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can tell what is happening on the russian battlefield, and is it putting some pressure on the regime? ah i don't think we can say its putting significant pressure on the regime. obviously there are stresses, but from all we can tell, putin is as in control as he has been , um throughout this, you know the next phase. of course we expect will be the ukrainian counter offensive, and analysts tell us if you look at the russian defenses if you look at the russian lines there in southern and eastern ukraine. um they are a lot more prepared for this than they were when ukraine did its counter offensive in north in the north east of the country last fall, and the russian lines collapsed. you know, it's a lot harder to imagine that happening now, but of course it could happen wars. you know, you can never really predict what will happen. so uh , as that counter offensive begins, probably in the next couple of months at some point. you can. you can expect the
have jobs. people are still drawing salaries. most people never traveled abroad to begin with in russia, so the fact that now it's become much harder to travel abroad as a russian doesn't really matter to most people, and you know, the big shock was the draft last fall when 300,000 civilian men were were drafted to go into the war . um that was the one moment where you really felt that stability shake a little bit. but then things went back to normal, more or less. you know that draft ended, and now what is really interesting to see is that even though a lot of analysts are saying the russians need more troops they need more personnel. they are not doing a new draft. at least not yet that and that gets to the only place where it seems to me. putin could feel pressure is not really the sanctions because that's as you say they get oil revenues. they've got other brand other russian brands. but on the battlefield from what you
to send a message to any ngo that might still be involved. and it doesn't that sense seems to be part of a larger kremlin strategy. i think this was a wonderful piece in the times about how the people around the kremlin want all these hundreds of thousands of russians to leave russia they want the western educated or western oriented liberals to leave. they want to create a much more insular you know, kind of non western russia. exactly this is it really does feel of a piece with that overall trend. even though this is such a new step. yes, it's part of sowing fear. um sewing, you know, fear has been sown in in russian among russian academics, you know who are being punished? if they do something, say something that the authorities don't like. russian journalists obviously have been dealing with this
means, but great power conflicts of the style of the cold war appeared to be a thing of the past, american military might or washington's ability to write checks was often an effective deterrent to invasion or rebellion. but all that has changed. america has withdrawn its military and its money from large swaths of the world, concentrating its efforts on a few key areas in issues. this is meant in some places that regional powers like russia, iran, saudi arabia and the u. a e have expanded their reach, often by waging proxy wars. indeed foreign involvement in wars has risen dramatically, according to the data reference in the economist in 1991, only 4% of civil wars involves significant foreign forces in 2021 48% of them did and for involvement in wars is one of the factors that allows them to drag on. partly because foreign governments are inured to the conflicts, immediate effects.
allegedly caught red handed as as dmitry peskov spokesman said, so the russians are sending the message that they are going to treat him as, uh, a spy. um which is obviously an outrageous accusation against the journalist doing his job. i think, as you say, it's meant to send a chilling message to all of you working there. it's meant to send a message to any ngo that might still be involved. and it doesn't that sense seems to be part of a larger kremlin strategy. i think this was a wonderful piece in the times about how the people around the kremlin want all these hundreds of thousands of russians to leave russia. they want the western educated or western oriented liberals to leave. they want to create a much more insular. you know, kind of non western russia. exactly this is it really does feel of a piece with that overall trend. even
russia. who'd when you've watched this over the years who's better? ah, the chinese you know? it depends on what? uh the chinese are really very pragmatic and does it pose a threat to their country, like the dissidents or what they perceived to be a threat? the russians the russians are really good at disinformation. they are the masters of russians, i think are at a higher strategic level and, you know, just trying to sow discord, discord, but it's basically the same tricks to discredit the united states. they still we are the number one enemy to russia. pleasure to have you on this. such a fascinating conversation. thank you so much. it's great to be here. thank you appreciate it. next on gps. sudan is at war again. i'll tell you why this
and republican politicians. i'll also ask him about whether the gop four more years. leads to get beyond donald trump. but first a look deep inside russia. just what is vladimir putin's and. i'll talk to the new york times spirit chief anton troyanovsky. also. both beijing and moscow have spies and operatives in america that is a given. but revelations this week about exactly what both china and russia doing stateside shocked even longtime spy watchers. we will tell you all about it. but first here's my take. the united states and china have embarked on one of the most hair raising experiments in international history. both sides are now locked in a steady, escalating
unexpected, i think again. pleasure to have you on. thank you very much for it. next on gps from russia to china. my next guest has a new book out about how washington can compete with beijing. when we come back. did you know there's no t in sketches nevever has been never will be. what yoyou talking abot , fool? mr t is always in sketches, t and d sketches. t and d sketches and these sketches. t and despair sketches there's even the t and d sketches, sketches mr. t mr t sketches. i'm just saying people often miss bell skechers and put a t in it. maybe it's your thing about changing it,hen sketches no t just comfort chale and i lost £75 of skull. , i went from a size 22 size six before go low. nothing seemed to work i was exercising for over an hour
affecting daily life in some way , but the government has been able to really smooth that affect their very few drastic changes. you know? yeah starbucks and mcdonald's are gone, but there's these new russian brands that have gone come in their place and you know , it's not to most people. it's just not that different. and economically, people still have jobs. people are still drawing salaries most people never traveled abroad to begin with in russia, so the fact that now it's become much harder to travel abroad as a russian doesn't really matter to most people, and you know the big shock was the draft last fall when 300,000 civilian men were were drafted to go into the war . um that was the one moment where you really felt that stability shake a little bit. but then things went back to normal, more or less. you know that draft ended and now what is really interesting to see is
this than they were when ukraine did its counter offensive in north in the north east of the country last fall, and the russian lines collapsed. you know, it's a lot harder to imagine that happening now, but of course it could happen wars. you know, you can never really predict what will happen. so uh , as that counter offensive begins, probably in the next couple of months at some point. you can. you can expect the unexpected, i think again. pleasure to have you on. thank you very much for it. next on gps from russia to china. my next guest has a new book out about how washington can compete with beijing. when we come back. they need a loan back fast, and you need scotts turf builder rapid grass grass two times faster industry. the loan, given you a stronger lawns, freedom, a field a rapid grass. today it's guaranteed feed it long feed it