i'm katty kay in washington, christian fraser is in london. and berlin is in chaos. throughout the years of financial crisis, the rise of populism and brexit, germany has been a beacon of stability in europe. angela merkel, the steady hand in turbulent times. some even called her the new leader of the free world. but suddenly the chancellor looks vulnerable and german politics is a mess. her coalition talks fell apart last night when the pro business fdp party decided to pull out. so what now? the breakdown in negotiations raises the possibility of a snap election. though for now president walter steinmeir has told the parties to get back to work to try to find some compromise. the longer it goes on, the greater the uncertainty for mrs merkel. from berlinjenny hill reports. she promised germany a government for christmas. instead, angela merkel has delivered an unprecedented political crisis. not much to applaud. in the early hours of this morning, mrs merkel admitted she couldn't form a government. translation: i, as the acting chancellor, will do everything to lead the country through these difficult weeks. later, crisis talks with the german president. this country may yet have to go back to the ballot box. what's uncertain is whether mrs merkel‘s party would want her to lead them into a fresh election. translation: this is the moment for all involved to reflect and reconsider. all parties elected to parliament are there to serve the common good. i expect them to be open to discussion, to create a government in the very near future. but german politics, german voters, have changed. the far right now sits in parliament. a weakened mrs merkel doesn't have many options. translation: it's time for a change. someone else should be in charge. she's out of new ideas. translation: she's close to the people. she tries to represent the interests of different parts of society. she doesn't always succeed but she tries. political uncertainty, economic disquiet. mrs merkel cancelled a meeting with the dutch leader today. little time for foreign policy now. dwindling influence perhaps in the future. it's rare, unprecedented even, for there to be such confusion at the heart of the german government. but this is a leadership crisis, too. they call it the merkel dammerung — the twilight of merkel. her demise is often wrongly predicted. this time, though, there is a sense that the lights are starting to go out on the merkel era. from a country which stands for stability, a sudden hesitation in the heart of europe. jenny hill, bbc news, berlin. moritz koch is senior correspondent with handelsblatt and joins us now from berlin. iimagine the i imagine the best way that angela merkel could put all of these questions to rest is to call a snap election and almost turn it into a referendum on her leadership. yes. well, the problem with that is that she is not the one who can make that decision. it is actually the president, walter steinmeir. he first has called on all political parties to reconsider and see whether they can find some common ground and do form a government. he was speaking also to his party, the social democrats, that have formed a coalition with angela merkel in the last four years but have ruled out that they will join this merkel government again. now the pressure is on and the party so far is still resisting so the scenario that we have new elections in the end seems likely, but they will have to be called by frank—walter steinmeir and not by angela merkel. it seems the breaking point in the negotiation was something that has plagued angela merkel for two years, that is the level of migration. yes, that was one of the main points that was contested between the three parties, the liberal democrats, the green party and the conservative bloc of angela merkel. however, in the end, there was quite some progress and both the green party and the conservatives claim that it would have been possible to form a government. the liberal democrats we re government. the liberal democrats were the one who quit. they probably just thought that they will be just fine when we will have re—elections and so they yesterday put party before country. you have said that this feels in germany today like the beginning of the end of the angela merkel era, are you prepared to put a time frame on that? it is very ha rd to a time frame on that? it is very hard to say. she has said that she will not resign and so far there is no one in her party who will challenge her. the party has actually rallied around her in the last couple of hours. when we do have re—elections angela merkel will be the one who will lead the christian democrats into these elections. the question isjust christian democrats into these elections. the question is just that nobody really has an answer to is how will these new election results make it any easier for angela merkel to form a government? the only party right now that is seen as a clear winner of all of this chaos is the far right afta. thank you very much for joining far right afta. thank you very much forjoining us. i guess that will be the concern throughout europe, because this is notjust about german stability. angela merkel is as much about european stability and even global stability. she is big leading light here in washington when they talk about european stability. people can barely imagine germany without doubt. yes, through the financial crisis and the problems with greece. this picture is from 2007 and these other people she has seen off. there is george w bush and nicholas sarkozy there and putin is still there, interestingly, just to the right of nicholas that those the. that shows how long she has lasted. it has been relative calm and prosperity at home. that is the big test for the voters if she we re the big test for the voters if she were to turn it into a referendum. do they want to risk all of that? remember