year since the white supremacy march there that ended in one person s death. your world with cavuto coming up. maria bartiromo is in. i will see you back here tomorrow. look who is slamming new sanctions anyone trump administration determined russia used nerve agent and where is all this going? we have the very latest. first, while everybody s focussed on the races where there are no clear winners at this hour, how about where there was one clear loser. democratic socialism. good afternoon, thank you for joining us. this is your world. she may be the new star of the democratic party but self-proclaimed democratic socialist failing to make stars why somebody here says that s great news for taxpayers. first we go to detroit with the latest. well, maria, for people who tried to take the democratic party further left had a rough night in michigan. they showed up in the form of vermont senator bernie sanders and alexandria o casio and she also took her message of democratic socialism in michigan s 11th congressional district. and she went to st. louis hoping the surge in momentum could help cory bush and in kansas she stumped with brett welder pushing for medicare for all and higher minimum wage. welder lost but only by three points and she picked up a win in the 4th district cruising to a 30-point victory and back in the 13th congressional district her candidate won by a thin margin and could become the nation s first muslim congresswoman. single-payer health care and free tuition and guaranteed jobs rejected last night. that s great news for taxpayers and with us now conservative commentator and a political commentator. great to see everybody today. thank you for joining us. gary, why is this great news for taxpayers? socialism is nothing than a hoover vacuum sucking the life out of the economy and taxpayers. it s never created a dime of wealth or a job and basically when capitalism turns towards socialism you end up with venezuela three years ago and when capitalism is gone have you venezuela as we see today. i couldn t be happier and hopefully we can teach the youngin s a lesson that capitalism is the greatest system on earth. achievement and greatness that wins the day not the other way around. it s funny because all the capitalism and the freedoms that they all enjoy got them to this place. danielle, what i find astonishing is when we talk about socialism the question of how are you going to pay for all this free stuff never comes up. you re right and police stations have trouble when campaigning how they ll pay one example is the border wall which we were told mexico would pay for. one thing we get from the elections when we saw ocasio-cortez is the vast message that may resonate in the bronx doesn t necessarily resonate in other parts of the country. it s a good lesson for democrats and one they have to learn and something republicans have learned is lou to become a big tent party to make those strategic communication decision are appropriate for the places in which they are campaigning. madison, what is the answer to how do you pay for all of this? are they ever pushed on what it means and how you pay for all these free things. you can t pay for all this. that s the simple answer. democrats claim to be the party of the people but by embracing the can t candidates. people don t want this. they re very happy with the way the economy s going. they have lower taxes, less regulation, more unemployment and booming economy. we saw records and records in the last year and a half. people don t want a socialist agenda and the people who do don t understand how things work. they are definitely defining the lines going in the midterm elections identifying what team has what. democratic socialist alexandria ocasio-cortez said democrats are stuck in the 90s. rising income inequality has result ed in a stark political reality but their heyday was in the 90s when kids had furbies and susans. that s not measure any more. it brings back the time when president obama said to mitt romney russia s on the phone and the 80 s is on the phone and they want their foreign policy back and russia is not the enemy here and here we are today with a different landscape. danielle, how s this end? historically midterm election bad for the incumbent party. we ll see what happens. we see what s happening in ohio where districts that went strongly for the president are on the knife s edge. i think republicans got the wins in many respect the demes lost. madison, what do you think? some people call this a down the line vote. it s about getting the president s agenda execute and making sure president trump has enough republicans to get that agenda done is that what it s about or about local elections and not about donald trump. i travel the country and people know what they want and went the president to have people to get his pick through and agenda through and i can negative growth in 2017 and i believe it s because of our high taxes. i ll be pushing that and we actually have a democrat i ll be running against in the fall presumably who is in favor of previous tax hikes. we also have an independent in the race who s left leaning and it will be a classic tax-cut of government republicans versus two left-wing big government, more taxes candidates. do you think that the president has the support that he needs within congress in terms of getting his agenda passed? how much of this is also about you as the potential governor working with the president? well, there s a little bit of that. i worked with the president quite a bit. i was on his transition team and advised him on immigration policy on his election and since the election. voters know i ve worked with the president on those issues as well as voter fraud top to this extent my election may have reflected president trump but most people want a governor that is in communication with the president and can speak on behalf of the people. why do you think the race is so close? i think it was a casic match-up between classic match-up between an incumbent establishment oriented versus myself, a challenger, more conservative. we have seen this many times during the primaries on the republican side in 2018. those races tends to be close especially when you re talking about an incumbent who will have natural advantages and a challenger with his own advantages. since you re secretary of state are you going recuse yourself should there be a recount? if there s a recount the secretary of state doesn t actually do counting. the recounting is actually done Business news and analysis. welcome back. the trump administration just slapping russia with new sanctions in the wake of the chemical attack on a former british spry. john roberts is at the white house with the latest. good afternoon. reporter: good afternoon. it was on march 4th when i the agent were poisoned with a russian nerve agent sitting on a park bench in england and the united states has made a determination that assassination attempt was a violation of international law and august 22 the united states will impose new sanctions on russia. the first round will limit financing and the second round bands exports of united states of sensitive national security products that s expect to hit russia hard. congress accused the white house of dragging its feet and making a determination whether there was a violation of the law but the white house now finally taking action. the president s outside legal team also taking action sending their response to robert mueller s conditions for an interview around noon today. a statement from rudy giuliani has millions of pages with document along with testimony from witnesses have been provided restating what we have been saying it s time for the office of specialty counsel to conclude the inquiry without further delay. giuliani would go in the details of the counteroffer but said it s not a refufl refusal and i can see where mueller may agree with it. and movement from the legal team giuliani saying they may be willing to entertain questions of obstruction of justice if mueller gives sample question didn t raise red flags he s trying to set a trap for the president. and some think the strategy is to present mueller with something he can t accept. the president wants to testify. his lawyers don t want him to testify, so the lawyers set up a series of conditions to put it in terms of the godfather, they re going to make mueller an offer he can t accept and in the end, mueller will say, look, i can t accept the offer so we ll subpoena you and the president will say i wanted to testify, mueller turned me down. reporter: giuliani did acknowledge mueller may try to subpoena president trump if an agreement for an interview can t be worked out and likely to end up in a court battle and it could drag on for months and end in a draw. gune giuliani says mueller has two decision to make, one, how much does he want an interview with the president and two, to two degree is he willing to acknowledge this may be his last chance to get it? giuliani said there s no reason mueller can t have it wrapped by september 1 and said there is a way for mueller to interview the president so we ll see what mueller s response is but maria, i think it may be some time coming. john, thanks so much. we ll follow that. should trump s team give up on a sit-down? ari fleischer will join us later this hour on that. first, remember when mexico s former president told me this i am not going to pay for that [bleep] wall. i am not. does one republican lawmaker just find a way to make mexico pay for it and there s nothing they can do about it right here. because there are options. like an unjection™ . xeljanz xr. a once-daily pill for adults with moderate to severe ra for whom methotrexate did not work well enough. xeljanz xr can reduce pain, swelling and further joint damage, even without methotrexate. xeljanz xr can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections, lymphoma and other cancers have happened. don t start xeljanz xr if you have an infection. tears in the stomach or intestines, low blood cell counts and higher liver tests and cholesterol levels have happened. your doctor should perform blood tests before you start and while taking xeljanz xr, and monitor certain liver tests. tell you doctor if you were in a region where fungal infections are common and if you have had tb, hepatitis b or c, or are prone to infections. needles. fine for some things. but for you, one pill a day may provide symptom relief. ask your doctor about xeljanz xr. an unjection™ . ask your doctor about xeljanz xr. no mathere are over 10,000 allstate agents riding sweep. call one today. are you in good hands? this is a story about mail and packages. and it s also a story about people. people who rely on us every day to deliver their dreams they re handing us more than mail they re handing us their business and while we make more e-commerce deliveries to homes than anyone else in the country, we never forget. that your business is our business the united states postal service. priority: you bill to fund and bill the border wall. for each legal immigrant caught crossing into the country the u.s. cuts 200,0$200,000 in fore aid from their country and is good or bad idea? great to see you all. thank you for joining us. kick us off, you like this idea? i think it s a great idea. what bothers me most with their relationship with us is they ve shown a cavalier blatant disregard for our border security and allow people to pour into the united states and there s no restriction on them and the mexican government could step up to the plate and help us solve this problem not only for american security but mexican security. this if this provides a path i m all for it. it will cost them. i don t know where to start. the bill is a joke. you re going to put a bounty on people s heads? it s not even that. it s the fact there s a quadruple the fee for using i-94 and you re going to also tax money being transferred to recipients outside the u.s.? how do you think that s going to solve anything? what s your plan, katie, to stop illegal immigration then? that s not where my credentials will lie but i can tell you bounties and taxing americans is not republican and representative bigs should probably double check his republican credential. what do you think? it doesn t acknowledge the global economy we re living in. taking foreign aid from mexico in some ways exacerbate the problem because a lot of the reason the people are coming to mexico has to do with the state affairs and there are things we re trying to better that trying to get people to want to stay in mexico and getting the opportunities they need. and taxing exportation of dollars is also a problem. we do have a lot of immigrant laborers who come to the u.s. and are valuable and are farm workers and restaurant workers on temporary visas sending money out of the country but necessary to upholding our economy and most people acknowledge this and the solution is comprehensive reform with verify and taking care of the workers we need and solving it in a more holistic way not just a border wall. it sounds like a way to get mexico to start listening? as harlan said the mexican government isn t doing anything about this and we continue to see border crossings illegally. we tried sending aid abroad for a long time thinking it would solve all the world s problem and the scourge of terrorism in the middle east and we re spending more money today on these programs to build up other countries than we ever have before and what is it giving us? we have more terrorists, more radicalization than we ve ever had and more illegal immigrant trying to get to the united states than ever before. the problem s getting worse. throwing money s at it is not fixing it. you ll also be taxing americans with the tolls that s easy to solve. if you re a democrat you just tax everything but he s not he s a republican. maria asked what solution you had and you doesn t have one. if you want to talk about republican credentials at this point, let s see your plan. throw it on the table? right. i think the point is one of the things that we re trying to solve for are countries that are flailing but i m going go back to we re living in a global economy and we ve seen isolation is not helping and making systems that work is what we have to do first and systems like e-verify in the u.s. aren t functioning properly and we have to have that to get the workers we need and then stop the bleed on those coming in illegally and looking at it as a humanitarian approach as we ve seen children separate from families and that s something on a bipartisan basis we can agree is not a good solution either. katie, do you think illegal immigration is a big challenge? absolutely. we need to be able to work on our system and make it efficient and update it and make it better. there are a ton of follows and we need to holes and we need to fix this but i don t see how taxing americans will solve the issue. great conversation. lots to think we ll see you soon. with candidates losing last night what s it mean for candidates hoping to win big in 2020 and new fall-out for tesla s elon musk. we ll talk about what the securities and exchange commission next. weeks. high cholesterol and weight weekgain; high blood sugar, which can lead to coma or death; decreased white blood cells, which can be fatal; dizziness upon standing; falls; seizures; impaired judgment; heat sensitivity; and trouble swallowing may occur. you re more than just your bipolar i. ask about vraylar. -morning. -morning. -what do we got? -keep an eye on that branch. might get windy. have a good shift. fire pit. last use 0600. i d stay close. morning. get ready to switch. protected by flo. should say, protected by alan and jamie. -right? -should it? when you bundle home and auto. run, alan! .you get more than just savings. you get round-the-clock protection. with our largest variety of crab all year! like new crabfest combo. your one chance to have new jumbo snow crab with tender dungeness crab. or try crab lover s dream. but hurry in. cause crabfest will be gone in a snap. 21st century fox out with earnings and revenueses that tops expectations and the stock has little change in after hours trade. we re back in 60 seconds. thomas in kansas. he had come close to winning to replace mike pompeo and he s not your typical progressive candidate. his opponent in the primary was for a ban on assault weapons and he was not. he s not quite the typical candidate and the one that did win the other talib is very much on the model and also a member of the democratic socialists of america but she s in detroit and that stuff plays better in detroit. last night proved especially in the swing districts that are going to matter in the midterms and often decide presidential elections progressivism doesn t sell. do you think this is about the people understanding clearly what s happening in terms of economic policies? the president has his economic policies and smaller government and the other government has higher taxes as well as a lot of free things like free education and health care. are people understanding that socialism has been a failure in the past, is that what this is about? for some people, yes. blue-collar workers know if the policy implemented they ll be the ones paying it through their taxes. and look, bernie had a very surprising run against hillary clinton but part was he was an anti-establishment candidate in the year where those candidates did well. one even made it to the white house. in fact, bernie pushed hilary to the left. the biggest thing this came from the democratic primary in 2016 was hillary clinton moved to the left because of the pressure from bernie sanders and his supporters. did it help her in the generals? no, it did not. i do think that it works very well in the bronx where ocasio-cortez is from but not in the rest of the country because those people work hard and know they are going to be the ones paying for medicare for all or free college for all. it s incredible this is happening because even on the democratic side when have you moderate candidates, tim ryan say moderate candidate from ohio. he s basically talking about donald trump s promises and president trump s policies like lower taxes but he won t even get the party s nomination, right? they re all the way to the left. yeah, it depends on the seat. some better than others. danny o connor who narrowly lost in ohio last night his campaigning was clever and he was complaining about the republican tax cuts but not so much as a giveaway to the rich but complaining the additional spending will raise taxes for people in the future because you can t keep cutting taxes and not cut spending at the same time. that district though that played very well and why he was so close. a lot of these other districts the primary voters and the democratic party are one thing but they ll have to face a lot of independents and swing voters. people are coming out. people are figuring out what works and doesn t work economically. thank you so much for weighing in. appreciate it very much. the day after the surge, the selling. shares of tesla driving lower after elon musk s tweet about considering taking the company private at $420 saying funding was secured. the fallout is next. wall street and main street. asked to turn in his passport and three men are facing federal charges for insider trading as well as lying to the fbi. it all goes back to june of 2017. according to prosecutors, collins was a member of the board of directors for an australian biotech company and received information the drug, the backbone of the company that was meant to be a cure for multiple sclerosis failed in its drug trials. that information was then given by the congressman to his son, his son gave it to seven others. they all sold their stock five days later. that information went public and the stock plummeted 92%. prosecutors say because of this insider trading information his family saved some $800,000. congressman collins had an obligation, a legal duty to keep that information secret until that information was released by the company to the public. but he didn t keep it secret. instead as alleged he decide to commit a crime. he placed his family and friends above the public good. lawyers for congressman chris collins say he will ultimately be exonerated and they said he doesn t sell his stock and they say he was under investigation at the time for having the relationship with the common