bookies, like a thing that they're known for, actually know the answer to that the leaves everything you need to know a little bit. jake tapper starts right now a major votes about to go down on capitol hill any minute, the lead starts right now the breaking news house lawmakers just seconds away from a vote that could hold attorney general merrick garland in contempt of congress. the dramatic action led by house republicans as attorney general garland refuses to hand over audio of president biden's interview with these special counsel. it's the interview we're robert hur's described biden is seeming like a quote, well-meaning elderly man with a for memory do house republicans have a vote have the votes. also this hour, i hate crime task force launched to investigate this repeated acts of antisemitism and vandalism in new york city. see some of the acts under investigation and to somber moments today, marketing the ugly scars of gun violence in america, students who as first-graders survived the horrific sandy hook massacre those kids are graduating from high school today and this our a symbolic act to remember the 49 innocent victims of the orlando pulse nightclub shooting welcome to the lead. i'm jake tapper. we start today with breaking news. any minute we expect to see history fold on capitol hill as house republicans move to make america garland only the third us attorney general to be held in contempt of congress. all three quite tellingly happened within the last ten years. as our politics has gotten even more divided, house republican leaders say, this rare step is necessary because garland refuses to to turn over the audio recordings of president biden's interviews with special counsel robert hur. you might remember her investigated biden's handling or mishandling of classified documents, but democrats say this is all just a stumped by house republicans who want to use the the audio for attack ads take the audio out of context to embarrass president biden and doing do it all to appease donald trump. if this motion passes republicans will then ask justice department to prosecute garland, who we should know is the head of the justice department because he's the attorney general, the doj did not pursue charges against the other two attorneys general who were held in contempt. mr. holder and mr. bar. let's get straight to cnn's manu raju on capitol hill manu, it is a very narrow majority that house republicans have. do they have the votes? >> the republican leadership believes that they do have the votes back the speaker of the house, mike johnson just emerged from his office. he told her colleague kit mar that i believe we do. they have the votes. he said, now, here's the catch though, jake is, but absences isn't those point, there is such a narrow majority that a couple of members don't show unexpectedly that could scuttle the whole efforts going forward. we've seen that happen in other votes. will that happen here? but nevertheless, the republicans believe that they have all their members here in essentially support that nick only afford to lose two republican votes if all members are here in voting because there's a majority of people who are here, but they do ultimately expect that, but democrats are furiously opposed to this effort. they believe there's all part of push to try to make joe biden look bad and that the justice department has cooperated. the justice department attorney general himself, merrick garland said that they have provided transcripts about that interview between president biden and the special counsel, and that the older provide the audio recordings that it would impair their ability to have investigations going forward because future witnesses would be unwilling to cooperate behind closed doors and be deposed if they other audio would be leaked to the public. but nevertheless, that is this dispute has been going on for weeks and now merrick garland facing history, one of the rare attorney general about to be held in contempt in the house in the middle of this hotly contested election. so it'd be happening jake, in a matter of minutes all right. >> manu raju. thanks so much what before you go, mano what happens if this passes? who decides ultimately if the attorney general's punished yeah, this will be the dc, the us attorney's office in the district of columbia. >> and of course that is under the justice department that merrick garland runs. and there's virtually no chance that gone and will be prosecuted here in large part because the president himself asserted executive privilege over these audio tapes and the department of justice own office of legal counsel has affirmed the validity of invoking executive privilege, meaning that essentially mirror gowns position is in line with the executive branches position over this. and as essentially this is a dispute between the legislative branch and executive branch and how this can get ultimately resolved. some members says that in the court system fighting about that, about who has the right to the auto tapes. and so that's going to take a lot of time to resolve, certainly not before november and certainly no prosecution happening from our garlin. >> alright. mine raju on capitol hill. thanks so much. let's discuss meghan. let me start with you. are like, look, i'm a journalist, i love transparency in everything, everything. what's the argument for not releasing the audio? i mean, the transcripts already out there to special counsel's report with its description of joe