where they came from when she came to power. the economy was not all in great shape. there are outside factors as well and it is not all down to her. but this is a dangerous time to hold a referendum. call one at your peril! how much should theresa may pay to the european union for a future trade deal. is it money owed, or is it a ransom? how much should theresa may pay to the european union there is speculation today that the prime minister is planning to double the 20 billion euros her government has already offered to the eu. and there are some in her party who don't like it, not one bit. on sunday chancellor philip hammond said the uk would come up with proposals in time for the crunch summit in mid—december though he has promised britain will negotiate hard. the prize could be the most ambitious free trade agreement europe has ever signed. but that would depend, said eu chief negotiator michel barnier, on an orderly withdrawal. those who claim that the uk should cherry pick apart of the single market must stop this contradiction. the single market is a package with four indivisible freedoms, common rules, institutions and enforcement structures. you can know these rules very well, like the back of its hands. we're joined now from westminster by our chief political correspondent vicki young, but first our europe correspondent damian grammaticas is in brussels. they have voted in the last few hours to award some of the big agencies that are currently in london to other cities. this is brexit in process. yes, you are right. it is the first tangible sign of what drugs it will involve. it is the disentangling of these two sides and the european banking authority, it isa and the european banking authority, it is a couple of hundred staff overseeing the stability of european banks, the decision made by a secret ballot of european ministers here in brussels this evening, that will be going to paris. dublin were bidding for that and they lost out. the other agency is much bigger, the european medicines authority, which coordinates the approval and the marketing of new medicines across the eu and 900 staff there will be moving from london to amsterdam. interestingly that came down to a tie between milan and italy —— milan in italy and amsterdam and it had to be decided by the drawing of lots and it will take a considerable amount of staff and with it the drug companies who have large conferences and 40,000 hotel rooms a year are books by that agency. those will all be going to amsterdam and it is aside that the eu side is progressing preparations for brexit. michel barnier is sitting here and looking at the uk still deciding what it wants to do about paying the bills as it leaves. the stories we are hearing of a possible 40 billion euros. are you hearing anything more on that? when will we know? how will it go down? there has been a meeting this afternoon in downing street the senior cabinet ministers and theresa may and we understand that they were discussing exactly what they are going to do to progress to that next stage. will they in principle say that they will pay some more? theresa may has already said she is prepared to pay £18 billion which covers this budget period for the eu and she says that nobody else in the eu will be out of pocket because britain is leaving. we have had a one line reaction from downing street and i cannot promise you it will tell you much. it says it remains our position that nothing is agreed until everything is agreed in negotiations with the eu. the prime minister said this morning that the uk and the eu should step forward together. there are some that feel it is right to pay some more money, even those who were maybe on the brexit side of the argument, but they would argue that it does need to be tied to the deal that we eventually end up with. it is conditional money and it will not just be handed over with nothing in return. people talk about the prime minister as being we and not knowing where she's going, but if you had said 18 months ago that we were going to have a two year transition and we would pay 40 billion euros, she would have been out of a job within a week. it is step-by-step. that is the point. people like boris johnson, the foreign secretary, the idea of britain handing over billions of pounds is a pretty sensitive subject because he went around the country on a bus say we would be getting lots money back, but the argument from some on the brexit side is that the uk contribute a net amount of about £10 billion a year so in that context, yes, £40 billion sounds like a huge amount of money but over several years we would have contributed even more than that so for some it is the prize at the end that is worth it and what britain and theresa may really wants now is to get to that next stage and start talking about the transition period and then to start talking about the future trade deal. damian, while we have you here, we started the programme with the news from germany and angela merkel. how do ho woes at home playing to these negotiations?” think they do not at this stage. they sit aside. the negotiations are going on in brussels and the mandate already agreed that angela merkel and the other eu leaders has been passed to the eu negotiators here and they are working according to that. where it could have an impact is down the line in a few weeks or a couple of months. two or three months. if there are still political difficulties in germany. even at that stage then angela merkel would still be, even if she was overseeing an election process or something, she would be in a position to take significant decisions. interestingly this evening, in response to what vicky was saying, those ministers that were meeting here in brussels have said that they have called again on the uk to give more precise details about what the uk is going to say —— pay, and very soon. they are under