in the first place. what a story. we ll see you later. how will this play out? we have charlie here. what do you think? this is not the type of case people were going nuts about a couple years ago when we saw a bunch of congressman trading off legislation. i think they passed a law called the stock act where essentially if you re a congressman and know there s a legislation that might move a stock you re not supposed to trade that stock. pretty obvious but i will tell you that s not insider trading. it may violate the stock act and there was a whole book about this. this is not that. this is classic, if it s true, insider trading. someone on the board of directors with information that s material non-public, misappropriating that information to somebody else. here it happens to be the father, the congressman misappropriating that information to the son and that belongs to the shareholders and when you misappropriate and somebody makes money, that s insider trading. here s the gray area. there are cases where that is not necessarily insider trading. we don t know how that information was communicated. we don t know if congressman collins inadvertently slipped at a cocktail party and the son traded from it and you have to confirm there was a conversation from congressman collins to the son. in order to establish the conspiracy to steal, somebody has to pay you off for that information. these are all arrangements needed for this to be a real insider trading case. i can tell you, my guess is congressman collins lawyers are going to say he didn t do that but slipped and the kid traded it thinking it was okay. it may not be insider trading. there are interesting phone calls right before the trade between congressman collins and his son so who knows. there s more gray here than meets the eye and we ll have to see what the gray is. we ll watch that. charlie, let s talk tesla today. you called it yesterday. you knew the s.e.c. would be calling. profor pro forma if you had a story that was leaked through sources that was before that saying the saudis are going to put 3% to 5% in there and the stock started trading on a leaked story and then he comes out 10 minutes later they ll look at the crazy trading pattern and look at who leaked what and when. you have the ceo of a company doing something unusual. not putting out a press release or this out on p.r. news wire, coming out and saying, i have funding secured and i m looking to go private. funding secured. they re going to look at the trading whether there was any funny business trading and also look at whether he had he did have funding secured and if he didn t, my guess is they ll look at a case that says he was manipulating the stock to screw over the short sellers. remember, the famous short seller and him have been going at it for the next months. and he goes after anybody who goes after the company. look at what he said in the conference call. it s $75 billion he needs to secure a $420 price tag? $75 billion? it s not that secure? he might. listen, how much money do the saudis have? will they throw $75 billion into this? to the odd thing is and he may have it from other sources but the normal places like j.p. morgan don t really know about the funding sources here. we couldn t find anything who knew where the funding came from. i don t have every source in the world but have you heard of any? i have not. i want to make it clear if elon s watching i m not saying he doesn t but kind of weird. we ll watch it. we ll take a break. stay with us. back in a minute. with the idea the president will sit down with him? we know they want to pinpoint him and corner him into something and they re looking for him to say something different than he said in the past and say, it s perjury or maybe it s a lie? how much risk is there? there s a massive amount of risk. the risk of losing his office. the risk is they trip him up over something innocuous that he says something contradictory and call it perjury and that goes to congress and that goes to the democrats in the fall and gets impeached. i don t think he ll be convicted unless they really have the goods on him unless he really includes to get hilary s e-mails. if it s a simple political peril it s enough. i have to point out there is precedent. president clinton was subpoenaed and investigators withdraw the subpoena and he voluntary cooperated and testified and we know how that ended up and same with george bush and chaney. scooter libby negotiate to sit down with them in the oval office for a limited amount of time. can this happen here? i think that s what rudy is pursuing but at the end of the day i don t see it. how extraordinary is this? we have been watching an investigation into the fbi s leadership and department of justice s leadership during the 2016 election. we learned we have zero official evidence to launch an investigation into trump and potential collusion with russia and based on nothing so far. there is no evidence whatsoever and yet the investigation of robert mueller continues circling the wagons of president trump while he s a sitting president based on no evidence whatsoever. is this extraordinary or what? it s all extraordinary. based on everything you just said that would argue for donald trump to sit and do the interview and i think that s one of the things making him say i will sit down and do this. my problem is he talks in such loopy ways he s constantly contradicting himself. two weeks ago he said no collusion, no phone calls. what s he mean to phone calls? you had a phone call with donald trump jr. you contradicted yourself under oath. you lied. that s the risk though there s no crime. thanks so much. thank you, maria. earlier in the program you heard me speak with kris kobach and his opponent the state s current opponent just hold press conference and we re watching it in topeka. tell us about it. hey, maria. the governor here in kansas did not concede. nobody expected he would. there s 0.6% of the votes cast and all the counties reported but still 10,000 provisional and mail-in ballots so there can be no winner declared today and collier was asked if there s a scenario in which he sees it good for the republican party to go beyond next week because with the canvassers and all the co t counties have to add the provisional ballots. the governor was asked would it be in the best interest of the party to go beyond next week and he would not commit to that or talk about a recount. in the law here in kansas you can t ask for a recount but first they have to get through the first count. no winner yet here in the primary on the republican side here in kansas. maria. thank you so much. officials are still working to identify the remains of presumed korean war veterans. at least one family may have gotten a little bit of closure. we ve got that next. stay with us. seeing a trinket, just a dog tag. it was really quite something. as you can well imagine, defense officials were very excited to present that tag to the two young sons, i say young because they are young at heart and in spirit, of course the service member who apparently, and i say apparently because we simply don t know, apparently may have perished during the korean war conflict. north korean officials, as you know, sent 55 boxes of remains that they say hold american soldiers remains. the dog tag was in one of those boxes. it is finality. i would have never dreamed that all those coffins that were coming back, i mean, i watched it on television, on the news, just like everyone else probably did. i would have not presumed that one of those had anything related to my father. it gives reality to it, that s the thing. pretty impressive stuff. the army master sergeant was a man by the name of charles mcdaniel. his son larry, the first speaker in that sound bite, actually took a dna swab. what they will do is evaluate that along with the other remains in the boxes there, maria, and they hope to match that dna after they test other female family members with some of the remains they were able to recover. a poignant and important day for all of us. we wish the mcdaniel family the very best of luck. maria: we do. thank you, kevin corke. thanks for joining us today. catch me tomorrow morning on the fox business network. former securities and exchange commission s chairman. he will join me on the fallout over tesla. we will get his sense on what happens now after the tweet elon musk sent out. we have former arkansas governor mike cook if he and james freeman from the wall street journal. let s check the markets. dow, down 45 points.
Exploring issues that affect leaders in the U.S. and around the globe. finish line. and one of the president s first congressional supporters now faces criminal charges. congressman collins cheated our markets and our justice system. is a wider culture of corruption story unraveling around the white house? this is mtp daily an it starts right now. good evening, i m wbr-id= wbr820 /> chuck todd here on a very busy washington, d.c. welcome to mtp daily. is it really august? once again welcome to a wild day of legal and political developments surrounding, who else, but the president. one of his top loyalists in the house was just arrested on insider trading charges on a plot that was so brazen, it includes the white house south lawn, by the way. as it was described by federal prosecutors today that you have got to see it to believe it. we ve have much more on this story and this culture of corruption stench that s starting to grow around the president coming up. but we re also going to talk about the political fallout from the story as well, because the bigger story is that it arguably couldn t come at a worse time for house republicans, which is where we begin tonight. folks, the anti-trump midterm wave is on full display right now and the president seems intent on diving head first right into it. democrats surged again in a reliably red district that the president carried easily, again. the republican candidate, troy balderson, is barely eking out a load after last night s vote. the result which we deem as still too close to call because there are more votes to be counted than the margin between the two candidates. but this close result should be a giant flashing warning sign for the gop. they significantly outspent democrats in this district and the president swooped in at the 11th hour on saturday to fire up the base. today the rnc said that event is what carried balderson across the finish line. do you think the visit on saturday even kept this thing close? the visit on saturday is why we won. well, the president also took credit for the apparent victory today as you might expect he would, but that suggests that the situation is even worse than some republicans feared, because that kind of rescue mission will be impossible to replicate in 435 races this november. if you had a base turnout problem in this district, then you have a major problem. so that s why i m not sure i buy that. but for his part the president insisted as long as i campaign and or support senate and house candidates within reason they will win. and if i find the time, which i must, we will have a giant red wave. a few hours later, this tweet. red wave! but the results from last night suggest that a suburban rebellion is what s actually brewing right now and it s brewing against this president. the democratic candidate surge i m going to get this tweet exactly correct. if anything, tonight s ohio 12 result reinforces our view that dems are substantial favorites to retake the house in november. so let me ask you to go another step. if you look at sort of what the night in general showed, right, with suburban turnouts in spokane and in st. louis and in columbus, what does substantial now look like in your mind? what is shows, chuck, is that the seat-by-seat forecast is catching up with our macro estimate which has long been that democrats are substantial favorites to win back the house. now, we see the trump zones, particularly in places like rural ohio last night, they did not turn out. in fact troy balderson owes his margin right now not to the trump zones but rather to governor john kasich who cut a last-minute ad. it s the democratic suburbs like franklin county that turned out at really high levels, and it was those delaware county suburbs last night that kept troy balderson ahead. that s kasich country. yeah, that s what was amazing. i saw that our friends at the new york times crunched some numbers. the raw vote turnout in those rural counties was, mediocre at best, 28% to 32%, compared to what we saw in o connor s strong holds. if the president s visit helped, then how bad could it have been? it could have been worse. we re potentially looking at a historic wave election. i think the tendency on the part of a lot of pundits is to be cautious, but this truly could turn into a big set of gains for democrats that goes beyond the 23 seats they need. all right. there s a man here who was in charge of the last major wave in the first term of a president. it s my man, michael steel, of the rnc. yeah. i remember democrats would eke out special election victories in 2010. republicans are eking out a bunch of them. i think wasserman noted it s actually the best record technically on paper. democrats did really well in special elections in 2010. what do you see? what i see here is exactly as has been laid out. this is setting itself up very much like it did in 2010 in that the energy is on the ground. the energy is in spots around the country that quite honestly, the national parties don t necessarily really understand how impactful they can be. i mean just as the point you just made, chuck, about looking at those suburbs and the fact that the turnout based on the plus r ratio, you think, okay, the president is coming in, everybody will be fired up and going to go. you ve got to cut beneath that. you ve got to get below that surface. there is a lack of energy on the republican side that we are not acknowledging, that we re not accounting for when we re looking at the numbers, when we re looking at the ground game and looking at the november to win tough races when our candidate is being outraced and every republican is getting vastly outraised by an opponent needs to raise more money. this is a bit of a guys, wake up. in other words, they re saying they re not going to be able to shell out $3 million for every house race that should be safely republican that they shouldn t be competing in. that s a big warning flare cory bliss is sending out there. it s perfectly fair. the divide to me that was so staggering in the ohio special election bwas the urban metropolitan versus the rural. this is the story of the trump era. these two places are right next to each other, in the same district. and the balance of it is going to come down to the suburbs. white voters affluent, college educated, moving away from the republicans. if they turn away from republicans, that s where the blue wave will come up. i brought up missouri too, i m always such a geek, i like to look at every result because you never know something that s buried that people missed. i feel like there s sort of now are we looking at two different types of swing districts for this cycle, meaning normal swing districts so your collar counties around philadelphia, the suburbs of minneapolis, that makes sense. but do we now have a new one, that next ring of districts that straddle the suburbs and exurbs like ohio 12, like washington 5, like really like virginia 7, the dave bratt seat. missouri 2 actually sort of qualifies in that category too perhaps. yeah, you re absolutely right, chuck. we call these districts urban/rural divides. the danger for republicans is that you could have scenarios like the one we saw in ohio 12 where turnout in franklin county was 60% of 2016 and in the most republican county in the district, it was only 46% of 2016. it was reminiscent of pennsylvania 18 or the alabama senate election. and if you have that kind of dynamic, we better be watching the 68 republican-held districts that are less republican than ohio 12. and when the battlefield becomes that large, the problem for republican outside groups like the clf is that it becomes financially unmanageable. they can t throw enough money at these races to effectively define the democratic opponents. i ve got to ask about chris collins today. first, david, lay out the district for us, okay. on paper you have it as solid republican. explain. well, we just moved this to likely republican in light of the indictment because when it rains, it pours for republicans. but look, this is the most republican seat in new york state. it was a district that voted for president trump by 24 points in 2016. and yet democrats have a potentially credible candidate in nate mcmurray. he doesn t live in the district. chris collins will certainly point out that he used his town e-mail, he s a town supervisor in grand island, new york, to pursue some political aims and try to tie him to hillary clinton, that way to neutralize his own legal problems. but look, we have to pay attention to races like these where republicans are under indictment in safe seats. he s the only one so far but duncan hunter in california, we re watching that too. you know, it s so funny, daniellea and michael and sahil, if you look at the 06 wave, if you look at the 94 wave and i ll throw in the 10 but certainly 06 and 94, with the indictment, he d never lose that district, that s chicago. actually he lost it. so you never know but corruption is that it can be the exclamation point of the wave. what i finding interesting on the corruption front is that back in those races, corruption was something that was pointed out by the opposing party, so they were going after and used it as a weapon. in this situation, you had an administration coming in talking about we re going to clean up the corruption and in fact have embraced it, have promoted it in some instances and now have to go on the defense this november against a very simple narrative by the democrats, like really? this is what you re going to put up? look, it is sometimes that special added sauce. i look at 06, you had the mark foley situation, the jack abramoff situation had blown up. it was in addition to the iraq war. there s a lot happening here. there s corruption, there s everything surrounding trump from his corruption just to the person that he is to the fact that republicans really haven t done anything since they have been in power. they haven t passed any meaningful legislation. the tax cut is totally unpopular with people. they don t feel the effects and if they do, it s negative. i have an idea. this is a good time to have a fight over funding for the border wall. maybe a good government shutdown is what house republicans need in september. no? david, is that good strategy, the white house is contemplating it? i tending not to think it is, chuck. i d call it inadvisabilivisi one of the fascinating things about ohio 18 is national republicans came in saying, hey, look at this tax cut, isn t that great? it didn t work. people didn t respond to it, so it shifted to a cultural message talking about the liberal resistance, going after illegal immigration. this is what galvanizes the base. through these ads, the party is telling us what they think galvanizes and motivates their voters in the trump era. david, i m going to let you have the final word here. when you look do you now look at this whole what happened last night and do you re-evaluate every race almost looking at it we ve got a candidate in northern indiana who s disavowed her who might have a shot. there are democrats all over the map in similar districts who know that this is what they have to do to show separation and show that they re the candidates of change. all right. david wasserman, pretty much the only person you need to follow on an election night on twitter. david, thank you very much, sir. i dispute that, chuck, but thank you very much. i know you do. this is why we re throwing accolades at you so thank you. up ahead, what does this too close to call race in ohio mean for the fight inside the gop? who s gop is it, john kasich s or donald trump s. we ll ask the republican governor of ohio, next. welcome back. we don t know for sure if president trump s visit made things better or worse for republican troy balderson in ohio. but woe do know turnout gap between the suburbs and rural counties should be making a lot of moderate republicans or shall