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uploaded each day. official es will continue counting through the weekend and will get through most but not all of the outstanding votes by monday. >> john king is with me at the magic wall. show us right now why arizona is so critically important. >> number one, critically important to the balance of power in the senate. if you come back out to the full map and see that's 50/50. this is the current balance of power in terms of leading in the races. in the races we've called it's 49/48. democrats only 50 because they have vice president harris to break the tie. you have it right now. the republicans have 49 seats. so, the republicans need two of these three, nevada, arizona, and georgia. georgia run off is december 6th. these will be settled in the next cupouple of days. so, they're critical, absolutely critically important because if the democrats -- if the democrats can win them both, that gets the democrats to 50. and this would be to get to 51. if the democrats can win both of
kari lake seems to be hanging in there against katie hobbs. like nevada, there is a lot of vote out there still and a lot of that is in tucson in the south and maricopa county in phoenix, 60% of the voters are there in arizona from maricopa county. quick senate what if, where we think we are and where we might be headed. 49/48gop. if nevada stays -- goes read it would be a flip to 50-48. if masters is unable to come back in arizona heading into december 6th in the runoff here. down in georgia here if herschel walker wins, the red team is up one, okay? if we flip it around and give the state of georgia to warnock, we are back exactly where we
screen. now, at exactly 50%. just 4000 votes ahead of the republican incumbent, ron johnson, at 49.48%. our friends at the magic wall will give us a sense of what -- how we may see this move in a couple of hours with 50% of the vote in in wisconsin. let's check in on jake tapper's commonwealth of pennsylvania. also mine. john fetterman, 49.8%, now below 50%, mehmet oz, 47.7%. this race really tightening up as we have been expecting all night. about 75% -- but 75,000 votes separate them right now, right now you can expect a really long time counting this race. 64% of the vote in in pennsylvania right now. and i do want to check in on arizona, this has been a critical battleground as well. mark kelly, the incumbent democrats. sitting at 58.1%. he's got accountable early lead over blake masters, the republican at 39.6%. i do want to point out, katie hobbs is sitting at 57% in the governor's race.
let's jump to nevada, a race in which the incumbent is slightly trailing the republican at 49/48 but well within the margin of error. nevada is a state that although democrats have won, trump was able to improve upon in 2016 and 2020. let's look at pennsylvania. pennsylvania is a race that i think everybody has been watching. the incumbent pat toomey decided to retire, john fetterman against mehmet oz. oz was well down in this race but he has been closing, closing, and right now this race is dead even just before election day. >> you saw president biden, president obama, and president trump all in pennsylvania this weekend. what about georgia because of course we know we have a close race there between herschel walker and raphael warnock. >> a candidate needs a majority
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contention. you move over here, now you're looking at prince william county. this was red just a few minutes ago. now he's swung back to blue. we're only at 16%. this one here, watch this one to see if it goes back and forth. if ralph northam can keep prince william blue, he's probably the next governor of virginia. you see it right now at 3%, one of the most eerie things for ed gillespie has to be he's lived this night before. in the sense he was the senate nominee. let's go back to 2014. 49/48, he just barely lost a race, surprisingly close to the democrat mark warner. remember that night? ed gillespie ran it up early here. he was leading most of the night. he was leading in some of this d.c. suburbs, and then most of them, not all, but most of them went back to blue. ed gillespie was able to carry louden county, but just barely. watch that as the night goes on. and prince william county, i just showed you, ed gillespie was leading for a lot of the night and he barely lost. if you're ed gillespie, you're
he can't do that now. you have can't go negative now. >> bob: are you suggesting that romney hasn't attacked obama negatively? one thing we should point out today the independent committee for both sides went over billion in spending. that means you have $3 billion spent on the presidential race. unbelievable. >> kimberly: it is unbelievable. where is it getting them in the end? >> dana: the npr poll that came out today has the two candidates at 49/48. the interesting thing about the poll, i thought, bob, i don't know if you had a chance to look at it there with auz an eight-point swing for romney in the poll from npr. >> kimberly: the important point is obama is losing ground since the piv the first debate where people got a chance to see who romney is and what he stands for. that is true. >> bob: made progress but it's been frozen. >> dana: he is lucky he has good governors in place. >> greg: the real question is will the media use a natural disaster to prevent a political one? >> dana: great point. >> kimberly: i believe you said that and the answer is yes. >> greg: i try to sum things
hold back, wait to see what happens and then move forward. >> let me correct something. i was told it is restore our future, putting the $2 million ad. >> the pro mitt romney super pac. >> the latest "washington post"/abc tracking poll, 49/48, mitt romney by a point which is -- >> we've had for the last three days of tracks we've had it 49 romney, 48 obama. it's a statistical tie. we haven't had it any more of a three-point difference. >> we checked with the department of labor, and contrary to some reports including one of the major newspapers on-line there is no problem with the jobs report, the jobs report for good or bad is coming on friday. >> which -- >> they've collected the data. >> which we all thought was going to be the big thing before the election, was this last jobs report. now it's a secondary story by far compared to the storm. >> chris cizilla, thank you so much for everything. >> sure. >> and hurricane sandy is gaining steam. this massive storm is now targeting the eastern seaboard. we'll be live next right here on
monday, andrea, four days of interviews, and on monday among likely voters we had it obama 49, romney 48. on tuesday -- that was the friday through monday interviews. we had it romney 49/obama 48. what does that tell me? it tells me the race is very, very close and yes, "the washington post" does key for that astute analysis. i think we have to be careful not to make too much of slight movements. we're doing these tracking polls because i think it's fascinating to watch the last couple weeks how things play out, but 49/48, will 48/49 it's close nationally. keep your eye on the swing states. one swing state in particular we talk about it almost every day you and i, andrea, ohio. that's the state that mitt romney has to find a way to get back in front of barack obama in. >> mark your any chicago obviously talking to campaign officials there. want to take you behind the scenes and ask, if you have any better understanding of this
the obama team was quick to pounce on the last stats calling the "usa today" poll flawed and inaccurate. in this guest spot today politi politico's reporter james hol n holman. they have mitt romney ahead in ten battleground states. when romney was down, all we heard from some republicans is the polls were flawed. now that gallup has romney ahead, the obama campaign is complaining about polls. how are voters supposed to make heads or tails of these numbers? >> well, the races remain shockingly static. the numbers are so stubborn. we've been polling every single week, and even before the debate it was basically what it is now. the top line number nationally not looking at the swing states, obama is still ahead 49/48.