vegas and she is winning. by quite a bit in a québec. she is leaving at the moment. you want to make a quick common shauntel. >> the way this looks, it looks like ontario on this click the split, right, and conservative majority are a big winner in ontario and the opposition and at that point you don't need to get 40% to get the majority. >> there at 40% now. >> yes, so there will be time for the mp once they finish rejoicing. there will be things for the ndp and the liberals to ponder about whether they want to wait another four years to see if they can kill each other some more. >> there are your overall numbers now in terms of the share of the votes conservatives at 40 and the ndp at 30. the liberals down a 23 and a half and is andrew said we are watching the near destruction of one of the great founding parties of this country. we have that term through it all the way through the 1900 so there was canada's natural governing party. it was one of stephen harper's great james so he could destroy that name but it never he never happen. >> they are going to be facing existential divisions now. do they try to go into a merger with the ndp or will the people in the party be horrified by that? there is a real danger this party splitting up our. >> we see writing starting to come and that they may hit triple digits. from their all-time high of 43. quite something. back to the issue panel of it. let's check in on the latest in ontario with famous when. >> not a good night for the liberals. they will be looking long and hard at what happened in this province because we will show you the sea change. as it stands right now leading an elected this is how it breaks down and it is bad news for the liberals. you'll see that the conservatives conservatives at this point leading at or elected in 70 seats, gain of 18. the ndp up six in all of this comes at a cost of the liberals, down 24 seats in a province that has 106. we talked about the liberal rebuilding program and they will have to come after this. it is going to have to come without well-known the rules if these numbers hold. for instance maria mena who is one in east york, very nice part of toronto by the waterfront and she has withstood challenges from the ndp in the past but tonight she is struggling with matthew kellaway who is running for the first time and is so far in the lead. let's look another at another writing where a well-known nation in trouble for the liberals and we are going to go to -- nbc john candace who has been the mp here since 1993 the better part of 20 years is trailing, sitting in third place right now. natalie hunt for the ndp. they may take up a seat and let's show you another one. this is a well-known name well-known name i was mentioning. this is hide park and gerard kennedy who ran for the liberal federal leadership windy wendy on one. he is trailing to peggy nash. she is helpless writing. this was expected to be tight but in a moment she has got over 200 those in our favor against gerard kennedy. lots of talk they could lose that seeks him out a great night for the liberals at all in ontario right now. >> not at all anywhere. a terrible night for the liberals who are sitting just over the 30 seat mark now. the ndp just wonder 198. the conservatives kind of frozen in that low 140 mark. it will be interesting to see now whether or not they move up. they have to get it to 155 to win a majority government. we have not called that. we lost speculation but they seem to beheading in that direction. we have not made that call yet based on what we have seen and the fact that there are a lot of writings that are still very close in different parts of the country. while we are forecasting and will be another conservative government and there will be an ndp opposition. the ndp miles ahead of the liberals and look at that block number after being such a dominant force in this country for most of the last 20 years. since 1993 and the bloc québec off bloc will blackwater -- will find a very popular thing to their thinking after last time around almost at the tea seeds which has been more or less their number in the 40s to low 50s for most of the last 20 years. this time zap just like that most of those seats going to the ndp. the tory seats in québec seemed to beheading towards the ndp as well. let's check the party leaders on their status tonight. based on the results we have seen so far. this is no surprise, stephen harper was an early and convincing lead and calgary southwest. he won by more than 20,000 votes last time. in the toronto writing that is help by michael ignatieff let's get the latest there. is an back-and-forth all evening. jack. jack layton is leading and michael ignatieff is trailing. jack layton, the easy winner tonight in toronto. danforth the leader of the opposition. now let's look at mike ignatieff. lakeshore is where he is trailing. early 36 of 279 polls by the conservative candidates got a lead of a couple of hundred over michael ignatieff right now. obviously does not a good night for michael ignatieff. from the big numbers of maybe not a good night for him in the small ones either. how is duceppe doing? his party is getting trounced so at this point is c. 100221 polls reporting in glorious anne murray and he is losing to the ndp. so there is your numbers and your status of the party leaders we don't have anything on elizabeth may yet, the green party leader and we will check in on that as well. she had a good shot of knocking off gary lund, the conservative cabinet minister. let's go out to calgary. the man who has organized the conservative campaign is guy giorno with terry molesky. >> peter i am with a happy but not quite as ecstatic guy, the campaign chairman for the conservatives. mr. giorno, goodnight but not the best night yes. do you think you are going to go over the top into a majority? >> i think is too early to say that the main thing terry is stephen harper began his this campaign saying he was asking for getting back to the job of working on the economy working on an economic action plan and it looks like he has sent them the mets were. >> what are you looking for in the next hour to tell you whether you are going to get that majority? >> just more seats obviously. as simple as that but regardless of the number of whether it is above 155 or below 155 it is clear canadians want stephen harper to go back to work leading the government of canada and working on the economy and regardless of of the number of ct is going to do just that. >> but it was, but by his account, his whole campaign was about getting the majority. he said that every day the campaign. >> is the campaign that stephen harper didn't want. his preference would have been would have been to continue at work leading a minority government and working on economy. we didn't call this election campaign. mr. ignatieff are dealing with him but if mr. harper had his way he would be at work right now in the 40th parliament as a minority prime minister. >> what is going to be the difference now but there seems to be a new opposition leader? how will that change the face of another tory minority? >> i think regardless canadians are sending a message. if they want all parties to work together more cooperatively -- you will see a more cooperative as regards as. >> you are keeping a powder dry as to whether you will get this majority. why is that? why aren't you predicting a majority at this point? >> all the votes are in. >> you are worried about b.c. are you? >> i'm not worried about anything. >> you are worried about b.c.. you should be. >> the canadians will send stephen harper back to work and he will be going back to work on tuesday to lead the government and get back to work on the economic action plan. >> message check peter. i think he is sticking to a story and we are not going to crack them at this point. back to you. >> terry thank you very much terry molesky and calgary with guy giorno the conservative campaign manager. he has got to be happy guy at this moment when he looks over those numbers. you are looking at the conservatives at 152 leading the elected now, 155 would give them majority territory. now, keep in mind that we have got at least 11 writings right now where the conservatives lead is less than 100 votes and that is why people are being a little cautious at this point about firmly projecting a majority government. getting closer though. look at that, 154, 155 is what is needed but some of those leads are tentative. the ndp at 99 just under the 100 mark, the liberals have 30 the block quebec why at four. wendy mosley is watching for is so the big story is in fact the one that has been rumored for weeks now with the ndp the big surges happening. >> people didn't believe it but it is happening peter and it is happening in every region of the problems. province. let's look at how the boats are divided here in québec tonight. there you see vote changes, the ndp up 30 points. before talking about them getting 10 or 20 points wouldn't be enough to get seats but the fact you can't help but sweep the province and that comes at the expense of the dq and a little bit at the expense of the tories who are down two or three points and liberals and perhaps beginning of the end of a great liberal dynasty. this is the home of many liberal prime ministers and a very sad night for them tonight. the story specifically in a few writings let's look at the writings. every region of the country, in the north and west québec in pontiac lawrence kidman is the foreign affairs minister and he is trailing behind a karate teacher who looks like he is about to take out the federal foreign affairs minister. in the same story most of the conservative seats are in the region around québec city. there a couple of junior cabinet ministers here. that is the wrong one. the tories were hoping to pick up a few seats here but instead, the ndp had a sad story for augusta. she was the ndp candidate and switch parties and ran for the dq. she will be regretting something tonight and we wanted to tell you also about the area where the tories first made their beachhead in 2006. in the doughnut around québec city they have almost 11 of their seats in this area but the ndp is surging there. this is a remarkable story tonight peter. the ndp leader started out with 2% of the vote in québec. he is now -- he is offside with the rest of the country because nearly all the seats for the ndp are in québec. he is to flake -- place behind the marijuana party and québec. he is now, he may be dealing a death blow to the block coble -- will blackwater. >> they were supposed to be temporary and it took 20 years. >> exactly. it is only temporary. is temporary now for the next few days until they get all the balance -- ballots counted in and made official. .. especially if they try to make their way to 155 they had to do that by gaining seats in ontario it that they've done. all of the debt the expense of the liberals. let's show you how it's turned out so far in the ontario this is a picture they are going to be very happy with. the have picked up 16 seats at this point. this is leading or elected and the vote share has gone up 5%. so has that translated into dividends for the party so let's show you where some of that strength is taking place will surprisingly the party has actively pushed hard to get the ec that he's in the lead but it's a three-way race and he's actually in third. he's the incumbent and he has won this many times but from the ndp felt they ran a strong candidate so it is a race the conservatives opening up the lead. now we see it's about 1400, hard to come over top of that so this is likely going to be a conservative win tonight. let's take a look at another that there's been a lot of chatter about for six weeks in and longer than that in fact these two have been fighting it out since the last election. ruby beat speed in 2008 and to might with the 1,000 extra votes at this point which is 30,000 poles and good chance he's going to beat dhalla some time ago by paul martin who thought she could win and get a couple of times, maybe not to light. west was a very tight race last time between these two. one and two, both of them lawyers and kyle seeback is in a seat for the conservatives, so it is another example the liberals are trailing and the conservatives have vacuumed up the seats and it's helping them as they try to push at 155. not there yet but ontario is going to be something they will be happy about. >> 14 seats to be reported from across the country of the 308. 155 the tories are adding leading elective back down to 154, just in an indication of how flexible some of the leads are. so we will watch that but right now they've got to be sitting pretty and feeling pretty comfortable with that number. as for the ndp in the official opposition, i mean, there's leaks and leaps and this is a leap for the ndp. let's go over to evin solomon at the smart board tonight to give some indication of how this is all happening and what is happening. >> well, we know that the canadians are the scourge people that decide for. let's look at this where we are really close to this possible majority. that's what you're looking for, peter. 1:53 already. so what's the gap? the need to get through and right now there are over three. so why aren't we making the call? people might want to know because remember those holes are stuff we haven't heard from you talked about the 14 we haven't heard from, some are too close to call and they might count. let me just look at the to close to call because it's kind of interesting because on some of these, peter, again, some of these are recounted in there that these are margins within one, two, three, seven, so this is still very, very fluid, and you've called all sorts of interesting race is going on that are too close to call. so it's a little early. but as you say, the conservatives have over performed expectations. it's still pretty fluid certainly and we can go to a riding year. we can try to go here and i tell you it is a fascinating reasons we are going. look at these. scarborough, so they are leading in that. so these are some examples of these writings. nine votes is the lead. there's only 30 in the 200 . but it is fluid but things have broken into the conservatives cannot inefficient vote. >> sere i got to do that. islamic there is almost identical numbers, right? >> that vote could be one of the stories we talk about. >> it's one of the stories and ontario. let's move on back to -- let's bring in win who is watching tonight which is a disaster this point for them, and lynn has the vice president to talk to. >> that's right. i have vivian, the vice president of the bloc the end all around it's been a difficult evening for you, for the people here to have the bloc with only four seats right now is it possible to explain to me how that feels after all the hard work? >> with numbers like this you're still hoping -- >> i said i wanted to see the procedures. >> well, without commenting on them, how can you when you see the numbers unlisted advances, we saw it coming on in the election and the campaign to have the members lining up the way they are, how does that feel to you after the work that you've put in? >> we have forgotten that politics. >> we have seen that he's not leading in his own riding. you haven't seen him come through in your own writings, these are rhesus put in. why do you think the people aren't buying into the message? >> i don't have a clue. so far aren't really don't. and nobody could see it coming except the last two weeks. so we really have to study it over and see what went wrong and what we could have done better. >> if it comes down to the party would lose, the official party status you would see starting from scratch. >> some people say any number of things, so the bloc is down, apparently not completely undaunted. estimate all right, thanks a very much. now they are down to three as you look at the numbers as they are bouncing around, the conservatives over the 155 mark leading and elected. they are doing extremely well tonight. as you see the numbers fluctuate and that is why we haven't rejected yet a conservative majority. we want to see a little more especially with the seats still to come. >> elizabeth make of the leader of the green party is said to be entering her campaign headquarters on vancouver island. obviously you don't see the green sport anywhere on this board which is an indication at this point leading because in fact there has been no result from her a writing yet. she's heading into her headquarters. maybe she knows something about the elections that the computers across the country don't know yet because there are no results for a little while. all right. there's chris. >> what do you see happening across the country? >> it is an election that proves blonden sar people, the electorate makes the decision and of course i'm very much awaiting the decision. >> the green party is down from 2008. how concerned are you about that? even though we don't know the result here? >> given with the media did and shutting us out of the debate and then not covering any of the platform or positions through the campaign. we were very concerned throughout that across canada, canadians were not hearing anything about the green party in the antiyour election. >> the same time you decided to focus your national campaign on getting you the elected here. >> think of for that because we wouldn't have gotten any coverage if we had. >> i don't think this point we know enough. >> elizabeth's beginning in british columbia waiting for the results from her a riding but not a good night because they are way down and vote. it's going to cost more money. we want to take a break now for those of you that want to get up to date on your own local results. >> back with our coverage, let's once again find out some more reaction. natalie joins from british columbia. she has got libby from the ndp. natalie? >> welcome peter i am here with the deputy leader of the official opposition has got to be a bittersweet night for you. >> well