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Why the Fed is Wrong About 'transitory' Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::

Why the Fed is Wrong About 'transitory' Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::
marketoracle.co.uk - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from marketoracle.co.uk Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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The Federal Reserve and Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::

The Federal Reserve and Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::
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Fed Offers No Holiday from Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::

Heading into Memorial Day weekend, American motorists will see the highest prices at the pump since 2014, according to AAA. Gas prices now average $3.04 a gallon nationally – reflecting a jump of more than $1.00 compared to the same time last year.
A rising gasoline price is just one of many emerging symptoms of a larger inflation problem:
A lack of housing inventory, low interest rates, and surging costs for building materials are pushing home prices through the roof.
Billionaire Warren Buffett recently complained that he is seeing significant inflation pressures throughout the supply chains of businesses he owns.
Beef is becoming increasingly unaffordable for many grocery shoppers, and rising food costs are forcing already beleaguered restaurants to hike menu prices. ....

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The Case for Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::

overstimulation risk will far exceed the “output gap” shown in the latest Congressional Budget Office economic projections.
What is an output gap? Gross Domestic Product measures (or at least tries to) economic growth. Economists also calculate “potential GDP,” which is how much the economy
could grow, if every available worker and other resource were fully employed.
Inflation tends to occur when actual GDP exceeds potential GDP because the economy is “running hot.” An output gap is when it goes the other way, with the economy operating well below its potential. That’s what we see in recessions.
Of course, all this involves numerous assumptions. GDP itself has problems, too, but it’s still a useful framework for analysis. Government and central bank policy should aim to keep the economy running roughly in line with its potential: not too hot, not too cold. ....

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