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Erin Burnett OutFront

momentum. something that turns the tide. but this is all a momentum game. if donald trump gets 50 plus points, then the game is going to keep going. everybody is going to show up in the break room and act like they like him. >> is there something that alice is talking about, that ron desantis has executed so well? everybody would acknowledge that, that he has. been to every county twice, he has gotten all the people in place. there any chance that that upside surprises? >> there is always a chance. however, minuscule at this point. however, to everybody's point, and i think this is why donald trump is out there saying if you're close to death, come vote for me any way, because he wants to guard against this inevitability. is there concern he is going to win anyways, so i'm not going to. could out. that's what give ron desantis and nikki haley a window. it's about wrapping up these delegates. if he doesn't do well enough, that means you give desantis and

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Erin Burnett OutFront

the republican party. as voters render the first judgments on whether to choose trump for a rematch with president biden or move in gnaw direction. ann wagner said she intends to skip her weekly bible study to attend her caucus. she knows trump holds a commanding lead, but she'll support haley to keep the republican primary going beyond iowa. >> she needs to know that people are behind her, and the world needs to know that we're serious. >> and erin, in the closing arguments today to voters, some interesting strands we're picking up. particularly from the former president. he took on nikki haley in a way he has not before. he spent several minutes talking about her at a rally earlier this afternoon. he said she's not tough enough to be president. for her part, she largely ignored him saying it's time for voters to move forward. certainly donald trump has his eye on what comes after this. of course, new hampshire, as does nikki haley. but as for ron desantis, all of his hopes are placed in iowa. there is no doubt there is no one that is campaigning harder

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Erin Burnett OutFront

i'm going the tell them everything i know as president and i'm going fight every day to make them proud. that's what i did as ambassador, as governor. that's what i'll do as president. >> donald trump says among other things you're not tough enough to be president. how do you interpret that? >> i find it comical, because when i was at the u.n., he always used to tell people, don't mess with her, she is tough. i was tough as a governor. whether it was like passing the toughest illegal immigration law in the country, whether it was taking on my own legislature when i made them start to record their votes on the record, whether it was at the u.n. with russia, china, and iran. everybody that has ever worked for me or with me, no one ever questions my toughness. he is saying this because now he knows he is in trouble. now he knows this is becoming a two-person race. so i know that he knows the truth. it doesn't bother me at all. >> so, erin, you saw her trying to brush off that criticism, which was more robust in the former president's rally today than we've seen maybe in recent

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Erin Burnett OutFront

even people voting for haley on desantis are getting texts from trump. that's the organization. but i was in covering campaigns when the internet was a baby, when there was no such thing as social media. a lot of direct mail. we used to go to evangelical churches on the sunday before iowa to see what people put under the windshields of cars. that's when you did your attack piece. people come out of church and see michael dukakis this or bob dole that this is a negative ad from desantis, trump ignored iowa. and nikki haley saying she has electability. she is the right candidate to take on joe biden. there is tv. there is digital. but there is also some good old school direct mail. >> old school direct mail. it's nice to see it. john king, thank you. and we'll of course see you tomorrow. next, nikki haley picking up big endorsement tonight from a popular former republican governor who says she is the one with the momentum. our dana bash just spoke to haley in iowa and will be live from des moines after this. plus, new pictures from iowa

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Erin Burnett OutFront

so obviously trump sounding confident. but as basel is pointing out, he is worried that with the lead coming out in the poll, people are a little lackadaisical, they don't actually show up tomorrow. is that a reasonable concern when you look at the enthusiasm of his voters? >> well, his people and enthusiasm, his voter far more enthusiastic than anybody else's. however, talking to trump campaign people, their support tilts more rural. that's a longer drive to your polling place. it tilts older. do you want to get in your car and risk something happening to you if you're older, driving 15, 20 minutes to the polling place. it brings up the interesting point here too. they've been very, very confident to the end. look at the ad spending here. again, turn my back so people can see it. haley's campaign and pro-haley superpacs have spent about $8 million since the beginning of the year. desantis a little more than $6 million. that's the desantis campaign and superpacs that support him.