huge pressure. they want to know what that divorce bill will pgy- robert mugabe faces impeachment and the process could be over in as little as two days. the 93—year—old leader has lost the confidence of his own zanu pf party, war veterans, the military and students. the only real question is why he is so determined to cling to power in the face of so much oppostion. it is now a matter of when not if he will go. a draft motion of that impeachment document has been leaked, and it blames mr mugabe for what it calls an unprecedented economic tailspin. from harare our africa editor fergal keane. at party headquarters, the shreds of better days. piece by piece, robert mugabe is going. his mps gathered to begin legal process of impeachment, removing him from office by parliamentary vote, and telling as it could happen in days. we expect the motion to be moved tomorrow, a committee to be set up tomorrow, and hopefully by wednesday we expect that we should be able to vote in parliament. in the audience a first lady in waiting the wife of the man whom the party wants as president. with your husband become president? i have not committed on that. everybody is waiting to see him? i am also waiting to see him! thank you very much. you can hear the emotions are building here, and this is a parliamentary party set on getting rid of robert mugabe. they share that ambition with the people of zimbabwe and with the military. listen, when the people have spoken, that is it. the country is still absorbing last night's extraordinary presidential speech, with it's soothing musical introduction and absence of any talk of resignation. he appeared detached from reality, talking about presiding over a party congress. the question is when the generals allow this to happen. partly this is to do with a changed africa. the old days of shooting leaders are gone. this human rights lawyer was once persecuted by robert mugabe and imprisoned. she says those opposed to him wants to be seen to be acting within the law. it has always been, you make the law, you justify it on the basis that this is the law. and this is in line with the zimbabwean way of doing things. give it respectability by making it law. however bad it is. impeachment is notjust about removing robert mugabe quickly. it's about the quest for legitimacy of those who will rule this country next. fergal keane, bbc news, harare. the army chief in zimbabwe has just held a news conference and he has said that robert mugabe has agreed to rake the stalemate. we have made further consultation with the president to agree on a road map on the country. the zimbabwe defence and security services are encouraged by new developments which include conduct between the president and the former vice president, comrades emmerson mnangagwa. he is expected in the country shortly. watch this space. president trump is increasing pressure on north korea. today he designated the country a state sponsor of terrorism and said the us will announce more sanctions tomorrow. the move appears to be largely symbolic since the communist state is already the most sanctioned in the world. mr trump said north korea should have been added to the short list of countries that sponsor terror a long time ago, but in practice the us already treats pyongyang as a pariah. the united states is designating north korea as a state sponsor of terrorism. this designation will impose further sanctions and penalties on north korea and related persons and it supports our maximum pressure campaign to isolate the murderous regime. jon sobel is in the studio with us. is this significant or is itjust rhetorical? i think it is both. in 1998 north korea was taken of the sponsor of terrorism less because it was seen that progress was being made and progress was being made in talks about north korea not getting nuclear weapons. now, clearly, about north korea not getting nuclearweapons. now, clearly, it is a sign that donald trump things that isa a sign that donald trump things that is a waste of time. he does want to maximise the pressure so let us see what the sanctions are tomorrow. it also means that other countries are put under more pressure not to trade. it comes after donald trump was congratulating other presidents on their behaviour according to north korea. talking of wire and fury of weapons being locked and loaded but there has not been a ballistic missile test since that by north korea so maybe some of this is having an impact. the air force commander who is ultimately responsible for launching a nuclear strike, he has been speaking in halifax, nova scotia, and he was asked the question whether he could stop donald trump launching a nuclear strike if you disagreed with him. the way the process works is simple. i provide advice to presidents and he tells me what to do and if it is illegal, guess what will happen, i will tell him it is illegal and he will ask me what will be illegal and we will come up with options about how the military can respond in those situations. that is how it will work and it is not quite that complicated. it is the timing and the context of what he saying that is important.” think donald trump was probably slightly less than thrilled to hear one of his air force commander saying that if he was given an illegal order by the president he would ignore it. i do not think that is the kind of language that normally endears you do this president, but it is a sign that there are checks and balances in the us there are checks and balances in the u s syste m there are checks and balances in the us system and every now and again the people who are those checks and bala nces to the people who are those checks and balances to unfettered power will sometimes push back and say, look, this is all thought through. do not think thatjust this is all thought through. do not think that just because this is all thought through. do not