we call them more chamber of commerce pro business republicans nervous. joining me now is a politician you might say is representative of that wing of the party, maybe the trump skeptic wing of the party. it s ohio governor john kasich. he, by the way, represented ohio s 12th district in congress for nine terms. governor kasich, good to see you, sir. yeah, i also as governor had a win in those areas too. yes, you did that. i m not some chamber of commerce type look, i m a positive pauopulist. i know you are. come on, don t be defining me that way. let me ask you this. there s obviously a slice of the republican party you speak to better than donald trump does. and it s this slice of the republican party that seems to be wavering on him. is that a fair statement? chuck, there s no question that people sent a message to the party, to republicans, knock it off. the chaos, the divisions, i mean kids being separated from their parents at the border. these crazy tariffs. hey, we re going to take your health care. we re going to kill obamacare, which means you re not going to have any health care. or if you have a pre-existing condition, well, you might be out of luck. this is kind of what gets communicated. and what s happened here, i cannot describe to you how amazing it was that the race was close because this delaware county, for example explain that. well, the republican in delaware county would normally get about 70% of the vote. this was like 50-50. and so if you look at how donald trump did in the general in delaware county, he probably got around, i don t know, 65 or 70. but then this candidate gets 50%. and it s because a lot of republican women, they don t like this noise. they don t like this division. it was interesting what one of your panelists said about the democratic candidate who is not that forceful. he was just not neither of them really emerged great. i think it was basically a vote on what people thought about trump. that s interesting you say that. i ve been telling people that you could characterize this race, this is no personal knock against either candidate, but that many voters saw it as generic democrat versus generic republican. is that a fair assessment in your view? well, i don t know what that means, chuck, but here s what i do know. i know that in areas, suburbs particularly where republicans would win, the republican lost. i know that there were these republican women that i ve heard talking whenever i m out and about, they just were either not going to vote or they were going to vote for the democrat. we may be in the beginning of entering in some ways a post partisan environment where people are going to stop listening so much to the party and start taking the measure of what they re seeing. i mean it s a really interesting time. but if you re not positive, if you don t have a vision, if you don t unite people, if you don t lift people and you re not an idea candidate, you re going to struggle and maybe lose. you on another sunday show, a fine broadcast, you made mention, you said you had a conversation with troy balderson going why did you ask president trump to come in? and then you said he didn t. where do you fall? do you think president trump s appearance on saturday helped o connor, helped balderson, or was it already baked in? you know what i think, chuck, is i think the attention of the national media got more people to vote. i think that happened. i think that the fact that there was a focus. left or right, do you know which way? do you know which way? no, i think it just got people. but you see, again, there were people who voted for trump who now are either not voting or voting for the democrat or, you know, you have you have some of these democrats who kind of supported trump who kind of go back to their party, i think, here. but this was so close and so stunningly close in a district look, the congressman that was there before it in the last election won by 17 points. this is a more and more republican district than when i had it, much more republican. you know, even in a special election, there were more votes in this special election than people had anticipated. but again, when you here s the challenge for the republicans. if you are losing college educated women, if you are losing millenials, if you are losing minorities because you re not getting much of that vote at all, you ve got a problem. the democrat problem, the question is they need to be more center left. they re way out on the left. now, this guy wasn t. this guy who ran here wasn t and it s going to be how for other democrats should be more moderate. let me ask you this. it seems like some republicans simply because of the makeup of their districts, and i think that this district proved extra challenging to mr. balderson, which is to appeal to the trump base to get them fired up, you actually turn off the delaware county suburban voter, and to convince them to come to you, you might turn off the trump base. is that what the president has created here, where a candidate has to make this basically impossible choice? okay, chuck, chuck, if you re going to be a candidate, why don t you figure out what you re for. tuouche. let s not do all these calculations like you re in a laboratory and you ve got these test tubes. figure out what you re for. if that doesn t work, why would you want to win? why would you run if you don t have a passion for what you want to accomplish? and so my advice to candidates, i had a democrat come in to see me. what do you think i should do. i said you have to be mindful of your base but make sure republicans and independents have respect for you and that they like you and that means that you conduct yourself in a different way than if you re just reporting to the party apparatus. forget it, i ve never done that. in my re-election, chuck, i never attacked barack obama. i talked about health care, i talked about job growth. i won 86 out of 88 counties in this state. so that s the message for politicians in these. be yourself, have a vision, say what it is and try to be in touch with people. is there any you re not afraid of saying when you disagree with the president and you re pretty tough on him. you re tough on the environment that s been created right now because of some of his policy choices. yeah. that s why i didn t endorse him because of the negativity. many republicans are afraid of making that contrast. do you think that is making it that is why the swing suburban voter is hesitant to trust a republican candidate for congress, that they re not afraid to say about the president s policies what you are doing? yeah, but i think they should stay away from personality. this is not about attacking the president for his personality, this is about issues. what i don t understand is if you re a republican, why aren t you standing up and saying if you have a pre-existing condition on health care, we re going to make sure you re able to get health care. if the president says no, why are you putting up with that? when you see family separation at the border, why don t you say it s wrong? and these tariffs, or when we re overseas and we re into this wrecking ball foreign policy, just say you don t agree with it. if people don t like it, first of all, i don t believe you ve got to cater to anybody to win. right. i think you ve got to be who you are and say what you believe. chuck, if you don t win, guess what, you ll have a better life than if you do. that s the dirty little secret in politics. before i let you go, your beloved ohio state university is in a tough position right now. there s a sexual abuse investigation involving the wrestling program, the urban meyer situation where it is did he do enough looking out for somebody who s a victim of spousal abuse. do you think there s a cultural problem in the ohio state athletic program? well, first of all, let s find out what we know about coach meyer. they now have mary jo white is my understanding. do you have confidence that this investigation will be fair? oh, in terms of urban meyer, the answer is yes. now, the wrestling problem and the diving problem, chuck, it was at least a year, maybe two years ago when i asked my people to make sure that in the university that students have a place to go that is confidential when they can report either an assault on them because they may want to think about prosecuting a little bit further down the road or a place they can go where they can blow the whistle and have confidentiality. and we have asked the universities to be able to set this up. many of them are moving in that direction, not all of them are where we want them to be. but this has been an issue across this country for a significant period of time. and the universities have to make this a priority. i ve got two daughters getting ready to go to college here. one we take on sunday and one three weeks later. i want them to know where they can go and they can report and they can be safe and they will not be compromised. this is happening all over the country. would you feel comfortable if your daughters were starting in a sporting program at the ohio state athletic program that they wouldn t be mistreated? sure i would. i am confident in that. but everybody needs to up it. everybody needs to look at it and you need to examine it and that s what we re trying to get them to do more aggressively across the state. ought to be done across the country. governor kasich, i appreciate you making time for me today post election. i have a feeling we ll be talking again, sir. up ahead, the stunning insider trading allegations against chris collins. how prosecutors say the new york congressman basically in broad daylight tried to cheat the system. sfx: [cell phone dialing] no. no, no, no, no, no. cancel. cancel. please. aaagh! being in the know is a good thing. that s why discover will alert you if your social security number is found on any one of thousands of risky sites. can i get can i get a connection? can i get a connection? can i get can i get a connection? where we re changing withs? contemporary make-overs. then, use the ultimate power handshake, the upper hander with a double palm grab. who has the upper hand now? start winning today. book now at lq.com. welcome back. tonight i m obsessed with the company the president keeps. the best people, despite the president s vow to drain the swamp, does seem to be getting a bit swampier by the day. three men, a lawyer, a doctor and an entertainment executive are actively running the veterans affairs administration. they spoke with va officials daily, reviewing all manner of policy and personnel decisions. their blockbuster story, by the way, based on freedom of information act requests. not one of these three gentlemen has any military or government experience, but they do have one thing in common. each of them is a member of the manag mar-a-lago club. they re known as the mar-a-lago crowd. they have no direct influence over the va and have not broken any laws. they are not denying they re calling the policy shots. this is a seemingly unending drum beat of headlines of trump-connected sometimes just weird access, outright corruption, grift, graft, and it s starting to make you wonder what s going on with some of the people in the president s inner circle. forbes reported wilbur ross siphoned millions, called grifting. his first supporter in congress, chris collins, was just charged with insider trading. not to mention the campaign chief, paul manafort, is on trial. paul gal rick gates is testifying about crimes he admitted too. the prosecution said manafort tried to leverage his trump connections to get one of his lenders a job in the white house or get on the short list. by the way, all of these examples are just from this week, and it s only wednesday. this is your wake-up call. if you have moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis, month after month, the clock is ticking on irreversible joint damage. ongoing pain and stiffness are signs of joint erosion. humira can help stop the clock. prescribed for 15 years, humira targets and blocks a source of inflammation that contributes to joint pain and irreversible damage. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened; as have blood, liver, and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure. before treatment, get tested for tb. tell your doctor if you ve been to areas where certain fungal infections are common, and if you ve had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. don t start humira if you have an infection. help stop the clock on further irreversible joint damage. talk to your rheumatologist. right here. right now. humira. the first survivor of alzis out there.ase and the alzheimer s association is going to make it happen. but we won t get there without you. join the fight with the alzheimer s association. hey allergy muddlers: are you one sneeze away from being voted out of the carpool? try zyrtec® zyrtec® starts working hard at hour one and works twice as hard when you take it again the next day. stick with zyrtec®. muddle no more®. and try children s zyrtec® for consistently powerful relief of your kid s allergies. welcome back. new york republican chris collins was the first congressman to endorse then candidate trump in 2016. frequent guest actually on this show. and today the fbi arrested him on insider trading charges. in less than an hour from now collins is expected to hold a press conference in buffalo. the indictment doesn t just lay out how collins used nonpublic information to trade on the stock of an australian pharmaceutical company, it also is how brazenly collins went about it. joining me now is our nbc news investigations reporter tom winter. tom, look, it was an impressive made-for-tv display this morning by the u.s. attorney. i noticed he even wore a mic to make sure he could walk through and show everybody the various posters he put up to show this collins indictment. but the brazenness, walk us through this crime. in insider trading cases, notoriously it s been difficult for prosecutors to prove the intent and content of conversations for them to be without a wiretap for them to be able to accurately say this is what this person told another person and then they acted on it. one of the easiest things is trade data. so i want to be able to show a graph right now to help explain just how out in the open this was. this is a graph of inate immune therapeutics limited. if we look at 6/19 through 6/22 we see the shares traded every day. then on the 23rd, the first day after the trading information was shared. it s laughable. so you ve got collins son, collins son s fiance and the other person charged trading 400,000 shares that day alone just themselves. that s four times the average volume. so if you re the s.e.c. and you have tons of computing power and you have the ability to look at all of these all of the shares that are traded, you know, i looked today, facebook, apple, they traded about 20 million shares each today. but if you re looking at a stock that only has 100,000 shares traded and you move 400,000 shares, it s like robbing a bank at 3:00 a.m. trying to drill into the safe and you set off fireworks. it just could not be any more obvious that something is going on with this stock or something has occurred here. for regulators and investigators to look into it and say, okay, who was moving all these shares? and what nexus do these people have in common with people that may work for the company? well, it s the son of a board of directors who s moving a lot of these shares. from there you can pretty quickly develop a case. all right. well, the brazenness doesn t end there, now, does it, tom. this is what was amazing. at the time that he okays the trade, i want to walk through another timeline here. collins knew he was being watched and did it in iway. march of 2017, the office of congressional ethics notifies collins that it was conducting a preliminary review because of this overheard stock tip business that was going on. april of 2017, the ethics committee tells collins, it was conducting a secondary review. june 5th of 2017, he s interviewed by the ethics committee and then of course to pick up your timeline on the stock time line happened, june 22 nnd is when it takes place. i got the impression prosecutors were almost taken aback by almost how brazen or stupid this was. i think when you see an indictment like this, a 30-page indictment and see the level of detail they put in there, that s just to let everybody know. and the southern district normally has a lot of detail in their indictments but it s really to let everybody know, hey, we ve got this. there s not a lot of ambiguity here. they clearly have his e-mail communications because he can t even claim he didn t get the information. not only does he get the information from the ceo, which is not illegal. but then he tells them, he responds to them and says i can t believe that this occurred. so there s ireally leaves them no option but to push forward with the prosecution, chuck. tom winter, we never know how you are day is going to ending, do we, especially in the world of investigations. or when it s going to start. tom winter, nice work. thank you very much. by the way, a quick note to you viewers, it is legal for a sitting member of the house of representatives to serve on a corporate board. it is not legal for a sitting member of the united states senate to do that. one gets a feeling the house will be changing its rules come 2019. we ve got more on the culture of corruption surrounding the president up ahead. but then we also got this update. the other tuesday night cliff hanger that s still too close to call and why this recount may get bonkers. fidelity is redefining value for investors. and zero minimums to open an account. we have fidelity mutual funds with zero minimum investment. and now fidelity has two index funds with a zero expense ratio. because when you invest with fidelity, all those zeros really add up. so maybe i ll win saved by zero welcome back. in tonight s meet the midterms the kansas republican gubernatorial primary. we still don t know who s going to win this one. right now 191 votes separate kansas secretary of state kris kobach and income bent governor, the sitting governor, jeff colyer. there are still ballots to be counted but here s where things get interesting. guess who oversees the recount, everybody? why, it s the office of kansas secretary of state, none other than kris kobach. so in this situation you d expect kobach to recuse himself from that accourecount, right? oh, no. he said his office just coordinates the recount and doesn t count the votes. oh, but wait, it gets better. if jeff colyer wants a hand recount in a race this close you might say he d ask for one, he d have to cover the cost of it if he loses. by kansas law, guess who gets to decide how much the hand recount costs? the secretary of state, none other than mr. kobach. a name your own recount price tool. where have we heard this before? one woman, one powerful savings tool, one chance to huntihunt down the right insurance at the right price. the name your price tool, only from progressive. t time to buy. you ready for this, junior? yeah, i think i can handle it. no pressure. .that s just my favorite boat. boom. (laughs) make summer go right with ford, america s best-selling brand. and get our best deal of the summer: zero percent financing for sixty months on f-150. right now, get this special offer on f-150: zero percent financing for 60 months - during the ford summer sales event. with our largest variety of crab all year! like new crabfest combo. your one chance to have new jumbo snow crab with tender dungeness crab. or try crab lover s dream. but hurry in. cause crabfest will be gone in a snap. the new united explorer card hooks me up. getting more for getting away. traveling lighter. getting settled. rewarded! learn more at theexplorercard.com you might or joints.hing for your heart. but do you take something for your brain. with an ingredient originally discovered in jellyfish, prevagen has been shown in clinical trials to improve short-term memory. prevagen. healthier brain. better life. time now for the lid. panel is back. sahil, daniellea and michael. so there is something about this week, and i made a point of it earlier with the obsessed. we have this chris collins thing. i m sorry, the entire manafort/gates back and forth. if you re the jury there, you re like, oh, these are just two crooked