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Fareed Zakaria GPS

line up behind him. and the media. and the money. and as a consequence of that, his policy pronouncems will have a lot more importance. so this entire year, before we get to november, before we get to inauguration in january and before we start talking about contested illegitimate elections and the politicization around that, you're going to have a year that is much more polarized with implications that is under-appreciated from people around the world right now. >> zanny, you guys had an editorial tough on joe biden. the democrats are sleep walking into disaster. explain what you mean. >> well you've just had from ian what is at stake this year. and the bulwark against donald trump returning to the white house is an 81-year-old who is showing his age, who is the most unpopular -- has the lowest approval ratings of any modern president. that is not a great position to be in for the democrats.

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Fareed Zakaria GPS

the end of the first term. so there is a lot of negativity amplified possibly by social media, and in terms of what is going on. so the implication is that we have all -- the number of elections but most incumbents are likely to lose. so when we do this, this year, i think we're likely to see a lot of new faces around the world. so it used to be that having the public office, the visibility, that helped. that used to be the case globally. 70% would win elections and now it is such a major disadvantage, that in india, it is global now. >> and that is the one place that seems to be bucking the trend. >> exactly. >> but tell me, because you have so many unpopular incumbents, bidenez approval ratings look terrible except when you compare them to macron or justin

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Fareed Zakaria GPS

the chairman of rockefeller international, a financial advisory firm and the founder of break out capital and investment firm focused on emerging markets and of course a very prolific writer and columnist for the f.t. richard, we've heard about the many, many elections that are taking place. the share of global population with the opportunity to vote is at a kind of all-time high. and that is remarkable. but you point out that 20 years ago, 70% of incumbents would win the elections. and now, it is 30%. what do you think is going on? >> yeah, so this is global data. we looked at 50 democracies around the world and it is incredible how many are losing. even the u.s. is there. if you look at the first approval ratings of residents in the last 20, 30 years, they tend to wither away as they approach

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Inside Politics With Manu Raju

democrats try to improve biden's dismal approval ratings. i'm not going to do it. why would i? chuck schumer has that on his desk since july and he did nothing with that. soming that democrats say is a nonstarter. and this could help biden. if they cut a deal on immigration, now biden could take that issue off the table heading into november. >> democrats jumped on that quote, this is who we're trying to deal with here. they don't want to give president biden -- because fact is the white house and the president desperately want a deal on the border to the point they're infuriating the allies, whether it is the caucus in the house, immigration advocates who are very furious about the direction of the way the border talks are going. and they're desperate for a deal because it is tied to ukraine aid which is such a key pillar or part of president biden's foreign policy. but they want a deal on the border. they're seeing all of the numbers that we're seeing, and they know this is not -- this is

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Fareed Zakaria GPS

we've heard about the many, many elections that are taking place. the share of global population with the opportunity to vote is at a kind of all-time high. and that is remarkable. but the most interesting thing to me as you point out, that 20 years ago, 70% of incumbents would win the elections. and now, it is 30%. what do you think is going on? >> yes, so this is global data. we looked at 50 democracies around the world and i think it is incredible how many are losing. even the u.s. is there. if you look at the first approval ratings of presidents in the last 20, 30 years, they tend to wither away as they approach the end of the first term. so there is a lot of negativity amplified possibly by social media, and in terms of what is going on. so the implication is that we have these -- the number of

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Fareed Zakaria GPS

and worries about deficits. >> so that's one of my big trends of 2024 is this epic clash in the making between politicians and investors. politicians tend to spend more in election years that's well known, the incentive to do so now is even more much because of approval ratings. i looked at the approval ratings of leaders around the world and across democracies, the approval rating is close to an all-time low. it is not just a biden problem as you point out, it is a universal problem. what is the implication. they want to spend more but already run very large deficit newsing go the location. the u.s. had a deficit of about 3% of gdp or so for much of the last decade. the deficit now is 6% of gdp and likely to be that way. and i think that is going to be there, whether it's the u.s. or countries from south africa or mexico, everywhere the deficits have shot up. so politicians try to spend more. you're going to have people in the bond market, the vigilantes

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Fareed Zakaria GPS

elections but most incumbents are likely to lose. so when we do this next time this year, i think we're likely to see a lot of new faces around the world. so it used to be that having the public office, the visibility, that helped. that used to be the case globally. 70% of incumbents would win elections and now it is such a major disadvantage, that in india, it is global now. >> and that is the one place that seems to be bucking the trend. >> exactly. >> but tell me, because you have so many unpopular incumbents, biden's approval ratings look terrible except when you compare them to emmanuel macron or justin trudeau. they're all doing badly. you say that means they're going to spend a lot. but can they spend a lot? are we in a different world about deficits?

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Fareed Zakaria GPS

year that is much, much more polarized with implications that is under-appreciated by people around the world right now. >> zanny, you guys had an editorial which was very tough on joe biden. the democrats you say are sleep walking into disaster. explain what you mean. >> well, you've just had from ian what is at stake this year. and the bulwark against donald trump returning to the white house is an 81-year-old who is showing his age, who is the most unpopular -- has the lowest approval ratings of any modern president. that is not a great position to be in for the democrats. and you know, you know most americans do not want these two people to be running. most, many democrats don't want biden to be running. when he first came in, there was a sense that he would be a one-term president. after '22, after the midterms, something changed and there was a clear sense that he's decided that he wanted to do it again.

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Anderson Cooper 360

and i certainly expect and hope he continues to do that as well as making calls for saying we need the same right, the center, and the left to, in essence, uncomfortably unite this year because there's a lot more on the line than just the issues we disagree on. >> david, president biden begins his re-election campaign with his approval ratings at or near all-time lows for his presidency. do you think his message here, defense of democracy, be an effective call to action for voters? >> well, i think it will be to a large number of voters in his base. i think this was an important speech today, anderson, because there has been some disspirited feelings among his base. there's been some divisions among his base. and people have been waiting for him to take it to trump. this is an issue, while there are divisions among democrats, this is an issue that unifies them. to see the president deliver the speech as strongly as he did today, as passionately -- and he

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Fox News at Night

saying trump wants an all out war and he just kind of condemned half the country. >> he did. and for joe biden to decide to launch his campaign, again, a very dark divisive manner where instead of running on his record to the point that everybody has been making he's, again, choosing to pick the democracy trope. that did work in 2020 and 2022 but in 2024, biden now has a record he should be running on. if he feels successful he should focus on that. instead, and this is a big thing for biden, he has a true issue not only with favor abilities and approval ratings but with enthusiasm. 10 months is forever in politics but if you're looking at the snapshot that exists biden is an incumbent president walking into the election year with the lowest rating of any modern president, coupled with a latest usa today poll had trump with the group of voters that say

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