i tell you it's a very historic moment for the ndp, the offical opposition and i feel very proud of our leaders and for all that he's done. he has run a magnificent campaign and i think that what he said designated with people across the country and we are now awaiting the results in british columbia. >> to the campaign proved to be the spoiler as we look at a number with a conservative majority possible? >> we have to ask the question what is an election about? each party gets out there and they do their very best and we had our best and this is the result. we can see a lot of high-profile liberals lost the conservatives in ontario and elsewhere. but i the thing for this moment we are thinking about what we did in the ndp and we ran a great campaign. our leader i think is very focused. he spoke to the priorities people spoke about so we understand about the opposition means added responsibility. and i know that we will deal with that in a very wise and responsible way. >> all right, peter, that is the situation from the lounge as the celebration continues vancouver. >> thanks very much, natalie clancy with libya. big numbers, 159 for the conservatives. you have seen it keeps fluctuating and that is because there are still a lot of readiness that are not finalized. these are leaves for the conservatives, and i think more than just a moment ago i checked there are under 100 votes and that is one of the reasons why we are being careful here and a cautious before we declare a conservative majority government based on the numbers we've seen. here are the parties standings right now, the >> set dhaka between elected and leading. you've got the conservatives elected and 114 seats. less than 100 votes, so things could still happen there. they elected a 53 and 54 and leading in 52, the liberals 56, the block is yet to elect a single member tonight. they are leading the bow and four seats. so that gives you an indication of how tenuous some of those leads are for all the parties really that especially for the conservatives said that gives the opportunity once again to bring in the rest of the country for the local results. >> taken averitt to update your local results, it is quite the story unfolding tonight. of the conservatives seem on their way to a majority government. we haven't made it official declaration yet because there's still some very firmly at please. the ndp certainly as the offical opposition coming up there's over 100 right now. some of the leaves are tenuous, but they are very happy tonight. the liberals, not have the all. you're down at historic lows. they were never lower than 40 where they've been at 1980 with john turner. but to my dear sitting at the moment at 32 leading the elected block leading in four seats. let's bring in our friends, the insiders, again tonight because its always interesting to hear the inside view on how these plea out. and david, the campaign manager for paul martin, jamie what who has worked on a number of conservative campaigns at the senior levels. david, you know, this has got to be a tough night for you i'm sure looking at the historic liberal party at its worst ever performance both in the seats and a vote count. can somebody recover, can a party recover from a kind of disaster that they are facing too late to the trustee six tonight? >> i was always smiling when you came over because i'm told i'm supposed to smile on television. [laughter] i do not feel like smiling too late. i think the answer to the question is a starkly in open one. but i think that two things about this result, one of which is its worst the worst expectations, the worst is the liberal fear about how the light will go and in fact that's a big story about the conservative majority. significant amounts of the center-right the liberals decided to vote for the conservatives in order to stop believing government. so that's why the conservatives are performing better than people are expected and the liberals are performing worse there on the mark of what they would get in this election but obviously there was a bully on the center-right such as an illustration of the problems of the party is going to have moving forward. quebec is a well target in the canadian politics and a thief and shaken up unless one believes it's going to be owned by the ndp in perpetuity likely quebec is a province that is a viable territory for all federal political parties again. and one piece of important territory that the liberal party has owned his darkly which is the strong national government, strong canada positioning and available in every party is taken that territory and said i think there is one -- listen, this is the kind of thing from which a few are betting he would bet against it. but the political graveyard of the country are full of people who underestimated the liberal party. estimate and to some degree the conservative party. let's not forget 1993. they were down to two seats at the end of the night. and people write them off that they could ever come back. a was a rocky road in coming back, but they came back and if you're in power and they won the third government in a row. jamie, how do you look at these results at the conservative member at 166 also, you know it's starting to look in spite of some very tenuous leads it's starting to look like that majority is more than likely at this point? >> it does, and i think one of the encouraging things from the conservatives is that they were able to make that breakthrough in the gta and looks like a number of liberals won't make it. finley, and it wasn't long ago the minister for toronto, a political minister for toronto in the harbor government was jim flem ready, and there was only always a point of credibility. they didn't have a presentation to major metropolitan city. it is one of the fundamental realignments which has taken place tonight. i think that along with the story of the block and the liberals in quebec those are the stories we will be writing about for some time and will likely impact how all of the party's 04 word. >> you know, david, the might paul martin lost in 2006 to steven harper, he didn't wait. he said in his speech that night that he would be stepping down. that was a decision one assumes he came to if not on his own certainly talking to people like you. to make a decision on the night off, which i suppose is something that paul or michael igneri diaz has got to be pondering at this point. how difficult is that to make that decision on the might of? >> the party leader has a lot of responsibilities and to a lot of people with the custodians of institutions and they have to consider all those things. mr. martin flexible on the election night in 2006 not only spoke to his group of advisers but he spoke broadly to people in the caucus and the president of the party to get the party perspective on what ought to happen and he made a judgment that might the party needed to make a clean break in the past and the party needed to start rebuilding itself for another run at government. by the leadership issues and the leadership division that rebuilding hasn't happened. it's more competitive now than ever before that it needs to happen and in the leader in his position would have to judge whether or not he is best able to lead that rebuilding movement going forward. >> we have to leave it up and we will be be back before the speech as start because a lot about the future will be determined in the kind of things the leaders choose to tell the canadian people tonight when they start speaking to the country and that is within the next hour. this is a look at the headquarters in montreal. this isn't a happy crowd of people, not surprisingly, only four bloc seats or candidates are in the lead right now in the province of quebec. remember, they were around 50 and have been for most of the last 20 years. they have been wiped out by the ndp in the province of quebec and it's not a very happy looking group of people. looking at the big board, 164 now for the conservatives leading or elected and down at the of the end of the track there is one candidate who is as we discussed and other which doesn't sound very nice but it is an independent candidate. we will tell you who that is. it's elizabeth may leading in british columbia. it's listen to thomas meckler, the ndp speaking in montreal right now. >> [speaking french] >> translator: interest rates on credit cards -- poverty for senior citizens in this society it's unacceptable that hundreds of thousands of senior citizens live in poverty. >> we will rejoin him alone while when he swings over in english. he's speaking to his french canadian audience in montreal tonight. jakarta koppel tonight the only member of the ndp represented from quebec. now he's going to have an awful lot of people sitting with him in the quebec caucus of the ndp. all right. we have seen the enough now. we have gone and analyzed. we can tell you we are back to the majority government status in canada. it's been seven years since the was the majority government in canada. the was the tail end of the march in years, it wasn't for canada went into the minority situation first with paul martin and then give a true conservative minority governments stephen carper. u.s the majority leader of the conservatives and we will see which i can tell you for one thing means the next election absolutely won't be until but the earliest october 19, 2015 because there's been an election law we in this country that says you have to go for four years. so that the people in the conservative party headquarters as they await the approval of the time mr. harper who has been reelected to might but this time with a stronger mandate. he's going to have that majority that he so desperately wanted, that he campaigned for and said was the purpose for his election campaign this time was to win the majority government. how did he do it? let's look of the big numbers to give an indication of just how that is happening they are right at the 40% figure, right on the members, 40% for the conservatives of the vote counted so far tonight so we still have their ridings to be heard from authority% from the conservatives, 31 for the ndp, 20% of the vote tonight has been cast for the liberals. the law under five other parties under fifer as well. okay, there was the share of the vote. let's have a look at the changes now. this is how the conservatives won their majority. they have gained 19 seats so far putting in the 165 mark. look at the ndp. they are up almost 70 seats from where they were when the parliament was dissolved. the liberals down 44 as is the block. a total of 88 seats shifting from the liberals to the ndp and the conservatives. a little more on the breakdown of how this majority government for the conservatives has been made from evin salt. >> well, peter, people talk about this so-called orange wave but the truth this it was the conservatives and let's show you the strength across the country. it started out earlier in the light and the gain some seats in atlantic canada. quebec was the next place in the front of the ndp would rise to quebec and if so we did there but the concern is still holding on this is ontario, leading and looking right out to british columbia leading or elected, so they hold right across the country. the percentages are extraordinary. and again, we always felt that 40% in the vote and they are right there. it was an efficient voting zero underperform all across the country and that is the elusive majority that he talked about but there's a couple of writings and the expense of someone else and at the expense of two parties that have the collapse of the block of the region of life here and in places like york center and hockey playoff time and sometimes you have to blame the goalie for a lot and it may not be ten, but he loses and margot adler will go. remember supposed to be a fortress liberal they lost all the seats like that and that really explained. i will say that one other place in quebec that they didn't win and they didn't take everything and this is when people talk about the orange order once lost so even though they were strong they didn't take that is part of the orange door, people open and walked through there and there's a real conservative story tonight, peter. stomach let's check in speaking to supporters in the riding. it's not finalized yet in toronto center but baala, the liberal but also often the leadership and in the maneuvering around the successor to step down it was michael ignatius. many liberals wondering as we listen to him speaking in french to his supporters right now. here could he is. >> bittersweet this of course sweet because we have once again been successful on the great constituency of the toronto center but we have to recognize this message that's been delivered to the liberal party and we have to take it all in. but you know, the one thing i learned in life and perhaps my own experience says something about this is that resilience counts for something and persistence counts for something. and our capacity to come back will count for something. we have come back from defeat in 1970. the liberal party will come back again and we'll be there to serve canadians and servile ulin the opposition. we will serve effectively in the opposition, and i look forward to working with my colleagues in the day ahead as we strive to rebuild the liberal party and work for a better canada which is exactly what we are going to do. thank you. [applause] >> bob and arlene, his wife, speaking to their supporters in downtown toronto. let's have a look at the right now because he is leading but it's not by a lot that he is leading and they got about one-third of the poll right now. leading by look at that, only 280 votes in the toronto center, solid liberal what he is getting a race from the ndp. that is bald ready with about one-third of the vote. here's michael a ignatius. they were roommates and michael, but look at that he is trailing by almost 1,000 votes michael ignatieff and lakeshore. so not good news for ignatieff or for the liberals general in the toronto area. now here's the other leaders that we are finally getting results. elizabeth may, two of the 355 plus reporting elizabeth may under the county now because she has the lead of 40 seats or 39 votes right now. elizabeth may, your leader of the conservative minister garrey lunn and there have been five conservative cabinet ministers even on this night is going so well for them if they win a majority five conservative cabinet ministers who are down to night and have lost their seats. we will run through that list for you in a minute. but right now we want to go to rose mary barton who is yet the ndp headquarters. rosemary? >> i'm here with brad of the national campaign director for the ndp. a huge time, the conservatives may have won the majority of the ndp change the political landscape and you were the mastermind behind it. so, when we first saw at the beginning of this you wanted growth, that was your big plan. this is well beyond that. why do you think happened finally this month for the ndp? >> it's never an accident, but this is our fourth campaign together and it's pretty much the same senior team. we've been absolutely fixated on making sure that we run a first-rate campaign with a strong message and we knew the message was it broken and it's time to fix it and it's time that works for families to get things done, positive message we have attached that to the great demographics and the great thing about my is the growth is everywhere. its atlantic canada. nova scotia, ontario and the west, so it is the national phenomenon that is going on tonight which makes it exciting because that means it's real and it's going to last. >> the became as use it is all to what is broken and we have to fix it how do they fixed ottawa and with that majority and you still feel responsible for that majority given the way that the vote work of? islamic we have the most seats we ever have and doubled the vote. we grew and took conservatives. there is a realignment going on. i'm very excited and very proud. >> how is the ndp going to be an official opposition with that sort of authority? >> we are going to hold the government to account and support that which is good and oppose them when they go off track, for the five things we ran on. more job creation, pension security, cleaning up ottawa once and for all, holding the government to account. it's kinda hard for you guys to get things done with a majority government and completely different views on a pretty much everything from afghanistan to the economy. >> and we will hold the government to the account of those things. the job of the official opposition is to hold the government to account and we are going to that. we are going to go in day in and day out and we are not going to do other things like i think a lot are fed up with of the liberals. they took things for granted, they were not showing up to work. we are going to work day in and day out and in just a short while he's going to talk about how tomorrow we've rolled our sleeves and get down to work. it's an exciting time and good wages or the 50th anniversary. >> thanks very much for your time. back to you. riss mary, thanks very much. indefinitely pumped up on this and i think the rose mary's point is really important because as difficult as it was for the ndp to get the conservative government to listen when they were in the minority position, it's going to be even harder to get them to listen to the concerns when they are in a majority position. so, rose mary making the point but brad countering the will push ahead and take off the new responsibilities as the opposition. the latest numbers, 164 for the conservatives, 108 for the ndp. saying that again, 108 for the ndp, the liberals have 31. historic low on the bloc from almost of the board at three tvd elizabeth may is the independent or the other candidate, the leader of the green party who was leading early in the game. mentioned earlier five conservative cabinet members in trouble. two of