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Interesting to see the 2021 look forwards. All we have is good conversation and a look at the tea leaves. Lisa is going to talk about jobless claims and all the rest of it, but i want to look at the granularity. Is a pandemic ago stock, and there is the reality which i believe you mentioned yesterday. I cant remember which property you mentioned it on. You know what . Retail is really struggling. Jonathan this is the story. A stock like macys has done pretty well over the past week, but that is the difference between the ketchup trade the catchup trade and a durable trade. I think that is the story for hours. T couple of we got to get through the next couple of months. Tom i mean, it is a comedy. But this is not funny. In south australia, you can now not walk your dog because of pandemic fears. Talk ofes of the macro the Bloomberg NewEconomy Forum and the realities that lisa h ....
Even though the gains have been so big, up until now it doesnt mean you should bail out and not get in on the game. I do wonder, jon, especially if we dont get a fiscal support package, especially if we do get increased deterioration in the economic data, i do wonder if well see a change in sentiment. Jonathan what if we get more restrictions . California, the governor, mr. Newsome had this to say yesterday. If these trends continue well have to take much more dramatic, arguably drastic action. If hes implying they might have to have a shelter in place order like back in spring or a flavor version of that, how do we get through that if we dont have the fiscal hand down from d. C. . Thats the question going into december and 2021 . Lisa the markets have shrugged this off completely. The deterioration some of the High Frequency data. If you want to look at the v shape recovery check out manufacturing which brings us to what we are l ....
Tom keane taking one final day off. This market ripping through the month of november, adding weight to the rally this december. Lisa up 1 on what . Nothing it seems ahead of this testimony with chairman powell and secretary ma nuche chin. Lisa tom keen is so upset hes still in triple leverage all cash funds had he to take the time out to start his own Cooking Channel on twitter which is what he seems to be doing over the past few days. There is a question how much good news is baked in. We have gotten some news about vaccines looking for approval. Yet at this point, you have raised this again and again, john, how much scarring is there from record numbers of cases of covid, as well as hospitalizations. The numbers keep breaking all time highs. Jonathan the numbers arent going to be great the next couple months. Thats a given. I dont know how much we need to see thats really going to weigh on people considering how well anchored ....
Look at the really disinflationary dampening you are seeing in the bond market. I dont want to make a big deal about it, but yield gives way to lower yield. Im looking at fiveyear, fiveyear breakevens, and there is a little bit of an ebb, an increase in the disinflationary tendency. That claimsort number at 8 30. Francine a really important one, and we have some great interviews coming up from the Bloomberg NewEconomy Forum focusing on health today. A conversation also with bill gates. Lets get to first word news in new york city with ritika gupta. Ritika joe biden warns that the delay in starting the president ial transition could set bet the effort to distribute the coronavirus vaccine. Could setback the effort to disturb the coronavirus fencing. Trump thent Trump Administration is being urged to begin working wit ....
Morning, thevember imf is direct. There is real risk to any form of international recovery. They look at the pandemic data, they look at the gdp data, and they look at the lack of fiscal stimulus nation to nation. This time is different. These headlines are original before a g20 meeting, but we got to get right to this. This is a real wakeup call of the immediacy into december. Fromhan its an echo chairman powell and president lagarde over the last few days as well. I think market dispenser quick to untangle be shortterm from the longterm, to bear their hope in the sands of in the back end of 2021. I think what policymakers are suggesting is that the shortterm matters. It can shape what the longterm looks like area when you look at the balance of risks, they are tilted aggressively to the downside. Abramowicz, this headline, elevated asset values point to Financial Stability risk, and i am surprised that is a judgment by imf ....