state's history. raging waldo canyon fire has burned down 346 homes. there are 20,000 that are more under the threat, and at least one person has now died, and another is missing. president obama signed a di s disaster declaration for the state today freeing up federal funds for the recovery. now this afternoon, he is going to tour the scorched neighborhoods along with meeting the firefighters and we have the fbi and the atf helping the local police investigate report s that an arsonist might have started the fire. a group of bicyclist have captured some key clues when they snapped photos early on. our affiliate has the story. >> reporter: this photo is the earliest proof that 7 news has seen of the start of the waldo canyon fire saturday afternoon. >> it is unreal. >> reporter: images taken by jane rhinebrant who was training two cyclists west of the garden of the gods. >> we were there at 11:00 and blue skies and nothing suspicious. >> reporter: but less than two hours later, she would capture the start of what would grow to destroy 346 homes. >> the fire was spreading pretty quick. there was a point where we watched it roll over the ridge. we were driving down the road and the helicopter flew overhead with one of the water drops, and at that point, kind of realized how serious it was. >> reporter: just taas our interview with jane ended, a investigator stopped by to look at the video. we asked how the video could pinpoint who or what was responsible. >> when the event unfolded quickly and a lot of smoke is not extremely valuable, but the single line of smoke is. >> we will give the videos and all of the photos that we have to to a authorities a and that i can go through wit a fine tooth comb and see if they have anything. >> rob marciano is live in colorado springs. rob, give us a sense of the progress being made so far and what they are dealing with on the ground. >> well, suzanne, regardless of how this fire started, one thing is for sure the last day and a half, they have made some progress, and yesterday was cooler. and they got 15% containment which does not sound like a lot, but relative to what it was like three days ago, it is. firefighting efforts have ramped up. today is sunny and warm, but the winds won't be as erratic. we are on the air force academy airfield and they are yuzusing s as an area to launch the helicopters who are fighting the battle and you can see them lifting off where they are picking up retardant and off on the front range there, you will see the small spot fires and smoke coming out. those have ramped up a little bit but not nearly what they were yesterday. and below the spot fires, that is a subdivision that they have been desperately trying to protect, and so far have had some success, but i can't say that for other subdivisions in northwestern colorado springs, within the city limits and as you mentioned 346 homes destroyed. those victims are spread throughout the city in hotels or friends and family or some shelters and very frustrated. suzanne, last night some of them got news as to whether or not their homes were spared. many of them still won't get back to their homes for several days, because the fire is still too close. >> and rob, tell us a little bit why is it that colorado is burning more than other states in the area? >> well, you know, i bet you that the local skiers in aspen have told you this, it is not a good snow year at all. on may 1st, we were 80% below average on the snow pack and may into june, it has been unbelievably hot, and the second warmest spring for parts of colorado on record. so you had a barely snow pack and early hot spring and then last weekend the temperatures well up and over 100 degrees and that record-breaking coast is over to the east coast and folks east of the mississippi are enduring that, but that combination is what when this firer sparked let it spread so quickly. this is not the only one, because there are several large ones spreading throughout the state. suzanne. >> all right. rob, thank you so much. the weather of course might help the firefighters contain the flames. i want to go in to bring in chad meyers to the cnn weather center to talk about it. chad, are we seeing any hopeful signs for these guys? >> well, it is good news and bad news and a chance of rain. that sounds like a fantastic thing, and for the old high park fire up near fort collins, it was a fantastic thing, and in fact, wednesday, there was a flash flood warning over the fire area and right now the high park fire is 85% contained, and that is the huge one, and that was 100,000 acres and 140 or so square miles and now it is 85% under control, and fantastic. but the same day, there was some rain that was in jen nesscessj n county, and that rain caused an outflow of the boundary and then all of the houses were engulfed in flames. so you want the rain, but right on top of the fire and not five miles or ten miles away, but right on top of the fire and then you have a chance of putting some containment with the natural causes here, and the chance of rain is 20% today and all of the way through the weekend. the temperatures are not over 100 like they were for a lot of the firefight. as rob mentioned the heat has moved over to the east and it is 8 87 in new york city. that is one of the cool spots, because philadelphia, you are already up to 90. you get down into charlotte, and temperatures are 100 degrees already, and raleigh 100 and richmond, virginia, 100. and it will be hotter than that, suzanne. it is going to be 107 degrees in nashville today. >> chad, talk about that. because why extreme heat across the country and more than 100 million folks, one in every third person is going to be impacted by this? >> well shgs, i understand it i fourth of july and people are saying, come on, it is um mer and it happens, yes, i understand it does happen, but many times we say it is not the heat, but the humidity, but this time it is the heat. the humidity is not so bad, but 107 is hot no matter what. and people say, when you move to phoenix, it is a dry heat and no big deal. this is not exactly a dry heat. and it is not muggy and just oppressive, but it is not perfect. so you can cool off with water and make sure there is water on the body and maybe a big wet towel around the neck, but temperatures here from memphis, 103 degrees tonight and you need to get the house cooled down at night, too. there is nashville, 107 for the high temp and it is hot everywhere. columbia, atlanta, and 102-106 and ridiculous temperatures. i