them have lost. jongh pierre blackburn and lawrence tannin, both lost their seats in quebec and there are three others in trouble. gary lunn trail lynndie elizabeth may. john duncan, also in the british columbia and in quebec for the conservatives. all of those cabinet members in trouble, but 165 conservatives with smiles on their faces tonight to. stephen harbor is of the 166. so let's, chicken with a man who has been watching online tonight. she has all sorts of that's a reality check and foreign investors will take a look. it isn't looking to pass. here is what bill had to say. he says the prospect of a steady fiscal and economic course will reassure business people and longer-term definitions of the truce between the major parties and the eclipse of the separate will foster the more coherent debate over the national priorities. he's at 60% of canadians voted against corporate tax cuts so he is nothing although the conservatives of the majority and the tax cuts are here, 60% of canadians voted against them. i do have an mauney economist news for you. i asked conrad black to comment on this and we wait until we knew the actual results, conrad said an amusing victory is for aaa bimmer ndp at the stunning achievement but the ndp will have a majority of french canadian caucuses will radically alter the perspective of the party and he adds we are headed for a two-party system a step forward in the country. the liberals have been aggrieved party but they have to camp to the liberal democrat or conservatives or the block will be missed without a trace as the desert. tecum almost hear him say that so that is a bit of a view that you are getting from this case. from the left of the spectrum. >> all right. amanda. always interested to hear from conrad black. he said more than an interesting last few years. but tonight, tweeting and email lang amanda. the latest numbers, 166 seems to be where the conservatives wind up cooking, the liberals are around 33, the bloc down to two. as a possible bloc mckeithen wendi seat tonight? those two are still leading at the moment. share vote overall in the country, the conservatives 40%. the ndp at 31, just under 31, and the liberals now under 20%. less than one in five canadians voting for the liberal party on this might be read the bloc quebecer and 5%. all right. let's get the latest on the ontario members. those 106 seats at stake and how the conservatives have put most of them into their pockets of the march to the majority to might and die pmi is watching ontario tonight. >> mediate tortured metaphor i'm trying to pick up if the conservative party is a vacuum they just picked up most of what was there. i'm not sure that will be used by anyone again data. about three-quarters of the seats had been taken by the conservative party tonight. let's show you where that strength has translated into the seats for them. we can show you that is a pickup of 19 seats, a phenomenal sort of progress report for the conservatives in ontario to light. the vote share has only gone up 5%. was that translated into something for them? 19 seats let's show you where it has happened. take a look at one of those seats the conservatives targeted. chris alexander is a diplomat and he was our first ambassador to afghanistan. in fact he has held that for a long time and he was a municipal councilor before that. so this is a big change. let's show you another where change is afoot to night and it comes from the software stella has won for the conservative and she has bet paul who has been there since 1993. he knew he was in the fight and seen his margin of the victory as decreased but to the good he's been there the better part of ten years and the second seed in ontario and this time she has won and we want to show you another one. we know about people curious about tonight, they haven't reclaimed the seat and she finished third and what a pediatrician is running there and she is now an m p. >> you can probably start thinking of the possibility of kelly in the cabinet. i'm losing my voice here. with a distinguished career in the medical profession. will be interesting to see if she ends up in the cabinet. >> i will give you a second to clear your throat if you like because a lot of people were wondering because she was elected as a conservative in 2008 and had this legendry falling out with stephen harbor. when she ran as an independent would she be able to take the vote with her? the people there voted for her in the past, her family has a long history and extended family doing very well in the political scene in that area. but tonight, not at all. she got just over 5900 votes. kelly getting over 21,000. so the boats stayed with the conservative candidate. phil >> we are waiting to go to downtown toronto area where the wife of jack will be speaking. she's been reelected in her riding and here she is now as she enters the room and she is going to give her remarks to her supporters. before she starts talking to reporters bolivia who won the riding of course and jack layton. we assume will be moving into the stored away residents of the official opposition which is a big night. there she is a big night for bolivia, jack layton and the ndp. let's hear what she has to say. [cheering] [applause] >> thank you. [applause] [cheering] i can never say thank you often enough. from chinatown to italy come from portugal to victory in town and universities. [cheering] from the tower to the public housing of the park we are so lucky to live here with all of our rich diversity from all over the world. [cheering] our wonderful country. i am so proud to be a democrat. sure come i am so proud of the team and my family and friends and supporters. thank you so much for your support. and of course my campaign team. thank you. [cheering] in all of you, all of my volunteers it is because your hard work and of course i am also so proud of the leader and you know who. jack layton. [cheering] >> we will be hearing from jack layton in a few minutes' time. she's just talking about her husband now. >> emission for canada. jack has always been my inspiration and always will be. [cheering] >> when i was first elected as the member of parliament -- >> alright, we are switching from bolivia to the leader of the opposition at least for one more night michael ignatieff and his wife speaking to their supporters at a difficult life traveling badly and the own party dillinger 33 seats right now and the party in canada and the last time we looked at measure of the vote was under 20%. so what does he say? let's listen in. [applause] >> good evening, friends, members of this great and property. i want to first of all of her my open-heart congratulations to the prime minister stephen carper and my congratulations also to the new leader of the official opposition jack layton, offered to him on behalf of my party sincere congratulations to opponents. [speaking french] >> translator: but also like to offer primm minister carper and layton my most sincere congratulations for the victory that the one this evening. noel kinsella is hard lessons and we have to learn them all, we have to be big enough, open hearted enough, courageous enough to read the lessons of the canadian people have talked our party tonight. leaders have to be big enough also to accept historic responsibility for the historic defeat and i do so this with the leaders are there for. i except my responsibility for what has occurred and i want to thank all those who stood with me. >> [speaking french] >> translator: i'm very pro of the campaign that we ran. i have people around me. [applause] >> i can see before me very courageous young people who carried out so much work and worked with so much strength, imagination and courage. i'm very proud of what we tried to do. we tried to run a different campaign. we were open to all issues. we opened ourselves to everyone. i will always remember the passion, the imagination and the courage, pride that i saw in all places across the country over the last six weeks. >> it was an unforgettable experience for me to be with you come to fight with you, to campaign on behalf of democracy, on behalf of the enduring values of our party to take that message of hope and confidence and faith and love of our country to every corner of this amazing land. a defeat is a teacher. i've learned more in my life from my own personal defeat than from those victories that i have achieved and now we have to learn the lessons of the feet. we have to be united enough as a the mirror to listen carefully to the canadian people have said to us tonight, there's a yearning for change. we can be proud of the role that we played in triggering that longing and a desire for change and we can be the beneficiaries of that longing for change, but there's one thing that i know in my heart is this party has a deep and ancient tradition >> [speaking french] [speaking french] >> translator: our best accomplishments as a country i'm proud of all of this and i always will be. i can see the ongoing need for a party at the center of the canadian public life. there should be no tears there should be tried for what we fought for for what we believed, for our faith in the great traditions in this party that will inspire me for the rest of my life. as we go forward to rebuild, we knew, reformed the vital center of canadian policies. pizza [applause] [applause] >> there are so many -- thank you. there are so many people to think and they must be thanked. i've spent the evening making phone calls to the men and women who serve with me in the house of commons and will not be coming back. everyone of them, every man and woman i spoke to tonight was proud to have served in the house of commons in canada, to have served their citizens. >> [speaking french] >> translator: i called many of my colleagues who have undergone the feet, they were all proud of what they contributed to their country. i'm proud to have worked with them. i would like to thank all of our candidates. i would like to thank all of the volunteers who were there. >> the rooms were packed and crowded with passion of volunteers who worked our hearts out for this party. i think each and every one of them for the wonderful work that they did for the party and their country. i want to think if i may. [applause] i want to think all the people that signed a profit and fought with me and worked with less the campaign team that we traveled with so many miles i'm so proud of you. i'm so grateful to you. i take all the responsibility for what didn't work and all the credit for what did goes to you. thank you. [applause] of [applause] everybody who knows me, everybody who has followed the miles of this long journey together knows that susanna was with me every step of the way. my love and respect and admiration for her is simply something i can't even begin to express in public, but i hope that he will allow -- i would like to express your gratitude for her. >> it's very important for us finally to remember what we have always fought for, equality of rights, equality of responsibilities, and equality of opportunity and equality of hope for all canadians to read our phyllis citizens of pride in the country, the desire to stand strong and tall on the international stage. >> [speaking french] >> translator: these are eternal values that are part of this party the passion that we have for social justice, the passion for inclusion, the passion that we have to safeguard the environment and the passion that we have for the equality of chances for all of your citizens, the sorry eternal values. spearman get began before we were born, it will continue long after the events tonight are forgotten. it is a building block of the great country. this party is proud of what it contributed to the country from the days of welford and alexander mackenzie through all the prime ministers that we can all name. i'm a humble a share of the tradition. and i didn't come into politics to see that tradition by. i came into that political life to see it strengthened, renewed, reformed and grow. i'm going to need the help of every liberal, everyone who loves their country and loves this party to stand with me as we rebuild and every new. i will serve as long as the party wants to make research or ask me to serve and not getting longer. this party needs the continuity of this party needs the faith to continue the work that we have done. and i'm willing to serve to help us do that work of renewal reform and growth [applause] we have seen the emergence of the polarization in canadian politics there is the risk that will move the country in the right. we will have an official opposition could well criticize the center and possibly move the country to the left. we don't know. that makes all the more important for there to be a passionate, compassionate, responsible party in the center, to assist in the continuity, to sustain the unity of the country, to maintain the stability of our dialogue and our conversation. that's been the historical role of the liberal party. it is a rule we will not abandon. it's a rule that we will not fail and to keep the vital center of canadian political life alive and we will dedicate ourselves from now want to make that happen. [applause] i will conclude with this it's tough to lose like this but it's terribly important to remember the happiness, the joy of politics, to remember those moments we felt we ins bye year each other, the moments when we told we had caught the true essence of the country, the moment we gave voice to the aspirations and of longings of a great people. that's what political leadership is for. defeat is hard, painful, difficult. but let's all remember tonight love of our country, respect for our fellow citizens and devotion and public service. just two days ago going with susanna to a part in oak ridge and watching families streamed up the road carrying buckets and shovels to spend a day to gather building a part park and plant trees. i planted four or five, we plan to them together and what i saw there in its quiet way was the indistinguishable desire of canadians to build a better future with the humble work of coming together on a sunday morning to plant trees that will grow twice as high as their children a few short years. that is the canada that i have loved and seen in this campaign and the canada and those are the canadians we should all try to serve. thank you so much. [applause] >> michael ignatieff speaking to his supporters in toronto tonight, a difficult speech to give but michael ignatieff making it clear that he's not about to go anywhere unless the party tells him to leave it to be interesting few days and weeks for speed and especially if the vote counting in the riding continues the way that it has so far. have a look at these numbers the lake shore where he is trailing and not just by a little but almost 2,000 votes, this one hasn't been declared yet, but it seems well on the way to hitting in the direction of defeat for michael ignatieff and his writing. so the speech touching on the history of the party and how it could still come back to this its worst ever defeat and dropping out of the top two slots for the first time in the history and third place. but at the same time lot saying he would be leaving unless he was asked to leave. there's the one party that is the loss and guess who that is, coming from quebec coming to the empty the ndp, so the bloc tonight, disasters like and they lost dozens of seats plus the leader and the leading reelecting three seats only in the province of quebec not even enough for the party status. they're waiting for stephen carper to make a speech in the meantime the got jason with them, the responsible for immigration. terry? >> well, peter on with somebody credit for this conservative victory tonight. probably the man who's done more for this campaign before the campaign the in any of the leaders and 20 in a weekend mostly ethnic communities but not just that and is worn out a few pair of shoes i did. give me your take on the complete political realignment we have seen tonight. >> we are elated but for me most importantly the huge breakthrough represents the realignment of the support of new canadians, the appeal has been honest. it's been both the values and new canadians realize their values are conservative dahlias. tonight i think when you run peel the numbers you are going to see a huge swing on the cultural communities and canadians from the liberals to the conservatives and we hope this will be representing a realignment in the national politics. which i think is a mainstream platform. we are focused on economic growth keeping taxes down fiscal responsibility. we will actually be able to implement what canadians are giving us a mandate to do and we will be a government for all canadians. we are not just a government for those who voted for us and i think we will be constructive and listen to fossil ideas from the opposition but we will be able to get things done rather than all of us being stuck in a fruitless perpetual election campaign. >> by the way did you manage to exceed your 74% margin in your on writing? >> i haven't checked yet but i think we are doing fairly well. >> are going for 80%, aren't you? he that is the goal. >> speeches think any man who has had a lot to do with the conservative victory tonight. back to you peter. is what it is like to be a conservative from alberta. you don't bother checking your writing numbers on a night like this. you know you will get reelected. jason kenney with always a big plurality and his writing in alberta and it appears to be on that we again tonight. let me underline for you what he was saying about what is happening and what they called the gta, the net greater toronto area. there are 44 seats in the gta, 30 of them, 30 out of 44 have gone to the conservatives. they only had 11 before. the extra 19 they pick up were all, all of them at the expense of the liberals so the conservatives, now the big power players in the gta on toronto. overall, conservatives win a majority government. tonight we have them at the moment 167. the ndp at 103 and the liberals at 33 and the bloc québecois at four and elizabeth me beating in her writing in british columbia. now, we want to give you a sense now especially where those of you who were looking for results from your own local areas it is time for another break for some of you watching on cbc television. you will get a little more depth on local election results. on the cbc news networks will continue to focus on the national story. we will see you all in just three minutes time. >> welcome back to those of you still watching our national coverage. let's go once again to our big screen here because jill to set up devastating night for him not only has he lost his own seat, but he is also, his party has been almost wiped out, down to three now and there is a member of of the jail duceppe security detail. one assumes it is a member of the rcmp who is assigned to a hault the party leaders, but those days are about to be over for jill duceppe as he loses not only his leadership or at least his caucus leadership in terms of being representative inside the house of commons but his party is likely to lose its official party status. down to three seats at the moment and bouncing back and forth between three and four as some of them are still to be determined. we are waiting in fact only one block member has been elected so far in terms of the numbers when we make that decision we forecast whether not they will be elected or not based on the kind of leads they have and we are only in comfortable in saying only one block member will win their seat tonight in the other two are still leading. we have this great shot of the bus door for giles duceppe and unfortunately giles duceppe isn't out of a seed yet going over the notes i guess for what he is going to tell what is left of his supporters inside a room in montréal where he is speaking tonight so we will have to wait and see. we will come back to that because there is only so long you will see an empty door on a us. so, anyway we will be back without a little later on. why don't we check in. is there any chance we could pull up the elizabeth me writing? let's have a look at that and see what the status of their riding in d.c. it is because of his falls in a conservative cabinet ministry whether or not he ends up losing tonight to elizabeth me, we are still counting votes. 