be clear. and i think that that's just a natural reality. >> that didn't turn out exactly how i wanted it to. >> it sure didn't. and as republicans like glenn youngkin and daniel cameron lick their wounds, democrats celebrate big victories in yesterday's elections. with voters sending a clear message to republicans -- abortion is still a big problem for you. also tonight, ivanka trump. found a baby sitter, allowing her to take the stand today in the new york civil fraud trial. bringing with her a three-word phrase that got a lot of use. i don't recall. plus, breaking knew tonight, the pentagon says the u.s. has carried out another air strike in syria following attacks against u.s. personnel in that region. but we begin tonight with a message for republicans i don't know who needs to hear this in the republican party since y'all keep trying even though voters keep telling you over and over and over again, but abortion is a big problem for you. that should be the message republicans take away from tuesday's big night for democrats. as voters sent a resounding message that no matter what sam alito and his fellow commanders of gilead want, stripping half the population of control of their own bodies and reproductive decisions is a massive loser for republicans. and when voters get the chance to vote to protect that basic right, they're going to do it whether their state is blue, purple or red. abortion rights were the driving issue in elections up and down tuesday's ballots. let's start with virginia, voters there rejected republican governor glenn youngkin's genius plan to prime america for a, quote, reasonable national abortion ban. democrats blocked the republican takeover of state government, retaining control of the state senate and flipping control of the virginia house of delegates. that will put an end to glenn youngkin's plans for a 15-week abortion ban in virginia and to republican big money donors fever dream that the vest wearing book banning finance guy will rescue the party, beat trump in a late primary and glide into the white house having cracked the abortion ban cheat code. it was a hard no for virginia last night. meanwhile, in deep red kentucky abortion was also at the forefront. incumbent andy beshear molly whooped state attorney daniel cameron defeating him by five points in a state donald trump won by 26 points in 2020. cameron is best known outside of kentucky for refusing to seek justice against the police officers who killed breonna taylor. kentucky voters rejected him in part because of his support for kentucky sweeping abortion ban. but governor beshear bucked the national media narrative that the democrat party is in trouble following some disappointing polling numbers for president biden this week. kentucky voters also rejected republican efforts to weaponize the culture wars. jecting anti-transgender attacks on governor beshear who vetoed a pair of anti-trans bills in the state. those attacks also failed in virginia where voters also made history, electing the state's first transgender state senator, danica roem. one of several historic firsts. parker waslected the first woman mayor of philadelphia. rhode island elected its first black u.s. representative, gabe amo. new york city, dr. yusef-salamm one of the exonerated five won a seat on the council. mississippi, democrat brandon presley, distant cousin of elvis narrowly lost to tate reeves amid voting problems. polling places ran out of largelyprisg black communities where the water stopped working properly earlier this year and nearly all white leadership seized control of the police. perhaps the most resounding victory for abortion rights came in another red state, ohio which had a direct abortion question on the ballot. voters there overwhelmingly said yes to enshrining abortion rights in their state constitution by 14 points. and yet, despite that raft of evidence that abortion is a losing issue for republicans everywhere, some of them still seem to be not getting the message. >> daniel cameron was a rising star in the republican party until he decided to throw his lot in with donald trump. let's face it, donald trump is political and electoral poison down ballot. >> democrats are trying to scare women into thinking republicans don't want abortion legal under any circumstances. >> what an epic failure by governor youngkin. this is a huge loss. >> you put very sexy things like abortion and marijuana on the ballot, and a lot of young people come out and vote. it was a secret sauce for disaster in ohio. thank goodness that most of the states in this country don't allow you to put everything on the ballot because pure democracies are not the way to run a country. >> huh. we have a very distinguished panel to discuss all this. former senator claire mccaskill, david plot former obama manager. charlie sykes andason johnson morgan state university. claire, i'll start with you and get through some of the polls. very sexy things like abortion. sexy. >> yeah. and this is from a guy who has been a radical on this subject, santorum forever. and he -- what he's basically saying is we do not agree with the majority of america, so therefore we must keep the majority of america from speaking on this topic. >> yeah, yeah. democracy is a bad thing per santorum. >> with roe being overturned, this discussion changed from theoretical to real for women in america. anybody -- i read this morning in "the wall street journal" some political genius out of virginia, republican consultant said, well, this won't be that big of issue next year. i got a news flash for you, this issue is not going away. >> yeah. >> the women of this country and many of the men do not like their freedom being taken away, do not want the government in this very personal, delicate, difficult situation. they don't want the government there. and they're going to vote that way. and it's going to be a big winner for the democrats next year. >> and the thing is, david, it's not just a big winner among democrats. it's a big winner in republican states, in red states, in ohio. let me read you some of the exit polls in ohio. ohio women 18 to 44, 74% voted to enshrine abortion in the constitution. ohio women over 45, it's less but still 52%. no, 48. go down by education. these are white voters in ohio. i think only about 7% of the electorate was black. white voters were the vast majority. white women college garage watds 63% yes. white women noncollege graduates the ones 50/50. white male college graduates, 57% yes. really white men without college degrees that were in the 40s. everyone else was in the 50s or above. last thing i will read from ohio voters. how do you feel about the supreme court overturning roe v. wade the largest percentage was angry. 