joked with people who say, what is it like to live in hotlanta, and i say it is not hot in hotlanta, and it gets to 90 and rains and it is great. that is not happening. no rain in the forecast. there are no clouds in the forecast, and that is how it is getting so hot. >> i'm really glad i'm in colorado right now, chad. how long is this heat wave going to last do you think? >> at least five days. no end in sight. good news tomorrow and sunday, people are off on the weekend and maybe the power usage won't be bad, but by monday and tuesday, everybody is back to work and we could see brown outs and blackouts and the local authorities giving you a warning and turn it up to 85 or 90 degrees whatever it is in your house, and then turn it back down when you come home. this is what you want to be doing. i don't understand what the kids know how to do the best. there you goment i remember running through a sprinkle back in buffalo, and that is the best way to stay cool. get wet and stay wet. find yourself a local lake and if not, $1 movie theater. they still exist, right? >> a neighbor's swimming pool or something. okay. thank you, chad. this is what we are working on for the next hour. what does the future of health care look like now that the affordable health care act has cleared the supreme court, and we are live in the pentagon and the investigation into the deadly shooting into fort bragg. and michelle kwan is one of the most famous figure skaters in history and now she is using that fame to help secretary clinton spread diplomacy, and we will talk to her about it. the fight over health care reform shifts back over to the legal arena and now back over to the political arena hnow that te supre supreme court has upheld the law. and now mitt romney says that they will take the case to the voters. here in aspen, we listened to a panel that has had a lot of interesting things to say about the supreme court decision and the road ahead. very provocative conversation. let's listen in. >> i was very pleased that romney care was sustained today. i have been in favor of this plan since it came out of the heritage foundation in the late 1980s. i favored it in 1983 and 1984 and much to the first lady's dismay and when mitt romney wanted to do it, i raced up to massachusetts the do it and check it out and he was doing it for all of the right reasons and not for the things he is saying now. >> i think that the democrats and the republicans agree we want a high value and high p performance health care marketplace and better quality and lower cost, but they differ on what the role of government should be. that debate will continue regardless. >> the popularity of the bill is in the future and it always will be. the american people do not trust government. 19% of americans trust government to do the right thing most of the time, and this bill centralizes power in government. they are just not going to like it. >> we now know that this is not a mandate, but a tax increase. and i think that president obama promised not to impose a tax increase, and we will see if the republicans can figure out how to argue against the tax increase for the next four months. >> joining me to talk about what is next fort the health care reform debate, cnn political analyst ron brownstein of the "national journal" and you rarely get a chance to meet people in the same place and talk to something about this where you have ven webber on one side who is a mitt romney supporter of the campaign and tom daschle on the other who is clearly someone who pioneered the health care reform. let's talk a little bit about the money that is involved here. so far, this is the figures that we are talking about. the romney campaign says it has raised $4.2 million since the decision and the obama camp saying it has even earned and raised more. is that where we are headed with this newly reinvigorated campaign? >> yes, by pushing health care into the spotlight, the effect is to energize the base of both sides. reasons overwhelmingly and intensely repulseded by this law. and democrats, richard nixon, and bill clinton and jfk, and obama is the first democratic president to get it through. and it is the most dramatic achievement since medicare and so it is going to be a huge accomplishment. >> yes, and we heard ven webber who made the case that this is a tax increase, and what does the administration and the president need to do to counter message? >> well, the administration has never done a really good job of explaining what the individual mandate entails. for most people who are uninsur uninsured, they are in all likelihood never pay this tax, because they will choose to buy insurance because they are getting a good deal. for most people they will put in 25 cents on a dollar and the government covers the rest. the tax aspect are for those who choose not to be covered. we will see how many people that are, but keep in mind, even that tax or finer owhatever you want to call it, it is not that large. it is $700 in 2014 when this begins. so i think that this is going to be a new point of debate, but the biggest failure of the administration has had politically on this is explaining what the individual mandate really means. it has been an ideological fight, and very little with the practical fight. >> and how do they explain this for the next four months or explain the e kconomy and the js numbers next week and the next month? >> the latter. the economy and the trajectory of the economy is the overwhelming dynamic of the election and the health care animates both sides and rallying cry for the most conservative parts of the republican party who sees president obama expanding the government beyond the appropriate role, but for the voters who are not fully committed, they will ultimately decide that the economy is the biggest factor. >> and in the swing states, where is the message going to raze nate the most, and where important to focus on the economy? >> well, it is interesting and in the past when i grew up covering politics, presidential elections, the ip thing point were the rust belt behemoth, and ohio, michigan,michigan, and pennsylvania, and now there is a another belt, florida, and colorado and the southwest in nevada, and the swing states are different with different problems. the rust belt is older and predominantly white, and the sun belt states are younger and much more racially diverse, but still facing big hangovers from the housing collapse. so you have a different equation in the two groups of states