55 of 245 polls reporting but she has a good lead, 1300 votes for elizabeth me. this may be her opportunity to commons, the leader of the green party and quite frankly, she will have a quarter of the seats in the bloc québecois has if they it they went all their seats. who would have thought that? the greens, their first chance to get a seat inside the house of commons looks possible now with the early lead that they have in british columbia. >> back with our full national coverage as everybody rejoins us from their local breaks along the line. let's go to downtown toronto. we watched ignatieff speaking to supporters and saying that he would be staying as long as the party wants him to stay. let's hear what bob rae has to say about that. the liberal mp who has won re-election tonight in downtown toronto. obviously bob rae a very difficult night for your party in a difficult night for your leader. past leaders have suggested on nights where they have blown up like this that they should leave. he is trailing in his seat. that is what -- know what michael ignatieff is thing. did he say the right thing to say tonight that i will stay as long as the party wants me to stay? >> obviously there is to be a discussion about that. i don't think we can avoid that discussion. probably tonight is not the best like to have it but clearly the party has to rebuild and has to renew. and i think there has to be a discussion throughout the party as to how that is going to happen. and the voters have given the liberal party a pretty clear message about the presentation that was made to them over the last while. i think you have to absorb that message and understand it, try to figure out what it means and move on from that. there is a whole rebuilding that has to start. >> is in a rebuilding that has to start now or is it a look at a broader question and that is one of merger? this is, the number of times in the last year. you have got obviously a history with both parties. is it a time to be considering that option? >> well i think the discussion that i would want to have would be one that would be a very broad one with the canadian public and i don't think we want to start putting little barricades between the parties. i think we need to have a discussion about how we go forward. there is a simple and difficult fact and that is that 40% of the canadian people are just under it, around it and it voted for mr. harper. 60% have not and there is an awful lot and there has been a lot of common ground between that 60%. is very willingness at this particular juncture to discuss what comes next? i can't tell. i think everybody has been a little skittish about having that discussion. my own view is that the dialogue needs to start with canadians and with others and it is not a backroom discussion. is not a caucus discussion. it is not about a few people in a bad room deciding what is going to happen one way or the other. is really about all the political parties and their memberships and the writer canadian public deciding how we should go forward and i think that is going to be very exciting discussion that needs to happen over the next while and i think a great and any canadians need to be empowered to have that discussion. i don't think we can hold it back any longer and i don't think we should be trying to hold it back. i think we should be moving forward in a way that is how do we respond to the strong desire of the part of the canadian people for change that is fiscally responsible and progressive and the wants and needs to be gladly concerned about inequality and economic insecurity that i think is part of the explanation for the success of the new democratic party tonight. >> we are going to leave it at that. bob rae thanks for taking time with us tonight. congratulations underwent. >> thank you peter. good to be with you and i look forward to chatting with you again. >> bob rae from the liberal party of canada, one of the 34 mps that at this point seem to beheading back to ottawa. let's move back to montréal. giles duceppe is off the bus than the room with his supporters heading towards the podium to give you for -- his remarks to his supporters. they are down to just two seats right now. he is not one of them. he has lost his seat. let me try and bring in jamie watt and jamie hurley for a night like this when the leader loses the party is devastated, it must be unbelievably difficult. to then head out towards the stage to have to speak to the supporters you have got. jamie our thoughts on that? >> i think this is one of the times when leaders hope to have advisers that they know well so they can close the door and talk turkey with them. very tough times. decisions have to move quickly. at first i thought either mr. ignatieff or -- would win but when i've advised leaders who have lost their own seeds to hang on after night like this. is a little bit like planning a funeral. you don't want to talk too much in advance but if you wait until the event occurs to have a lot to do in a really short time. you don't royce make the best decisions. >> i think is probably easier when a leader has a group of people around that they are very comfortable with and feel very close to. they can have these kinds of hard conversations. i am not sure who in mr. ignatieff's entourage would be able to have that conversation with him tonight but you know certainly in the circumstances you really have to level with people about what their reaction to the parties going to be for duceppe tuesday on what the prospects are for public recovery and candidates tend to delude themselves about these things and it is the job of the people closest to them and to care about the most. and giving them advice which is really in their best interest. >> giles duceppe in getting a warm welcome from those who were in attendance to hear what he has to say tonight. they all realize this is in the end of an era. this is giles duceppe's eight election eighth election campaign. he was the first tube the block québecois elected in a by election and he has won re-election seven times since then, but tonight in his eighth try he loses his own seeds and the bloc loses almost all of its representation. i mean, two seats, that is not even even around anymore. you are down to basically nothing in two seats for the lock québecois. the end of a particular kind of era in ottawa on the part of québec. how this changes the big national story is still to be determined. was this a rejection of sovereignty? is this the end of the separatist era in québec? well, people ever graded making those kinds of predictions before in the past including pierre trudeau who once said separatism is dead. that was before a couple of referendums, so these things don't always happen the way certain people predict. but, for giles duceppe a lot of hands to shake tonight, lot of tears being shed one assumes in that room after the kind of disastrous performance the party has had. wendy misleads here following québec for many years now and watching it all tonight. those are the questions i guess that are going to come up. during this devastating loss not only for duceppe but his party. >> what strikes me is and what happens to the block or what happens to this leader. what strikes me is once again, québec, the rest of canada has gone one way and québec has voted for another. once again they will not have representation in the government in ottawa. now it is a majority government. stephen harper had only 11 quebec québec and said he is pretty slim picking. most of those have been defeated tonight. he has very little fodder for a cabinet in the 2,062,000 a.. stephen harper reached out to go back and try to reform a majority government. this time it was benign neglect towards québec and he won anyway so from now that those ties have been cut and québecois has gone one way and the rest of the country is on another, will he be less, even less affectionate towards québec? he obviously doesn't need québec to form a majority government and so people are talking about the end of the sovereignty movement in québec. i think they seem to be getting something more complicated. there are very murky waters ahead and perhaps the peak you is going to be pointing to this tonight to say stephen harper is the most deeply unpopular leader in québec history. federal leader and now he has been massively -- outside of québec. >> giles duceppe has made it up to the microphone in this room in montréal where he will speak to his supporters and give some indication of how he sees the decision on on the part of québecois as the leading a leaving party on the federalist seat in québec. let's listen in. [applause] be thank you. and good evening everyone. 20 years ago, the constituents of my writing gave their confidence for the first time. [applause] this year, you decided pacific league -- not you necessarily, but the voters decided differently. we need to recognized this. i had the honor of representing you during all of those years and i would thank you for this row thank you very profoundly. [applause] [chanting] [speaking french] >> translator: i thank you from the bottom my heart and i would also thank -- [applause] my children, alexis, emily and their partners and all of the families that are here among you tonight. i would also say a word or two to all of the candidates of the bloc québecois who have worked very hard. [applause] they worked very hard regardless of the results. you can be proud of yourselves and i am proud of all of our candidates. [applause] i would also like to thank all of the activists who did some extraordinary work throughout the years and who were here with us tonight. thank you very much. [applause] i would also like to salute the leaders of the other party, mr. harper, mr. layton. no, no, mr. ignatieff and miss me. i would also like to salute mr. ignatieff. [applause] i for that matter would -- mrs. ignatieff and misses me -- i would also like to salute all of the candidates for the other parties have participated in this significant democratic exercise. congratulations to all of you. i would thank quebecers who supported us. i would thank you from the bottom of my heart. as always, the voters have the last word and they expressed a very deep desire for change. the bloc won six consecutive victories. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: at this time quebecers wanted to try something else and we accept this will which was very clearly expressed. the liberals and the conservatives would close the door on québec a long time ago also were projected by quebecers. [applause] many of those who supported the ndp wanted to give a final chance to a party in québec. mr. layton promised to show a great deal of openness to québec quebeckers are now within their rights to expect change. a concrete recognition of the québec nation. any breakthrough for québec would be welcomed. my friends, democracy has spoken. i respect this choice. [applause] and i assume responsibility for it. ism responsibility on behalf of the block québecois. as a result, i would announce that i am leaving my position. in the coming days, the administration and the party will need to decide on the next steps. i am leaving but others will follow. until québec becomes -- [applause] [chanting] [speaking french] >> translator: any nation always find within itself the strength that it needs to declare itself and what québec needs to do is become a free country. [applause] >> giles duceppe signaling right away that he will be stepping down within the next couple of days as leader of the bloc québec is party. he lost his seat and his party has more than decimated down to two seats in the house of commons, so no longer a factor really at any time and federal politics in this country after having been such a dominant factor for so long. the bloc québecois at two seats. let's bring in the ad issue panel andrea and shauntel to get a sense of what this means. shonta, he started forcible. we have 10 or is for jack layton will appear to us so we have an opportunity to cover a few bases here. what this is named verse evolve in terms of the future of the discussion about sovereignty, separation in the province of québec? the this is the worst for that sovereigntist on any ballot in 1976 when the thief you formed its first government. a month and a half ago and was by far the most popular system in québec have franking in popularity and now he has lost his seat and he is down to two votes. the sheer notion of a presence in ottawa for this conference is is out the window. one of those two mps who is elect tonight is never set in the house of commons. there is no money coming into that party, no official party staff. it immediately flex on -- it was three weeks ago he held a successful convention and gave her a big mandate, promised quebecers to reopen the language debate. you cannot help to think these results are not divorced from reality for we live in a world where where all of this takes place at the same time. mr. duceppe was front and cente. the numbers sank so for the love québecois to turn around now and they will stephen harper is going to have québec and jack layton will not protect these province of the credibility gap. to mr. harper's leadership leadership views unpopular in québec and have been for a long time over his tenure, he has never found a. if you stay below 40%. so well for the urzua ring with even harper's directions, they have been having their discussion of the progressive versus conservative taboo and in the mvp was the logical choice. the difference was not as he was suggesting that is québec and should go away. is that stephen harper -- there progressive and values and that layton -- will have to come back and for your showing quebecers a party that can become government if and when and the rest of canada and mr. latham is still the leader it will be an a to z. ndp. if of these companies in that should be under no illusion that the ndp one affects and i. jackley jack cleveland for for the two nights of where the ndp becomes very independent versus liberals, it should probably keep in mind that in québec a party would include liberals would do as well or better than the ndp suits my purpose be all right, andrew. >> i think the turmoil in his. in recent years we have had served as now with 80 you a very different than the ndp to say the least. with a strong self-interest in the first this grouping to center-right. i think the point that dave was right, that the québec politics is played now. shauntel is absolutely right in a lot of is what it is and his appeal and to give this is the most efficient vehicles that turns out to push the block out. now i think there is a lot to be -- and i don't think it is clear which direction they will go ideologically prefilled if they eventually settled down to much more conventional right left politics. >> the want to weigh in on this? the it is hard to believe you can't the happy as a federalist. similarly if you aren't a democrat yet to be happy with the notion that you were over 100 seats but underneath that burst off is jack layton will have 59 new québec members, probably 48 of them he has never laid his eyes on before. he probably does need to know what their name is and they are going to claim an entirely new dynamic for a party that is celebrating its 50th year. that puts a real pressure on them. the other thing you have to take into account is that some of the sentiment has been depressed for the last decade, really. but when it comes up is when there is a sense of grievance and the grievance comes up when there is a sense of -- and in a perverse way that equal provided a safety belt for quebecers because they