biden, president biden is out there but why not release the audio? >> what's the point of releasing the audio? so the republicans can prove the joe biden is old and we can see all read his birthday like it's i don't understand what the point of releasing it is. they don't want to release it. i think it said it's a bad precedent. so what's the point of this? it's just more political games happening that are unnecessary in these folks should get to work and work on issues and like path and immigration bill what is the point? >> i think the point of it is to number one, see what, if anything, was redacted, but also, you already they already waived executive privilege by releasing the transcripts. so when you go and you get a little bit as whether it's a campaign or in these machinations that's the danger because you just going to keep asking you for more. that's how these games are played. we've done on our side, you've done that. there's and so what but democrats or find themselves in is if you really want to hold a hard line and really maintain executive privilege, should have done with the transcript once you start doling it out, it's harder to hold your position throughout, but to your point, it's a game. this is a political game well, let's talk about this because gloria, this showed the lead has been on television for roughly 11 years and this is the third time i have reported on the contempt of congress charges against attorney general. >> the first time was 2014, eric go holder under obama, refusing to turn over documents related to the fast and furious gunrunning sting then the second time in 2019, attorney general bill barr under trump for refusing to turn over the full unredacted mahler report. and now possibly america, ireland is this just the new normal if you're going to be an attorney general, you're probably going to get held in contempt of congress three out of five. >> i think you have to get ready for that. i mean, what they're trying to do is trip-up joe biden i mean, the description if the description had not been that he was an elderly man et cetera. with a poor memory, none of this would be going on. let's be honest about it. what they're trying to do is look at listened to him and see if he sounds like an elderly man, and then use that against him either in an ad et or, or whatever. i mean, this has nothing to do with substance. >> well, let me just say, i mean, we all have eyes and ears and we see joe biden speaking and he likely announced at one and he's an elderly man. >> said, what are you going to learn? what are you going to learn also on capitol hill today? house speaker mike johnson met with senate republicans ahead of donald trump's visit to senate republicans smile and we already know that republican senators lisa murkowski and mitt romney won't attend. they say they have prior plans. you work for mitt romney do you think he ultimately will end up showing up tomorrow or he's retiring there's he's kinda made his views known adult chimp. >> there's no really incentive for him to do that. look, i've been in these sorts of things, whether it's trump or somebody else. these aren't, they're not going to break at the powerpoint and the slide decks and start going through whatever first hundred days will look like. this essentially political rally, no matter what it is, it's he's a leader of the party now, you're having a debate in two weeks, convention. next month. it's about uniting the party, getting everybody on the same page. >> interesting, another interesting maneuver when it comes to visiting republicans is former house speaker paul ryan visited fox yesterday. now he's on the board of fox, but he was visiting as the former speaker and he explained why he is not going to be voting for donald trump. he also said this, take a listen these costs has a lot of seats. >> i could probably spend some time and come with the numbers he causes senate twice. she costs us the house because he is nominated. he is pushing through the primaries, people who cannot win general elections, but who pledged fealty. that's not a good way to build and grow a party do you think that there is a place for paul ryan and the current makeup of the republican party. i mean, it doesn't sound like it, it doesn't sound like he's going to kiss the ring of donald trump at any of these meetings or other meetings. so i know he's not invited tomorrow, but it just it doesn't look like there's a place farm because i just don't think he's going to pledge undying loyalty to trump, but i don't know why hasn't said it earlier obviously, he's been on the board of fox for quite some time to just not on fox, yes. well, yes, but but this was pretty direct and frontal and it was on fox, which i think is really important. and, you know, he could have done it a couple of years ago. why not? he's been clear. this is the first time i've heard this sort of thing. he also said he's not voting for joe biden meters, but i would think of him, he's like a nikki haley voter, right? he didn't vote. he's not going to vote florida, although haley's voting for drops, true didn't vote from 2020. he said in the interview, voted in 2016. so i didn't expect honestly to vote for trump. he's a good guy. and it's kinda also telling of where both parties are kind of competing over the hailey vote. >> he's a romney guide too. don't forget. oh, i know it. well very well. >> if you disagree with his assessment that some of the candidates he's picked in the house, republican primaries and senate republican