that ultimately between them will settle this race. >> the obama campaign are trying to emphasize the president's foreign policy record and point to the fact of osama bin laden being killed and pointing to the fact that dictators have been toppled and a real radical change in the middle east. does it make sense for them now to bring up those issues or are people paying attention to that or it is really about am i doing better now than four years ago? >> well, what they are doing there is to take a issue off of the table that has benefited the republicans. the sense that republicans are stronger orn national security has been a common feature of presidential elections i have covered since 1980, and obama has been able to neutralize that, but ultimately the key in the race is whether he can convince 50 plus one of the american people that he has a vision that will make their lives better over the next four years and particularly economically. and the romney goal is to make it as much as possible a retrospective referendum in the last four years recognizing that most people would say they are not better off than four years ago and obama wants to make it a forward going prospective choice of how to get the economy going forward and in that position, the polling shows he is in a better position, and rather than if it centers around ronald reagan's question, are you better off now than four years ago? >> ron, any big ideas here in the conference that impressed you? >> i was in a conference with four members of congress and they say how the congress was not built for the level of systemic partisan conflict. so that we are now seeing. so we have to adjust the rules or the parties have to bend. because suzanne, most likely, this e llection is going to lea the country divided and if the parties are this deeply divided and the country is closely divided, this is a recipe for gridlock or polarization, unless somebodies on both sides are willing to bend more than they have in the last few years. >> all right. ron, always, your analysis point on, and spot-on always, and it is not the lower oxygen level here in colorado. excellent job. >> good to see you. >> good to see you as well. a soldier opens fire in fort bragg with deadly consequences, and we have a live report from the pentagon. 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[ male announcer ] the audi a8, chosen by car & driver as the best luxury sedan in a recent comparison test. i tell mike what i can spend. i do my best to make that work. we're driving safely. and sue saved money on brakes. now that's personal pricing. more now on the deadly shooting at fort bragg, north carolina, and it happened at a safety briefing at the army base. one soldier was killed and two others hurt. authorities say a soldier shot another and then turned the gun on himself. >> this is obviously a tragedy for our community, and we don't yet know the reasons for the shooting, but we are working with the unit and the affected families to help them through this extremely difficult period. >> chris lawrence is live at the pentagon for more. chris, just tell us what happened. >> yes, suzanne, basically, they were in a safety briefing and one soldier pulled out a gun during the briefing and shot and allegedly killed his commanding officer there and wounded another soldier before shooting himself. we are told that the shooter, himself, although he is in custody, he is not expected to survive. we are also talking to defense officials who are shedding new light in giving new information about why this may have happened. we are told that the specialist who had been in the army about eight years was facing court-martial on criminal charges. he had been accused by the army of stealing a tool box that was worth a couple thousand, and he may have been dishonorably discharged if found guilty after a court-martial. we are also told that he had a special connection to his battalion commander, and the specialist actually serve od on the lieutenant colonel's security detail while both were deployed in afghanistan. suzanne. >> chris, this happened in a safety briefing and are the participants usually armed in these kinds of exercises? >> no, and there are different kinds of safety briefings. you have a serious safety brief ing if the unit is about to go out on patrol in afghanistan and you want to map out exactly what is going to happen, and a lot of the procedures that are going to take place, but this is not like that. i am told that this is basically a hay, guys, stay safe over the long july 4th weekend and don't drink and drive and just a hey, friendly reminder, you are doing a great job briefing and then all tof s all of the sudden the the soldier pulls out the gun and starts shooting. >> chris, what is going on at fort bragg? there seems to be a lot of stories coming out of that base and a lot of problems and issues they are dealing with. >> yes, and like a lot of the army bases right now, you have a problem with suicide, and you know, fort bragg is no stranger to that. you never want to take one incident and though say it is a massive problem across the base. fort bragg is a sprawling mini city so to speak, and you don't want to know until we know exactly why this happened, it is tough to put this context, and tie it to other events going on at the base. >> all right. chris lawrence, thank you. we appreciate it. and she graced the ice and she won the hearts of olympics just a few years ago and now michelle kwan trying to empower young women through sports, and she is getting help with secretary clinton. don't forget to watch cnn live at work on your computer at cnn.com/tv. and how much the people in your life count on you. that's why we offer accident forgiveness... man: great job. where your price won't increase due to your first accident. we also offer a hassle-free lifetime repair guarantee, where the repairs made on your car are guaranteed for life or they're on us. these are just two of the valuable features you can expect from liberty mutual. plus, when you insure both your home and car with us, it could save you time and money. at liberty mutual, we help you move on with your life. so get the insurance responsible drivers like you deserve. looks really good. call... or visit your local liberty mutual office, where an agent can help you find the policy that's right for you. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? she is the mother of three and grandmother of two and 49-year-old australian penny palfrey is trying