think thatjust because there is an unorthodox president in the white house that everything has changed. whether you are the judiciary or the legislature or the commanders of the armed forces, every now and again there has just been a little shoulder barge back in the direction, to say, no, there is only so much that we will take. stay with us. it's thanksgiving week in america, a time the country pauses in a moment of gratitude. something president trump seems to feel he's not getting enough of. specifically from a group of us basketball players he helped free from a chinese jail. in a tweet flurry this weekend, mr trump said the father of one of the players was so unaccepting of what he'd done that he should have left the players in prison. it is unusual for a president to demand thanks for helping americans abroad. why do i even need to say that?! perhaps it's his way of winding down ahead of the holiday. tomorrow, he heads down to his mar—a—lago golf resort in palm beach for a few days break and he's got bigger things than ungrateful basketball players to reflect on while he's there. jon is flying down with him. is this just is thisjust a is this just a chance to have a trip on air force one and pick up a few sweets ? on air force one and pick up a few sweets? yes. you do not expect me to work, do you? i am just there for the sweets! about these basketball players, does donald trump write a tweet like that and think it will get his critics are the real froth with american diplomacy and it is to do with battersea —— gratitude towards the president. or is he really wondering whether thanks is? i think it isjust really wondering whether thanks is? i think it is just instinct. he thinks he has done a great thing and people should be writing if to say thank you letters for him. forget the consumer side of it that if you are the head of any country and your nation ‘s citizens are held in prison then broadly speaking consular history is that you want to bring them home. it seems now there isa bring them home. it seems now there is a new proviso when it that you wa nt to is a new proviso when it that you want to bring them home but only if they write a huge thank you letter, andi they write a huge thank you letter, and i don't think he calculated if it would enrage the liberal media, he just instinctively fired that we doubt, knowing it would appeal to his base, which he duly did, and probably would enrage liberal media, which it did as well, but i think it was instinct rather than calculation that got him to do that. but is part of what we have come to expect from donald trump, and has the polarising effect that you would imagine. i would just say that trying to stand backis would just say that trying to stand back is not part of any representative of any organisation that he had a big success story to report from china, that he had three people out of potentially a lot of trouble after they had apparently gone shoplifting in a store. success. why turn into a controversy like this? why india? questions we often ask about this president at the moment. but he likes the chaos. it might also be that his base likes the fact that he is tough and he wa nts to the fact that he is tough and he wants to be thanked for something that he did but i think, asjohn says, it is probably not that strategic. there is one person that donald trump is not likely to give thanks to. actually two. one is barack obama. the other is this man, chance the rapper. i feel like we are all going to die. comeback barack obama! we want you back somehow. i need you in my life. comeback barack obama!” back somehow. i need you in my life. comeback barack obama! i like that. this is really about world war. i found that. it was a spoof. it was your thanksgiving gift. people are going to start thing we are trendy if we have wrappers on the programme. this is beyond 100 days from the bbc. coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news: storms in the southern atlantic are hindering the search for an argentinian submarine missing for five days. and lebanon's prime minister says he will return home late this week. we'll get the story behind his absence. that's still to come. cloudy and damp for many of us today but the lucky few had some sunshine. this weather watch picture is from leicestershi re this weather watch picture is from leicestershire earlier and it shows a lot of blue sky. it was quite warm in places and flintshire had temperatures up to 17. for many of us temperatures up to 17. for many of us it is a dull and misty and murky night to come. rain working through northern ireland and northern england are pushing into scotland tonight. a wet start in the central belt. in scotland there is still win triggers over the tops of the hills as the wet weather moves in. tomorrow morning for a large part of england and were they will be dry but drizzly and places. essentially dry with plenty of cloud and those temperatures widely into double figures. very mild. in northern ireland the overnight rain pulls away and poor visibility over the tops of the pennines. low cloutier so some of the hills will be shrouded in fog. so some of the hills will be shrouded infog. in so some of the hills will be shrouded in fog. in scotland there was quite a bit of wet weather to begin the day with surface water and snow on the roads. there is not much ofan snow on the roads. there is not much of an improvement here as the rain continues to age its way to the north. a wet day in northern scotland. the rain pushes into wales and west dinnington through the day and west dinnington through the day and it leaves the central area dry. writer breaks and if you see the sunshine temperatures will be higher. some outbreaks of rain around as we go through tuesday night and into wednesday morning and through tuesday into tuesday night the winds will pick up, initially cost the north and