individuals. but they all these store aie have one thing in common. they re friends of donald trump. does it matter? yes, there s a strong smell of swampiness emanating with the manafort trial and the chris collins allegations. there s no evidence donald trump did anything wrong but there s a pattern here. his own officials, people like tom price and scott pruitt have been caught up in this. yes, this is the argument democrats will try to make. nancy pelosi wants to reprise her 2006 culture of corruption case. we ll see if that works. voters do not like this. this cuts across ideological lines. michael steele, the base of the republican party is convinced that politics is now has been practiced this way for a long time. i can t tell you how many e-mails i get. so what? the clintons did it for years. so what, the bushes did it for years. now they re making blanket statements. that s the rationale, so what. so these guys are doing it, guess what, they all did it. at least these guys are honest about their crookedness. the rationale emanates from an internal strategy that promoted that narrative without the facts or the real baseline to prove this is in fact how it came about. we were talking about off air how in the old day how some elections were what s the number. we know that s not the reality 50 years later, 20 years later or whatever. but the narrative is what sticks. and so you now have this generation of activists activism within the party that really has taken that narrative, taken ownership of it and applies it to everything. everything. daniellea, i am convinced that some of these folks, and i don t want to call inside the heads of the scott pruitt or ryan zinke, thinking i m just getting mine. there s this weird rationale trust me, someone is doing something worse, this isn t harming anybody. yeah, it s really disgusting. somebody should do a swamp-o-meter so we can track how gross things are in d.c. i think you re right, there is this feeling of, yes, other people have done it before so it s okay that it happens now. there s something particular with the republican base that they overlook everything. all you have to do is say two words, hillary clinton. no, she s more corrupt than all of them so what does it matter. with no facts behind it. 42% are okay if donald trump shuts down the what s happening? but the clinton foundation. that s the culture of corruption. what are you guys talking about. there will be that and the one thing republicans can legitimately point to is democrats did overlook senator bob menendez and basically stood by him all through the way. the ethics committee gave him a strong reprimand for accepting gifts and that whole thing did not reflect well on them. every single democratic senator is endorsing bob menendez for re-election, aren t they? therein lies how a trump voter says, see. i mean i know where you re going to go, but right? but that s legitimate but that is a legitimate space to occupy when you stop and think about the totality of it. and the understanding why the underlying narrative is the way it is. it s trump has sort of credit t crystallized that for these voters in a very personal way. he is now the champion on a day-to-day basis that pushes back and exposes the lies, and that s what matters. look, neither party has their hands completely clean when it comes to this. but what seems to always be left out of these conversations is like proportionality. you have what happened with bob menendez and everything that s happening now. you don t have a democratic president of the united states doing an saying the things donald trump does and surrounding themselves with these people i go back to what happened to two wrongs don t make a right and what happened to that mindset on the right? they don t believe in it. president trump has managed to create his own reality in a way that previous presidents have not. he has an echo chamber that will support almost anything he says. i think this is what he uses to paint a narrative and to make people believe that he is innocent of these things and that people are coming after him and trying to persecute him unfairly. this is it s going to look if this were happening in another country, we d say, god, that looks like a kleptocracy. wilbur ross, ew. maybe that s the space at this moment in our american history we re comfortable with. i think that s one of the truths of many. who s we? we the people, because we the people no matter how you look, i understand, i understand. but this is where democrats again still get it screwed up in their heads. you ve got to depersonalize this. the 2016 election was not a personal attack on democrats, it was a failure of democrats to understand exactly what the american people were saying. now, you can walk that around, but keep remembering 52% of white educated women voted for donald trump after everything they knew about him. fair enough. yes, i know. and you need to understand that. daniela just says matter of factually. i have to go or i ll get in trouble with melissa and then you ll be in trouble. thank you. coming up, a hollywood plot twist. a quick programming note, a meet the press exclusive this sunday. omarosa newman has written a book about her time with the president and her first interview will be this sunday. we ll see you then. and packages. and it s also a story about people. people who rely on us every day to deliver their dreams they re handing us more than mail they re handing us their business and while we make more e-commerce deliveries to homes than anyone else in the country, we never forget. that your business is our business the united states postal service. priority: you are you ready to take your then you need xfinity xfi.? a more powerful way to stay connected. it gives you super fast speeds for all your devices, provides the most wifi coverage for your home, and lets you control your network with the xfi app. it s the ultimate wifi experience. xfinity xfi, simple, easy, awesome. well, in case you missed it, a plot twist for movie pass. you know about them, right? it s a subscription service where you pay just $9.95 a month and see basically as many movies in theaters as you want. what could go wrong, right? apparently it went wrong. movie pass ran out of money because too many people were seeing too many movies. who could have predicted that one? so now the company is changing the terms. instead of one movie a day per month, you can now see three a month. apparently the old business model was, well, unsustainable. where some see a financial plot, we see a financial floppertunity. get unlimited access to the mtp daily you know and love. watch it on tv and online. you can watch it as much as you want, especially if you dvr it. you can even watch it on demand. guess what, it s available for the low, low price of nothing per month. not a dime except whatever you pay your cable company or your noncord-cutting service. nothing, folks. how could it get any better than that? it can t, except it just did. if you sign up for mtp pass, we ll throw in sunday meet the press one of those every week absolutely free. so think about this. four free hours a month of the best in political journalism at no extra cost, never mind the other five hours a week you re
Interviews with political figures and news updates. Interviews with political figures and news updates. able to sell the shares. they have telephone logs, who called whom and when. it appears they have people helping the government out with the testimony. as mimi said, andrea, it s kind of overwhelming evidence that s difficult for federal prosecutors to ignore. and chuck todd, we ve not yet seen to my knowledge a tweet from the president or any suggestion that this is witch hunt, mueller related. but this is really separate, this is an investigation that started, there was an ethics investigation that we heard about some months back, last year sometime. and so this does not come from the mueller operation at all. right. and that s the thing, it has zero to do this is just bad timing, bad coincidence. and it looks bad, right? here is yet another person close to the president who seems to be taking advantage of access, special access, or a pay to play issue. the president s ally, the president has allies that are accumulating a lot of baggage, frankly, that makes the president s drain the swamp mantra just look even more ridiculous two years later. you look at the story, there s another story out there this morning about mar-a-lago members, that suddenly essentially are unofficially running the veterans affairs department, including the head of marvel comics studio. just in the last week we ve seen a lot of people in and around the president. so it s certainly a bad look for him. but remember, this has no connection, and politically, andrea, let s say you re the republican party and you wake up this morning and not only did you have that horrendous night last night that just scares the bejesus out of you, but now you have a congressman arrested in western new york in a seat you never thought would be in play, but by the way another incumbent congressman has a local prosecutor looking into petition signature fraud in virginia beach, all before 9:30 a.m. this morning. as we see the prosecutors come out and the u.s. attorney there, and we should point out one of the big figures there, it s the fbi official but also the u.s. attorney there, is a trump appointee. of course this is one of the u.s. attorneys who was fired by president trump. and the fact is, we re going to be talking about that election and all those results coming up in a minute, chuck, with you as well, but there is no way that we know about to get him off the ballot. that is another issue. let s listen to the head of the fbi. chris collins, a united states congressman, congressman collins is charmed wiged with i trading and lying to the fbi. as alleged in the indictment, congressman collins cheated our markets and our justice system in two ways. first, he tipped his son to confidential corporate information at the expense of regular investors. and then he lied about it to law enforcement to cover it up. also charged is his son, cameron collins, and steven zarsky, the father of cameron s fiance. these charges are a reminder that this is a nation of laws, and that everybody stands equal before the bar of justice. now i would like to go into the details of the allegations a little more. in addition to serving in the house of representatives, congressman collins was also on the board of directors of a publicly traded company that was developing a drug for multiple sclerosis. in june of 2017, congressman collins was told some confidential and highly sensitive information about innate, information that was not yet made public, namely that innate s main drug, the drug innate was developing to be the backbone of its company, was a total failure. this was devastating information for the company. congressman collins had an obligation, a legal duty, to keep that information secret until that information was released by the company to the public. but he didn t keep it secret. he instead, as alleged, decided to commit a crime. he placed his family and friends above the public good. congressman collins was a major investor in innate, and so was his son cameron. the congressman knew he couldn t sell his own shares for personal and technical reasons, including that he was already under an investigation regarding innate by the congressional ethics office. the crime that he committed was to tip his son cameron so that cameron and a few select others could trade on the news while the investing public remained in the dark. as the indictment alleges, that s exactly what they did. his son cameron sold. cameron s fiance sold. the father of the fiance, zarsky, sold. zarsky s wife sold. other friends and relatives sold. all because congressman collins violated his duty to keep innate s information secret. and when the news of the drug s failure became public, the stock plummeted. in total, the conspirators used the inside information to avoid over $750,000 in losses. but congressman collins couldn t keep his crime a secret forever. the fbi asked to interview him and instead of telling the truth, he lied. and so did cameron collins. and so did steven zarsky. by lying to the fbi, they compounded their insider trading crime with the crime of criminal coverup. now i would like to go over to these two charts which summarize some of the allegations in the indictment. this first chart is a tipping chain. it demonstrates the flow of the illegal insider information and the trading, the illegal trading on that information. at the top of the chain is congressman collins. he had an obligation as innate board member, when he received confidential corporate information, to keep that information secret until the company announced it to the public. in total disregard of that obligation, minutes after congressman collins received the devastating, highly confidential news that innate s drug had failed its drug trial, congressman tocongress m congressman collins tipped that information to his son so his son could trade it. cameron collins. when he received that illegal inside information, he did two things, both of which are illegal. he sold stock based on that inside information and avoided $570,000 in losses. and he also took that illegal inside information and tipped others. he tipped his fiance. he tipped his fiance s wife. he tipped his fiance s father. and he tipped a friend. all of whom traded on that illegal inside information. steven zarsky, his fiance s father, avoided $143,000 in losses by trading on that information. and he tipped others. he tipped his brother. he tipped his sister. and he tipped a friend. two of whom traded on the information. one attempted to trade on the information but was unable. in total, the conspirators avoided losses of over $768,000, all because of the initial illegal insider trading tip by congressman collins. in this chart we set some of the key allegations in the indictment against a timeline, a backdrop of the innate share price. on the evening of june 22nd, 2017, congressman collins was at a congressional picnic. and at 6:55 he received an e-mail from the ceo of innate informing him of the horrendous news that the drug had failed its trial. at 7:10 p.m., congressman collins responded to that e-mail. so as the indictment alleges, at least at 7:10 p.m., congressman collins is aware of the insider information. a minute later, congressman collins attempts to call his son. in the period of five minutes, there are six unsufficientccess. congressman collins illegally tips his son cameron about the drug trial results so that his son cameron could trade on those results. later that evening, on june 22nd, after cameron collins has the illegal insider trading information, cameron collins drives with his fiance to his fiance s parents house. they arrive at the house at 9:17 p.m. less than 20 minutes later, at 9:34 p.m., the fiance s mother is on the phone with her broker, beginning the process of selling her shares of innate. the next morning, on june 23rd, at 7:42 a.m., cameron collins begins the process of selling his shares of innate. during june 23rd and june 26th, cameron collins sells approximately 1.39 million shares of innate prior to the market close of june 26th. after the market closes, innate announces to the public that its drug had failed the trial. and the next day, the drug price, the price of innate, falls off the cliff. it drops 92% in value in a single day. this was the drop that was anticipated by the co-conspirators. this was the drop in value that the co-conspirators avoided by selling their shares before the public announcement. and they could only sell those shares by virtue of the initial tip of inside information by congressman collins. a case of this type and significance obviously involves the sec and the fbi. and their representatives are standing up here with me today. to my left is my good friend bill sweeney, the assistant director in charge of the fbi s new york field office. and to the far left is john brosnan, the special agent in charge of the fbi new york office criminal division. the fbi s work on this case was spectacular and i want to thank them for their professionalism and dedication. we work with the fbi on so many important cases, and it is always a privilege. to the left of bill is stephanie avakian and steve pieken, who are co-directors of the sec s division of enforcement. i want to thank them and the sec for their hard work on this matter. last, i want to acknowledge and thank the career prosecutors in my office handling the case. to my right is max nicholas, damien williams, bob allen, scott hartman, and the co-chiefs of our securities and commodities fraud task force, tim kasulis and jason cowan. congressman collins, who by virtue of his office, helps to write the laws of our nation, acted as if the law didn t apply to him. the charges today demonstrate once again that no matter what the crime and no matter who committed it, we stand committed in the pursuit of justice, without fear or favor. i would now like to invite to the podium bill sweeney. thank you, geoff. and good afternoon, everybody. u.s. representative christopher collins sat on innate s board of directors for a period of more than three years, spanning the run-up to the drug trial announcement in mid-2017. collins himself was the company s largest shareholder. in or about the summer of 2017, a drug designed to treat a debilitating form of multiple sclerosis had entered the late stages of a phase ii clinical trial. this drug, mis-416, was the only viable drug in the pipeline for innate. this is significant in that the company s value was nearly completely wrapped up in the success of the clinical trial and a subsequent phase iii trial. on the evening of june 22nd, 2017, collins received an e-mail informing him that mis-416 had failed its clinical trial. electronic records indicate his initial shock at having received the news. the drug, once anticipated to hold billions of dollars in value, would now are the cause of significant financial loss for innate and of course its investors, many of whom shared a personal relationship with congressman collins. while the congressman was legally bound to keep his information confidential until the trial results were released to the investing public four days later on june 26th, we allege he did not. the indictment charges that collins immediately began contacting the family and fri d friends he brought into the fold. this set off a ripple effect in which many investors directly or indirectly connected to congressman collins were notified. most of them quickly sold their shares. innate s stock price plummeted 92% on the first trading day following the public announcement. collins conspirators saved themselves $750,000 in losses. collins himself, having been prohibited from selling his shares for various reasons, did not avoid a financial loss. despite this fact, his alleged actions brought him face-to-face with federal agents who had become aware of the crime that has been committed. when questioned by law enforcement about the alleged dealings, congressman collins, his son cameron, cameron s fiance s father steven zarsky, lied, plain and simple. today they are charged with insider trading and lying to federal law enforcement amendmenagents. while collins may have thought that giving his family and friends was a good idea, for those in society who hold a position of trust, they need to act accordingly and do not lie to special agents of the fbi. gentlemen, your work has been exceptional. to the sec, i would like to thank stephanie and steve for your work. to our white collar branch, and to your team of special agents and investigators, i want to extend my personal appreciation. some are standing in the back, in the shadows. but to nick, john, yelena and tracy, your work has been exceptional. what you do in the community matters and makes a difference. thank you. i would like to invite to the podium stephanie avakian, co-director of enforcement at the sec. thanks, geoff. good afternoon. as geoff said, my name is stephanie avakian. i m co-director of the sec s division of enforcement. before i begin my remarks, i would also like to thank u.s. attorney geoff berman and his prosecutors as well as the fbi who worked on this matter for their assistance. today, the sec filed securities fraud charges against congressman christopher