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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

take from past i would results that is instructive on what you're looking for tonight? >> number one is trump's hold on the party. he lost iowa in 2016 but that was the first act in his hostile takeover of the republic and party. it is his party now. the three places i might be watching tonight. i will circle them and i will tell you why. we come in here and we go out here. why am i picking these places? let's go back to 2016. ted cruz won iowa. just barely. 28%. let me start in the west. this is one of the places donald trump won. not by a lot but four point over ted cruz. one question is in these conservative places, nebraska, south dakota. does trump build on what he did in 2016? has he solidified? how much has he grown? that is a big question for me tonight. then we come into the middle of the state. look at these counties?

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

those are counties won by marco rubio. he won here. not by a lot he won. if nikki haley is going to surprise us tonight, it's going to come from the rubio places, the suburbs. that is one place i will be watching tonight. i want to come over the eastern part of the state. can donald trump rebuild his support amongst suburbanites? to do that, you have to start with republicans. davenport, the suburbs around in 2016. trump came in at a close second. that is where donald trump suffered in the suburbs. do we see any seeds for trump in these places? >> work and be watching all this places and 96 more. live pictures out of iowa where across the state, the weather is going to have a huge

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

desantis to try and become the one who is competing with former president trump throughout the rest of the republican primary. now one of the things that haley's camp felt was important today was the fact that she got out, and she actually saw voters here in iowa. in a number of events across the state, all within driving distance to des moines, of course, because the weather has been so awful over the last few days, they didn't want to get stuck in another part of the state. but one of the things that surprised me when i was at those events earlier today is that there were a number of undecided voters who were in the audience. they were listening to nikki haley. some of them are looking at new hampshire. they see she has momentum there. that's one of the reasons they're thinking about supporting her here, because it could boost her into new hampshire in a really formidable way. but not all iowans feel that way, of course. some said that iowans make their own decisions, and nikki haley telling them over the course of the last few days that iowa is going to set the tone for the republican primary.

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

has put in is going to pay off. they believe they have a ground game here that is built to withstand the conditions. they have 1600 precinct captains. they have someone registered and signed up to speak, including lawmakers from back in florida, long-time friends, people who have worked for him for years, they'll be speaking at caucuses, trying to convince republicans that it's time to vote for them. he is also offering rides to people to get to the caucus sites. i've been told from one campaign official, quote, if it means shoveling a driveway, we will do it. they may have to do it in parts of the state like cedar rapids. it is cold here. it is negative 15 degrees outside. the roads are very icy. parts of des moines that we have visited, the streets are plowed. around here there are still roads that are very slick. we've talked to people who have had trouble getting their cars started, tires blown out. it's going to be an obstacle for his campaign, but they believe they have the infrastructure to do it. wolf, back to you. >> thanks very much teen

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

typically, there are speeches given on representatives from the various candidates who say vote for this person, vote for that person. then people vote in secret on paper ballots. the gop rules say you have to be a republican or registered republican to take part in this, even though you can register at the site if you want to tonight. but this is very much a party activity. not a state activity. now, what happens afterward? usually somebody gets a majority. that person is declared more or less the winner in the state. but this is not a winner take all proposition. it is proportional. so when you look at the 40 iowa delegates they're competing for tonight, this many total delegates are at stake, this many are needed to win the nomination nationally. so if you get a proportion of this, you're just getting a tiny start on what you need to win the nomination. nonetheless, it is considered an important measure of where you stand. although we should note that when you look in the past, look at the winners of recent iowa

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

been traversing the state. she continued to do that today. one of the interesting things about nikki haley is her husband is deployed overseas. he is in the south carolina national guard. while she is here preparing with her daughter and her son, she is not here with michael. she has not been able to speak to him today. listen to how she described that. >> he is in the middle of a lot of stuff. as you know the world is on fire. he has not had access to communication for a few days. >> even today? >> no. our hope is that we are going to hear from him. i pray that he comes home to us safely. i know he is part of me and i am proud of him. >> we know as jessica was saying earlier that nikki haley and ron desantis are really battling it out in iowa for

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

it's also a conservative state. and as we've seen, almost half of nikki haley's supporters are democrats and independents that are not going to come out in a republican primary. ron desantis has the proven credentials as a conservative, and he is the only candidate that can unify the party of both trump supporters and people that would like to go a different direction, move forward, and fix this country for once and for all. >> james uthmeier, let's stay in close touch. thank you so much for joining us. >> thank you for having me. i appreciate it. >> this important note to our viewers, tomorrow night i'll be moderating a cnn town hall with ron desantis live from new hampshire. that will start at 9:00 p.m. eastern tomorrow night. and coming up, trump may be marching towards victory in iowa, but what about his support nationwide? john king is standing by at the magic wall for us. plus, ron desantis really stepping up his attacks on trump today. listen. >> but if you don't kiss that ring, then he'll try to trash

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

given the money wall street supporters have pumped into the state. >> i notice governor desantis will take an unconventional path after iowa, planning to hit governor haley's home state of south carolina instead of straight to new hampshire. the next primary state, as all of us know. why is that? what message are you trying to send there? >> yeah, we're going to hit south carolina en route to new hampshire. you know, we're certainly not skipping new hampshire. the governor's message of freedom and liberty resonates very, very well in that state. but south carolina has a lot of similarities to iowa. there is a strong faith and family presence. the governor does very, very well there. we've got crowds exceeding capacity at our event space. we've got a strong ground game there. we believe our message is going to resonate very, very well. and, you know, nikki haley, you got to win your home state if you're going win the nomination. i don't think that's going to happen. and unfortunately, that's going to be the end of the road for her.

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

advisers. essentially, saying they didn't believe the margin was as large as those polls were showing. again, they do believe he is going win, but how big is that margin going to be? they are hoping for a definitive win in these caucuses tonight. but, again, right now they feel like we have done everything we can. we have put the pieces in place. now we just wait and see what the results are. >> all right, kristen, thank you. let's go now to steve in cedar rapids where ron desantis will be taking the stage at his last event of the day before the votes are cast in a few moments. steve, where is his campaign right now, and how are they prepared for tonight? how are they going spend the evening? >> erin, ron desantis stepped foot for the first time in his life in iowa in march of last year. he has since touched nearly every corner of the state, been to every single county, has had more than 100 stops. this visit today at the sports bar in cedar rapids, this will be his final campaign stop in the state of iowa, and they are really hoping that that work he

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

>> it can tell us quite a bit actually. so where are trump's supports? let me do two fingers for if first time. we'll come across the top and bottom. let's go back and take a look at 2016. this is the first election for donald trump, right. his hostile takeover of the republican party beginning. what happened within those lines? that's ted cruz and donald trump, splitting rural evangelicals, farmers, they split it. donald trump splits it with ted cruz. ted cruz wins the state. donald trump comes in a close second, goes on to new hampshire and the rest is history. well, those lines also matter when you come forward. let's look at 2016. let's look at the presidential election. what happened in those same areas? that's trump country. rural america becomes trump country. that matters in wisconsin. that matters in michigan. that matters in pennsylvania. that matters in georgia. and so rural america becomes trump country. that's 2016. it happens again in 2020. rural america is trump country. so yes, iowa is a red state. it's more conservative, more white than the rest of america, but we still learn some

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