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special factors, rate. and then you have all these specialfactors, month—to—month, when you had government interventions in one country, not the other, and those introduced bass effects that make the numbers very volatile in the short term but overall, i mean, the ecb does need to look at the aggregate.— to look at the aggregate. talking of volatile, to look at the aggregate. talking of volatile. let's _ to look at the aggregate. talking of volatile, let's look— to look at the aggregate. talking of volatile, let's look at _ to look at the aggregate. talking of volatile, let's look at germany, - to look at the aggregate. talking of volatile, let's look at germany, of. volatile, let's look at germany, of course, europe's biggest economy, recently went into recession and was the only economy we saw inflation rise, it went from 6.3 to 6.8%. how much danger is there now that this could trickle out to the rest of the eurozone? ., ., ., . could trickle out to the rest of the eurozone?— could trickle out to the rest of the eurozone? ., ., ., . . .,, eurozone? not too much. the increase in germany is — eurozone? not too much. the increase in germany is one _ eurozone? not too much. the increase in germany is one such _ eurozone? not too much. the increase in germany is one such special - in germany is one such special factor, last yearfrom in germany is one such special factor, last year from june to august, the government intervened and had one extremely heavily subsidised public transport ticket, also a rebate on motorfuels, and that pushed down prices artificially last year and so now we just see
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the simple way to think about it is all it means is inflation is rising faster than economic growth. so for example, the first quarter inflation was up about 8%. and actually, g.d.p. fell for special factors, but that's not going to change much. so, being g.d.p. in the second quarter might be up 2%. inflation rate up 7, 8% or it could be worse. that's your stagflation. and to get out of that is very difficult, and i'm not sure it going to end happily as i've said several times and i want to point out i know you are not a stock market show, but the stock market has been doing very badly, ok, down 25% year to date, more or less, and the economic sensitive sectors, like retailers and home builders and chip makers and you know, consumer discretionary, they have been getting killed.
recession, all of a sudden it appears that people do not want to ship nearly as much stuff. freight rates are coming down. there are still high by historical standards, but all of those things which contributed, i would say that about two thirds of the rise with inflation from normal levels that we have seen is the special factors. oil, supply chain stuff. there is still a significant part that will not go away. which is why i said don't get too excited. we still have some underlying service inflation issues. but the short term stuff is likely to be -- we will see how the media treats it, but when the inflation rate is coming down, we will get headlines that look like the inflation rate is going up. >> yes. there is this actual fact, and then the coverage of the fact, and how that factors perceived. i think it will affect the political outcomes. it will be interesting to see what happens in the next six months. i hope that the good scenario is on target, and hopefully we can avoid a recession and hitting the
there are still high by historical standards, but all of those things which contributed, i would say that about two thirds of the rise with inflation from normal levels that we have seen is the special factors. oil, supply chain stuff. there is still a significant part that will not go away. which is why i said don't get too excited. we still have some underlying service inflation issues. but the short term stuff is likely to be -- we will see how the media treats it, but when the inflation rate is coming down, we will get headlines that look like the inflation rate is going up. >> yes. there is this actual fact, and then the coverage of the fact, and how that factors perceived. i think it will affect the political outcomes. it will be interesting to see what happens in the next six months. i hope that the good scenario is on target, and hopefully we can avoid a recession and hitting the brakes too hard on
ROUNDUP 2: Inflation über 4 Prozent - 'Energiepreisschock tut Haushalten weh' finanznachrichten.de - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from finanznachrichten.de Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
Inflation in Deutschland steigt erstmals seit 28 Jahren über vier Prozent handelsblatt.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from handelsblatt.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
Inflation über vier Prozent - Energie deutlich teurer main-echo.de - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from main-echo.de Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.