always have their guys there. now, their guy lives in toronto and the extent to which things don't go well with the federal government vis-à-vis québec he won't have the same safety belt there so the long way of saying entirely different dynamic will take place in parliament. the new democratic party in the country. >> he does live in toronto but part of the reason they kind of like tim is he is the favorite son a crew up in hudson. speeding what they do know is that he has got québec instincts. he knows which side of the street is dangerous and how to go around it and he needs no guidance on that. that is why he has done so well. that won't be enough. for all that we here hear tonight about the ndp, i agree with david that the liberals could be back and in play with a different leader in four years if the ndp looks as it is not up to the official opposition pass. look at what happened to the 80 q. and the national assembly. they almost came to power and then they were wiped out because they had the job of official opposition. >> we will rejoin his conversation a moment that i want to first of all show you the writing in british columbia. elizabeth may -- breaking news not only did she win wonders he but it means by winning issue will be in the next leaders debate of the next election in 2015 so elizabeth may wins and british columbia. that is a take from the conservatives and it is another defeat for a concert of cabinet. there is no doubt this is a big night for the tories. they won a majority government that they have lost a number of cabinet ministers now, most of them low profile with the exception of the foreign affairs minister lauren cannon but another one elizabeth may takes out a conservative cabinet minister in her third attempt to get into the house of commons. this time successful and she heads to ottawa and she will be a voice to be heard in ottawa. she won't get an opportunity every day during question period but when she does talk you know she will be heard. she is good at that. we are going to pause once again for second to allow some of you watching on cbc television from a back to the west coast to get local details. the national story will continue to unfold on cbc news network and in three minutes time, we will all be back together again. so, stick with us, lots more to come here on cbc. .. thank you very much. to all of my friends and volunteers this is your victory. let's celebrate. >> trusten when the re-election in montreal tonight. let's look at the numbers because some of the former prime minister has won quite easily to mind buy almost well over 3,000 votes. there had been talk that he might be in trouble, but as in many other cases tonight whether there have been rumors about various men figures on parliament hill they turned out in fact not to be true and just in the same, he holds onto his seat and any future discussion about the liberal leadership if there is that kind of discussion which one assumes there will be, justin's naim will figure prominently. the overall share of the vote now tonight with the conservatives winning the majority government they are basically at the 40% figure, 39.7. the ndp at 31. the liberal party of canada down under 20%. there wasn't a poll in the final weeks of the campaign that suggested a number dropping that low, low 20s, but 18.8% for the liberals, not many people suggesting that. and a variety of other parties representing about 4.3%. so, most of it was for the green party. overall 165, the majority government figure for the conservatives as 155. they've done at plus ten. the ndp at 105, the liberals of 34. three seats only and elizabeth may one in her seat. ♪ alright, we haven't heard from iraq's for a few minutes, after longer than a few minutes. [laughter] >> what do you make of this historic night, the tories finally when the majority, you have the ndp over 100 the liberals under 20% in the share of the vote and the bloc wiped out. where do you want to start? >> i would start with the liberals because of the greatest works antiquity. i still can't digest the managed to bring it down to 34 seats. this is the party in the current generation. all of the great stars and - you to the great and famous hot is at least temporarily removed from the scene. second the block is dissolved. there is room for debate that incorporates the national themes and national elections. we don't have national elections ten or 15 years, we have regional elections under the common campaign. the block was a large reason for that. the other part is stephen carper himself. he seems to have a shell of great animosity people bring towards him. those who don't like him don't like him a helluva lot in here he is tonight, 165. he's proved he does know how to but whether someone has that many ingalls even with a majority of this is another dynamic at play and i watched mr. ignatieff and his speech and it's a very effective -- >> you just make these things up. >> and mr. ray is over to the possibility that liberal party is of absolute crucial moments. it could cease to exist and that's an amazing thing. the last point i will make is the same as the panel in quebec they will be much more examined party and why it was the complete dissolution almost went exclusively is because the ndp already has a progressive number of positions that slide close to nationalism in quebec. what party is the ndp after tonight? it's a very good question. >> why don't we go and ask the panel? start with chanterelle on that one. [laughter] >> well, we are only a couple minutes away from jack layton taking the stage on a triumphant might. there is no question about that when the of over 100 seats the biggest total before that was only 43. so, what's the message from jack layton, what does he have to say in the face of the majority government now, what advice going out to the other leaders what should his message be tonight? >> he is an opportunity to put a kill shot into the liberal party tonight by reaching out to the center. there's a lot of conventional wisdom we are going to see polarized in the politics but it's not often when you see them reaching for the center. the liberal party, the existential problem is is there a place where they to be like the liberal party of great britain? >> i think they can to have to redefine the center is, either they do or somebody else has to but if he's smart he will be reaching out as he did in that speech in quebec that he made in a large rally that's the message he has to do tonight. >> i don't think that is what he will do. he will stand himself as a fighter in the whole of the majority government to account and ignore many space principles and now the prospect of running roughshod over democracy in canada and show himself to be against the 60% who clearly don't want the stephen harbor government. so in some ways the majority government it will be easier to play that role because they have to run the risk of will they say i'm chicken or compromising my positions by supporting the government what somebody has to do in the minority situation and instead literally work on holding them to account. >> just before you start to have to warn you that elizabeth is heading towards the podium and her riding in british columbia. but she's not there yet. >> let me just say that whatever mr. layton does he has to speak because strangely enough this biggest victory is also one of the worst things to have happen from the point of view of the base here you have a majority government with many of them to harbor majority is worse than the free trade battle and he's going to have to speak to that because he's going to be told it's an empty victory that he's doubled the seats in quebec but has helped stephen target's the majority. >> just starting to speak out on the into fer island to the happy crowd as they get the first in peace. [cheering] this is the first election in the elizabeth may. [cheering] [cheering] thank you. i got off the phone where i called the mayor and i want to thank all of you from the bottom of my heart, a volunteer coordinator herself a volunteer coordinating the work. [applause] coordinating the work and listened to this, canada, listen to this, coordinating the work of the one else in volunteers on the peninsula of the 700 volunteers on the island and altogether 2,000 volunteers to today made history. [cheering] >> today we proved -- [cheering] today we proved canadians cannot change in politics. [cheering] [applause] and then i think canadians need to know this, i think we all know this, we ran a very non-partisan campaign. we ran a cooperative campaign. i need to start by sharing with you i had a very gracious telephone call just moments ago from gary land congratulating me on this victory. [cheering] i'm sure you'll join me in her thinking rene helvering ten for the very fine campaign for their party. [cheering] i stand here today as the first elected green member of parliament in canadian history. [cheering] in my stand here today and i remain committed as i have been throughout this campaign as all of us are rejecting the politics and this is a mistake to cynicism and fear to increasing respect back to our house of commons. [applause] i will never shrank from speaking truth to power, or will lie embrace the politics of spent. we need hope over fear, we need compassion over competition, we need to recognize that canadians deserve a government with three candidate impis' figure out how to work together, whether a majority or minority we are 308 and elected to serve the people of canada, not any one political ideology. [cheering] [cheering] >> i want to thank all of our volunteers, and i can't -- it is obviously can't mean everybody who has been volunteering. it's been the most inspiring thing in my life to see people get up and join me at 6:00 in the morning and pouring rain to wave at the morning commuters, to go door-to-door and build the champ of the door-to-door canvassers and old people -- and i really need to thank the youngest probably campaign manager to ever make history in this fashion with no previous campaign he's ever managed, jonathan dickey. [applause] [cheering] i want to say -- i want to say that this campaign has been about commitment, passion and enthusiasm and excitement we can all feel sweeping through that we could actually do something different, that we could break the traditions and old voting habits, that we could decide to embrace what is possible even what is impossible, and throughout the campaign whenever someone would say to me that you are against experience and you're against the machine. more than once it has occurred to me one of my favorite phrases which is of course that amateurs built the dark, professional's build the titanic. [applause] [cheering] >> i am so proud of all of our young voters, like my daughter who voted for the first time today. [cheering] thank you. >> i have to thank the people who came to us from across the political spectrum from don space was once in the pla to the heroic praise r smith. thank you. [applause] >> i wouldn't be standing here as your new member of parliament if not for thousands of people and all the voters and if some brave crew was going to go pick up tomorrow morning. we are truly blessed, we have the most magnificent natural beauty and a commitment to care for it, and every time i have people say to me over the last as you can imagine a number of weeks and before that, years, there was a great deal of telling me how dumb it was to think that i could be elected in a place with so many seniors. [applause] and i just kept thinking what bill henderson was rocking on the stage the other night. they don't get that our seniors are rocking. [cheering] >> elizabeth may speaking to the supporters on vancouver island. she has won the election tonight. the first green party member to be elected to the house of commons, and she is obviously pretty happy about that. thanking her supporters and those who worked on her campaign. time to just go over quickly a couple of points starting with michael ignatieff. he now has officially lost in the lake shore it doesn't look good for him or almost since the first pole was reporting and tonight he goes down to defeat another one of those liberals and the greater toronto area losing the seats to the conservatives, now owning the greater toronto area. the owner a lot of the seats and have the majority of them, fear he at least now out of 44 seats. let's as we prepare now for jack layton he is about to move into the metropolitan toronto convention center where they are holding the victory party tonight. it is a victory for them. they are not the official opposition. they haven't won the government, but it's pretty impressive numbers when you consider the most they ever had before was 44 seats because they got 60 more than that. 103 almost representing their increase almost all of it coming from the province of quebec. thomas spoke earlier to the. when i was there with our great candidates who've 12 beautiful victories that the ndp was able to represent that in every constructive manner. >> there hasn't traditionally been a very big machine here. simic it's as simple as that and i've been going around the province in addition to ensuring i want my own riding because i knew i had a political officer in the value. >> i know you have some candidates, you have [inaudible] >> it's always the same with any political when they used to elect 50 people beyond the first two or three name the five others. it's always the same way. we have a core group of candidates with a lot of experience and somewhat less but when you look at the number of people that elected they learn the trade very quickly. >> i'm wondering about going back we have a conservative majority likely what are the challenges going to be? >> we see the more traditional left right difference is clear to be the one now that's the artificial dividing line where the bloc would be there on the constitutional issue which is not a defining issue in politics it's a social issue, economic issues that define the differences so that artificial defining line that's been there for 20 years has melted away and no longer an offical party but we have got a lot of men and women who understand quebec and the need for quebec to be respected and the jurisdiction so we have to do both. it's windy from quebec so we are going to work hard. >> it's quick to be tough for you. >> over the next four years are going to be tough because there's a lot of hard work to do and we are going to be standing against a blue machine so we know what we have ahead of us. >> thanks a lot. take care. >> all right, thanks very much. thomas will now be the leader of the quebec caucus one assumes. as he says more than half of the caucus in fact 60% is going to be coming from quebec. you consider the one seat before and that was himself. who are all these people? >> very good question. there's an old story in quebec that when the elected them a long time ago they showed up for work of the long parliament. that is probably not true. let's -- >> i didn't know there was another one. >> dhaka that going from zero to 60 look at the number they started with one and there they are at 59 seats in quebec and of course we just saw thomas. they used to refer to hammes a prayer. now he has 58 friends. he is obviously knows his way around the hill but who else is going? there are a couple with serious credentials just across from ottawa so she knows her way around. she used to be involved in the public service sector. another interesting person with leadership experience is romeo elected said they couldn't win the right things but was quite well respected. then it starts to get interesting. there are a lot of teachers and psychologists and union leaders and of course this woman became famous during the campaign. ruth ellen. she's not known in the writings, she is the manager, co-manager of the pub in the area and -- >> she spent maybe not the entire campaign the part of it because they don't get very many holidays, she voted for the campaign. >> the minister for foreign affairs. >> or tourism. [laughter] >> okay. >> so there will be a lot to learn to read a lot of teachers come a lot of union leaders, a lot of activists, and who knows, they may have a lot to bring the also have a lot to learn. >> thanks, that gives us a handle on some of those who are going to be arriving. we want to keep in on what is happening in downtown toronto because jack layton is making his way. there he is right now. he's watching what appears to be a musical tribute that is plaguing in the room of the ndp supporters amid light for the history of this party. earlier today he was speaking to it abroad and who flew across the pond as they say from england today. he is an ottawa where he lives obviously but he talked with jack earlier today and do this to the potential of being a pretty big night for them. so jack layton and his wife, you saw her a little while ago accepting her workers on her reelection to might as well. [cheering] the insiders are watching once again on this one. jack layton we have heard in that issue panel giving their suggestions on the week that he should approach the speech. what do advisers still the leader in this kind of situation david? >> well, you know what his objective for tonight, my belief about jack is that he has led a very strategic leadership of the new democrats and that strategy has been to do exactly what they have done to light which is replacing the liberal party is the alternative government in the country so i think there was wise advice from andrew i believe earlier on that issue panel which is if i was advising him i would tell him to talk to the liberals and cement the people of came over to him, talk to him in the language they are comfortable with and use to. this is the first day of the political world for the ndp and they could be back to where they were pretty quickly the also have an opportunity to put on some routes and if i were him i would start this tonight. >> you heard bob talking us earlier suggesting