collins, his son cameron collins, and three others, alleging that they engaged in insider trading ahead of innate imunion know thera innate s announcement of a failed drug trial. t you re watching the enforcement officer of the sec, following the fbi and also geoff berman, the u.s. attorney who replaced preet bharara, i believe, as a trump nominee. this is totally separate from the mueller investigations, as chuck todd was just saying. i want to bring in kasie hunt. kasie, congressman collins is on the ballot. and according to new york state law, there is no way for him not to be reelected, if the voters choose to reelect him. donald trump won that district by 59% of the vote. chris collins was the first member of congress, completely, the first member of congress to endorse donald trump the candidate, before even jeff sessions did from the senate. his most loyal supporter and his congressional liaison during the transition. at a time when there was literally no one in the republican party who was holding elective office at the federal level who would stand next to president trump. chris collins is the guy who took that leap. and we know how the trump family views loyalty like this. but you re right, he s likely to be reelected. there is no real way to strip him off the ballot without collins consent in doing so. and let s not forget, there s history of member of congress continuing to serve even when they re under a cloud of indictment. democrats as well as republicans. exactly. that s why, interestingly, democratic leader nancy pelosi sharply criticizing him and talking about the corruption, but no one in congress and leadership is calling for him to step down. nope. pending a conviction. and chuck, join us here, because senator menendez stayed through a very contentious trial and was acquitted and is still, you know, the ranked member of the foreign relations committee. kasie is right in this respect. if you look at the history of members of congress who have been under investigation and you talk to the ones that agreed to leadership demands that they resign and those that didn t, the ones that resign always regret it. they always look back and think, oh, i could have beaten it, or maybe i could have survived. i ll tell you this, though, in this environment, the amount of attention this is going to get, look, this is a solid republican district. his democratic opponent is a local elected official. he s a town supervisor, not in buffalo but in and around that area. you know, he s not unviable, is my point here. exactly. and so i wouldn t totally write it off. but i do think the calculation is this, andrea, and if i were steve stivers, the guy has already had a rough week, rough night in ohio, then you wake up to this. there s a whole virginia beach problem too with an incumbent member down there, scott taylor, a special prosecutor investigate petition signature fraud. but if you re stivers, you stay rather than try to get a new candidate on the ballot, you ve got a 55% chance that collins would eke this out, although remember dan rostenkowski back in the day, andrea, he was under investigation, people thought, yeah, not that district. yeah, guess what, that district too went down in 94. it can happen. but if you re the republicans here, the best thing to do, just politically, would be see if collins survives. then if he does, force him out and maybe you can win a special in the spring of 19 or something. let me just also point out, because some people may have, as well, a long memory, this issue of this stock came up with another sitting member of congress, who was tom price, he was being nominated to be hhs secretary. he ended up stepping down after all sorts of allegations about improper use of expensive charter flights and it never was this issue. but he was questioned about his stock sales here and whether or not he had gotten some tips from his friend and colleague chris collins. so nothing was ever alleged, nothing is being alleged, he has not been charged in this, there s no evidence against him, but this was an issue in that confirmation as well. there s a whole drain-the-swamp issue here that has not been fully addressed. kristen welker is standing by at the white house. kristen, the white house keeps buffeting away any allegations about insider this, insider that, corruption. but this is the first person to endorse the candidate donald trump. reporter: it s going to be very difficult, andrea, for president trump to distance himself from chris collins for that very reason. this is the first person to endorse president trump, someone who is sort of an unofficial liaison to the transition team. and so president trump is going to have to come out and say something. i can tell you, i ve reached out to a whole host of white house officials. i asked mercy schlapp, the communications director, effectively, look, what is your reaction to this breaking news? she said, i refer you to doj. so she didn t have any immediate response to that. right now they re trying to brush aside questions. we re looking at our twitter feed to get the president s reaction, how has he typically responded? edition he digs in. tom price was under criticism and scrutiny for months before ultimately he left this administration. he wouldn t be surprised if we saw a similar approach. but of course the stakes are different because we re getting closer to the midterms. of course you had all those warning signs overnight. the president himself right now weighing whether to do an interview with special counsel mueller. his team of lawyers is poised to submit a counterproposal to the mueller team s latest proposal. there s a lot that s hanging over this president as he tries to determine how to respond to this latest controversy, andrea. count me as skeptical about any real negotiations going on until we hear about it from the mueller team, because we ve heard so many, over months and months and weeks reporter: they ve been negotiating since january. yes. we only have it from one part of one side, and not from the president himself. they re making it look as though the president really does want to cooperate and have an interview, but who knows? i m totally inconvincunconvince that. daniel goldman, former assistant u.s. attorney for the southern district and new york, now an nbc legal analyst, happily. daniel, you ve prosecuted some of these very cases in that district. yes, i prosecuted an insider trading case against the las vegas gambler billy walters last year, phil mickelson was wrapped up in it although not charged. this is a powerful indictment. and what you re seeing here related chris collins is that he is the insider. he s the guy who had the information that was supposed to be kept confidential. he was on the board of directors of this company. and as soon as he gets the information that is going to tank the stock, which ultimately went down 92% when the information was made public, he relayed it to his son who then relayed it to a whole host of other people, all of whom were owners in this stock and all of whom sold their shares of stock or at least attempted to sell their shares of stock. so there s no rick gates type of cooperating witness here. it still remains to be seen who the witnesses are, what kind of evidence they have. it s hard, i ve been trying to study the indictment and figure it out a little bit. i think some of the people who are mentioned as cc s, co-conspirators, are likely cooperating with the government and will testify, which could add a whole nother wrinkle because they seem to be all family members. but in insider trading cases, what you ll look for, and i ll draw the analogy to the manafort case just because it s going on and people have been talking about how it s a document case, in insider trading cases the critical documents are the records of phone calls and the records of trades. and what you see in this indictment is incredibly closely timed calls and trades related to information. i mean, it alleges basically that representative collins got an e-mail at 6:55 p.m. that informed him of the inside information and by 7:10 p.m., he s trying to reach his son, who then immediately tries to make a trade. that is documentary evidence that is very powerful. and in fact, daniel, what they are now saying there is that six times, he called his son six times in five minutes from the south lawn of the white house, from the congressional picnic. yes. so that is incredibly detailed. they obviously have the phone records and they ve got the trading recording. he pulled himself away from his picnic to do this. right. and, you know, calling from the white house grounds, that sort of adds a very colorful, shall we say, political note to all of this that can be very persuasive, one would think, to a jury if it ever gets to a jury. the other question i would have is, you have such familiarity with this, daniel, how long would it take, with pretrial motions and all the rest, when would this come to trial? before november? absolutely not, no way will it come to trial before november. i don t know who the judge is, a lot of it depends on how quickly judges set trials. but this won t go to trial until 2019. and in fact, geoff berman, want u.s. attorney just said this indictment comes far enough away from the election. so who knows what s going to happen on election day? stranger things have happened. one of the cases i first covered, a dead man was elected to be nominated to congress because that fit what the party wanted to do in a democratic distribute in philadelphia, back in the day. just on that point, andrea, bob menendez remained in the senate during his allegations and trial. so it s not it wouldn t be crazy for him to do the same. and in the end was acquitted. thank you very much. thank you, daniel. we ll be right back. coming up, the political team stays in place because the razor thin congressional race in ohio is still too close to call. is it part of a larger trend for the upcoming midterms? that s ahead right here, stay with us. i gotcha baby. 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garrett haake had been up all night in ohio s 12th district. chuck todd also remains with us. garrett, i know you had a late night with vote counting, but this district has been red since ronald reagan was elected. now you have a 1,700-vote margin. the two candidates will face off in november in any case, right? reporter: yeah, let s set aside the question of who ultimately wins in the short term here today. as you point out, this race will be run again in november. just the fact that i m here, that reporters are covering this race, that we re paying attention to this district at all, is an indication of the problems that republicans have as they go into november. as you said, this district has not been a democratic district in the lifetime of the democratic candidate who is running here. it s been reliably republican all that time. it s your classic john mccain, mitt romney, john kasich kind of district. the fact that republican voters are peeling a little bit away from the president in places like this and that democratic voters who democrats didn t even realize existed, rushed to the polls to drive uptu turnout, is problematic for republicans across the country in districts that look an awful lot like this. i misspoke, i meant an automatic recount if it does get that narrow. chuck, the significance of this, it really is striking that they spent some $3 million plus, that s 10% of the sheldon add adelson big campaign fund. can they do that in 435 districts? they can t, but the reason you do it in this district is you send a message for current republicans running that you re fighting for them. if they hadn t, it would be katie bar the door. at least now, steve stivers can say, we found a way some of you can survive. that s what i m trying to figure out, is this the playbook for survival or not in a district like this? i looked at last night, garrett s right, it s as if this district created more democrats than we thought existed in that district. but it really is this john kasich wing of the party, the suburban republican voter, who we ve been watching since november of 16, andrea, start to make its way to the blue side of the ballot box, right? it started in georgia 6th, not quite enough to flip it. you saw what happened in the northern virginia suburbs which made it look like it was new york city, not northern virginia, in the virginia governor s race. now here we are, here. last night, missouri 2 is the suburbs of st. louis. i was looking at the election results. basically a carbon copy of this district in ohio, okay? turnout among democrats, there were more democratic votes in that congressional primary than republican votes, and yes, there was a contested race, but that is just another indicator. the president is driving up suburban turnout, whether he s there or not. then the question is, does his presence somehow drive up enough of the base that it s worth the amount of turnout he may create with alienated swing voters, right? that s the question i can t answer about ohio 12. did the president s presence save the seat? and if that s the case, then it s even worse than i thought. or did his presence actually help the democrats at the end there and increase a surge in voting in franklin county? i actually think it s probably the latter. i heard one argument last night that john kasich endorsing a late endorsement of balderson, the republican, was more beneficial to him to try to persuade some of those educated republican suburban voters than the president coming in for him. that s more logical, andrea, that s a more logical explanation, than that somehow the president goosed media, got turnout of his base to go from bad to mediocre and that was the difference. that s the part i don t buy. i think the president may have almost cost him this election, not the reverse. but that s something that i don t think we can 100% know. let me ask you about kansas and kris kobach. reporter: andrea? hang on one second, garrett, i want to nail down what happened in kansas with the kris kobach election where he was such a controversial candidate. we re still waiting. we still have votes to count. the good news for the appointed governor, jeff colyer, we re still waiting for votes in a county on the kansas side of the border. if colyer is going to make up that ground, that s the place to make it up. that race is so close, that feels like recount for sure. and that s the case where the president jumped into a republican primary, improbably. caused a huge problem and may have put that race in jeopardy. garrett, you had a final thought there. reporter: just on this question of trump and his affect on this district, the operating theory i hear from a lot of people on the ground here is that trump showing up here on saturday was probably a net positive for the republican, it reminded republican voters who may not have been paying attention to this special election that it was even happening at all, and allowed them to connect troy balderson to the president. the president s existence in the white house is a negative because it has democratic voters fired up. but his actual showing up seems to have been a benefit to the republican on the ground. thanks for hanging in, chuck, we ll watch you on mtp daily and on meet the press, and garrett, thanks for your coverage all night. coming up, startling revelations about the prosecution s star witness at the manafort trial, the latest from the courthouse, next. stay with us. let s take a look at some numbers: 4 out of 5 people who have a stroke, their first symptom. is a stroke. 80 percent of all strokes and heart disease? 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reporter: that s a good question. one juror we paid close attention to, his body language seemed to indicate he was dismissive of gates and didn t find him to be a trustworthy witness. there was also some drama, fireworks right at the end. there s a lingering question that i don t know that jurors will get the answer to. right at the end, when the defense was questioning rick gates, they said, okay, how many times did you meet with the special counsel in your prep for this? he said about 20 times. and then he said, did you ever mention to them that you had as many as four extramarital affairs? right then we heard an objection from the prosecution. and the two sides deliberated with the judge. we couldn t hear what was said. but then that line of questioning was dismissed and gates was let go from the stand. so there s a big gates was let from the stand. was there more than one affair and did he lie about those affairs because in that case his plea agreement can be ripped up and he can be sentenced into jail for the rest of his life. he gave a long story of the affair he had in london and he apologized and what else is he not telling the jury. that s left as a question as he left the stand. manafort had gotten a $16 million bail out loan from a chicago banker not putting up much at all for that loan and return he was offering what the chicago banker with no qualifications to be secretary of army of the pentagon. do you see reaction to that? that s something brought up as the prosecution tries to regroup of a fairly controversial testimony from the star witness. that s true. reporter: that s something we heard yesterday. we may not hear it in this trial in particular. this has less to do of paul manafort s work as a trump campaign manager. we were able to get details because rick gates did work in the inaugural committee. when we might hear that come up again is when manafort coming up for the second trial at the end of december in d.c. then they can get into other things that he may have done that could be closer to his actual work. julia ainsllainsly. thank you so much, we ll be right back. it is time for your business. they did not have good answers to problems like why their lines were so long. find out how this company redeemed itself and saved its reputation on your business on sunday morning at 7:00 eastern on msnbc. sponsored by american express, don t do business without it. whether visiting the airport lounge to catch up on what s really important. or even using those hard-earned points to squeeze in a little family time. no one has your back like american express. so no matter where you re going. we re right there with you. the powerful backing of american express. don t do business without it. don t live life without it. not so cute when they re angry. and we covered it. talk to farmers. we know a thing or two because we ve seen a thing or two. we are farmers. bum-pa-dum, bum-bum-bum-bum are you ready to take your then you need xfinity xfi.? a more powerful way to stay connected. it gives you super fast speeds for all your devices, provides the most wifi coverage for your home, and lets you control your network with the xfi app. it s the ultimate wifi experience. xfinity xfi, simple, easy, awesome. and more election news, a stunning election night upset in missouri for st. louis county. robert mccolough is out. he came under national scrutiny and criticism for his handling of the 2014 shooting of michael brown in ferguson, of course, he refused to prosecute the police. joining me now kimberley atkin and our msnbc contributor, jonathan kay park. kimberley, this is significant. wesley bell he was a counsel member in ferguson. right, seven terms. mccccolough has faced some criticism before. he talks about the failure of prosecuting the police officer that shot michael brown and other issues like cash bail and sentencing reform. we are seeing a lot of energy in these local elections. we are talking about the anniversary tomorrow of michael brown when we think of what transpire after that and all the other related issues and other jurisdictions, jonathan, this is a movement and it is starting at the grass roots level. right, this is a piece of that i am working on frantically right now. tomorrow is the fourth anniversary remembering what was happening in the days immediately after where we were watching on television of a militaryi militarized response in a population where they. reportewere being stopped. the african-american community was led up time and mumbai a police force and a city government that was funding itself through its fines. a movement was started that came about a week after eric garner di died. the grass roots community were already energized months or years before. what victory chose four years later that activism can have results if it is focused and persistent. and we think about all this week is the anniversary in 1965 of the voting rights act which is under attack and so many jurisdictions and what we are seeing and what we ll see this weekend and we ll talk about more tomorrow in the program is charlottesville, one year later. yes. this weekend of another rally here in washington, d.c. white nationalists who are going to charlottesville in the community still dealing with the results of the horror. it is an election year where race is being used as a wedge issue and a device. it is gallivvanizing forcing on each side. on the flip side you are seeing others embolded n to hold ralli ahead of this. this is the racial divide that s wider than ever in 2018. the difference between ferguson four years ago and america today, ferguson four years ago had a president of the united states that had justice and went in there to do right. the united states today have a president that said there were fine people who were nazs. thank you so much, kimberley atkins and jonathan, looking forward for your post. a busy day for andrea mitchell reports. remember to follow our show online and on twitter. craig melvin is up next in new york right here on msnbc that was fascinating conversation. good to see you my friend.