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Erin Burnett OutFront

and welcome back to the special edition of "outfront" countdown to iowa. just in, our dana bash spoke one-on-one with nikki haley. haley has been feeling momentum going boo the iowa caucuses tomorrow night. will it be enough? will it turn out? will it put a dent in trump's massive lead? i want to get straight to dana. you had a chance to talk to governor haley, and you talked to her about a big endorsement tonight. marco rubio, who she endorsed in 2016 but now is endorsing trump. talk to me about what she said to you about that. >> well, it was really interesting, erin. i was in ames, iowa, where she had one of many events that she is doing today. she had just come off talking about the need to move on, the need for a new generation, a lot of what she told you in that town hall a couple of weeks ago

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Erin Burnett OutFront

and good evening and welcome to a special edition of "outfront." i'm erin burnett on this sunday. tonight the first contest of the 2024 election is only hours away. republican candidates are out in temperatures well below zero, but they're still fighting to try to get everybody to turn out and vote in iowa. you're looking at live pictures right now of nikki haley's rally on election eve, and she is not alone. ron desantis and vivek ramaswamy also holding events tonight. their supporters are there too, despite the dangerous conditions. and that's because of course the stakes could not be higher. there is so much on the line in this unprecedented election campaign season that we are now finally in the midst of. haley and desantis are desperately trying to close the gap with trump, who just wrapped up his rally in the final hours. and, you know, as i say, it's unprecedented. but there is still some sense of

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Erin Burnett OutFront

going to come down. to kristen, thank you very much. with your reporting. and i want to go now straight to john king at the magic wall. so john, finally, tomorrow it begins. iowa. so what are you watching for? >> well, finally, erin, 24 hours from now, we'll be counting votes. we'll be watching the wall fill. in 9 nine counties in iowa, many of them rural. that's key to donald trump. let's go back to what you've been discussing with your panel, kristen there for a sext second and show the poll. excuse me for turning my back. i want to stretch this out. ted cruz came back, he was behind and he one against donald trump. rick santorum won in 2012, surpassing mitt romney. but the lead was nothing like that. donald trump at 48%, nikki haley at 20, santorum at 16. so this would be an earth-shattering what if someone beat donald trump in iowa. so largely, it seems to be a fight for second place. but can trump stay under there? so what do you look for? one of the key things, erin, we talked about this a little the other night. if you look at this, the deeper the shading, the more

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Erin Burnett OutFront

days. and that really has been her m.o. as we've seen time and time again, to harness the notion that when people are attacking her, it means that she is winning, and that's why they're going after her. but also to sidestep a little bit of the criticism beyond what she's already done when it comes to the former president, her former boss, when she was u.n. ambassador. erin? >> dana, thank you very much. really illuminating having this conversation with nikki haley. geoff, you know having been on a campaign trail. i can't imagine what kind of fumes these individuals are running on. but specifically nikki haley and ron desantis who really have been doing the groundwork out there. trump has obviously been in the courtroom. and so what do you make of that response? i don't think she was aware of the marco rubio thing before dana told her. >> look, nikki is crushing it. 2024 is another chapter of opposite day. donald trump gets indicted. he goes up in the polls.

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Erin Burnett OutFront

her well. at one point seemingly giving her a compliment, but then saying she couldn't be president. this went on and on foremost of his two-hour speech. he is clearly somewhat rattled by what they have seen, his team have seen in new hampshire in particular when it comes to nikki haley's poll numbers and the rise in the poll numbers. so they're hoping to stunt any sort of momentum that she has. the other part of this, i know you guys were just discussing this, is that he wants everyone to come out and vote. i'm talking to several of his senior advisers who say, yes, he is worried about the weather. yes, he is worried that it could impact turnout. a big part of their ground game that they organized was getting out first-time caucusgoers. in order to do that, they had to use data, seek out people who had supported donald trump, but never really shown up at a caucus. are they going to show up this time? that's a big question. they believe they will. but he is pushing and pushing to get them there on monday. >> all right. that's really what it's all

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