west of the uk but widely blustery on wednesday. in camera and lancashire we could see 50 millimetres of rain or even more into the hills and it is the north and west of the uk that sees most of the wet weather on wednesday. some sunny spells and the south—east and we see the highest temperatures here. as we go towards the end of the week the isobars are changing direction and going more towards the north and the north west. it means colder areas feeding its way back south across the uk and into scotland, northern ireland and england but on saturday the colder air should have reached all the way south across the uk once again. as that process takes place there will be showers around but it will be brighter with the sudden coming back. this is beyond 100 days, with me katty kay in washington. christian fraser's in london. our top stories. angela merkel is in a battle for her political survival. she says she would prefer a snap election to trying to leading in a minority government. the eu continues to talk tough on brexit terms. we'll speak to the leader of estonia shortly. they currently hold the eu presidency. coming up in the next half hour. the desperate hunt for the argentine submarine that has been missing for five days. celebrating a platinum anniversary, the queen and duke of edinburgh marks 70 years of married life. let us know your thoughts by using the hashtag beyond one hundred days. estonia — just 1.3 million people — currently holds the rotating presidency of the eu council. a chance for a small state to have a big voice within the eu institutions. estonia is one of the baltic states that borders russia. it's a nato member. always wary of moscow's ambitions within the region. since the takeover in crimea, nato has increased operations across mainland europe. there are 4,000 nato troops in the baltic states. so europe's security a key theme of estonia's presidency — and of course brexit. joining us now from tallinn is the estonian president kersti kaljulaid. president, thank you forjoining us. i was wondering what you were making since it is the news of the day from germany, of the impact of angela merkel‘s coalition talks falling apart on european stability. good evening, i would trust german people and german democracy to find the best possible solution for german people and also for europe. i am sure they are capable of finding what is best for the future of germany. on other stories, since you now have the presidency of the eu council, the question of how much britain should pay in its divorce bill on the brexit negotiations, where do you fall on this? do you have a number in mind, is there something you would push britain to give? the european union council presidency has in this process one responsibility, to organise a summit of heads of states on the proposal of heads of states on the proposal of chief negotiator michel barnier to discuss whether sufficient progress has been achieved. we do not have too come up with a concrete proposal, nevertheless, iwould not have too come up with a concrete proposal, nevertheless, i would say we are hoping there will be a com plete we are hoping there will be a complete proposal from the british side on the table in the next couple of weeks because that would be the last chance to find a possibility to declare sufficient progress. it would make us happy to have moved forward with this process, but it is not in our hands. theresa may has made it clear security particularly for the baltic countries is not at sta ke for the baltic countries is not at stake in the brexit negotiations, but you must be somewhat fearful if britain is pressed too hard, they might walk away from the table and countries in eastern europe want a close relationship with europe and particularly britain's military. all european nations want to have a close relationship with great britain. we were very sorry and sad to learn the news that there has been a vote for brexit, but it was the decision of the british people and it will not ruin the relationship between our country and great britain. if i come to the question of nato troops in estonia, it cannot be looked at in this way that nato is protecting the baltic states, or uk troops are here to protect baltic states. you cannot divide security. it is nato territory and we as a country have put up 0.2% of gdp to provide cross nation support and we are grateful for the uk to be ourframework nation and grateful for french and danish soldiers wearing the armband for our allies, i danish soldiers wearing the armband for ourallies, iam, now danish soldiers wearing the armband for our allies, i am, now stationed. the issue is brexit. and nato business cannot be connected. put that into perspective for viewers. is it that into perspective for viewers. isita that into perspective for viewers. is it a concern for people in estonia the ambitions of president putin? estonian people know that nato has 100% track record in protecting its territory and in this senseit protecting its territory and in this sense it is not a concern, but we are concerned we have a neighbour who is acting unpredictably on the international scene, who does not respect the signatures on documents it has signed, such as the budapest agreement, which should have protected ukraine, and we are concerned for the future of russian people and economic security and democratic processes in russia, but no, we are not afraid. president, thank you. china has called for a ceasefire in myanmar‘s rakhine state, to allow the return of hundreds of thousands of rohingya muslims who've fled the area. some 600,000 muslim rohingyas have fled myanmar‘s rakhine state for bangladesh, after operations by the burmese army. china has a number of important infrastructure projects in myanmar. the iraqi authorities have been shedding light on their plans on foreignjihadis. they were captures as the islamic state