been reliably red for three decades. but balderson s team says he was able to hold his own and do well enough to eke out a win. and he s paid special thanks to president trump. i d like to thank president trump. america is on the right path, and we re going to keep it going that way. reporter: again, this was a race that too close to comfort for many republicans, and it s a race that s soon to be repeated. both candidates will face each other again come november. jason carol reporting there. well, democrat danny o connor was up beat when he spoke to his supporters late tuesday, and he took a swipe at president trump. we made our case for change. we re going to make that case tomorrow. we re not stopping now. tomorrow we rest, and then we keep fighting through to A recap of the day s news. gets checked. 8,500 votes roughly still to be counted and sorted out. the secretary of state says 5,048 outstanding absentee ballots, 3,500 provisional ballots. the question is does it change this? in most elections it does not. these tend to stand. but this one is pretty close. 1,766 votes. the republicans will be breathing a sigh of relief tonight but the lawyers, the election lawyers will be involved tomorrow. bill, always great to have you on the show. of course we re covering key races in five states but the major contest is the ohio special election in the congressional 12th district where republican troy balderson fought a very tight race in a seat that should have been safe for republicans. remaining 8,400 and some ballots. the absentee and provisional ballots would have to be pretty overwhelmingly for o connor for him to make up that margin. so i wouldn t say it s impossible, but it s going to be difficult for o connor to win. but in any case they re going to fight again because they re both on the ballot in november. the difference is this. in november if balderson is the incumbent, he ll have the advantage. incumbents do very well in special elections. reminder supporters this will be fought again in november, and this is what president trump tweeted. after my speech on saturday night there was a big turn for the better. now troy wins a great victory during a very tough time of the year for voting. he will win big in november. so, bill, was this a great victory as the president suggests, and can mr. trump take all the credit for balderson s numbers improving? not all the credit. maybe a little. but that s all balderson really needed. when he endorsed balderson, and we ve seen this happen in several races across the country, there is a trump effect. he has a very loyal base. it s a majority of the republican party. when he endorses a candidate, wave seen it again and again and we saw it today in several states, it drives out the republican base, the conservative base that are loyal to trump they come out and they basically act upon his direction. in this case they voted as he suggested for mr. balderson. and would you say the ohio special election was a referendum on the trump presidency as some have suggested? not entirely, no. because the democrat didn t make trump an issue. he knew that it s a republican district and that trump is very popular in that district and voted for him by 11 points. so the democrat did not run on the issue of donald trump. he ran on the issue of medicare, on the issue of health care. he talked about inequality. he talked about a lot of things but not donald trump because he knew trump had a lot of appeal among voters in that district. bill, i want to look at some numbers. let s look at what outside groups spent. more than $5 million was spent on the republican candidate while around $1 million on the democratic candidate. what does that tell you? what happened in that district was that spending among republicans certainly was primarily by outside groups. the democrat and the republican, it democrat actually raised more money for his own campaign than the republican did. the democrat had a lot of volunteers, had a lot of people who were sending in small amounts of money, but there were huge interest groups, independent spending committees not controlled by the campaign that spent money on behalf of the republican candidate. we re going to see this again and again all over the country. it s really nationalizing american politics. every race, everywhere is going to be a national contest about donald trump. bill snyder, always great to get your analysis. there is another nail-biter right now in the republican primary in kansas, another trump backed candidate chris kobach is neck and neck with jeff colyer. you may remember donald trump picked kobach to investigate nationwide claims of voter fraud, but that commission found noeds of that. either kobach or colyer will face laura kelly in november. and in missouri republican state attorney general josh hawley will face two-term incumbent claire mccaskill in november, and mccaskill could face an uphill battle in missouri. and in michigan cnn projects gretchen whitmer will be the candidate for governor. whitmer will face the republican attorney general bill scutte in the november election. the race is too close to call, but if she prevails she will run unopposed to replace former representative john con yryers. an extra marital affair and admissions of tax evasion. faces a grueling cross-examination, that is next. plus will president trump and the north korean leader meet for a second summit? why the u.s. national security advisor now says it is a possibility. and with new u.s. sanctions in effect president trump issues a warning to anyone thinking of doing business with iran. we re back in just a moment. don t go anywhere. you ve tried moisturizer after moisturizer but there s one. that blows them all out of the water. hydro boost water gel from neutrogena®. with hyaluronic acid it goes beneath the surface to plump skin cells from within and lock in hydration leaving skin so supple, it actually bounces back. 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new life, a million miles away. i m heidi choiniere, and this is my ancestry story. now with over 10 billion historical records, discover your story. get started for free at ancestry.com trump in a speech to supporters just a few hours ago. democrat danny o connor says he will keep fight. another big story we re following, the correct of the prosecution s witness came under attack in court tuesday. rick gates was a deputy and now testifying against the former trump campaign chairman. reporter: back on the stand admitting during a harsh cross examination to having an extra marital affair a decade ago but denying accusations by paul manafort s lawyer he was embezzling money from manafort in order to fund his affair. and what the defense referred to as a secret life in london elsewhere. after two weeks after donald trump s election paul manafort recommended that his banker, stephen cox become secretary. he detailed how broke he was when he joined the trump campaign in march 2016 working at the time for no salary. he said his consulting firm had no clients there and was trying to secure a contract in ukraine. manafort was clearly frustrated, wtf manafort wrote to gates. how can i be blind-sided like this, manafort says. gates admitted that he also supplied false information to banks in order to help manafort secure bank loans. gates testified that manafort made more than $5 million between 2011 and 2012. doing consulting work for a ukrainian billionaire. gates went into detail about how shell companies were used to move money into hidden accounts in cypress. in one instance according to gates a payment supported lobbying in the united states. gates stated that manafort reported some of the payments to u.s. tax officials as loans, though they were in fact income. adding that manafort was quote trying to decrease his taxable income. prosecutors demonstrated that manafort directed these activities through e-mails. there were hundreds of these, gates said in court. adding quote, typical practice was mr. manafort would send me a list of wired requests. gates admitted he used information provided by manafort to create invoices for fake amounts of money for wire transfers. but the money never actually went to the vendors. instead it went to the banks. the purpose of this, according to gates, so that the wire transfers would not be recorded on u.s. business records. nonetheless on monday the prosecutors elicited testimony from mr. gates and one of mr. manafort s accountants that tied him closer to russia. the accountant testified in 2006 mr. manafort received a $10 million loan from oleg deripaska. she said she saw no evidence the loan was ever repaid. throughout paul manafort s attorneys focus has been on undermining the credibility of rick gates, saying why should the jury believe him now considering the fact he has lied before, admitted to lying before to federal prosecutors. rick gates answer is that he s taking responsibility now for those mistakes. and there was a powerful moment in the trial today where he said that is a choice paul manafort has not taken as well. jim sciutto, cnn, at the courthouse in virginia. president trump is prepared to meet with kim jong-un again at any point. that is according to u.s. national security advisor john bolton. and he told fox news that the president is not alone. the secretary of state mike pompeo is prepared to go back to north korea to meet with kim jong-un. we ve proposed that in our most recent letter from the president to kim jong-un. the president is prepared to meet at any point. but what we really need is not more rhetoric. what we need is purchase from north korea on denuclearization. let s bring in cnn s will ripply who joins us now live from hong kong. good to see you, will. why are we seeing this push for a second summit with kim jong-un given very little progress was achieved as a result of the first summit. what are the benefits and what are the drawbacks for doing this? well, the north koreans blame the united states for lack of progress since the first summit. they feel since his most recent trip to pyeongyang mike pompeo went in there what they view with a list of demands. and yet the north koreans say they haven t seen anything in return from the united states in terms of a willingness to lift sanctions gradually, and more importantly perhaps the security guarantee that a peace treaty ending the korean war would allow. they want guarantees that kim jong-un is going to stay in power and be safe as the north korean leader for many years to come if north korea were to take the step of denuclearizing, something they see happening over a very long period of time. they feel the negotiations with president trump and the north korean leader kim jong-un went very well, that the two leaders had a good rapport, and that his lower level administration officials, the rapport was not good. the visit was described as really a disaster by some people who viewed secretary pompeo as being snubbed when kim jong-un didn t meet with him. what a sort of mine is saying that the north koreans feel the best deal is direct with them with a face-to-face meeting with president trump and and his security advisers saying he s open to doing that so saying a second summit is possibility between the two leaders. we ll watch to see if that indeed does occur. will ripply joining us live from hong kong. many thanks. well, president trump is warning other countries to review iran or they won t be doing business with the united states. he tweeted were the boast biting sanctions ever and adding he wants world peace nothing less. meanwhile the iraqi prime minister says they ll not violate the sanction but added iraq does not support sanctions against any country. and we ll get back to our breaking news after a short break. donald trump s popularity put to the test in elections across the united states. plus california is just in the middle of its fire season, but the u.s. state already faces wildfires of historic proportions. and there seems to be no end in sight. we re back in a moment. i landed. i saw my leg did not look right. i was just finishing a ride. i felt this awful pain in my chest. i had a pe blood clot in my lung. i was scared. i had a dvt blood clot. having one really puts you in danger of having another. my doctor and i chose xarelto®. xarelto®. to help keep me protected. xarelto® is a latest-generation blood thinner that s. proven to treat and reduce the risk of dvt or pe blood clots from happening again. in clinical studies, almost 98% of patients on xarelto® did not experience another dvt or pe. xarelto® works differently. warfarin interferes with at least 6 of your body s natural blood-clotting factors. xarelto® is selective, targeting just one critical factor. don t stop taking xarelto® without talking to your doctor, as this may increase risk of blood clots. while taking, you may bruise more easily, or take longer for 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and provisional ballots still have be counted. and although balderson is claiming victory o connor is not conceding. i d like to thank president trump. america is on the right path, and we re going to keep it going that way. over the next three months i m going to do everything i can to keep america great again. as we see division and discord tearing apart our country we must remember that each and every one of us are god s children and that all of us need to be treated with dignity and respect. and i think we could use a lot more of that spirit in washington these days. scott lucas is a professor of international politics at the university of birmingham in england. he joins us now live. good to have you with us. thank you. so let s focus on this major contest, the ohio special election in the 12th congressional district whereas we saw republican troy balderson declared victory in a very close race with his rival danny o connor in what was previously a safe republican seat. so what might this signal might occur in the november mid-term elections? it signals it s going to be one heck of a show. probably i think the most important mid-term election in u.s. history. if and when eventually balderson s victory is confirmed that this is vindication for them. whereas the democrats will say even if they can t overhaul that narrow lead, look, there was a 13% swing to us from the last congressional election and from trump s victory in 2016. now, that s part of politics. i think what s important here for me is that, one, it shows you that each and every district that is contested in november could potentially be in play. there will be some that will be safe, but we re going to see an unprecedented number of house and senate races that are going to be extremely tight. and beyond that i think the risk is we try to apply a single model fits all, and it won t. it might be different from somewhere what happens let s say in the deep south where i m from. and i think you have to take cog nizan nizance of so many local issues that even that presence of donald trump we get fixated on i don t think he s necessarily going to be the guiding star of what happens. i do want to look at president trump s tweet. he put this out just a few hours ago. when i decided to go to ohio for troy balderson he was down in early voting, 64-36. that was not good. after my speech on saturday night there was a big turn for the better. now troy wins a great victory during a very tough time of the year for voting. he will win big in november. so scott, the president is painting this as a big victory, and he s trying to take credit for turning things around for balderson. is this a win for mr. trump? look, donald trump s the guy who always says if i crow it makes the sun shine. the fact of the matter is donald trump s tweet is incorrect. troy bauderson was not far behind in the campaign in ohio emphas. it was always a toss up race. it may have been his appearance in ohio that might have an effect. but i think trump saying this might have won everything, i think it shows you first of all the republicans barely hung on despite being the contest they had to win, and comes back to the point i just made, donald trump may claim credit he s reshaping american politics and has made the rules different, but he s not the only factor in play here. and indeed it is more possible the more donald trump says that the more it may galvanize people to come out and vote for the opponents in november. donald trump, let s face it, he intervened for a republican named roy moore in november and the republicans got tossed on their backside. we ll have to see whether he s a positive or negative for the gop in november. there s still nearly 8,500 absentee ballots and provisional ballots to be counted. do you think it could change things as they stand? i think this is right cnn is not calling this, but it is a task for o connor. he s got to have about a 25% margin amongst those absentee and provisional ballots to be able to overhaul the lead. that s a pretty hard task. but it s not impossible. so, you know, given that ohio is up to ten days to count the outstanding ballots and given there is a recount provision if the margin is within 0.5% you and i could be talking about this for a couple weeks to come. right. and i do want to get your take on the kansas governor election. that s a very tight race as well, trump endorsing chris kobach over the incumbent governor. and that makes some republicans very nervous. what does that signal to you? well, it should make republicans nervous. that s first of all, and that s because of two things. one is it shows there s a contest whether this is the republican party or whether this is donald trump s party. we ve seen this in previous campaigns. we saw it down in alabama last year. we ve seen it in other contests in which trump has defied the establishment of the gop. but the second and important reason why it should make republicans nervous, some of those trump candidates have got baggage. chris cobotch was the head of that ill-fated election commission that tried to prove voter fraud because donald trump said there were thousands of illegal voters that came out to vote for hillary clinton. that commission fell flat on its face. if donald trump is saying i make the sunshine he might bring in a bit of darkness for the republicans in a few months time. scott lucas, appreciate it. let s turn to missouri now in a shocking upset in tuesday s democratic primary there voters chose this man, leslie bell, ousting incumbents and lewis county prosecutor robert mucullic who is tie to the highly controversial ferguson police shooting. you may recall michael brown an african-american teen was fatally shot by a white police officer four years ago in ferguson. the shooting sparked riots and a national debate about race relations. mcculloch was widely criticized for failing to charge the officer who killed brown. tuesday s primary ozviewed by many as a vote on his handling of the case. bell is effectively assured to become the st. louis prosecutor as he does not face a republican challenger in november. well, coming up as california faces wildfires like it has never seen before some scientists are now warning we face a climate change