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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120106:00:07:00

john mccain was there. and it looked like the kind of stop where mitt romney wanted to come to south carolina and say, i'm not forgetting you. i'm here. look at me. i brought along the guy who won the south carolina primary four years ago. i hear he is making a few calls around the state. and i think they are putting their foot in the water and trying to figure out how they can get a leg up. they are also realizing, communicated with tlem today, and they tell me that they are under no illusions that in their view it is an uphill battle but they will make a strong showing as possible sb erin. >> so what do you think about how this will go? because you can make the argument as they did. they don't need to win it. but as gloria pointed out, no one ever won the nomination without it. >> look be with you got to play south carolina. it is an important state and much more complex than the stereotype. i'm biassed, my folks live there. but he can complete there. there are a lot of plis conceptions about south

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120106:00:02:00

about a month old. wisdom is that he wouldn't and didn't need to win south carolina. the vibe changed. now people see it as a must-win state he if he is to be the presidential nominee. gloria, first of all, south carolina, wasn't positioned as a must-win state for romney. but now set one pushing it days ahead of new hampshire. can he win? >> you know, if you look at history first of all, no republican ever won the nomination without south carolina. if history is a guide, he ought to win it. can he win it? good question. it is not entirely clear because of rick santorum. i just spoke with someone high up in the santorum campaign. they are about to make a very large ad bye in the state of south carolina. as you know from the wall the other night, erin, when you were flicking away there, that strong moral character is the key to santorum's support. 40% of the people who were

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120106:00:05:00

exchange ended of what happened to rick santorum. >> thank you for your time and attention, thanks. [ applause ] [ booing ] >> that's new hampshire. new hampshire on social issues decidedly not like south carolina but does a soundbite like that play differently in south carolina. >> that whole ex change would play differently. remember, the least religious state in the nation, and rick santorum ain't no libertarian. but that appeal can help him in south carolina for better or worse. >> gloria, what do you think about how that plight play or will play tonight to south carolina? >> in south carolina, people are more atune to the social issues. in new hampshire, it is more the economic issues. but i think what you saw there, is rick santorum, welcome to the big leagues, welcome to the top tier. because what happens, when you're in the top tier, as you go around the state, you're going to have people who want to challenge you because they know that he is very conservative on

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120105:01:34:00

flip-flop argument, the other that he's tied with wall street, that he's out of touch with mainstream america, that he's part of the 1% essentially. but regardless of whatever strategy they choose, he is their target. they are going after him now. >> they're betting on that he is going to be the nominee. but they're also believing if they can bring him down some, it does protract the race. the weaker he looks, from their point of view, the harder it is to get the nomination if it doesn't stand up. gloria,s please. >> here's the one problem, if this race really continues. and that is, what republicans want to be talking about. and where they can really, really hurt barack obama, is if they start talking about the economy, the unemployment rate, the economic record, the promises barack obama made during the last campaign, and on and on. if rick santorum does well, if rick perry has some kind of a comeback, we're going to be talking about a social issue

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120105:01:32:00

gain strength but have this glow of the winner. for him to come out of iowa eking out a win, it is exactly what they want. because it's probably going to betractive now. they can hone their message and go after the republican front-runner. >> gloria, there are two schools of thought on how the primaries impact president boobama. some say the nominee will emerge stronger than ever and become a better candidate. where do you see it? >> i think back to 2008. we were all saying about the hillary clinton-barack obama race and how it would destroy barack obama. she was beating up on him. it would be used in ads against obama. some of that may have been true. but i'll tell you what, it made barack obama a better candidate for the general election. because he had been through that long primary process. and i think, for example, if mitt romney becomes the nominee, i guarantee you he'll be a

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120104:03:46:00

newt gingrich is a distant fourth, only 13%, only 13,000 votes. rick perry, about 10%, 10,000 votes. michele bachmann, 5%, about 5,000 votes. jon huntsman at 1% of the votes. let's go to erick and gloria. what's going on over here? you're looking closely at these numbers. santorum was ahead, now slightly, slightly, mitt romney ahead. >> we've been looking as it's flip-flopped around, and each of the leaders and why. now let's look at mitt romney and where his strength is coming from. two things we want to hone in on. we asked people, what's the most important candidate quality, can defeat obama. 31% of the caucusgoers told us that was the most important thing. true conservative, 25%. i'm going to tell you right now, those voters went overwhelmingly for ron paul. strong moral character, a quarter of voters said that was most important. and i'll tell you right now,

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120102:04:30:00

>> erin, gloria, guys, thanks vefrp. very much. we certainly don't know who will win tuesday night. but who's likely to lose? who's most likely to lose? we're going to talk to our analysts about possible dropouts once the iowa results are in. and the secret to ron paul's success and why so many establishment republicans find it so scary. welcome. i understand you need a little help with your mortgage, want to avoid foreclosure. smart move. candy? um-- well, you know, you're in luck. we're experts in this sort of thing, mortgage rigamarole, whatnot. r-really? absolutely, and we guarantee results, you know, for a small fee, of course. such are the benefits of having a professional on your side.

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120102:21:09:00

paved way for this. >> lead up to iowa and beyond, wait until the general election starts. p will be nasty, indeed. brian todd, thank you so much. without the social conservative or evangelical of of his his eye rifles, he focused on the victory that seems to be in his grasp. gloria is here at the cnn election center as well. could romney go all the way and win in iowa? >> you know we never thought we would say, yes, given the fact he spent so much money there in 2008 and did not win. i do believe if you look at the polls and get a sense of what is going on in iowa that it is very possible. the key to it really is the evangelical vote. back in 2008 when mike huckabee won, he really brought out evangelical voters and consolidated them. so he add solid victory.

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120102:04:48:00

are absolutely sold on mitt romney. and so i think the dynamics change. i think you have to look at this election from the lines of being a regional. you talk in terms of what happens in the south, what happens in the midwest, what happens in the west. other issues come into play. i don't buy the whole notion that two states in, it's all done. >> gloria, you heard my interview with michele bachmann. she calls herself now the iron lady, making comparisons to margaret thatcher. >> i don't see that somehow. >> is there an element of sexism under way in iowa right now? because -- >> no. >> -- iowa as i pointed out in the interview with her they have never elected a senator or congresswoman who's a woman or a governor for that matter. >> it's easy to play that card. but i wouldn't play that card in this particular case. because i think michele bachmann has not run a terrific campaign. i think she peaked very early. after the iowa straw poll, she did very well in cnn's first debate that john moderated. and then it seemed to me that

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20120102:04:27:00

everything is working. this is amazing. we call this the squiggly lines. that's really what it's looked like. look back in june. we're going to take everyone from june all the way to where we are now. you see mitt romney was in the lead. mitt romney remained in the lead but started to fall. then you see romney at 27%. which as you pointed out, gloria, really seemed to be kind of the ceiling for him. >> exactly. >> then you see in july the surge of rick perry. which holds for a little while. up to 31%. higher than mitt romney has ever gotten. then you see in gray, that would be the surge of herman cain. mitt romney just barely there. but then you see romney and cain with that tie. in november you start to see the rise of newt gingrich which has been stunning. 37%. highest of anybody so far. and then some of those negative campaign, the spotlight on the leader took a hit and you see mitt romney at 26%. what's your takeaway of how volatile this has been? >> well, first of all, republicans want to win. they want to pick a winner. they're not sure which one of these folks is actually their winner. another thing that's important to keep in mind is republicans have been watching all of these presidential debates.

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