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Greenflation and the Role of Prices in Clean Energy Transitions

The shift to renewable energy inevitably involves massive costs. The question is: who should pay?

Indonesia , Indonesian , Economy , Southeast-asia , Green-energy , Greenflation , Indonesia-2024-election , Indonesia-green-energy , Renewable-energy , Renewable-energy-in-southeast-asia ,

Greenflation will be honey for investors | The Manila Times

THERE is no doubt that green investing is a theme that is growing in many ways for just about every investor. The whole development within sustainable investments, green investments, renewable energy, and the like, I regard, is still in its infancy.

France , Manila , Philippines , Ukraine , Terms-of-service , European-commission , Manila-times , Greenflation , Will , Be , Honey

Green Energy Transition Will Keep Inflation High, Norway's Oil Fund Chief Warns

Climate change will keep inflation stubbornly high and result in low investment returns for an extended period, says Nicolai Tangen.

New-york , United-states , Norway , Germany , American , German , Eric-heymann , Isabel-schnabel , Joe-biden , Nicolai-tangen , Luke-templeman , Isaac-orr

Greenflation will keep energy prices high

Global efforts to reduce carbon emissions by switching to cleaner sources of energy are driving increased fuel costs and inflation.

Allan-gray , Alec-cutler , Greenflation ,

Propaganda rag The Atlantic tries to blame inflation on "climate change" rather than all the money printing and disastrous Biden economic policies

The latest excuse to explain away runaway inflation is climate change, according to The Atlantic. Writer Robinson Meyer contends that prices are soaring not because of the Federal Reserve's [...]

United-states , Wuhan , Hubei , China , America , American , Joe-biden , Robinson-meyer , Federal-reserve , Natural-news , Donald-trump , Wall-street

Top 10 Trends of 2022 | Prannoy Roy, Investor Ruchir Sharma Discuss Top 10 Trends of 2022

Global investor and author Ruchir Sharma discussed the top ten trends of the year 2022 in a discussion with NDTV's Dr Prannoy Roy. Mr Sharma, in his forecast, said, this year, inflation is likely to increase but there could be some constraining factors.

Here is the full transcript of the discussion:

NDTV: Welcome everyone to what I honestly believe is our most important annual show on what's going to happen in the year ahead. And I don't just mean the amazing amount of feedback and viewers that we get for this show, that's the quantitative measure and it is huge. I also mean the quality of the content, the forecast for the year ahead, like, should you buy or should you sell shares and stocks, should you buy or sell property? Really affects our decisions in our everyday life, this show. How will India do? It affects our country. How will India do versus the rest of the world in 2022? The politics, the macro, global relations, all the data and graphics in the show are researched and produced by the absolutely amazing Ruchir Sharma and his team of course. Ruchir is widely respected, has one of the most brilliant minds globally and they say that about him even when he is not in the room. We are very, very lucky to have Ruchir join us once again this year with all his findings on the top ten trends of 2022. Now watch these fascinating findings, I just found them amazing, about what to expect over the next twelve months, I learnt a lot and I am sure you will too. So, Ruchir thank you very much for joining us and sparing the time, thank you very much.

Ruchir Sharma: Thanks Prannoy, delighted to be back, it's been nearly a decade since we have had this annual tradition and happy that we are carrying it along.

NDTV: Wonderful. Shall we just go straight into the graphics because we have got so much to cover over the next 50 minutes actually. You know the first thing that you always say and I respect you for that because I would never do it, let's look at how right and how wrong I was in the previous year you say. So, let's look at what you had said in the previous year, the top ten trends of 2021, let's review and get your perspective on what was right and what was wrong.

So, those are the top ten, now let's focus on first forecast that you made, the trend that you made in January 2021 of what was going to happen. Let's see what you said about the first point, you said, the global economy would be surging and the stock market would be sluggish and your review shows this, it shows that, if you look at the first of last ten years forecast growth surged but actually so did the stock market. Global growth was at six percent, higher than most people expected but you expected it, so you were different from the rest, and you were right in terms of global growth of six percent, it's huge. The stock market, the US surged actually, actually only two countries really surged, US and India's stock market, which I guess the US is a huge part of the global stock market, the rest of the world more or less eight percent, more or less average and fascinating, Ruchir, worst performing according to you, your data, China's stock market minus 23 percent, second worse and worst is Pakistan minus 25 percent.