emergency. we ll take a look at that when we come back. can be relentless. tremfya® is for adults with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. i m ready. with tremfya®, you can get clearer. and stay clearer. in fact, most patients who saw 90% clearer skin at 28 weeks stayed clearer through 48 weeks. tremfya® works better than humira® at providing clearer skin, and more patients were symptom free with tremfya®. tremfya® may lower your ability to fight infections and may increase your risk of infections. before treatment, your doctor should check you for infections and tuberculosis. tell your doctor if you have an infection or have symptoms such as: fever, sweats, chills, muscle aches or 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(vo) ask your healthcare provider if ozempic® is right for you. let s get you the latest numbers now on that ohio house race seen as a referendum on donald trump. right now republican troy balderson has a very narrow lead over democrat danny o connor. president trump campaigned for balderson over the weekend, but o connor is not conceding just yet. more than 8,000 absentee and provisional ballots still have to be counted. california is struggling to contain some of the worst wildfires it has ever seen. president donald trump has not acknowledged a growing scientific consensus that climate change is contributing to the ferocity of the fires. instead he cites other reasons, but it seems the white house is not quite sure what he s talk about. cnn s stephanie elam has more. reporter: tonight the mendocino fire churning lmalmos 300,000 acres. so far it s scorched more than the holy fire has already burned over 4,000 acres. across the golden state 17 large fires are raging as more than 14,000 firefighters battle the fast moving flames. spurred on by dry and windy conditions. president trump monday blamed the state, inaccurately linking california s long running water shortage to the intensity and spread of fires in the state. tweeting, california wildfires are being magnified and made esomuch worse by the bad environmental laws which aren t allowing massive amounts of readily available water to be properly utilized. trump also incorrectly suggesting that california diverts water into the pacific ocean. tweeting, governor jerry brown must allow the free flow for the vast amounts of water coming from the north and foolishly being diverted into the pacific ocean. but cal fire, the agency in charge of fighting these fires is rebuking those claims in a statement saying, there is nothing to release. there are no specifics to the tweet. we have plenty of water to fight these fires. the current weather is causing more severe and destructive fires. white house officials have declined to clarify the president s statements. before the people devastated and threatened by these wildfires the concern is less political and far more personal. we re working as best we can with the resources we have to manage this, but mother nature has taken its course and we ve needed to adapt to it. reporter: just to give you an idea how devastating this wildfire season has been so far in california, in the last three weeks 550,000 acres have been burned. and we re nowhere near the end of the season. stephanie elam, cnn, lake county, california. and the wildfires ravaging california are underscoring the catastrophic effects of climate change. former u.s. vice president al gore is sounding the alarm writing this. deeper droughts and longer hotter summers driven by the crisis are making wildfires more common. what do you think? send us your thoughts at facebook.com/cnni. our international viewers can join the conversation and have their say live on cnn talk. a panel will be discussing your questions that s at noon in london and 7:00 p.m. in hong kong only here on cnn. still to come on cnn newsroom, elon musk shocks wall street by announcing he wants to make tesla a private company. we ll ask our market analyst to weigh in. that s next. t people. but on the inside, i feel chronic, widespread pain. fibromyalgia may be invisible to others, but my pain is real. fibromyalgia is thought to be caused by overactive nerves. lyrica is believed to calm these nerves. i m glad my doctor prescribed lyrica. for some, lyrica delivers effective relief from moderate to even severe fibromyalgia pain, and improves function. lyrica may cause serious allergic reactions, suicidal thoughts or actions. tell your doctor right away if you have these, new or worse depression, unusual changes in mood or behavior, swelling, trouble breathing, rash, hives, blisters, muscle pain with fever, tired feeling, or blurry vision. common side effects: dizziness, sleepiness, weight gain, swelling of hands, legs and feet. don t drink alcohol while taking lyrica. don t drive or use machinery until you know how lyrica affects you. those who ve had a drug or alcohol problem may be more likely to misuse lyrica. with less pain i can do more with my family. talk to your doctor today. see if lyrica can help. it s a high-tech revolution in sleep. the new sleep number 360 smart bed. it intelligently senses your movement and automatically adjusts on each side to keep you both comfortable. and snoring? how smart is that? smarter sleep. to help you lose your dad bod, train for that marathon, and wake up with the patience of a saint. the new sleep number 360 smart bed, from $999. smarter sleep will change your life. welcome back, everyone. well, it is too close to call in the race for ohio s 12th congressional district. president trump campaigned for republican troy balderson who currently has the lead over democrat danny o connor but thousands of ballots still have to be counted. this district has been republican for more than three decades and donald trump won it by 11 points in 2016. let s turn to tesla now and elon musk who s stunned investors by announcing he wants to take the company private. in a tweet he said he d already lined up funding at $420 a share. he calls the move the best math forward for the electric car company and said it would relieve tesla of the pressure from wall street and short sellers. following musk s announcement tesla finished the day 11% higher. let s bring in david madden, a market analyst in london. we ll have a look at his perspective on this. thanks for joining us. the announcement by elon musk that he wants to take the company private saw the value of tesla raise, but also raised questions about whether musk broke any laws with his tweet. did he? was this a smart move? it all depends on the intent behind the tweet. if mr. musk was genuine and honestly is considering taking the company private or is actually in the process of that behind closed doors taking the company private, no laws i imagine no laws would have been broken. it s only if mr. musk deliberately stated he was considering taking the company public as a way of driving the share price higher and also squeezing out the short sellers. currently tesla is a very heavily shorted stock, about 27% of the free flow of tesla shares, the shares available on the market, are in the hands of short sellers. traders who are betting against tesla and they want to see the share price go down. so any rally in the share price of tesla would then put pressure on those traders who have taken a bet against tesla share price of short sellers. so if mr. trump was intentionally saying he s considering taking the company private just as a way of getting back at the short sellers, that would be a different story. that would be something the sec, the securities and rate exchange commission would take seriously indeed. but it all comes down to mr. musk s actual intent. interesting. why do you think musk is doing this right now? what message do you think he s trying to send? i think mr. musk has been has had a difficult few months. in the most recent earnings call he actually apologized to investors and analysts in the way he treated them on the previous earnings call. things aren t exactly going according to plan, and this could be a temper tantrum by elon musk as a way of saying that i don t have to be bothered answering questions by market analysts or journalists or being under the scrutiny of wall street. this could be may of saying, you know what, forget about it. i m going to secure the funding myself, i don t have to divulge any details or information. it seems to me mr. musk wouldn t be threatening it take the private company not long ago he just about achieved his production, and even though the company has lost money in the first two quarters of this year mr. musk has said they will turn a profit in the second two quarters of this year. it could be the pressure is getting to elon musk. it s also worth pointing out this sort of erratic behavior could be argued you might except that from exceptional innovators or inventors. but if you re the ceo of a multi-million dollar company shareholders have to approve this, how likely is it that that would occur? given that we re about with the share price closed somewhere in the region about $40 below the price mr. musk was quoting it s about 10% premium above the price there s a likelihood that shareholders would approve it given that as i mentioned there s a very large short interest of investors out there who are actively betting against elon musk. on the flip side of things only yesterday we heard from a saudi arabian sovereign wealth fund. there s clearly an appetite for this. soverei saufb sho they might view it as maybe we should consider the offer should the offer of $420 be put on the table. and thank you for your company this hour. i m rosemary church. remember to connect with me anytime on twitter. early start is next for our viewers in the united states and more on the special election in ohio you can join hannah van jones who is up next in london. 6 it was here. my doctor and i chose xarelto® to help keep me protected from a stroke. once-daily xarelto®, a latest-generation blood thinner significantly lowers the risk of stroke in people with afib not caused by a heart valve problem. warfarin interferes with at least 6 of your body s natural blood-clotting factors. xarelto® is selective, targeting just one critical factor. for afib patients well managed on warfarin, there is limited information on how xarelto® compares in reducing the risk of stroke. don t stop taking xarelto® without talking to your doctor, as this may increase your risk of stroke. while taking, you may bruise more easily, or take longer for bleeding to stop. xarelto® can cause serious, and in rare cases, fatal bleeding. it may increase your risk of bleeding if you take certain medicines. get help right away for unexpected bleeding or unusual bruising. do not take xarelto® if you have an artificial heart valve or abnormal bleeding. before starting, tell your doctor about all planned medical or dental procedures and any kidney or liver problems. learn all you can to help protect yourself from a stroke. talk to your doctor about xarelto®.
mcdonalds for life. let s get to it now, shepard smith reporting, live from the fox news deck. shepard: first from the fox news deck this friday afternoon, the teenaged girl who you may have heard about surviving, getting pushed off a bridge and falling 50 feet into a river is now talking about what happened. she says she could have easily drowned but a group of people nearby helped her, including an off-duty emt. cell phone video of the push has gone viral. 3, 2. no i won t. ready? [screams] shepard: 50 feet. the girl who fell into the water is 16-year-old jordan holderson. doctors say that she has five cracked ribs and a collapsed lung. jordan says the person who pushed her was a friend. she says the two of them climbed up to the molten falls bridge near vancouver not ready and then she pushed me. watch again. know won t go. 3, 2. once you say no. no. ready? [screams] yeah, you could hear the teen say she no longer wanted to jump. holderson says she doesn t remember much of the fall except she was trying to change her body position in the air. i could have died, easily in the air i was trying to push myself forward so i could be like straight up and down so that my feet hit first but that didn t really work. it didn t really hurt. hit the water face first, puncturing her lung and air bundles in her chest. people thought when she surfaced she was fine but then she started drowning. a off-duty medic swam tout rescue her. 50% of people die when you fall that high. the teen was lucky she wasn t paralyzed. she fell in the water A newscast reviewing and analyzing top stories of the day as they happen. paul manafort didn t get instead of loans did he get. the government filed a motion. the court s suggestion, however, that the government was unnecessarily spending time on a loan that manafort did not receive undermines the well-established law on conspiracy, undercuts the charge in count 28 and is likely to confuse and mislead the jury. but just now the court graveled back. in there was no apology or explanation from the judge about what he said yesterday or why he took so long to get started today. shep? shepard: all right. thanks a lot. let s go back to caroline policy who i mentioned is a defense attorney and has been following this thing. most trials there is a delay and you are like okay, there is another delay. not under this rocket docket. not under judge ellis. this is unusual. and we know he has something that he is working on that s under seal we assume that s the other russia investigation. we don t know. recently there was a ruling to keep that side bar under seal. the side bar about whether or not the prosecutor had asked gates whether or not he had talked with prosecutors about his work on the trump campaign. now, the defense, you know, raised objection to that and then they went to side bar. and that talk has been placed under seal. the indication of which, obviously being that gates is providing ongoing assistance in an ongoing investigation. you know, when you sign up to cooperate with the government, shep, you don t get to pick and choose how you cooperate. shepard: or on what. you don t get to select i m going to tell you this information but thought that information. it s a global agreement. the government is going to write a letter at gates sentencing to detail the amount of, you know, effort and assistance he gave to the government overall prosecution. so, there could very well be much more to gates cooperation. i think that s really the bombshell in this whole story here. shepard: if there is more to gates cooperation it could extend across multiple fronts. yeah. shepard: honest truth is we don t know exactly where mueller is going with this. we do know of manafort that he came to the campaign for free. that one of the first things he did was change the republican platform to do to favor russia. we know there was the russian meeting and the president dictated, according to his own lawyers, a memo about what happened in that meeting, which turned out to be lacking in truth. and now here we are. so to say that it isn t all related is just to ignore the obvious. it s the mosaic. pieces of the puzzle coming into focus now. the tag line on this trial has always been this has nothing to do with manafort s time on the trump team. i think it s getting up to the line there. we are seeing the man that came to work on the trump campaign was the man very much in debt. in over his head and needed money. then he went to work for the trump campaign for free. you have to ask some questions about that. shepard: they are asking them. yeah. shepard: caroline, thank you, on two different stories. thanks for having me. shepard: ahead, did the trump campaign offer hush money to omarosa. omarosa, manigault newman after she got canned from the white house? there is a new report in the the washington post today about what the white house says on omarosa s book. and the college basketball coach accused of punching a man and that punch led to his death. the coach from wake forest. the man from south florida, his mother joins us live from raleigh, north carolina, right after this. in clinical trials, prevagen has been shown to improve short-term memory. prevagen. healthier brain. better life. when you barely clip a tpassing car. minor accident - no big deal, right? wrong. your insurance company is gonna raise your rate after the other car got a scratch so small you coulda fixed it with a pen. maybe you should take that pen and use it to sign up with a different insurance company. for drivers with accident forgiveness liberty mutual won t raise their rates because of their first accident. liberty mutual insurance. liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty oh! oh! ozempic®! (vo) people with type 2 diabetes are excited about the potential of once-weekly ozempic®. in a study with ozempic®, a majority of adults lowered their blood sugar and reached an a1c of less than seven and maintained it. oh! under seven? (vo) and you may lose weight. in the same one-year study, adults lost on average up to 12 pounds. oh! up to 12 pounds? (vo) a two-year study showed that ozempic® does not increase the risk of major cardiovascular events like heart attack, stroke, or death. oh! no increased risk? ozempic®! ozempic® should not be the first medicine for treating diabetes, or for people with type 1 diabetes or diabetic ketoacidosis. do not share needles or pens. don t reuse needles. do not take ozempic® if you have a personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer, multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2, or if you are allergic to ozempic®. stop taking ozempic® and get medical help right away if you get a lump or swelling in your neck, severe stomach pain, itching, rash, or trouble breathing. serious side effects may happen, including pancreatitis. tell your doctor if you have diabetic retinopathy or vision changes. taking ozempic® with a sulfonylurea or insulin may increase the risk for low blood sugar. common side effects are nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, stomach pain, and constipation. some side effects can lead to dehydration, which may worsen kidney problems. i discovered the potential with ozempic®. oh! oh! oh! ozempic®! of course, her time with president trump goes back to the apprentice as i mentioned. the white house not commenting specifically on the hush money claim or any of the rest of it but on the book in general, the press secretary sarah sanders says this. instead of telling the truth all the good president trump and his administration are doing to make america safe, prosperous, this book is riddled with lies and false accusations. she goes on it s sad that a disgruntled former white house employee is trying to profit off these false attacks and even worse that the media would give her a platform after not taking her seriously when she had only positive things to say about the president during her time in the administration. she was actually a guest on our program at that convention. and she talked just about that. times have changed since then. the book is coming out. she ll be on one of the sunday shows this weekend. and we ll learn the rest of the allegation pretty quick. a college basketball coach from wake forest has turned himself in after cops say he punched a stranger, who later died, in new york city. the wake forest assistant men s basketball coach jamil jones has now pleaded not guilty to misdemeanor assault. remember that misdemeanor assault. investigators say over the weekend jones punched a man who then fell, smashed his head on the sidewalk in long island city just across the east river, never regained consciousness and died. the victim was shandor somebody a bow in town for a family wedding. he is in the right in this picture. this photo taken hours before that punch which ended in death. police say he was looking for an uber driver after the wedding. it was all over the local papers here in new york city. he had gone up to a window and knocked on that window thinking maybe this is the uber, we re told. but banged on the window of that basketball coach. and cops say the coach got out, punched somebody punch sae away. we reached out to jones attorney and invited him to appear on this newscast. we haven t heard back yet. we did receive this statement earlier today from his attorney quoting the jones family stands by jamil and his legal right to be presumed innocent in what is, ultimately, a tragic incident. sabo s family took him off life support on tuesday. his mother donna kent joins us now from raleigh, north carolina. ms. kent, i m so very sorry for your loss. thank you. the punch resulted in a fall, which i understanding resulted in your son s death. and now the charge is assault. and what s your position on this? this is not assault. we were so shocked when they said it was an assault charge. when we went to see shsandor. this was a punch so hard that resulted in my son s teeth going through his lip. so for assault, immediately when they called us, they knew that sandor had passed. 