primaries have ultimately cost republicans seats. >> in theory, yes, but also that the point of this is, look, we had a primary like i know better than most, right. can you write that? i'm scott. yes. we had that one-on-one race to at the end, this wasn't like a clown car and 60 teen and tend to go back to the point trump is coming down because he won the primary fair and square, right? >> we can agree or disagree majority of primary voters wanted him. now, we got to figure it out in november. >> so when it comes to the presidential election and megan, i'm from pennsylvania, i take a keen, i am always paying attention a new marist poll finds joe biden and donald trump basically within the margin of error. but you got to give the edge to trump 47% for him, 45% for biden, 3% for rfk jr. now, this poll was taken after trump's conviction. joe biden won pennsylvania by about a point in 2020. i imagine a poles like this don't make you happy i mean, i think that it should be a wake-up call to the campaign. they need to focus on issues here. and i also think that the more that former president trump is out on the campaign gel and people can hear what he says and what he believes. i do think that the poles will start to shift and biden's favor of the three blue battleground states, blue, blue ones like wisconsin, i'm speaking of the wall, right? yeah, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, which ones do you think are the most likely two. how would you rank them in terms of most likely to go for trump? pennsylvania is just i think is always the toughest because you're dealing with you're dealing with philadelphi. that's always a bastion of really, really deep blue support i feel okay about michigan. specifically with kind of like the vote around the gaza issue that's an issue de, affecting democrat yes. yeah. i feel like we can flip that a leisure. i feel i knows that a question? feel very good about the sunbelt right now, arizona, nevada? >> yeah, i can understand that the glory before we go, i want to note that we lost you and i both lost a friend today. howard feinman, who used to be with newsweek and then it was the huffington post. it was an msnbc eminence agree. he passed away after a battle with pancreatic cancer. it was announced a few hours go by his wife. i know he's also a fellow colgate graduate, so you've probably i've known him for for quite some time, just while we started out at news week is cub reporters on the hill. he covered the senate and i covered the house. and that was that was in the days when you could do that. and i have to say about howard in addition to being a great colleague, he's just one of the best old-fashion reporters i've ever known. he was a brilliant writer when he did a profile on a politician, you really wanted to read it because you know, he spent so much time on it and he also had his finger on the pulse of the electorate and would go to the editors in new york without fear and say, no, no, no, no, this should be the cover. this week. this is the political cover we ought to be doing. and they had a great deal of respect inside the bureau and outside the bureau, i think from politicians and those were the days when you could be friends with politicians on both sides of the aisle and cover them and i think he did that and i think we all learned a lot from howard. i think about epa, think about that era, and it was just, it's hard to imagine for the young people out there. but newsweek would come out it doesn't exist in print form and it's certainly not what it was at the time and there would be cover stories and basically there would be competing cover stories. are competing profiles by evan thomas or by howard feinman tight and they were always, yet everybody in but washington read every word and they were tough but fair as they say. and he, he he and evan thomas were always the authors and they were, they were great. >> and we used to call them the violins because they would, they would be the violin for the week. and it would sort of set the stage for what had occurred politically in the country that week. and so howard was one of the great ones writing that violin reporters all over the country would be feeding information to evan and howard? yeah, like me. >> and they would take get all in and construct this beautifully written. it was narrative, it was a marvel, it was a marvel and he was a marvel at it and had some great teachers at newsweek, but those were the days when writing. >> yeah, really mattered writing really was every absolutely so to his friends and and family and former colleagues out there, we send our love. may howard fireman's memory be a blessing as we watched for this house vote on holding attorney general merrick garland in contempt. we're gonna get some reaction from those directly involved. we're going to hear from house republicans and house democrat about this monumental move happening on capitol hill also breaking this out with the closing bell on wall street after two major economic headlines that directly impact your wallets, we will explain exactly how it impacts you. >> were back in a moment duties, celebrating freedom and legacy. next wednesday at ten on cnn here's some information about replacing windows and doors that just may surprise you. >> i'm brian gary. i'm here with brian price from renewal by anderson. >> hey, brian, homeowners always ask my windows aren't even 10-years-old why do i have to replace them? 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