group was crushed in the north of the country. more than a thousand women and children will be expelled to their countries of origin. most of those involved are believed to be from turkey, russia and former soviet states. the convicted cult leader charles manson — who orchestrated a series of notorious murders in the 1960s — has died in prison in california. he was 83. in august 1969, members of his group killed seven people — manson believed the murders would start a race war, allowing him to seize power when will saad hariri fly back to lebanon? the prime minister resigned from his post three weeks ago while on a visit to saudi arabia. rumours have been circulating that he was pressured to resign and was held in riyadh against his will — which he has denied. last week the president of lebanonsaid he would only accept of lebanon said he would only accept mr hariri's resignation if it was delivered in person mr hariri flew to paris this weekend. he heads to egypt tomorrow where he will meet with president al—sisi. the latest news is that he will travel back to lebanon on wednesday. we can speak to our chief international correspondent, lyse doucet — she's in riyadh. international correspondent, thought he was going last i thought he was going to return last week but seemingly he has another trip in the offing to egypt this time. interestingly, it has become like president trump, we only know what mr hariri wants to do by his twitter account and he said last week he would return to lebanon in the coming days and when he reached paris and have that lunch meeting with president macron, that is where he announced he would be returning to lebanon on for independence day. he is preparing the ground well and no doubt he has heard from advisers now he has met them. they prepared the greatest welcome and an unexpected consequence is that more popular in lebanon before the crisis began. he said when he gets home, he will make his situation known. a lot of people waiting to find out what that means. it is the first time we have spoken to you since there was an arrest of a bunch of people in riyadh and as you are in the capital of saudi arabia, i wonder what you're feeling is about the reaction. there has been nervousness to his movements in washington. there seems to be the region with so many —— with so many mysteries. on a day widely seen as the forced resignation of mr hariri announced in riyadh, was also the day the crown prince unleashed his spectacular anti—corruption crown prince unleashed his spectacular anti—corru ption drive, which has been widely seen as a move against opponents and rivals as the same time he moved against billionaires, former government officials who got the sack and they are being held in a gilded prison in five 5—star luxury hotels here and we saw the economy minister and he said it was in the investigators and investigations continue and there has been talk about deals whereby if they give up what could be called ill gotten gains, they will buy their way out of freedom. one person said it could be the equivalent of discovering a new oilfield, by moving against what is a small sample of people part of the anti—corruption drive. sample of people part of the anti-corruption drive. he does this with the backing of the americans. i am told there are americans in washington who are concerned, because as he gets rid of the opposition around him, suddenly they are starting to worry may be saudi arabia could push limits and maybe launch an attack? there are many voices coming out of washington. when i saw the saudi foreign minister i said who are you listening to, going by the tweet from president trump in which he announced the saudis know what they are doing, giving backing to the crown prince and the king, all by the press releases from the state department, with rex tillerson warning iran and saudi arabia not to use lebanon as a playing field. you have heard before the tension between different sides of the american administration, but there is no doubt the saudi authorities feel empowered by the trump administration and they see eye to eye when it comes to the main threat in the region. in their minds the threat posed by iran. they want stability and more certainty for saudi arabia. they want to know what will happen as the corruption drive on folds and what kind of strategy is the crown prince pushing across the region. it is more assertive and for some minds, too aggressive. on this issue, particularly of iran, is it something you have heard around the region, that we are in that position because checks and balances have gone and activities in yemen, with the possibility of military action with iran and saudi arabia has increased? there is always the risk of war in this region and more a lwa ys risk of war in this region and more always the risk of the accidental tumbling into war, when you have so many playing fields and proxy wars of folding, with iraq, syria, yemen, lebanon, the persian gulf. the mix ofan lebanon, the persian gulf. the mix of an accidental confrontation that could quickly escalate butjudging by what we have seen, after the forced resignation of mr hariri, people asked, who will be part of the new offensive against lebanon, and we quickly heard soundings from israel and the united states that they did not want another war, they did not want to fight this militarily and the question is how they will fight it, through trade sanctions, financial sanctions? will it bea sanctions, financial sanctions? will it be a qatar like blockade. already imposed on qatar. all of the pieces have been thrown up in the air and nobody is sure how they will come down. the pieces thrown up in the air. an interesting time in that region. thank you. the argentinian navy says a submarine that's been missing forfive days had reported a mechanical problem in its final communication. it was told to change course and