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World Business Report

world. live now to jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. what do you make of the scale of what's been announced in china? 0ne one of disappointment, the market has been clamouring for a more substantial amount of stimulus from china get again the market is disappointed, it is quite confusing for the market because we have had this interest rate cut but it is a very small interest rate cut not as big as the market was expecting and it is not crucially on the interest rate that guides mortgages. that is a sector which is under intense pressure, we have seen property prices falling in china, that is quite unusual, we have seen property developers under significant amounts of pressure, and as property prices fall, that has a negative wealth effect which means people are likely to spend less, and so consumption is down, demand is down and on the back of that, we have seen

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World Business Report

regulate the technology. do let me know where you stand. join me know where you stand. join me on twitterfor the discussion. me on twitter for the discussion. they have a tweet from a writer saying they worry ai will flood the fiction market. hope that al generated work will be labelled to help readers make informed decisions when are buying a book. let me know what your thoughts are on that. let's talk about a story that. let's talk about a story that has been around for a while, hanging around a lot longer than people had hoped. uk inflation. according to andrew bailey it will take a lot longer to come down than expected. that was the warning from the bank of england. we may continue to raise rates at the meeting next week. live now to jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. andrew bailey pointed to a tight labour market by way of explanation as to why inflation is persistently high. what does he mean by that and is he right? he is right, it is not the only contribution to high inflation but it is a significant one. by that we mean it is difficult

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BBC News

as far as previously thought. last month inflation slowed to 10.1% but that figure is still way above the bank of england's target. remember that target isjust bank of england's target. remember that target is just 2%. it is proving to be pretty sticky in the words of some market watchers. jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. i hope you can hear me because that picture looks frozen. talk to me about what we have heard today, not wholly unexpected but nonetheless interest rates on the way up to trying to tame inflation.- trying to tame inflation. yeah, absolutely- — trying to tame inflation. yeah, absolutely. and _ trying to tame inflation. yeah, absolutely. and that's - trying to tame inflation. yeah, absolutely. and that's right, i trying to tame inflation. yeah, l absolutely. and that's right, and probably going up further again. in fact, we had the story from the bank of england today of this higher for longer scenario and that's because the forecast for inflation will be higher than previously thought and growth too. growth higher. but before we get excited, growth pretty close to that zero level, so not an awful lot in terms of growth, but

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World Business Report

joining me now is jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. as we say all the time, markets go as we say all the time, markets 9° up, as we say all the time, markets go up, they go down. currently they are going down, what is happening when it comes to what investors believe the federal do this year? i! investors believe the federal do this year?— investors believe the federal do this year? if we go back to january when _ do this year? if we go back to january when we _ do this year? if we go back to january when we had - do this year? if we go back to january when we had a - do this year? if we go back to january when we had a pretty| january when we had a pretty good month for stocks and other risky assets the market wasn�*t really believing what the fed was saying so the fed has been really consistent for quite a while in suggesting that rates may have to stay higher for longer but injanuary the market thought we see some signs of slowdown in the us economy and perhaps the bed will be cutting interest rates before the end of this year but in february we have seen stronger than expected us economic data and the markets have just come around to the view that may be the fed is right and maybe it is going to remain hawkish and rates will stay higher for remain hawkish and rates will stay higherfor longer, remain hawkish and rates will stay higher for longer, so a bit of a grim day as you

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World Business Report

the move was widely expected, the reserve bank of australia saying it is expect more rate rises would be required in coming months, this is all about trying to tame iron patient, a problem in many countries around the world, despite the increased cost of living australia is yet to see a noticeable fall in household spending, which is interesting. rates have gone up in australia again today. they say cash is king but that's not on the minds of the bank of england and the treasury. they are teaming up to create a state—backed digital pound that could be launched later this decade. both institutions want to fend off a big tech competitor and ensure the public has access to safe money that is easy to use in the digital age. joining me now is jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank.

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World Business Report

the economy tries to recover. growth in china has sagged this year, largely impacted by the uncompromising covid—i9 curbs as global demand has also wavered. joining me now is jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. how important will china's covid policy be to shaping global inflation next year? it is going to be really very significant. for instance if we look at that producer price inflation, that was negative again in november but if we look beyond that and we look to some prices of these key inputs, so for instance, iron ore which is crucial for steel ore which is crucial for steel or copper which is crucial for housebuilding and so many other goods too, we see that those prices have already gone higher in the market and this is because the market is anticipating that as china reopens there will be greater demand for that but there is one commodity which i think is going to be really important particularly for europe and thatis particularly for europe and that is liquid gas, lng. that has been weaker but as china reopens, is there going to be more competition for that? and that could be really important in 2023 as europe tries to refill its gas storage stations

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World Business Report

the pound but the detail is not on that particular screen, when i looked at it months ago the pound was buying just over $1 13 cents, fairly steady versus the dollar and up slightly versus euro. joining me now is jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. will be no by the end of the day who our prime ministers? if we do know by the end of the day that will be a relief to the markets, it is rishi sunak thatis the markets, it is rishi sunak that is a relief to the markets, there is some uncertainty about that we don't know how many votes penny mordaunt has got, the contest is still there, it does seem rishi sunak has quite a significant chance of moving ahead as the premiership which is something deemed as a positive outcome as far as stirling and gilt is concerned. in terms of his economic

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World Business Report

others plans. joining me now is jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. vote good morning to you. whilst all this is playing out and we are getting the daily headlines about their promises, about their changes to tax policies, he found it on the move, we've got the bank of england positioning itself for its latest decision on thursday. give us your thoughts on the impact all this is having. on the impact all this is having-— on the impact all this is havinu. ., , having. well, of course if we do aet having. well, of course if we do get more _ having. well, of course if we do get more tax _ having. well, of course if we do get more tax cuts, - having. well, of course if we do get more tax cuts, that l having. well, of course if we do get more tax cuts, that is good for growth but it is also something which could boost inflation too. various models are beginning to come out now, saying yes, we will see an extra boost for inflation if these tory party leaders to cut taxes, with respect to liz truss. i think cnet generally a bit more prudent in his forecast. now that could mean that the bank of england ends up that the bank of england ends up cutting interest rates more

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World Business Report

this device may be familiar to many of you. it may have accompanied you during workouts or during your commute. but it's now the end of the road for apple's ipod. the company announced on tuesday that its discontinuing the ipod touch , the last model produced by apple. the first ipod was launched in 2001 and the device has been widely praised for revolutionising how people listen to music. joining me now is jane foley, head of fx strategy, rabobank. jane — do you remember yourfirst ipod? ido,i i do, i don't have to remember it because i have it right here! this is probably about 20 years old and like many people, the phone really has been

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