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Decision 2024 Analysis

could be 45%, there is a scenario where independent voters are close to half of the electorate in new hampshire. they are only going to be about 20% here in iowa. so that's halle's core vote, with the way the electorate works in iowa, it's hard to see a winning formula there in iowa. but could that be a winning formula in new hampshire? just given the nature of the state, it could be. and if she were able to do that, if she rabble to get a decent showing in iowa, when new hampshire, it would set the stage for a high stakes battle between her and donald trump. in south carolina, -- where >> she was governor, before donald trump is also extremely popular. steve, as we head into this election year, are there any indicators in this poll or any poll that you can say are pointing you in a direction for what we might anticipate for the general election? what kind of enthusiasm there is going to be among voters? i know there's not a lot of enthusiasm for either one of these candidates, generally speaking. donald trump or joe biden. but is there anything in the numbers that you are seeing so, far that you are going to be paying close attention to, come

Breathe-iowa , New-hampshire , Voters , Way , Half , Scenario , Electorate , Formula , Core-vote , Halle , 45 , 20

Decision 2024 Analysis

hey, this is for real here. think about it. and again, if you look at the independent voters, well i can't get back to it. but i just showed you the independent voters there. she's at 33% in iowa, she has climbed dramatically. you know, independent voters could be 45%, there is a scenario where independent voters are close to half of the electorate in new hampshire. there are only going to be about 20% here in iowa. so that's haley's core vote, with the way the electorate works in iowa, it's hard to see a winning formula there in iowa. but could that be a winning formula in new hampshire? just given the nature of the state, it could be. and if she were able to do that, if she were able to get a decent showing in iowa, when new hampshire, it would set the stage for a high stakes battle between her and donald trump. in south carolina, -- >> where she was governor, where donald trump is also extremely popular. steve, as we head into this election year, are there any

Breathe-iowa , Voters , Half , Scenario , 33 , 45 , Nikki-haley , New-hampshire , Electorate , Core-vote , 20 , Donald-trump

BBC News

the polling is remarkably similar to the previous contest. ask voters in general, rishi sunak is ahead. but if you look at the views of those who voted conservative previously, which is the number of people need to badly win back, then it looks as though mrjohnson is perhaps the more popular of the two. in a sense, it is a question of whether or not the conservatives feel like they are going to restore their fortunes by regaining their core vote, in which case they might want to go for mr johnson, orwhether or case they might want to go for mr johnson, or whether or not they want to maximise their appeal to the electorate in general, in which case it is pretty clear that rishi sunak is the person they should go for. what does the party need to do right now after what we have seen unfolding in recent weeks, in your

Rishi-sunak-say-he-s , Contest , Polling , General , Views , Voters , People , Number , Mrjohnson , Conservative , Being-borisjohnson , Question

Newsday-20220107-01:09:00

within that kind of core vote he controls. he has an iron—like grip over that, sort of 25% or 30% of the republican party. the problem is the rest of the party are too frightened. republicans who see things differently feel unable to go down that road. they tow the line. otherwise, they get challenged or might get removed. they certainly get vilified. at the moment, the former president does have that viselike grip on the republican party, and therefore, you will hear this narrative about january the 6th. we heard it from two members of congress today upstairs. they said that january the 6th was really orchestrated by the federal government, that the fbi, the cia had placed informants and they were the people that caused all the trouble.

Republicans , Kind , Rest , Problem , Grip , Core-vote , 30 , 25 , Party , Things , Road , Line

Newsday-20220107-00:08:00

does have a resonance, it does have a lot of power within that kind of core vote he controls. he has an iron—like grip over that, sort of 25 or 30% of the republican party. the problem is the rest of the party are too frightened. republicans who see things differently feel unable to go down that road. they tow the line. otherwise, they get challenged or might get removed. they certainly get vilified. at the moment, the former president does have that viselike grip on the republican party, and therefore, you will hear this narrative about january the 6th. we heard it from two members of congress today upstairs. they said that january the 6th was really orchestrated by the federal government, that the fbi, the cia had placed informants and they were the people that caused all the trouble. that's what two members

