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Michael Barone, syndicated columnist How will future historians explain this? From 2001 to 2014, majorities of Americans, including supermajorities of blacks and non-Hispanic whites, told Gallup pollsters that “race relations” were either very or somewhat good. Then, after the election and reelection of the first American president of African descent, each case with majorities of the popular vote and electoral votes, perceptions suddenly plunged. Only around 50% of non-Hispanic whites rated race relations as good in 2015, 2019 and 2020. And the percentage of blacks taking that view fell to 51% in 2015, before Donald Trump’s election as president, to 40% in 2019 and to 36% in 2020. The short explanation is that August 2014 saw the emergence of the Black Lives Matter movement amid protests about the police killing in Ferguson, Missouri, of an 18-year-old black who had just robbed a convenience store and attempted to seize a policeman’s gun.
How will future historians explain this? From 2001 to 2014, majorities of Americans, including supermajorities of blacks and non-Hispanic whites, told Gallup pollsters that "race relations" were either very or somewhat good. Then, after the election and reelection of the first American president of African descent, each case with majorities of the popular vote and electoral votes, perceptions suddenly plunged. Only around 50% of non-Hispanic whites rated race relations as good in 2015, 2019 and 2020. And the percentage of blacks taking that view fell to 51% in 2015, before Donald Trump's election as president, to 40% in 2019 and to 36% in 2020. The short explanation is that August 2014 saw the emergence of the Black Lives Matter movement amid protests about the police killing in Ferguson, Missouri, of an 18-year-old black who had just robbed a convenience store and attempted to seize a policeman's gun.
We asked writers from left, right and center to offer creative ideas for the next president — not necessarily the obvious policy measures at the forefront of political discussion. Plus: 7 artists illustrate their own proposals.
In 2002, influential political observers John Judis and Ruy Teixeira published a book that helped craft an enduring narrative. âThe Emerging Democratic Majorityâ postulated that ongoing socio-demographic trends worked to the advantage of the Democratic Party. These trends included a growing percentage of ethnic minorities, along with increasing percentages of younger voters, unmarried working women, and the college-educated. Individually and cumulatively, these developments suggested a bright future for Democratsâ electoral prospects. The 2008 presidential election seemed to herald the arrival of this ânew American electorateâ or âcoalition of the ascendant.â Four years later, in the aftermath of President Obamaâs reelection, the Republican National Committee recognized the apparent new order when it issued an âautopsyâ of Mitt Romneyâs loss. In it, the GOP declared that it needed to increase its appeal to ethnic and racial minorities, women, and young voters. A few years later, the U.S. Census Bureau put an official stamp on one of the important demographic trends when it reported that âNon-Hispanic Whites May No Longer Comprise Over 50 Percent of the U.S. Population by 2044.â