38%, 22% dissatisfied. david plouffe, i don't know how much more data republicans would need to understand that the american people in the majority do not want women's bodies controlled by the state. i don't understand what else to tell them. do you? >> well, i think republicans will try and run away from this issue, but there's no running away from it. the american people believe this is one of the most important issues they're proven they're going to vote on it. trump is on the top of the ticket, roe v. wade was overturned largely because the supreme court justices that he nominated. he owns this. he's kind of the god father of the decision that overturned roe v. wade. i will say this, obviously a great result for democrats. we should celebrate that. we have a lot of history now going back to '22 that this issue drives. but like in ohio, that was an election just on abortion. and you know, i think democrats now sadly wasn't too long ago we were competitive in ohio and hopefully sherrod brown can hold on to his seat. i think he will. we lose a lot of races in that state by ten points. the nerd in me thinks as you look at these races whether it's kentucky which was a straight up candidate race. ohio the, virginia legislative races. there's a whole bunch of voters there that voted the democratic side of progressive side that currently aren't saying they're going to vote for joe biden or the democratic candidates. that's a data and research gold mine. to know who they are, and what you can do to close the sale. the other thing i would say is, you know, democrats -- this wasn't always the case for most of my career quite frankly do perform really well in lower turnout elections. we know if trump is top of the tickout, his turnout is coming next year. that will be the challenge is we have to not just do what we need to do with swing voters i think abortion can play a big role in that, but we also have to do what we need to do in turnout. that's the biggest concern. we got plenty of time to address it. but, that's -- if things don't go like we like to next november, i think that's going to be the factor. >> and let me go to you on this, jason, because that's a good point. one of the things that democrats do have an advantage over republicans is candidate quality. let's just -- andy beshear, he comes from one of the -- probably the gold ticket name surname to have in the state of kentucky. his father was governor, very popular. the other piece, the things you deliver actually matter. maintaining obama care which they call connect they very wisely didn't call obama care and it's popular. and when his predecessor tried to get rid of it, that is how andy beshear beat him the first time, how he became governor beating the guy who tried to take away kentuckians health care. candidate quality matters. talk from the ba here is angle and the youngkin angle for republicans they saw him as their high quality candidate, but he made that election about abortion. he chose to do that. he said if i get the majority in these two houses i'm banning abortion. >> right. there's so much to unpack here, joy. here is the thing, first off, comes to andy beshear. he did a good job. he's the second most popular governor in america. besides governor of hawaii. he was a very, very popular guy. this is an extremely red state. it's not just that he did a good job, running against daniel cameron arguably is the most loathed candidate amongst black people since the first time donald trump ran. i cannot stress this enough. i talked to plenty of people in kentucky. that man has the blood of breonna taylor's hands -- her blood is on his hands. people remember that. black voters remembered that. daniel cameron couldn't run away from that. andy beshear, focussing on, hey, i've done a good job and running against someone seen as the lowest of the low by most black voters was a good combination. as far as glenn youngkin goes, you hear that sound. you hear that beeping, that's the truck, that's the bandwagon for glenn youngkin backing up away from iowa and every other place. glenn youngkin was looking too far away. i'll win these elections. i'll be the reverse to ray. i'm the guy in the vest. i'm your kuld a sack south park republican and i'll slide into the presidency. first off, no one is going to move ahead in the republican party until donald trump is gone. second, you can't keep hiding what stinks. you can throw on all the cologne you want. put on all the nice candidates you want. abortion is a dead issue for republicans. people don't like it. and youngkin learned that lesson but the rest of the party isn't going to figure it out. >> let me put up the map to that very point. charlie, here it is. the statings affirming abortion access -- and the pluses on there are how much it won by. how much it won by. vermont it won by 54 poin. in kansas, it won by 18. red kansas, ohio by 14. montana, 6. it doesn't matter, charlie, where you do it. it's always going to win like marijuana and raising the legal age. always very popular things democrats can put on the ballot and help themselves out. >> what we saw yesterday was the republicans have two separate problems. both of them i think are explain how alarmed they are by the results. one of them, of course, is the abortion issue which is not going away. they thought they could finesse it in virginia. i mean, this was their -- you said the cheat sheet. they thought they cracked the code. went with a 15-week ban because that polls better. the fact that that failed so spectacularly means they have to go back to the drawing board. and i don't know that they have a plan b beyond that. so that's one problem. the other problem is the maga problem, the donald trump. donald trump was not on the ballot. but he won kentucky by 26 points and went all in for daniel cameron. and, you know, the maga brand has been -- has been a weight on republicans for years and it was very dramatically a weight yesterday because democrats hung the extreme maga label on the republican candidate in a very, very red state. and it was successful. so, if you're a republican, you're sitting back going, oh my. despite all of the promising polls, abortion issue is not going away. and 2024 is going to be all about maga and donald trump. i know there are a lot of republicans that think they can finesse the abortion issue. but yesterday was a reality check. by the way, i also agree with david's caveats about the limited predictive