99.9% sure he would never come back to us. the detective told us right when they saw sandor they knew it they treated it as a homicide immediately not as an assault. they said if they did an assault there wouldn t be that many people looking into it. we are grateful they felt it was a homicide from the very beginning and treated it that way u forehim to just have an assault charge was shocking and disappointing when you are. shepard: please, go ahead. when you are responsible for somebody s death. you hit them so hard you believe, don t show up again for five days and you think an assault is what you should be charged with? you are just wrong. and he knows it. shepard: i think there was great surprise here in the tri-state area to hear that this basketball coach had left with someone so visiblably hurt on the sidewalk and didn t even make a phone call, as far as we know. no, he didn t. no phone call. nothing. that s the least. shepard: tell us about sandor. sandor one person you hope you have a chance once in a lifetime chance to meet. he was so rare, so loving, caring, the most generous person you would ever meet. one of his friends said he wore his heart on his sleeve. if he loved you, you knew it he said even if you just liked the color of your shirt, he let you know. he made everybody feel good about themselves. if there was anything he was the first, without feeling put out to do it for you. he would rescue an animal in the middle of a highway. there was always something at 35 in our house that he was rescuing a lizard, a bird. he was just fun. so much fun to be around. he had the most incredible sense of humor. such a giver. he loved to dive, he loved to spear fish. he was an amazing cook. he was just the best. he is so creative he was at probably the best point in his life that he could be in. he was so happy. he was working for a media company where he was bringing accounts that were producing nothing just a year ago to producing hundreds of thousands of dollars in a year, accounts that people said would do nothing. he was like i m going to make this account for this person do something. so a hard worker, just didn t take anything for granted. but one thing we have got to say he lived life to the fullest. he lived so many lives. you know, i know god needed another angel. but i am just thankful that angel was given to me for such a short time because he was really special. shepard: miss cengt, deepest condolences to your family. thank you for being here and all the best. the news continues in a moment. right away. russia is warning the united states against ramping up sanctions against the russians. the russian prime minister telling the trump administration to stay away from his nation s banks or else. if something like a ban on bank operation or currency use follows it will amount to a declaration of economic war. and it will warrant the response with economic means, political means, and, if necessary, other means. our american friends should understand that. shepard: and they should understand they started a cyber war. the prime minister did not specify what he meant by other means. his comments coming a couple of days after the state department announced new penalties against russia for using a chemical weapon to try to kill a former spy and his daughter on british soil. both survived. and russia has denied playing any part in the poisoning as it denies playing any part in everything. the fox business network s blake burman is live at the white house this afternoon. blake? hi there, shepard. sanctions against russia for the poisoning of sergei skripal and his daughter won t be coming officially until about a couple of weeks away at some point later this month. but, russia appears to be more worried about what could potentially come down the line, at least 90 days from now in early november because the state department says that a potential second batch of sanctions could hit then and that could prohibit americans from making bank loans to certain russian entities. keep in mind as well, that there is also legislation bouncing around up on capitol hill that would target russian controlled banks. the number two inside russia, the prime minister there, dmitry medvedev saying today if that were to occur, that would essentially amount to what he described as economic war. the state department says the goal of sanctions is to change russia s actions on the world stage. we would like to have a better relationship with the russian government. recognizing that we have a lot of areas of mutual concern. it is a major country. we are a major country as well. and so whether you have that, you are forced to have to have conversations with other governments. and sanctions is a way that we can try to encourage better behavior on the part of government. state department also revealed just a little while ago that the secretary of state mike pompeo spoke today with his russian counterpart sergei lavrov. the state department says that conversation was in part about the sanctions. and we better relationship with russia. shepard: nortrussia. shepard: new york is claiminnorth korea isnot claimss is not living up to the bargain. north korea made a big show of blowing up a nuclear test site and last week they handed over what are believed to be the remains of american soldiers from the korean war. but, there have also been signs that north korea is actually expanding its nuclear weapons program instead of scaling it back. pyongyang is accusing some high level officials within the u.s. administration. and that s what they re saying, no names. just some high level officials within the u.s. administration of going against president trump s wishes and, quote, inciting international sanctions and pressure against north korea, even though the regime claims it has halted nuclear ballistic missile tests. national security advisor john bolton recently said that the united states has held up its end of the bargain answered blamed north korea for failing to take the necessary steps towards getting rid of its nukes. jeff mason is here. white house correspondent for reuters, usually with us from washington. good to see you here. good to be here, shep. shepard: i don t know who this is a surprise to that the north koreans are rolling on with their nukes, apparently they are and now they are mad at us. mad and being very clever how they express that anger by trying to sort of engender or lead to some divisions within the administration. those divisions are probably between ambassador bolton who said recently that north korea had knot done what it needed to to stop its nuclear weapons. and secretary pompeo who has been a little bit more open-minded, a little bit more urging of patience with north korea. shepard: is there a concern among any of those with whom you correspond that this will become a problem or is this just the same old north korea stall tactics? well, number one in terms of concern. president trump really wants this succeed. if there is concern, it s related to that bolton has a his history of being a real hawk with north korea. shepard: until about five minutes ago it seems like. his advisors have said his positions preadministration really don t matter very much because now that he is in the government he works for president trump. the fact that he was comfortable to say, look, north korea isn t doing what it needs to on its nuclear weapons, that shows that that hawkish nature is still there north korea is trying to sort of probably hone in on that and say look, this isn t what we sibsd up for in singapore. shepard: there was a time when was great hope at least in some quarters that this agreement, this meeting there together might produce something. and then when you looked at more closely by reporters and others, it appeared that the promises that the north koreans made mirrored promises they made to other administrations. that s exactly right. that s a criticism that president trump does not take well and does not want to hear. he feels strongly that they did something goodbye going to singapore. but there is some evidence that those agreements may have been, you know, not as far reaching as he would like. shepard: white house people have been in new jersey with the president for the last week or so, week and a half as he has been taking a working vacation. how is bedminster. it s fine. bedminster, new jersey, it s been fine. shepard: no golf, i m guessing. they say he is not even on vacation. shepard: i meant for y all. not for us. shepard: good to have you in new york. good to be here. shepard: see you soon, jeff. the case of the missing college student. mollie tibbets disappeared weeks ago now. a theory of what happened the night she went missing as we go through the time line. that s coming up. first survivorf alzheimer s disease is out there. and the alzheimer s association is going to make it happen. but we won t get there without you. join the fight with the alzheimer s association. can make you feel unstoppable. but mania, such as unusual changes in your mood, activity or energy levels, can leave you on shaky ground. help take control by talking to your doctor. ask about vraylar. vraylar is approved for the acute treatment of manic or mixed episodes of bipolar i disorder in adults. clinical studies showed that vraylar reduced overall manic symptoms. vraylar should not be used in elderly patients with dementia due to increased risk of death or stroke. call your doctor about fever, stiff muscles, or confusion, which may mean a life-threatening reaction, or uncontrollable muscle movements, which may be permanent. side effects may not appear for several weeks. high cholesterol and weight gain; high blood sugar, which can lead to coma or death; decreased white blood cells, which can be fatal; dizziness upon standing; falls; seizures; impaired judgment; heat sensitivity; and trouble swallowing may occur. you re more than just your bipolar i. ask about vraylar. this from jump and he is live in brooklyn, iowa. matt, what are you learning? shep, this afternoon the reward for mollie tibbets has grown to $332,000. crime stoppers tells us that s the largest award in his organization in iowa state history. they received 935 tips. a federal investigator on the ground in this case tells fox news that they are taking every one of these tips and leads seriously and, quote: have questioned everybody in this county. and, shepard, happening right now, we have these new pictures to show you, mollie tibbets father ron tibets is at the iowa state fair right now doing interviews and handing out fliers, using that attraction as an as an opportunity to raise awareness for his missing daughter. today there was a press conference scheduled. but the lead agency cancelled that press conference for the second time and that was a pretty big letdown because here on the ground investigators are not answering any questions to the media or to the public outside of these press conferences. so the press conferences become highly anticipated two in a row got cancelled. the lead agency in this investigation the iowa investigation of criminal investigation tells us that they cancelled today s press conference because they had nothing to offer the media and the public today. however, they do tell us they have a bit of information to give us on monday at that press conference. what that information is we will find out on monday. mollie tibbets was also a state champ in public speaking and speech. and we just did an interview with her coach and teacher that she was very close with. he calls her super responsible and a go-getter. here s what that teacher had to say. she was filled with confidence and strength. so she was able to kind of build herself up and try to build other people up. and i read that mollie was missing and it was like a gut punch. just one of those things where one of the people that you expected to be fine was not fine. now, shepard, you mentioned that fbi profiler who agrees with the family in the theory that polypotentially got into a car with someone she knows. that profiler is saying kidnapping mollie would have been a hard feat to pull off. if a kidnapper had kidnapped her he would have been noticed in this town. standing on the street where mollie tibbets was perhaps seen jogging. over this hill is interstate 80 and not too far away is highway 6. everyone in this case, including investigators, have acknowledged that there is the possibility that someone got interstate 80 or highway 6, ended up in this town and then something unfortunate happened. shep? shepard: matt finn on scene again for us today. thank you. wildfire alert. the smoke from the wildfire scorching california has now spread all the way across the country to the east coast. look at this image from the national weather service. i think we have one. do we? oh, we can t get it up right now. we will get it for you. if not we will post it online. here s the thing. the smoke has traveled about 3,000 miles and in that image from the national weather service, you can see it s covering a really large part of the country. meantime, a court date today for the man investigators say started one of the fires in southern california. a fire chief reportedly said the suspect sent him threatening emails last week including one that read this place will burn. our chief correspondent jonathan hunt live near that fire in ellisonor california. about 60 miles northeast of downtown l.a. hello, jonathan. shep, this fire is bad and it s likely to get worse. the winds have been calm so far today. in the last 30 minutes they have really started kicking up. that is very bad news for the more than 1,000 firefighters on the front lines here. what they are battling are the flames up in the hills here. part of the cleveland national forest. and all day we have watched as spot fires have broken out here just a couple of hundred yards above the residential neighborhood we re standing in. they have been trying to knock them down with a fleet of fixed wing aircraft and helicopters. up to our right now as we look at tommy spins our camera here you can see one of those water-dropping helicopters going. in that is the long hose hanging beneath it that sucks up the water into the belly of the helicopter when it goes over nearby lake elsinore. you see it hovering one of the big spot fires. it s about to drop its water on to that as it goes in to the clouds of smoke right there. this is an ongoing fight. it is difficult one, shep. and as i say, all day they have been trying to knock down these flames but as these winds begin to kick up again now, clearly they have got a fight on their hand. and the cleveland national forest, which is the lead agency in battling this plays, actually tweeted today, shep, that they simply, quote: cannot get ahead of this fire. clearly, a long, long way to go for the firefighters and the residents of lake elsinore. shepard: what else do you know about this arson suspect, jonathan? right. he is 51 years old. forest clark. he was supposed to appear in court yesterday. he refused to leave his cell. he was finally arraigned today and charged with deliberately starting this fire. in the days after the fire just began, shep, he has a cabin up in the woods. firefighters were you present in his cabin trying to save it we have video of him coming out by rating those firefighters, accusing them of stealing money from his property. and talking of money, shep, at his arraignment, which just wrapped up, he asked if he could pay his $1 million bail immediately. and he said, quote: i can handle a million right now easily. not clear if he was joking but the holy fire is anything but a laughing matter today, shep. shepard: jonathan huntington on scene. jonathan, thank you. well, i want to show you, i mentioned this satellite picture or this image from the national weather service. here it is now. that is not clouds. that s the smoke headed west to east. see that the whole yellow area and then the splotches of green making its way toward, i don t know, sort of through arkansas and then up its way over into kentucky and all the way to the east coast. that s all smoke from that fire. i was surprised by it i checked on it the national weather service said that s what it is. american hero died trying to save a fellow soldier. now we are seeing video from his incredible story as the military gives him its highest honor. motorcycle revvin motorcycle revving no matter who rides point, there are over 10,000 allstate agents riding sweep. and just like tyrone taylor, they know what it takes to help keep you protected. are you in good hands? 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yeah, people are very, very aware of what happened back in the 1990s. remember currency no one ever heard of called the tybot asian financial crisis. spread around the globe. people lost a lot of money in stock markets. you are seeing the contagion affect already. we have the emerging market currencies in south africa carkcurrencies in south after south africa, brazil, spanish eye tall i can t believe and european banks have loaned a lot of money to turkey they can t pay it back because it s gotten more expensive. what happens to their holdings? shepard: not getting better. not getting better. shepard: thank you susan. susan li from the biz. remember golden tickets and willy wonka from the chocolate factory? do you? mcdonald s could give you mcy d s forever. one for the college kid doughs. results are in for america s top party wbr id= wbr30500 /> school. i can tell you who is not there finally. drink miller lite thirsty thursday can i get pizza dollar a slice /b> going through august 24th. download mcdonald s new app. and make an order, you can be entered to win one of these free gold cards. each get you a 24 karat plated iphone cases for whatever phone have you. which can you use for about a year until the next phone comes out and then you have to trash it but it will get you free mcdonald s for life. restrictions apply. that means two meals a week for 50 years. so, it ends up being about $35,000. shepard: that s all this promotion costs them? yes. you would be joining the ranks of rob lowe on jimmy kimmel live he showed his gold card. that s what it looks like in case you forgot. first gold card ever was given to the mayor of st. louis back in 1965 when they built the great golden arch. they also warren buffet told cnbc he had one but it only was for stores in omaha. he said bill gates has got one for anywhere in the world. of course they need the free mcdonald s more than anybody. the king of sweden as well has got one. you you would be joining that crew which is very exciting. shepard: do that if you want. thank you, lily. on this day in 1846. congress passed legislation to create the mitt sownian institution. nearly 20 years earlier a british scientist died leaving his fortune to the united states. he said he wanted the money to help increase and spread knowledge here. james smithian had no ties to america at all. never even visited. a lot of people were surprised by his dying wish. today the smithsonian institution includes 19 museums, the national zoo, and research centers all around the world after congress made good on a generous gift from a stranger 172 years ago today. should news break out, we ll break in because breaking news changes everything on fox news channel. right after this newscast, you can campbell us on facebook watch for a fox news update which we provide live every afternoon just about this time. probably about four minutes or so from now. your world with neil cavuto is coming up. trib region again is in right after a quick commercial break. be up for life. when the guy in frontd down the highway slams on his brakes out of nowhere. you do, too, but not in time. hey, no big deal. you ve got a good record and liberty mutual won t hold a grudge by raising your rates over one mistake. you hear that, karen? 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