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The Faulkner Focus

about 350 million dollar spent on this presidential election, 100 million in iowa. iowans. >> it is hard to spend that amount of money in iowa. >> it is, they are inundated. >> but the numbers have bear lay moved. >> they know the candidates, this election will boil down to turn out. >> yes. >> an election about border security, national security and financial security. >> about machines that is when helped joe biden, when he did so poorly in iowa, finally in south carolina, it was because of the machine that was available to him to win that state, it is g go get out in vote, in horrible weather, where is the enthusiasm gap, will you get out in horrible weather for nikki haley or ron desantis? or will you be charged up for donald trump that will work in his favor. >> a historical parallel, back in from that graphic in

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The Faulkner Focus

not win iowa, it matters but not as much as people think it matters. it mattered for barack obama. >> he came in second, can we show that graphic. bush in 80 surprised everyone to beat reagan. he was not party nominee, and i actually, was covering that. i was a young winne whipper small cappsnapper reporter in kansas. mitt romney was nominee and ted cruz in 2016. and who was the noo nominee, donald trump. we continue now, ben what to we 11 from iowa and what is applicable about that election rat to general

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The Faulkner Focus

he didn't even go there. we saw on that graphic we showed it did work out for george w. bush. he had a check in every column from iowa nominee to the white house. great to see you, governor. i don't see you enough. god bless you and happy new year. >> take care, harris, thank you. >> harris: the nation and world are paying tribute to the legacy of doctor martin luther king, junior. his son martin luther king iii among those at today's wreath laying ceremony at his meme or yeah in washington, d.c. today's federal holiday marks 38 years since it was first observed on the third money of each january. this year's martin luther king, junior day falls on his actual birthday, january 15th. it looks like there will be at least one record breaker in tonight's iowa caucuses, the weather. how low will the temps go?

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Chris Jansing Reports

you're looking at trying to get people out of their houses, bring along friends and family and potentially get people who didn't know they were going to caucus to show up. that's h you beat your poll numbers. that's really what ron desantis needs if he wants to go forward as all. >> let me go back if i can, mark, to the graphic we just showed, which is about the enthusiasm levels that were registered in our poll. that's what a lot of people see as the problem for nikki haley, the people who are extremely, very enthusiastic about her are 39%, 62 for ron desantis and 88 for donald trump. when we talk again about the expectations game, what does a win for her have to look like? is it just coming in second? or does she have to come in second by a certain margin? >> well, that's a really interesting metric. and in presidential elections we look at enthusiasm and whether there's an enthusiasm gap. that's especially true when it's below zero.

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Special Report With Bret Baier

who may have a little bit easier time getting to the polls than, perhaps, people out in the rural areas. the trump people are very committed are they willing to risk their safety to come out and >> bret: obviously new hampshire is a totally different graphic. independents and democrats factor in heavier there, karl, what are you looking at? >> i'm watching college towns and cities like des moines and the two big college story johnson vs. the rural and small town. trump is going to be very strong in rural yaw iowa. the other candidates have to do better in the big cities and two college ones. looking at the difference between college educated and noncollege educated. donald trump is going to dominate the noncollege and i'm also looking at older and younger. one of the irony is the two candidates that do best among younger voters in the polling we have seen over the last month or two have been donald trump and vivek. and the people do better older people desantis and haley. older voters tend to come out more than younger voters more or

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Special Report With Bret Baier

more than first time voters do. let's see if that holds up tonight or interesting things that are caused as a result of the pattern changing. let's keep one thing in mind though, there are 718,000 registered republicans in the state of iowa. in 2016, 187,000 of them turned out to vote. >> bret: we is a graphic. >> yeah. one out of every 4. what if it's 150,000? that would make it roughly one out of every five would turn out in this elections. going to be interesting to see what it will be like. >> bret: look at this, 187 in 016, brit. the over and under according to the g.o.p. chairman 150,000 because of the weather. you know, and they are going to make that decision. >> brit: whether it's a test of motivation on the part of the voters and motivation on the part of the candidates. widely believed desantis has the best organization. trump slacked off in 2016 on his organization out here and lost. but i don't know many people who think he has had a poor organization out here this time. i i had think his organization

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Domestic violence in NZ: Are our strangulation laws working?

WARNING: This story details graphic family violence and may be upsetting. The horrific crime of strangulation, fuelled by one person’s need to...

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Escort who cut off eunuch maker's penis said it was 'one for the bucket list'

Warning: Graphic content The ringleader of an extreme body modification group had his penis cut off by a male escort, who then remarked “well that’s one for...

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The Last Word With Lawrence ODonnell

home, that they destroyed her toilet, that they searched for remains in her toilet. it's graphic, in fact, what they did. it's worth noting that she had gone to the hospital three times, her water had broke. she had very little antibiotic fluid left. she was going through and sepsis. she was -- it was with this backdrop that prosecutors advised police then they go arrest and charge her, which they did. they happened at a grand jury did not indict her, but she went through a very dramatic experience, and it's something that every pregnant person living in the state that has anti abortion laws should be preferred for. that's the nightmare that so many girls as well as women and people -- >> professor goodwin, i think it's important to note the backdrop of which is happening.

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The Last Word With Lawrence ODonnell

remains in her toilet. it's graphic, in fact, what they did. it's worth noting that she had gone to the hospital three times, her water had broke. she had very little amniotic fluid left. she was going through and sepsis. she was -- it was with this backdrop that prosecutors advised police then go arrest and charge her, which they did. they happened at a grand jury did not indict her, but she went through a very dramatic experience, and it's something that every pregnant person living in a state that has anti abortion laws should be preferred for. that's the nightmare that awaits so many girls as well as women and people -- >> professor goodwin, i think it's important to note the backdrop of which is happening. the state of ohio, that i talked about, before i brought you in for the interview, 57%?

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