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FBC Varney Company July 13, 2024

The economy, pretty much at a dead stop until may, maybe longer. The market is looking to the other side of the virus problem and surely welcomes more financial help. However, stocks are ending the worst month since 2008 and the dow will open lower this morning, off maybe 140 points. Similar story for the s p and for the nasdaq. A down opening bell today. The price of oil, well, that remains at depression levels. This morning we are in the low 20 per barrel and the average price of gasoline, you got to look at this, the National Average gas price has dropped below 2 a gallon. 1. 99, thats your number this morning. The price is dropping about two cents a day but so what . Demand has cratered, the roads are empty, and few people are taking advantage of dirtcheap gas. Now, this caused a stir yesterday. The u. S. Navy hospital ship arrived in new york and was greeted by crowds of onlookers. They were breaking social distancing rules ....

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FBC Varney Company July 13, 2024

Some of the democrats wish list has been taken out but the Kennedy Center for performing arts still gets 25 million and there is a provision which limits the response of Small Businesses to union action. Surely at times like this we should be able to pass a clean bill without measures that have nothing to do with rescuing the economy. It is a 900 page bill. We are still going through it. We are looking for the pork. Now look at the markets. There is virtually no reaction to those really bad jobless numbers. We will open with a very small loss, maybe go to the plus column at the time we open up. Right now we are looking at a 57point loss, 67 points for the dow industrials. Remember, please, this follows backtoback trading sessions where stocks went up. Some think that is a sign of at least a shortterm bottom. Well see. Again, the dow is now down 70. S p down 13. Nasdaq down ....

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FBC Varney Company July 13, 2024

Stabilize and support the financial system, support and rescue. Its moving quickly. On the ground, it is grim. 22 states have deployed the national guard. The virus is now infected all 50 states and d. C. And this is a first, kansas closes all schools for the rest of the school year. Its beginning to sink in that many of us will be confined to our homes for weeks and millions will not be getting a paycheck. You are waking up to an anxious america. Theres an eerie feeling when you see empty cities, shuttered businesses and a country thats really grinding to a halt. Now the markets. Limit down before the opening bell. We might be 5 or 6 down in early trading. Remember, if the s p goes down 7 trading is halted for 15 minutes. We have already seen that twice. The dow, s p, nasdaq limit down, big red arrows right there. Look at this. The yield on the tenyear treasury is now 1. 12 . So money is coming out, repeat, out of treasuries. Why is that . In part because some investors have to cover ....

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FBC Varney Company July 13, 2024

And up to 200,000 deaths. The president listening to his medical advisers and he has adjusted policy. The social distancing rules will be extended until april 30th. Therefore, the shutdown of the economy will continue well beyond easter. The president says the recovery will start by june 1st. On the markets, expect continued volatility. We have certainly seen that already today. At one point early this morning, futures showed a loss of a couple hundred points. Now we are looking at a gain at the opening bell of a couple hundred points. That would be almost 1 . A similar gain, better gain, actually, for the nasdaq, up about 1. 25 and the s p also up over 1 . A rally at the opening bell. Investors seem to like the idea of more pain now so we get out of it faster. The other big financial story is the price of oil. This is apart from the virus. This is the price of oil. Look at it. Its down to 20 a barrel. Earlier it hit 19. 20. 48 is the price right now. The saudis have declared war on
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FBC Varney Company July 13, 2024

Continues on a global scale. A worldwide their market, the 11 year bull run here is over. The dow is heading to the 22,000 level. A month ago it was 29,000. It is the fastest selloff in history. The s p will hit bear market territory at the open today, down 20 from the february high, the same story with the nasdaq. More money is still moving into safe treasury securities pushing the yield down to 0. 69 as of right now. The latest news on the virus brings its impact home to all of us. Sport dramatically affected. The nba has suspended the season indefinitely. A few days ago they banned reporters from locker rooms. Now the whole sport is shutdown. The Seattle Mariners will not be playing any home games. The early baseball season is in question. There will be an announcement later on the nhl. Social distancing is apparent across the country. You can see it and businesses are feeling it. Theres a long list of conference and meeting ....

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