value of this election and how 2024 is different. but there's a reason why fox news hosts and republican consultants are kind of depressed today. >> well, i mean, claire, a lot of people were wetting the bed, moistening the bed a bit. democrats about that "new york times" poll. biden wasn't on the ballot. this was in large part election about republicans or election about incumbents in the case of andy beshear even in mississippi, what i took out of that race, the presley how close -- is that mississippi is not an unwinnable state if you have a good candidate. if you didn't have voting problems put a lot of factors in. to me, democrats -- one of the reasons biden likely won't walk away from this race is i think the campaign is probably confident that as long as abortion is out there, and as long as republicans extreme on that and even things on lgbtq issues, virginia elect a first trans state senator. the culture war doesn't work for republicans. >> the polling shows that joe biden and donald trump are not popular. okay. fine. move on. this is about who is better for america. this isn't about who you like the most. this is a binary choice a contrast. what yesterday did is it showed us how to do the contrast. and by the way, we've got other players that are going to help here. i mean, they just put by a unanimous vote the republican party mike johnson into the speaker's chair. the stuff he has said, the things he believes in, he is the poster child of the most extreme elements of the maga movement. >> yeah. >> and scary extreme. >> yeah. >> so they cannot run away from how far they have taken this. and here is what the bottom line is, people don't want government telling them what to do. >> boom. >> they don't want to tell them what to read. they don't want to tell them how to raise their children. >> that's right. >> in terms of trans issues. >> they don't want to be told what to read. >> right. >> and this is where we have the ability to really talk about freedom with some real meaning and emotion. you know what gets people out to vote, emotion. and that's what we've got to really focus on like david said. it's not going to be enough that they've got these extreme positions if we don't motivate our voters to understand what's at stake. >> we're going to use that as a tease because the hostage situation begins right now. my distinguished panelists staying right here because there's still a slew of surprising outcomes and hisser to moments to talk about when "the reidout" returns after this short break. "the reidout" returns after this short break. he hits his mark —center stage—and is crushed by a baby grand piano. you're replacing me? customize and save with liberty bibberty. he doesn't even have a mustache. only pay for what you need. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪ ♪ if you struggle. ♪ and struggle. ♪ and struggle with cpap. you should check out inspire. ♪ no mask. no hose. just sleep. inspire. sleep apnea innovation. learn more and view important safety information at inspiresleep.com meet the traveling trio. the thrill seeker. the soul searcher. and - ahoy! it's the explorer! each helping to protect their money with chase. woah, a lost card isn't keeping this thrill seeker down. lost her card, not the vibe. the soul searcher, is finding his identity, and helping to protect it. hey! oh yeah, the explorer! she's looking to dive deeper... all while chase looks out for her. because these friends have chase. alerts that help check. tools that help protect. one bank that puts you in control. chase. make more of what's yours. i did something that nobody thought was possible. i got rid of roe v. wade. the fact that i was able to terminate roe v. wade after 50 years of trying, they worked for 50 years. i've never seen anything like it. they worked -- and i was even -- i was so honored to have done it. we are in a very good negotiating position right now, only because of what i was able to do. >> and there you have it. donald trump bragging about getting rid of roe v. wade. tell me, republicans, how has that been working out for you? back with me, my panel. charlie, let me come to you on this first. because for donald trump, that line helps him with evangelicals. the problem is he already has white evangelicals. with even else it just reminds them that, you know what, i ought to pay attention who i vote for senate because they confirm supreme court justices. your thoughts? >> it welcome interesting how he handles this. after the midterms donald trump actually took a shot at the pro life movement said one of the reasons why republicans lost was not because of him it was because they taken to extreme positions. he'll try to say i'm the more moderate voice here. i'm going -- only i will be able to negotiate some sort of a compromise. but, it will be very, very difficult as you mentioned right before the break, the speaker of the house mike johnson has put his name on i think the purest kind of restrictions on abortion rights. there's a long record. there's a constituency that will have bottom lines. you can't walk away from this. now, he's going to try to distance himself from say what ron desantis has done in florida with the six-week ban. but, it seems inevitable that donald trump will be propoing a national ban. the word ban is the key. having the federal government come in and ban abortion rights in every single state. whatever number you put on it, whether it is six weeks or 15 weeks, whether it's exemptions for rape or incest, that's going to be the huge issue. and i don't see how donald trump can walk away from that because, well you just played -- you brought the receipts. he's taken credit for this particular moment. and frankly deserves a lot of it. >> yeah. david plouffe, it is a reminder that, you know, he handed over the supreme court choices to leonard leo who packed the court with the samuel alito crowd wants to get rid of abortion. three -- alito wasn't trump's pick. but it seems to me that democrats are going to run directly on abortion and run into that issue. and that is what the biden campaign is going to count on and they're not going to let up. i'm assuming this is the play book including for senate races, no? >> well, sure. i mean, sometimes we can overcomplicate politics. abortion was legal in this country before donald trump was president. he became president, roe v. wade was overturned and it's his signature accomplishment. he was bragging in that clip, he terminated roe v. wade. hard to run away from that. and obviously in today's world, you can feed that to whoever -- which ever voter you want