go to mar del plata but was lost from satellite somewhere en route. there are 44 crew members on board. the united states, britain and brazil are involved in the search. they are focusing on a patch of ocean about 300 kilometres wide, around the point of last contact. it is an undulating ocean floor, so anything from a few hundred metres to over a thousand metres deep. the german—built sub disappeared in bad weather on wednesday. in fact, these pictures from the argentinian navy show you just how big the waves still are in that area. we are told the sub has enough oxygen to last around ten days without surfacing. so this is still a search and rescue operation. eric wertheim is a naval analyst, and author of the naval institute's guide to combat fleets of the world. hejoins us from he joins us from washington. give us a sense of what the chances are of finding the submarine. it is a very tense situation because the weather is hampering the situation. the biggest difficulty is where the submarine is, and that is the biggest challenge. there are different scenarios involved if the submarine can be located but the biggest challenges locating it so they can figure out what the problem is and how to respond and each minute and our that goes by, the chances decrease if they cannot find the submarine. the argentine navy is saying there is oxygen for ten days and it has been out of contact five days but i understand it that every timea days but i understand it that every time a sailor takes a breath, it diminishes the supply of oxygen? exactly, and there are other issues that could contribute to oxygen issues. if there were a fire on board, or anything like that, they could use up a vast amount of oxygen. hopefully that is not the situation and this is just a submarine that is waiting for a rescue attempt. as time goes by, it gets less likely they will find it, so everyone is aware and working as quickly as they can to figure out the location of the submarine. we we re the location of the submarine. we were told it had a problem when it was diverted. the chances of survival, how dependent is it on where they finished up on the ocean floor, the pressure on the submarine itself, and how easy it would be to get them out if they found? the submarine has an operating depth of about 1000 feet and if it is below that it will not be survival much below that because the pressure is so intense, the hull cannot survive. there are different methods of deeper rescues. there are rescue chambers that can be a drop—down. or individual rescue systems that can go deep but the first problem is locating the submarine. it brings back echoes of the russian submarine the kirsk that went missing and the race against time. unfortunately, that was a sad situation and not helped by the lack of request by russia for international assistance and because of that, by the time the british and norwegian teams got to the kirsk, it was already too late. hopefully that is not the situation. argentina seems to have asked for international support early, but this is different in they are not fully aware of the location so it will be finding a needle in a haystack but there is a lot of equipment coming to bear to help with mapping the area to get a picture of whereabouts the submarine could be. thank you. such a terrifying idea, these people being in this submarine and the oxygen supply is diminishing every day. this is beyond 100 days. still to come — why is giving birth getting more dangerous in the united states, when it's getting safer almost everywhere else? the world of tennis has been paying tribute to one of the sports most tribute to one of the sport's most popular personalities — the former wimbledon singles champion jana novotna, who's died of cancer at the age of 49. the all—england club described the czech player as "a true champion in all senses of the word". our sports correspondent david ornstein looks back at her life. it is one of wimbledon's most enduring images. jana novotna may have lost the ‘93 final but she won a shoulder to cry on from the duchess of kent and the hearts of the british public. shejust told me, jana, you will do it. i believe one day you will do it. and ijust became very emotional. it was very nice. i appreciated it, what she said. novotna finished runner—up again in 1997, but a year later she finally won the trophy. news of her death has been met with a mixture of shock and an outpouring of tributes. i can only describe her as a ruthless competitor on the court but utterly sweet and charming off it. she was such a warm person. always very friendly. she would come up and smile and give you a couple kisses. she was really loved by everyone. she right—hander rose to prominence in the early ‘90s and went on to become one of the most exciting, popular and successful players of her generation. she was back on the lawns of wimbledon as recently as 2016, rolling back the years in the invitational mixed doubles. but novotna will always be remembered for the tears and then the triumph, refusing to let the setbacks keep her down, eventually coming out on top and writing her name into history with a smile. you're watching beyond 100 days. it's now much safer to give birth — and the good news is globally the number of women dying of pregnancy or childbirth has nearly halved in 25 years. but perhaps the surprising exception is the united states. our north america correspondent aleem maqbool reports from texas, where the maternal mortality rate is rising dramatically. dominique shepherd was a fashion designer and businesswoman. last year shortly after giving birth to her son in year shortly after giving birth to herson ina year shortly after giving birth to her son in a maternity ward in texas, she bled to death. my daughter was perfectly healthy, perfectly fine. mentally and physically she was perfectly fine. yet she did in that hospital. doctors