some kind of widespread discussion does need to take place. the code and that seems to be that he was open to the idea of talks, strategic talks between the two parties about a possible future together. does that surprise you? >> it didn't surprise me that his view pity it is a priest he brought to light -- he brought up to lead the will be the point of view in the party and on the national you covered the thank you there are liberals who feel that way. there are other liberals who feel equally strong. i would be very surprised if the party ended up interlink any serious negotiations about anything i think the party has a little bit of fight left. islamic all right, your thoughts on how layton should approach the speech now having written a few on the past leaders. >> is important that jack doesn't let the reach exceed the grasp. he's got a spectacular victory on his hand north of 100 seats very few people predicted that. so he's got to celebrate that, build the bridges we talked about it at the same time, he didn't achieve his primary objective to stop the majority government. so on the one hand he did very well but on the letterhead is still facing the majority government for four years. spearman, plus side if you are going to lose to a majority government career theft and making the four would like the ndp and layton have you now for years to plan your next move and do that with whatever discussions take place with other parties but also to sort out how you operate time in mp3 hair in thank the reporter strike because that's their job to get a comment when with the leaders say a want to talk to my supporters first of all and that's what he's saying right now. let's see him head towards the podium area. it's actually going a little longer than usual talking to somebody. >> interesting to see how she's using his cane. he had that hip surgery just before the campaign impact. when you think back five weeks the discussion was our is jack layton going to move forward battling cancer for your how is that going to affect his campaign - lee? the first few days it did seem to do just that, but certainly not in the last five weeks, he's waiting to the crowd as he's doing now in this moment for jack layton. [applause] [cheering] de nada [cheering] >> thank you. you are amazing. thank you for being here to celebrate. spring is here, my friends, and a new chapter begins. [cheering] in this campaign, democrats promised to get ottawa working for you and your family. tonight's response, canadiens responded in record numbers all across the land. [cheering] to might canadians voted to improve health care, public health care. [cheering] you voted to strengthen retirement security. [cheering] poverty. [cheering] you voted to help families week ends meet. you voted to grow the economy with new jobs and new opportunities. and you voted to end of the same debate and political gains. [cheering] >> [speaking french] >> translator: to improve the public health care system. [cheering] they voted for better more secure retirement income and to help families make ends meet. we voted for an economy that offers new jobs and new opportunities. and you also voted to put an end to the old political debate in the games that came back again and again. >> my friends, these are my commitments to you, and i will work every day to earn the trust that you have put in me and my team. [cheering] capricious [cheering] [cheering] [cheering] >> you have some pent-up enthusiasm here would seem. >> we are going to put you to work making change happen. >> [speaking french] >> translator: i spoke with stephen carper and i congratulated him on his victory. [booing] it was an incredible accomplishment and responsibility. i add my voice to those of all canadians to wish good luck to mr. harper and i told him i would be happy to work with his party and all parties in order to achieve concrete results for families. [applause] and i also shared with him my desire to adopt a more positive and respectful tone in parliament. [cheering] flight plan on having in meeting with m as soon as possible in order to discuss the different meanings of on obtaining results for canadian families. [cheering] >> i spoke to stephen harbour and congratulated him on his achievement. [booing] it's a significant accomplishment in heavy responsibility and i join all canadians in wishing him well. i let mr. harper know that i look forward to working with his party and in fact all parties to get things done for our families. [cheering] [cheering] ndp! and i shared with him my desire to bring a positive and respectful tone to parliament and the verge of meeting with him because that is what should be going on in the house of commons every day. [applause] while the results were clearly not what he and the liberals were hoping for, mr. ignatieff put forward a vision of canada focus on trends in health care and helping families and democrats share these values. [applause] [cheering] and i look forward to working with our liberal colleagues to make progress on these urgent priorities. >> [speaking french] >> translator: i would also offer my congratulations to jim for the work that he did over the many years despite we have a different vision for the future of the country, we share the same fate and democracy and in for a fair society. [cheering] >> to elizabeth may, my sincere congratulations. [applause] canadians have asked new democrats to take on more responsibility in parliament. [cheering] ha for the first time in our history they asked us to serve as cannot a's official opposition. [cheering] -- canada's official opposition. [cheering] ndp! >> we are going to work hard as democrats and house of commons each and every day to earn the trust canadians placed in us and i want to say that i always favored proposition over opposition. [applause] [cheering] but we will oppose the government when it's off track. [applause] [cheering] and we will support positive suggestions to bring forward and support the government when it's making progress. as i've done throughout my public life, i will propose constructive solutions focused on helping canadians. [applause] [cheering] and we will do that in the best democrat tradition. we're going to focus on economic growth and fiscal responsibility. we are going to focus on lifting canadians out of poverty. [cheering] we will focus on tackling the crisis of climate change. [cheering] we are going to focus on having canada's voice be for peace in the world. [cheering] as the middle of the respect management of our debt and making sure that the economy is managed the way that it needs to be managed, with fairness as a fundamental principle. [cheering] kurth we are committed to making process carefully at a time just has assumed office in this country for. [cheering] >> [speaking french] >> to assume our responsibility with community and faithfulness with regard to our obligations we are going to oppose the government with vigor and its own in the wrong path. and when it hopes canada to make progress we are going to offer positive constructive selections every day in the house of commons. >> throughout my public life, i will -- i have continued to offer positive solutions to put our country on the path. >> you can count on democrats to bring people together across political and regional divided to begin building a new relationship with canadians. [cheering] [cheering] >> to the need of new canadians. hall [cheering] we are going to focus on making life more affordable and reuniting families and giving a boost to small business. you can count on new democrats to work to improve canada's's environmental sustainability and our standing in the world. you can count on us to ensure the veterans get the respect and care they deserve when they come home. [cheering] and starting tomorrow morning you can count on new democrats to get down to work for canadian families. [cheering] my friends, canadians have elected a new generation of new democrats from every part of the country. [cheering] women and men with experience in parliament. [cheering] ndp! [cheering] >> thank you. i want to tell you about our new members. [cheering] these are women and men with experience in parliament and other levels of government and other communities, importantly the people of quebec have sent a large new democratic team. [cheering] >> [speaking french] >> translator: for the trust that they have placed in me and my team. i would also like to say to all of quebec that it's time for change and we are going to bring about change. we heard the message for change and hope as all other canadians we want ottawa to work for your families and your communities. your representatives will fight every day and keep in mind the desire for change that you expressed, and we hope that you hold. you expressed very clearly and we won't forget it because this hope for a better life brings people together from across the center. [applause] >> now my friends there are many people to think tonight, too many to name, but i will sing aloud a few. first, thank you to the people of the great riding of toronto. it's been a tremendous honor for me to serve and i'm humble but he once again have asked me to represent you in parliament. to my wonderful wife olivia. [cheering] and my member of parliament. to my son, mike, my daughter, sarah, and my wonderful little beatrice, my granddaughter who is here still awake tonight, and to both my mom and olivia's mom, thank you for your support and for your loved. [applause] and to all of the candidates that step forward for the ndp, i think you from the bottom of my heart. to every candidate and volunteer from every party, your contribution strengthened our country and democracy, and especially to the tens of thousands of young canadians, some of whom voted for the very first time. [applause] [cheering] [cheering] ndp! you, young canadians are an inspiration and source of hope for the country's future. [cheering] >> [speaking french] >> translator: to all the candidates who ran the campaign for the ndp i think you from the bottom of my heart and i would also like to thank the tens of thousands of young canadians who got involved in the campaign. you are the source of inspiration for us all. >> you shall take great pride in our achievements, but it's important to remember that tonight the result didn't come about in 35 days, it's been 50 years in the making. [cheering] the millions of men and women who believed so passionately in a more fair society, and they refuse to give up often in the face of overwhelming odds we stand on the shoulders of these giants. their voices have been heard to might. the success that we have achieved in this election the lungs to you. my friends, we live in the greatest country in the world. [applause] it is a country the was built through hard work and determination and the rock-solid believe that if we stick together there's no challenge we cannot overcome it is the canadian way, and to might the canadians voted to revive the spirit in ottawa, canadians vote to end of hope for change for the canada where families come first and where no one is left behind. although the election has ended the work has just begun. [cheering] >> [speaking french] >> translator: canadians voted for the change in ottawa and also voted for hope, progress, cooperation, all of this in the common interest. we have to clearly bring these values to parliament and we are going to be the means for which the new approach will make an entry into ottawa. [cheering] >> now, my friends, now the campaign is at an end, we are going to get down to work and obtain results for each of you. this evening you demonstrated that he would no longer accept politics as practiced, that you deserve more and you wanted to start again to believe in those that are represented. [cheering] >> treen noeth little dreams and i've always taken that to heart. step by step, working together, we can build a canada that we want, a country worthy of the hopes and dreams who say no to the same old cynicism to the negativity and of usual and yes where anything is possible and no one is left behind. so my friends, it's time to roll up our sleeves and let's not stop until the job is done. thank you very much. [cheering] >> the historic am i for the ndp and for jack layton. saying that he will be aggressive in opposition opposing when it needed but he also wants to reach out spending to show that he's ready for the next four years as the leader of the official opposition. jack layton, olivia talking to the reporters in downtown toronto, waving the cane that's been the symbol of his campaign of what looked like first a major problem for him, but it would indicate some sign of weakness. however, the last three or four weeks he has waived it like a weapon and certainly use it to pick up seats in different parts of the country, just especially in the province of quebec. let's try to put this together in terms of some members to show you how the ndp achieved offical opposition status tonight with the 103 seats, where they have done it in the different parts of the country. have a look at this. this shows you the party strength with across the country and with the exception of the prince edward island and sustention income of the ndp are represented in every province, one of the three territories. major power co is in the province of quebec. look at that, 59 seats. but the share of the vote in different parts of the country the biggest percentage is in quebec of 43% and ontario, 25.8. all of these numbers are historical highs in many ways 46% in the northwest territories is the biggest share of the vote but overall there are over 30% shows the ndp. let's check in with the insiders see with their sense of the speech was. was that the message jack layton mounted to make? it sounded, while anderson was a statesman speech, what did you make of it, david? >> well, he might have overheard his mandate a little bit. it sounded like he thought he perhaps had more influence and power than he does. this is a great night for the ndp as a party and they are entitled to their internal celebration, but for the millions of people who voted for them hoping that the conservatives would be defeated, this isn't a happy occasion, and i think that he probably missed the tone of that a little bit but frankly it is hard to be dredged the celebration and that was a hell of a good looking rally. >> it's never going to get better than it is tonight. it's absolutely the top of the amount kilimanjaro of the excitement and the joy they are going to have that no one should take that away but i do agree with david he's after all the diet leads of questions to the prime minister, the question the prime minister doesn't have to answer. the majority is a very powerful tool and in some ways despite his incredible game he has less influence and less power than he did when this whole thing was started coming calibrating that to the speech in a huge room full of support, very tough thing to do, so it wasn't quite right to might i think there will be a sobering thing will come in the days ahead. >> thanks to the two of you on that one and we will get ready for the next and final speech of the evening from steven harper to really want to update you on one thing. there's been a lot of talk through the campaign as to what the turnout would be like. we had a historical low the last time around. in 2008 was under 59% in the country that used to be used to the high 60's and 70's as a turnout figure. so far from and there's still some votes being counted so you have to keep that in mind but it's going to be better than it was last time but it's not going to be a lot better to get more than 13 million, almost 14 million votes cast today. it's going to put the turnout rate somewhere around 61%, still some votes to be counted. so keep that in mind. the turnout rates, improved over last time around there's been a lot of expectations built there might be a very big turnout this time. the turnout is shaping out to be better than the last time but not better than 2006. still on the low 60s. >> let's check in with amanda who's been monitoring online tonight to see what people are saying especially the issue of the student to vote. the students did vote. these are non-voting kids under the age of 18 and there were a lot of them, have family and participated across 3400 schools so how did with the plot was going to have been stepped up against what did happen? the the the conservatives would be in government but it would be the minority parliament. they thought the ndp would do wonderfully well but not quite as well as this. they put them at 113. the liberal party they did sort of predict the plan for the liberals but not nearly as bad as it turned out and in fact they were generous to the bloc as it turned out but that is pretty pressing and when you consider what they were targeting. on the percentage basis, similarly they were not quite on here, they didn't give the conservatives as much credit as they wound up getting. they didn't give the ndp as much credit as the ended up with and the liberals actually roundup roughly where they were. so these are kids giving the sense when you consider what the polls are suggesting it's a lot more accurate than a lot of we want to take this moment to say that there's plenty of still information you can find online at cbc he the stuff and voter turnout. >> all right, amanda, thanks very much. what's stated that in the of the studio with solomon who's been trying in to break down for us in his own artistic fashion how what happened tonight happened. >> as you know it's been difficult to put our finger from this before it happened but now we can do it because the results. i'm going to show you some results that show where the vote was broken to the conservatives across the country. let's start in the atlantic provinces. here is a riding. it seems like a long time ago my eink is running dry almost and defeating the liberal william wanted to talk about here was the split again that all the splits went to the conservatives when they gained the three seats in the atlantic provinces and then of course in ontario but there is the split sending notes to the conservatives. let's look at another as we leave across the country and this is where the story really unfolded. we talked about where with the splits be and again here is the riding of scarborough center. just look how close between the ndp and the liberal. within about 600 votes each other. we said when deacons allowed it drives the votes for the conservatives and it happened all through ontario here is a high-profile writing people would recognize this and again this is york center and here's one where the split there aga one where the split there again the incumbent. 