Ruchir Sharma: Yes, we looked at about 60 odd stock markets around the world for which data is available and so India was in the top quartile, in fact India's exact rank was around 13th or so of the 60 stock markets around the world in dollar terms and it's just I guess a sheer coincidence that the two worst performing markets and absolute worst were China and Pakistan. So, something I guess, a lot of Indians would like to cheer about.

NDTV: Okay, let's move quicky on to the second of your kind of top trends. Inflation, you said is set to rise and then what is the actual figures, let's have a look at the data that you actually produced to compare with your trend. Global inflation was 4.8 percent while rest of the economists globally thought would be 2.7, so you were spot on there, Ruchir.

Ruchir Sharma: Yes, I think that there was so much stimulus put into action, so much disruption to the supply chains brought about by the pandemic and the lockdowns that inflation was finally set to rise. I mean for 40 years we haven't had an inflation performance of this kind in many countries including the United States. Now in India's case, inflation behaved a bit better, especially at the consumer price level, and so in fact India's inflation rankings improved on a global basis. Like after long time India's inflation rankings were similar to rest of the world or somewhere in the middle, but I think that the key think here is that the inflation surge was a lot more than people expected in 2021.

NDTV: The third trend you said was that global interest rates would increase sharply and of course when interest rates rise, bond prices fall down. Look at those, interest rate, they really shot up. Now how is that compared, this is developing countries in particular, and government bond prices fell by 5.8 percent, that is worst since 1999.

Ruchir Sharma: Yes, it's very rare for government bond prices to fall, because it is a very safe investment and there are very few and far between years when government bond prices fall. Bond prices fall when interest rates rise, they move in the opposite direction and so as interest rates rose sharply around the world, particularly in emerging markets, with long-term interest rates rising even in places such as India, where the two-year paper and ten-year paper, all those interest rates rose from a very low base quite sharply. Bond prices fell, yes; it was a terrible year to be a bond investor in 2021.

NDTV: Right, your next forecast was you said, buy property. Prices are going to go up, really. And if you look at it, in fact, house prices according to you rose at the fastest rates since 1980s, that is forty years, we are talking about global house prices. India didn't follow that pattern, it went down, but it was the end of 2021 that house prices in India have started rising again, right?

Ruchir Sharma: Yes, it's been a terrible year for the property markets in India as we know over the last decade with property prices barely rising, but finally we are seeing sales are picking up, supply has been constrained, inventories are falling and in the major cities, prices are beginning to rise. So yes, it's been a very good time to buy property around the world, in fact almost too good, it's taking many people to think that property prices are becoming unaffordable and that's a major political issue growing in many countries. In India's case not so as yet because the affordability still remains relatively good for many people, even though I know that everybody wants it to be cheaper, but generally property prices have been quite low, but I think they have started to rise and set to rise further in the year ahead.

NDTV: Now your fifth point, you said the US dollar will decline and then you produced data to check whether you are right or wrong. Let's see what you said, basically, the dollar went down for little bit, but just look relatively and when you talk about decline you always talk about relatively prices. Bitcoin went up 59 percent, while the dollar just 6 percent, amazing difference.

Ruchir Sharma: Yes, that's the point I made on the show last year that there is no real alternative to the US dollar in terms of any other currency. The Chinese currency has not been able to take the space, the Euro is still embattled by a lot of its internal problems, so when there is no alternative to the US dollar and yet people are searching for an alternative, crypto currency such as Bitcoin are likely to emerge as some sort of an alternative and that's what happened last year. It was a great year to be investing in crypto currencies, in fact the number of cryptocurrencies in the world has exploded. There are nearly 8k crypto currencies in the world now com

Prannoy-roy , Investor-ruchir-sharma-discuss-top , Top-10-trends-of-2022 , Author-ruchir-sharma , Global-economy , Inflation , Indian-economy , Investment , Virtual-economy , Metaverse , Investing-in-share-markets

分析："绿色通胀"冒出头投资组合经理面临新挑战

从集装箱船到硬纸板，更严格的环境法规正在引发短缺和价格飙升，“绿色通胀”逐渐萌芽，为企业的估值增添新的变化。

United-states , London , City-of , United-kingdom , Sun-jasmine , Wang-hongying , United-nations , London-august , Forest-fire , Royal-london , Wood-price , Greenflation

Need to watch out for Greenflation, regulations addressing climate change; ESG norms, carbon tax

Abhay Laijawala, MD, Avendus Capital Public Markets Alternate Strategies LLP talks about how regulations could affect Indian companies

China , United-states , India , Russia , Bombay , Maharashtra , Chinese , American , John-kerry , Abhay-laijawala , Avendus-capital-public-markets-alternate-strategies , Climate-change