came in to tell the family they had done what they could, but dominique suffered massive blood loss and could not be saved. all you people and my daughter did. i could not understand it. dominique's son colin is one of the staggering number of american children who will never get to know their mothers. as the rate of women dying of pregnancy and childbirth related courses has decreased in the rest of the developed world, in the last 20 yea rs developed world, in the last 20 years it has gone up dramatically in the us. how does this happen in a place like texas? campaigners see a link between the fact the state has the worst record on maternal mortality and it has the highest proportion of people without health insurance. for them it is about access to medical care. government officials disagree. i don't believe thatis officials disagree. i don't believe that is true. i think the underlying trend for increasing chronic disease in this country, throughout the entire country, is the fundamental underlying cause for the increase in maternal morbidity across the nation. those who worked with pregnant mothers like darlene fink access to health care is definitely access to health care is definitely a big part of the problem. and there is massive racial disparity also. we are looking at the fact african american women are dying at three times the rate. we have to look at what is it about this group specifically? is there a racial component? people want to talk about it. we are post—racial. we had a black president. but our numbers do not bear it out. that can only partly be explained by access to health care. officials say they need more time to explain the rest. but things are only getting worse and the fee is without a sense of urgency, more american women will die before there is a plan in place to address the problem. extraordinary statistics. what do you talk about after 70 years of marriage? tonight the queen and prince philip will celebrate their platinum wedding anniversary with a quiet, private dinner at windsor castle. with, i am sure, more than enough memories to fuel the conversation. extraordinary to think they have been together since 1947. here's a look down memory lane, with a little a bit of vera lynn. # when you are in love. # when you are in love. #itis # when you are in love. # it is the loveliest night of the year. the king and queen announced that the betrothal of their dear beloved daughter to lieutenant philip mambo. -- philip —— philip mountbatten.” -- philip mountbatten. i am so happy that my future husband philip is by my side. a song my wife place to be every night i come home. not! what planet do you live? those photographs at the end were taken by the celebrity photographer. look at prince philip's face. but knowing look of the husband. apparently the brooch she is wearing was given to her by prince philip in 1966. do you know what she gave him for their 70th anniversary? a special royal honour. that night grand cross of the royal victorian order. when you are looking for a present for your wife when you have been marriage —— been married 70 years... —— the knight.. incredible to think their we re knight.. incredible to think their were more than 100 nations that did not exist when the queen came to the throne. and prince philip stott happy anniversary to them both. a look ahead to tomorrow's show. we will bejoined we will be joined by an author. good cold war spy stuff. christian spent his weekend in france reading. join us his weekend in france reading. join us for that. see you then. cloudy and damp for many today but the lucky few had some sunshine. this picture shows a fair amount of blue sky and quite warm if you had sunshine with parts of cheshire and flintshire having higher temperatures. a wet start tuesday in the central belt. cold in the far north of scotland. wintry over the tops of the hills as wet weather moves in. at 8am, for large part of england and wales it could be drive. temperatures widely into double figures. in northern ireland, overnight rain moving away. at the tops of the pennines, low cloud. wet weather in scotland. the tops of the hills in northern scotland, not much improvement, as the rain moves northwards. a wet day in northern scotland. much of central and eastern parts of england drive. if you get to see sunshine, temperatures will be higher than this. outbreaks of rain her as we go through tuesday into wednesday morning. and the wind picking up initially across northern and western parts per widely blustery on wednesday with a lot of rain to come in north—west england, especially cumbria and lancashire, perhaps up to 50 millimetres. some sunny spells into the south—east. this is where we see the highest temperatures. towards the end of the week, isobars changing direction. it means colder air starts to come back south across the uk, initially in scotland, northern ireland, northern england and on saturday, it should have reached all the way south across the uk. at least, although there will be showers, it will be brighter. this is bbc news. the headlines at 8pm: the eu's chief negotiator says he wants to offer the uk an ambitious partnership, but warns member governments to prepare for no deal, as uk ministers meet to discuss how much britain is prepared to pay to leave the eu. meanwhile, eu medicine and banking agencies announce they are to relocate out of london to amsterdam and paris. and the german chancellor, angela merkel, says she'd rather face new elections than lead a minority government, after coalition talks break down. in zimbabwe, president mugabe faces impeachment proceedings as early as tomorrow. the world of tennis has been paying tribute to jana novotna, the former wimbledon singles champion, who's died of cancer at the age of 49. also this hour — celebrating their platinum wedding anniversary.

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