6,000 votes still separate but again the increase. there's the split and let's go right across to british columbia and here's the right thing we talked about a fair bit. there is another one of the examples of the splits. remember he only won by 22 votes in the last election but he loses this time in the lead right now over 2600, so all across the country we talked a drop this, the splits had to break especially the province of ontario to the conservatives if they were going to get the majority and they almost broke away the key places like ontario and d.c. it works and that's how to build the majority and we will be analyzing those how that happened. peter? >> thanks. earlier we broken down for you out of the ndp done across the country but now let's look at how the conservatives have done because they are the new majority government and we are awaiting stephen carper's entrance to hear his speech but let's have a look and see exactly how they did right across the country. the conservatives represented now in every single province of the country. a true national party. one seat in labrador, nova scotia, for, and new brunswick brunswick go to the conservatives. in quebec they only got six. they lost five seats in quebec on this night but the still have six, 7200 in ontario. it's the money shot for the conservatives. it's built that a majority for them to might as they win 72 of the 106 seats in ontario. in manitoba 11, sustention and, 13, alberta, 27 of the 28 indian b.c., 21. they have one in your column and they lose that seat in the northwest territories to the ndp but when you're trying to build a national party and you want representation in the provinces and the regions of the country, the conservatives have it when you look at that graphic. in terms of the votes ranked in different parts of the country, overall they are looking at 40% or just under 39.6, and you see the numbers right across the country they are pretty impressive, the highest total in as it always seems to be is in alberta over 67 per cent. they've got big numbers elsewhere, they've got, you know, well, 41 over 41 even though they won just one seat but it's usually just a two-party race in prince edward island any way between the conservatives and liberals. the. >> you have certain they managed to buck the national trend for the liberal snide there are lessons to be learned from what canada has said. >> building the confidence and friendship with of people on the ground being all about serving the community is the way to earn the trust of canadians. we have tonight is a lot of people trying to reach out to change which is a good step. those who chose and what do participated national party. the progressive values that they expressed will be a nice counterpart to the majority's to my people are saying leadership says that your name his race in many circles but are you willing to be the man? senate the parties to focus on one of the things that worked well is leadership from the ground up. it is not time to change leaders. i am proud of michael to say he will stay on if the party wants him. i have no id as the step i am celebrating with the people here tonight. >> thank you a victory for justin but one of the few liberal voices left standing. >> one of the few liberal voices left standing but the fewest number that they have ever had but interesting and michael said he will stay as long as the party wants him to stay and what was interesting on the point* those are the type of discussions that need to take place very soon about the leadership issue. now this is interesting. talking earlier in the evening saying he has not checked on his own right thing to give an indication the minister of immigration wins by almost 37,000 votes. calgary southeast has a few polls to be reported but he wins with a big number. that is the second highest gap in the country another alberta conservative and third place is stephen harper who we will hear from later in that evening who won by big numbers. there is one more. another conservative from alberta did she had a chance for the unbelievable night but did not make it. the last two elections 2006 and 2008, issue one by a exactly the same margin if you can believe this. 28,372 votes. this time she won by more than that which destroys her shot at to the three peat on the margin. that was fun but this is serious. 77 and women candidates with elections to the house of commons four of them are just leadings but the other breaks down is 40% of the caucus will be women and for the conservatives a total of 28 and of the liberals five leading. one elected. and then four candidates to one tonight one is a woman and for the green party 100% of their caucus is female. in winning the election on the vancouver island. we will take a look into the headquarters for the conservative party with stephen harper, just finishing zero canada to the sound of a cheering crowd waiting for the arrival of stephen harper. he has won the majority government there are a couple of seats still at play this a be his entrance into the room filled with supporters and obviously a lot of media as well even after 36 days, they well play a little video they did the same thing for layton. when they awaited for his arrival. of the five week campaign is hard to say it went smoothly but therein be an issue that would prop up but it never seemed to stick and right through it all is the focus was on the issue of the majority, raising the threat of a coalition on the other parties and that was a game plan that never checkoff. in the final week of the campaign there seem to be some concern on the part of the conservatives that they were slipping but the polls come in many of them showed that they were slipping but it turns out that is not what happened on voting day with conservatives getting 40 percent of the boat headed to the majority government. let's play the game of what should stephen harper say? obviously he is happy and will want to address his supporters tonight who finally got the majority but what else? but to anyone beyond who votes for him tonight? who will start that off? >> i think he needs to reach out it is a good time to celebrate but he needs to who says he is the prime minister's to every canadian because the caucus is very low but for the prime minister that is important to know. >> the change of tone would be nice. waiver in the favored atmosphere of the minority parliament but if that was true then the majority is for him to be more statesman and try to make parliament work better. they take a vantage of that. maybe not tonight. >> one of the first times we see stephen harper in a tie. remember the blue sweater? this is the 2011 campaign is where he is without a tie, a blindness -- blazer and for almost every single campaign appearance over the last five weeks. your thoughts on how he should be speaking tonight on the content of the speech? >> the fear of the conservative majority, it clearly is on the results that you see tonight but his reputation is likely to get the elbows up. he is the prime minister unchallenged and has the opportunity to show that he has teeth and we will see if he does. >> how does he do that? what is the key word? >> you have to talk about, if he does have representation in the country also what keeps canadians together? we spent so much time and issues to aid in a one part of the country and then to talk of the overarching thought that makes us uniquely canadian. >> do not take away what he has achieved which is a realigning election on a scale we have not seen for generations. with the sudden upsurge upsurge, something they have been building election after election they have finally got their price and they have the power block to build on the election after election. >> because of the nature of the election, the real story is that for the first time under stephen harper they have cracked the metropolitan candidates with vancouver, montreal and toronto. >> 40% national close at 50% from ontario west. you can build a majority that you could not have in the past. of course, we add 30 more seats to ontario with the next election. this is extraordinarily huge >> it is his third election victory with the government but thinking of past prime ministers, those that were minorities and government leaders from 63 and 65 could not put together a majority but it is interesting to look back at that period because stephen harper has done as 1% when it took the two of them to do and then to finish it off with a maturity of 68. stephen harper gets the majority he will be prime minister as a result of over nine years which is a long run if you look back at the record books. there is not a lot of people who have a run as long as that. brought in will rudy and trudeau over time with the election loss of 1979 had a good run as well. more than nine years but stephen harper being congratulated for the supporters that gathered a calgary and he is in no rush to get to the podium after he takes the opportunity to thank them for their hard work it easy win for him tonight. ♪ he has reached the podium where his family has gathered and will have his remarks foreword the crowd and for the country really get our first indication how he plans to use the overwhelming mandate tonight, a 40% of of the vote too. [cheers and applause][chanting] >> as saying care very much. what today great night. price drop i have to say a strong stable national majora day. [cheers and applause] ratings are on a accomplished by many people working together. >> is a team sport and it is true for there is one thing that is always clear we can always count on our home team from calgary south west [cheers and applause] even when we are not able to be with you comment to be there with you, you are with us and you are with us all the way. i want to thank you again for the fifth time in nine years. [laughter] to the voters of calgary south west for returning me to the house of commons claptrap and for giving me the honor and automate of representing the following in the footsteps of preston manning. [cheers and applause] and representing this incredible city in the parliament of canada [cheers and applause] fear not today. >> translator: they do too those across the country you have every reason to celebrate tonight. i would also like to think about the candidates who were defeated you're never thus contributed to the great victory. >> thank you international team to ottawa on the road working those exhausting hours you can all take credit for those things that happen tonight and have a great celebration in. [cheers and applause] and i also want to take a moment to thank all of the candidates who were not successful. you have nevertheless made a real contribution to our great conservative victory tonight. [cheers and applause] and thank due to the tens of thousands of conservatives coast to coast to coast who do so much of your time and generously of year donations come in your prayers, you are our strength, it and our conscience. thank you. [speaking french] >> translator: also like to think my family. >> my mother has held down the four to with my kids over the past five weeks and has survived. [applause] they do four everything pride of the imam -- i love you mama's. >> thank you for a of telling me to dedicate my time to all families of the country but know that you're never out of my heart for one moment. and of course, to lorain i don't know how you do it by my side holding me up all of these years i could never adequately express my love. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: the campaign was long but now we can turn the page with the 78 with the end of the election but look at the long term, with the five weeks there has been a tremendous amount of all times and canadians can turn the page on the uncertainties and repeated elections of the last seven years and focus on building a great future for all of us. [cheers and applause] [speaking french] >> translator: celly obery hope a united canada and a strong canada even those who did not vote for us. >> in the end they made this critically important decision today. they chose hope, unity and purpose and a strong canada and because the canadians chose hope, we can now begin to come together again as we must and as canadians and fellow citizens, friends and neighbors, we are intensely aware that we must be the government of all canadians including those who did not vote for us. [cheers and applause] and friends come and hear me on this all of the less sense of the last few years, of listening, carrying come and adapting those that come with the minority government, we must continue to practice as a majority government. we are grateful, deeply honored and humbled by a dead decisive endorsement of so many canadians, we must be faithful to the trust. [speaking french] >> translator: but in the interest of all canadians including the great nations. >> whether or not you cast a vote for our party today our government will stand on guard and we shall do that faithfully. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: governmental affairs will begin tomorrow but first we will put in place our plan for jobs and without increasing your taxes. >> we have much to do if pay promptly do what canadians have voted for that is why business of government will resume tomorrow. of the first job is to implement what we do to set out our plan for jobs and growth. [cheers and applause] our plan to create jobs and growth without raising your taxes [cheers and applause] [speaking french] >> translator: we will immediately help families. >> our priority is to deliver on our program of support for families and senior citizens of this country. [cheers and applause] iowa speaking french. >> translator: and we will follow the plan to eliminate the deficit while increasing to the provinces. >> and our plan to eliminate the deficit while growing transfers to the provinces by 6% three year in which the health care system of which canadians believe crop clap. [speaking french] >> translator: finally we're going to make our cities and towns and regions >> at long last comprehensive measures to reduce crime to make our streets and neighborhoods safer. [cheers and applause] [speaking french] >> translator: now applies to offer my sincere congratulations to my opponents during the campaign. >> with my heart felt in gratulations, opponents all who conducted an honorable campaign. our disagreements to not confined us at to our democratic process. first, i can speak for the entire country to recognize the determination and tenacity of mr. layton and his remarkable campaign. [applause] this is the day for which mr. layton should feel proud and i look forward to working with him and ottawa. [applause] and mr. ignatieff is a passionate advocate a party that has made great and important commissions to the development of this country and i extend to him the high regard that is due of a worthy opponent, clap. [speaking french] >> translator: our also like to salute those for whom i have always had great respect even though we have substantial differences. >> congratulations before the historic victory nor -- no-win this more worthy for any political party. [applause] iowa speaking french. >> translator: i'd like to congratulate of candidates who ran and all canadians. >> every canadian who took their brave decision to run for office i have been on the winning and losing sides of campaigns and i admire you all am accord to working with all of you who won your seats in the house of commons tonight, crop [cheers and applause] spigot speaking french. >> translator: nothing can stop our great country, even a recession, not even a natural disaster. >> i have to say this again that i said repeatedly, traveling around our great country, one gets a sense of a greater potential. not a recession, natural disaster nor war has ever stop the rise of this country. there is a spirit in this land, the true character of the canadian people, a compassionate neighbor, , but a partner and courageous warrior that is the spirit of the canada that i know and we are proud of the spirit. [cheers and applause] [speaking french] >> translator: my fellow citizens, the government has the honor of leading. >> guy have the government to bind itself to the values and the government elected today will keep the principles at its heart and at its very core. [speaking french] >> translator: five years ago we began to build a freer and more united canada. we will continue the work. of those who decided to send federalist to the house of commons, we will work together for the betterment of our country club crap friends, it is time to go home but before we do, five years ago we began to build a canada that would truly be strong and free that work has well begun and within our grasp to make the dream come true to become a country that is as prosperous and united and as prosperous as it can be the best in the world also striving to be more fad is the work too rich rededicate ourselves with a great endeavor of which we return tomorrow. >> good evening thank you very much. god bless all of you and god keep our lead and free. >> stephen darfur of the night he wins the first majority government with his third election victory in a row with his family celebrated with the streamers and the balloons coming down next no doubt about it they won the majority of