Lot , Power , Resonance , Kind , Core-vote , Republicans , Party , Things , Rest , Problem , Grip , Road

The Van Jones Show-20190907-23:17:00

is never ascended to on the white house yet. we haven't had an ex-gen or millennial. we have a lot of new ideas for a vastly and quickly changing world. and experience nas i think at this point -- that are needed. >> but trump has cards to play including the economy. and the numbers just came out, not good for democrats saying african-americans are doing really rl well in the economy and black women maybe doing better than ever on unemployment. how due are do you deal with that as a democrat when black wrim are your core vote. >> if you ask barak women what they think about their situation in the as a guy limping in the majorities black area. they're not feeling it. we are seeing corporate profits in the 85 year high and richest getting richer and a lot of folks coming working not just one job. hustling and needing food stamps. >> yeah. >> the bargain of the country is gone. prescription drug costs up over $1,000 on average per year per person.

Lot , Experience , World , White-house , Ideas , We-haven-t , Millennial , Point , Nas , Trump , Women , Democrats

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20190616:14:46:00

or only i can fix it. fix yourself first, donald trump. >> joe biden is a dummy. >> i believe that the president is literally an existential threat to america. >> okay, real quickly i'm going to start with you, amy. real quickly, is it sustainable for these two guys in a primary season to pretend like they are running a general election campaign already? >> absolutely not. in a crowded field i really think the electorate, and we're acknowledging it's people of color, women of color who are going to be the core vote, are looking for inspirational politics of justice, and this kind of tit for tat back and forth is not going to cut it. >> lori? >> i agree. you cannot let the president take all the oxygen out of the room. it's imperative these candidates remain disciplined, disciplined and focusing on the message, the message of the week. you've got to keep drilling

President , Joe-biden , Trump , Us- , Threat , Dummy , Fix , Amy-allison , Election , Campaign , Field , Guys

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - DW - 20190519:18:07:00

time to put their people into important positions. so this is far from over. parts of this in the run the people really sound frustrated a new elections are just days away what impact could the scandal have on the freedom party there and far right parties across europe. for the freedom party supposedly this will mean that they will be reduced to their core vote to shift and don't make a mistake they have a lot of supporters in austria so they will shrink but they will still be visible however on the european level it is it has 2 different sort of consequences on the one hand on a national level like in italy in germany or france for instance voters won't be swayed by a scandal in austria particularly because conspiracies theories are already blossoming bot on the other hand strategically what somebody like matusow vini the

People , Elections , Freedom-party , Scandal , Impact , Parts , Positions , Run , Parties , Europe , Don-t , Core-vote

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - DW - 20190519:15:11:00

completely from discovery meant looming over all of this of course are e.u. elections which are. days away what impact could the scandal have on the freedom party there and on far right parties in other countries. the freedom party will probably be reduced to its core vote and that's quite strong in austria i mean if people coming out protesting against doesn't really change that there is a significant part of austrian voters ship who are really for these right wing extremists bought in other countries of course also they will have their supporters however the idea that many of them like manchus salvini the italian legal leader of the league are nard had that she tried to push europe to the right pull the conservative parties with them and sort of get into a coalition in the year and priyamvada myth that dreams will surely be over because everybody can now see if you get into bed with the right wing extremist parties of politics will become very unsavory in the end. but hazel thank you so much for

Parties , Freedom-party , Elections , Course , Impact , Al-l , Scandal , European-union , Countries , Discovery , People , Part

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20181111:23:11:00

president's job rating. the number of the republican vote. so i think we know what that core vote is. but only 41% approved of the mueller investigation. does political opinion -- how much should it impact what you do in the democratic congress these days? >> well, public opinion always affects us in one degree or another, but i will say this having watched mueller's ratings over time. the one thing that we see is around the time he produces indictments, around the time that he produces convictions, the support for his investigation goes up. the longer the lapse between indictments, the more his ratings go down. so what we're seeing now, i think, is merely the lull, because in the period leading up to the midterms, he properly took no action. but i think when he issues his report or if there are further indictments, you will see public confidence in his work once again rise. >> there is -- i know you probably want to get the house intelligence committee's investigation back on track after your -- after the uneasy

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