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The inflation fight has stalled and the first rate cut won't happen until December, Bank of America says

"The acceleration of inflation this year makes a cut prior to December challenging, in our view," the team led by Michael Gapen said in the note.

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Bank of Canada Sees Budding Optimism Despite Weak Demand

(Bloomberg) -- Business sentiment is improving in Canada and fewer companies are expecting a recession, taking some pressure off policymakers as they debate when to cut interest rates.Most Read from BloombergErdogan Suffers Historic Loss in Turkey Municipal ElectionsTesla Has Wall Street Worried About How Many Cars It Just SoldGold Retreats From Record as US Factory Data Spurs Fed DebateUS Oil Suppliers Muscling Into OPEC+ Markets All Over the WorldTrump Media Erases Debut Surge as Filings Show

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Morning Bid: Inflation thermometer tops market dashboard

In an illustration of just how quickly this year's slightly hotter inflation readings so far can feed consumer expectations, the New York Federal Reserve's latest household survey might be another red flag at the central bank. Longer-run household inflation expectations deteriorated in February, the Fed survey showed. Even though the Fed is no longer expected to execute its first interest rate cut later this month - futures have shifted to an 80% chance of a June move instead - a lot rides on today's consumer price inflation readout for February.

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NZ central bank holds rates, flags less hawkish policy track

WELLINGTON (Reuters) -New Zealand's central bank held the cash rate steady at 5.5% on Wednesday and trimmed the forecast peak for rates, catching markets by surprise as policymakers said the risks to the inflation outlook have become more balanced. The decision was in line with expectations from 28 economists in a Reuters poll with all but one forecasting the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) would leave the cash rate at a 15-year high for the fourth consecutive meeting. Global central banks, led by the Federal Reserve, have recently pushed back against market expectations for an early start to rate cuts given persistent inflationary pressures.

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Consumer confidence slips in February as anxiety over potential recession surprisingly reappears

American consumers are feeling less confident this month as concerns over a possible recession grew despite most recent data pointing to a healthy U.S. economy. The Conference Board, a business research group, said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index fell to 106.7 from a revised 110.9 in January. A reading under 80 often signals an upcoming recession.

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Euro zone inflation expectations edge up for the year ahead: ECB

Inflation expectations among euro zone consumers rose for the year ahead and held steady for three years out, a new survey by the European Central Bank showed on Friday, adding to evidence that the final stage of taming price growth may be difficult. Inflation came down rapidly last year and now stands just below 3%, but the ECB said it could take more than another year to get it down to its 2% target, despite a record string of interest rate hikes and anaemic economic growth. Median expectations for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.3% in January from 3.2% December, while expectations for three years ahead remained unchanged at 2.5%, the ECB said, based on a survey of 19,000 adults in 11 euro zone countries.

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BOE Policymaker Greene Signals She Is Not Ready to Back Rate Cuts Yet

(Bloomberg) -- Bank of England policymaker Megan Greene said she needs more evidence that UK inflation is becoming less entrenched before she can back interest-rate cuts.Most Read from BloombergNvidia Surges After Company Proclaims AI Has Hit 'Tipping Point'Biden Touts $1.2 Billion in Student Loan Relief With Eye to 2024China Tightens Grip on Stocks With Net Sale Ban at Open, CloseYour 401(k) Will Be Gone Within a DecadeWhy Are There Suddenly So Many Car Washes?Speaking on Thursday, Greene said

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Turkey Holds Rates First Time Since May as New Chief Takes Over

(Bloomberg) -- The Turkish central bank shifted to more hawkish guidance after keeping interest rates on hold for the first time since May, as it moves forward under a new governor who took over earlier this month.Most Read from BloombergNvidia Set for Biggest Gain in Nine Months as AI Drives SalesBiden Touts $1.2 Billion in Student Loan Relief With Eye to 2024China Tightens Grip on Stocks With Net Sale Ban at Open, CloseYour 401(k) Will Be Gone Within a DecadeWhy Are There Suddenly So Many Car

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New Turkish Central Banker Toughens Rate Message With Hikes Over

(Bloomberg) -- The Turkish central bank shifted to more hawkish guidance after keeping interest rates on hold for the first time since May, as it moves forward under a new governor who took over earlier this month.Most Read from BloombergNvidia Rises Most in About Nine Months as AI Drives SalesBiden Touts $1.2 Billion in Student Loan Relief With Eye to 2024China Tightens Grip on Stocks With Net Sale Ban at Open, CloseShe Was Set to Break Goldman’s Glass Ceiling. Now Beth Hammack Is LeavingYour 4

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BOK to keep policy rate unchanged until Q3 despite easing inflation

The Bank of Korea will keep its key policy rate on hold for a ninth consecutive meeting on Feb. 22, according to all economists polled by Reuters, who stuck to their long-held view the first rate cut would come in the third quarter. Despite inflation declining to a six-month low in January, most Bank of Korea board members see the need for monetary policy to stay restrictive for some time to bring it down to the bank's 2.0% target. Although BOK Governor Rhee Chang-yong said any premature rate cuts could reignite inflation expectations, a cumulative 300 basis points of hikes between August 2021 and January 2023 could pose a significant threat to highly indebted households.

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