the plan through the campaign also fairly safe they say that may have been the happiest we have seen stephen harper over the last five weeks. very energetic and a lot of smiles and happy to be there. and it looked like it was a struggle but to was a campaign that delivered to the deborah he was looking for, of 166 seats. stephen harper said they will get work right away meaning parliament will be recalled fairly quickly so that is in the budget that was never passed an appliance to get that into play right away. that will be reintroduced. he said it is time to go home. he wants everybody to go home. it is late in the night here, 1:30 a.m. and 3:00 in newfoundland in calgary it is only 11:30 p.m.. bided his time to wrap up with us as well as we watch stephen harper give away to his supporters. let's start with rex murphy who is patience. what is your commentary 298? >> to pick up on your own observation that is the most open and energetic we have seen him. after all of this calculation he deserves that i always felt there is a cited stephen harper that he holds and that is probably the most national speech he has managed in the last three or four years. the second point* the whole business of realignment the biggest town lynch is not with the liberals has the most devastating but looking at his party now that is not the party he went in with he has a lot of adjustments but harper said i want a majority in we're tired of minority governments although the other parties may disagree with the message. he announced that and has received that and now he can exercise that. harper has a solid majority and will use that. >> potential problems? do micki has a fraction added his own party but i think he is unfairly attacked but his own personality to bring the frictions to the high-level, but also with undeniable is the lack of civility going to the point* is not acceptable to anybody. his opposition should also pay attention to that. he is not the demon they make him out to be some day micki could be a different prime ministers to make it may well be the minority government always thought of the easiest government. i hope the personality is large enough to grow with the own victory to reduce the temperature of canadian politics, it has gotten less than it deserves. it is a better country than politics most a. >> if it is too easy it is too hard for you to come up with a commentary. [laughter] >> not at all. [laughter] >> i want to bring in the insiders. doing index stood duty tonight has we are slipping in and out of the speeches, you have been great taking your partisan hats off to give a sense of what it is like. we will read few days july to put on your partisan hats back on for concluding thoughts and their realignment of sorts and 298 some laypeople said the election was and wanted. and must have been wanted by someone because they changed the back and shuffled around. your thoughts? >> i will keep off my partisan and had to until the end and i think a lot of canadians would we pleasantly surprised by the prime minister harper but by far the most generous speech. he talked about governing for all canadians and even heard and congratulate that was made with genuine warmth. it was a terrific speech. and one that a lot of canadians have been waiting for him to give so kudos and well done. >> it is easier to give the speech after you have one. >> but he gave us speech as big as his victories directive is great to see him with his partisan and hats off. [laughter] , like to echo that i think the prime minister gave the excellent speech and outside of his personality that people would like to see more, he talked about health care and pension words like compassion that are code words that every about him and his position but let me congratulate mr. layton on his demanded -- tremendous success but to put on my part is then have let me say to the liberals first of all, from my perspective one does not get to a place like this in 35 days there is more than enough blame and accountability for the position it has arrived and it will take every by the working together if the party has any future. remember the critical part it has played over the years been a key think they could be a player again? >> it is possible and we have seen a lot of flash in the pan with canadian politics and the liberal party has deep roots and i will be helping to work because. >> absolutely it is possible. the results tonight to not reflect where it stands i agree fadeout happen overnight but i would never bet against the tenacity are the deep liberal roots. that is something all of us know that there is more tough times the end good times i am not making light of that but would not bow to -- the against him. >> it has been a treat. would scrap but up with the piano and their thoughts about what is quite the five weeks. chantelle? >> tomorrow they will wake up to the realization they set out to beat stephen harper. for many of them it will we quite a transition. been the main voice in the house of commons but overnight they are god. and to see what takes place in ottawa and i thought this stephen harper speech was appropriate and did hit the right and notes but what is interesting of all of the leaders, those from the previous parliament and the one who campaigned on working together not stopping the conservative majority. so quite possibly there is hope for the house of commons and the interesting discussions on health care because that will be the big domestic negative zero. >> and coming in terms of the big problems of 2014. when you look at that speech, there seems to be a degree of unanimity with the stephen harper we are not used to seeing if never before. is that the product of a victory on victory night? now it is a question of whether we see that from him in the days ahead? >> we also know he likes governing more than campaigning he has never been one to flipping pancakes or kiss babies. he likes to do things. but he should be self satisfied. we talk about the split with the implication maybe the others lost rather than him winning but he did. 45% of the popular vote and a historic breakthrough. >> representation from every province is. >> but to the blind that he does have some reconciliation i am old enough to remember the strategy from churchill advocating that they could win a canada without quebec and is always seem to be perilous and a dangerous course to have quebec believe that had been abandoned by the national party. he has some reaching out to do it is interesting you said he was a work with jack layton to that answer macquarie the school's question they both acknowledge the role but they played and said they pushed the idea and we talked for one year and came to an agreement. >> at one point* late in the campaign we're talking about this being as transformational as 1993. it is way bigger. for the conservatives and the west, it is no dan and ontario has joined it. it has been giving itself to the conservative party since 1957 and has blown it a couple of times. this looks more solid. it is a shift in the power balance of the country. the debbie downers were saying that he struck the right now to and to say it should go off the charts, it is significant. but to be the opposition leader, that will fundamentally change people's view. the liberals have an enormous china's to make the case that we'd still made a centrist party because all through the campaign the conservatives and mvp were tearing into them and roe continue to do that. i is not -- i'm not as optimistic as a chance of rebuilding. also in terms of changing, the green has a member of parliament that is a huge. no longer theoretical but a living and breathing presence in the parliament. we will see if they can go from that. >> have the conservatives now become or could they become the natural governing party of this country? >> our their position right now. do you consider yourself a conservative more progressive? but still all that is a natural place with a value compromise and a look to the middle of the road and it is interesting the tendency when in government to be pulled in that direction because you understand the demands of a competing interest of the remarkable complex country that is canada. if he can moderate some of the hard edges, no question the country has moved more conservative than it has in the past. they could find themselves the natural governing party. >> ontario went through a nasty recession in his beat-up and could have gone wonder to directions. 45% went to the tax cutting growth oriented party. that is significant. >> but for the record didn't vote on the basis of a liberal spending record. no one would quarrel with the notion the conservatives handle the recession the same way the liberals would have. that is part of the problem. to say ontario had the conservative agenda with a government that has governed like free-spending liberal. >> the difference is historically there is the antipathy they don't like us. >> we will the but at that. fabulous trying to get behind the headlines to explain what is going on. we will see you on thursday night were we will discuss where you will change all of your mind on all of those things. [laughter] time to wrap up for us tonight at the election headquarters from downtown toronto raspberries spread across the country starting with the first results from newfoundland which seemed like seven hours ago. it is a great night to think a lot of people just like the leaders are thinking their supporters we have to think those who have then a part of the election night. the technical people across the country who spend their evening to chase down stories and analyze the results as they were coming in. has been a big night and all of those who appeared on camera this evening as well the reporters are looking at the individual rights teeing areas at the country with the insiders and amanda line and those undertaking as through the election campaign in terms of the coverage of the party leaders and dave grooving five week time over 35 days. for them the next few days will be more than enjoyable. thank you for watching i and peter and i enjoy it once again to give you the prose and spills and excitement of election night and can the that has produced a majority conservative government. >> election night continues now with much of the country spinach you have better watching live coverage from canadian broadcasting corporation. harper has one with 40% of the boat now will made after taking office in 2006. they needed when a to 55 seats and he had 166 at last count. the new democratic party was second with 30% of beating the liberal party. this is the first time they will serve as the official opposition party to the majority. both mr. ignatieff and duceppe lost their seats in the election. [inaudible conversations] >> day q4 coming. my name is ed montgomery i am the dean of georgetown public policy institute. each year the campus community gathered to remember what of their own leslie was an associate dean and professor here at the school of public policy is to do. they were on their way to austria when they're played american airlines flight to 77 struck the western side of the pentagon on september 11th. this series is a testament to hearst's legacy as a scholar and as a friend and mentor to hit those in the audience. today especially want to remember her and her family with the announcement that president obama made last night on the death of the mastermind of the september 11th as taxable some of them on in. leslie was passionate of issues pertaining to the wellbeing of families and no greater issue facing american families today than the challenges posed about our e economy. the country's trying to make their way out of the greatest recession since the great depression and many are struggling to provide basics, hoping to keep their jobs to stay in their houses and put food on the table. then we're also faced with a conversation about our long run fiscal health. and congress and the administration are faced with keeping the economy running, making responsible stresses about our long-term fiscal stability in no easy task politically. what is the way forward? will congress find coming ground? one of the policies to spur growth and lift the economy out of a recession? these are what other questions may help to get answers and why i am pleased to welcome representative van hollen from the of budget committee. he was first elected to congress in 2002 and represents many of you from the maryland district and then became the youngest member of the democratic leadership before his election to the house of representatives serving four years in the maryland delegates and the senate and the legislative record and the praise of "the washington post" called the most effective members of the maryland legislature. from the kennedy school of government, and most importantly he is a graduate of georgetown university law center. please join me to welcome representative van hollen as >> thank you very much dean montgomery for that warm welcome for i have to say the university of maryland loss used to be georgetown gain from their loss also to take a moment for your distinguished and successful service from the task force to restructure and rescue the auto industry and it indicates it is clearly a success as the auto industry seems to be getting back on its three. and congratulations on your appointment to be here at the very distinguished georgetown public policy institute. i also want to say to joe, they keep for your leadership and i know scott fleming is out there as somebody who represents georgetown university very well on capitol hill. and a prior member of our staff who was here as well. and also terrific members of my team as well also to give a special shot up to dr. alice rivlin who is somebody who i think all of you know, has been a very well-respected expert when it comes to budget issues of the national economy respected on both sides of the political aisle and someday i have called on many times as the ranking member of the lead democrat as rich try to steer our way through difficult issues that the dean mentioned. i am proud graduate of the georgetown law center and it is well represented in the united states congress. just yesterday morning, i was on cnn sunday show with senator barrasso who is a senator from wyoming. and while we didn't agree on much we agree georgetown university was a great place to go to school. [laughter] although my son nicholas chose to attend georgetown and is on the soccer team and they had a great season last year and i hope another coming forward. imus officially honored to be delivering this lecture in memory of leslie here was a dean here and and who lost to live along with her husband and two daughters on that fateful day when flight 77 crash into the pentagon. last night when i learned about the death of osama bin laden and reflected on the fact i would be speaking here today, i thought outfitting that we gather here in her memory and through her remember all of the others who were victims of the terrible attacks on a 9/11. as the president said come it was a long time coming but justice has been done. we can never bring back those lost, but justice was done yesterday parker while the fight against sokaiya will go on a we have to remain vigilant, the fact is they lost their founder, leader, it was a good day for america and a four everyone throughout the world works for freedom and justice and peace. blair? congratulations on being the winning scholar. you and your generation have lived half of your lives under the shadow of 9/11. i know georgetown throughout and my generation is timing about being a good stewards of our future. that is what i want to talk about today. we face a lot of challenges at home and abroad but perhaps men is as binding to make sure the united states of america remains a vibrant , a dynamic economic powerhouse it has been so your generation and those to come can afford to a brighter future than the work force of today that is the promise to leave to the next generation a better stronger america then we found it, and that is a challenge going forward and that doesn't mean we stand still but we have to adapt to changing circumstances around the world but adapting and changing in meeting those challenges is essential if we meet the test to giver brighter future and the essential if america is to remain the preeminent position it has in the world. all of us recognize there are factors that go into the next. what about the brighter future? it will include how we respond to actions taken by others and our immigration policy, depend on a crosscurrent of cultural factors. that will include whether we have reasonable rules over the financial industry to prevent the future meltdown and include actions by state and local governments and a whole panoply of issues. that will determine the answer to that question but i would argue probably no single decision will have a greater impact on shaping the national answer than the challenge of the budget decisions to make this year and the years ahead. while all of you know, budgets can be by glazing and budget jargon can sometimes be confusing, at the heart, those budgets represent a fundamental choice is the remake to represent our values, priorities, and i would argue the federal budget, the 10 year plan put together comes as close as we get to to a national blueprint or a strategy for the future. that is why that debate should be, i can be, and usually is very passionate because it in focus all of the questions about how do we best move our country forward to the extent talking about actions at the national level? can reproduce that blueprint that will strengthen the prospects that all of you have a brighter future than generations past? i want to suggest a three protest that in the budget has estimated it will accomplish the broad goal for our country then to look at two proposals that have been put out there to say whether or not they meet the test. one

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