he keep that momentum? and newt gingrich, by the way, did not use this opportunity at the podium to say congratulations, governor romney. nor did he even call the governor to concede florida. he just moved right on to the next stop. what does that mean? >> ashleigh, there's a huge buzz over facebook going public. you want a piece of the action? >> yes. >> you may need a lot of money to get in on the hottest ipo ever. christine romans is going to let us know if we can get in on the action. and this dash cam video. one officer watches as his partner swims to a sinking car. zero in. there are two women in the back, and they don't know how to swim. look what he did. you're going to find out from this man's voice what it was like to rescue these two women from that lake in texas. >> on the heels of that, ashleigh. knock knock. >> knock knock. who's there? >> the fbi with a chain saw tearing down your door. why? oops, by the way, it was a mistake. >> we've made mistakes about the fbi before, haven't we? >> yes, we have. this was a terrifying moment for that mom. we're going to share the details on that. >> better that she's okay now. >> crazy mistake. all right, everybody. let's talk politics. it was a big night. a lot of excitement for mitt romney. running away from florida, heading into nevada with a lot of momentum, or at least it seems so. here's the aftermath of that convincing victory. kiss for his wife. hello to all the kids, minus one boy. the governor came to the forefront in this state backed by hispanics, seniors, and catholics, and also women. kind of right across the board, folks. also supported by people who said, you know what, it's all about the economy and beating obama. those are our top issues. >> so the final totals here, romney 48%. gingrich 32%. santorum 13%. and ron paul there at 7%. so romney is trying to rally the republican party behind him now. >> our opponents in the other party have been watching, and they like to comfort themselves with the thought that a competitive campaign will leave us divided and weak. i've got news for them. a competitive primary does not divide us, it prepares us, and we will win. >> a great sound bite, but for his part, newt gingrich was putting his positive spin on what happened in florida. almost saying it stays in florida. the results show it's a two-man race, and he is vowing to stay in this one for the long haul. >> the same people who said i was dead in june and july and said i was gone after iowa, who seemed totally quiet the night of the south carolina victory, are now back saying what's he going to do? what's he going to do? what's he going to do? is i just want to reassure them tonight. we are going to contest every place, and we are going to win. and we will be in tampa as the nominee in august. >> here was the big win. 50 delegates for romney in florida's winner take all primary. he now has 84 delegates, gingrich 27, ron paul 10, santorum 8. but 1,144 are needed to officially clinch the nomination. political editor paul steinhauser is live from tampa. they still have a long way to go, paul. >> reporter: they sure do. where we're going, we're going west. eight hours ago behind me, mitt romney had his victory celebration. he hopes to do it in nevada on saturday. there's a lot of contests in february, but they look more favorable to romney than gingrich. starting in nevada, a large mormon population, why he would be considered the favorite in nevada. and then a couple of caucus states -- colorado, minnesota, and missouri with a nonbinding primary. moving on to maine on the 11th. they're going to have the results in maine. ron paul and rick santorum doing campaigning in those states, hoping to get delegates that's all proportional in those states. finally at the end of february, two larger states holding primaries, arizona and michigan. michigan, that's romney country. his father was the popular governor there. romney was born there. arizona could be a little more up for grabs. we have our debate in arizona. for gingrich really, nothing too favorable. he's looking ahead to super tuesday. that's not until march 6th. zoraida? >> we're talking about gingrich. we're talking about romney. gingrich famously said yesterday it's a two-man race. there are two more in the race. >> reporter: there are two more. one of them already in las vegas last night, rick santorum, even though he came in a distant third, he thinks gingrich's defeat will help him. take a listen. >> newt gingrich had his chance, had his shot, had a big win out of south carolina, and couldn't hold it. couldn't deliver in florida. i think they're going to be looking for a different conservative as an alternative to mitt romney now. >> reporter: that's what he's looking for. santorum talking to dana bash last night. and ron paul is looking ahead to the caucus states as well. here's what he said. >> we will spend our time in the caucus states because, if you have an irate, tireless minority, you do very well in the caucus states. there's something else the caucus states lends itself to because, if you have an energized group of people that are working in the campaign and actually believe in something, it's better to work in the caucus states. >> the candidates are moving on, and we're packing our bags and heading to neve "newsnighada. >> i know ron paul has a strong presence in that state as well. thank you for that. >> good chance to bring in christine romans looking at the exit polling data, which really tells the deeper story of the win. the question would be what were the florida republican voters looking for in their leader, the quality they wanted in him? >> is that your word of the day? >> how did you know? was it that obvious? >> i'm very pleased with that. you look at romney. these are the exit polls. when you look at who won each category, you can see mitt romney, his face is all over this map. he won up and down the age continuum, up and down the continuum for how much money you make. let's take a look. top candidate quality. 62% of them said they wanted to beat barack obama. who won that category? romney handily over gingrich. let's talk about the conservatives. here's where mitt romney needs the work. people that consider themselves very conservative, they went for gingrich, 41% over 30%. when you talk about the economy, that was the top issue, deficit in particular. mitt romney won with this. it seems his business experience worked for him in florida. more than half of those who said the economy was their top issue, they went with mitt romney as well, compared to 30% for newt gingrich. when we look at the numbers and the faces on these pictures, it's clear from the exit polling that mitt romney won. when you look at the very conservative, they were a little more restrained in their support, and that's where newt gingrich got most of the support. i will say one thing about steinhauser, packing his bags and going to nevada. i wonder what kind of suitcase he has. that guy is on a plane or on a bus or in a live shot. it's an election year, and he's our political guy. >> i bet it's small enough that he doesn't have to check luggage if he needs to get on a plane. >> he probably has quite a closet on that bus. >> thank you very much, christine. we appreciate it. not much time for romney to celebrate because the nevada caucus takes place in just four days. romney and ron paul appear to have a distinct advantage there. here's why. they were the top two finishers in nevada in the 2008 race. both maintained campaign offices in the state and have been organizing there for months. and nevada may also play into romney's hands because of a substantial mormon population. >> a nevada caucus format tends to hurt gingrich somewhat. the state's republican party requires also that its voters register by january 20th. if you think back, that was one day before gingrich's big win in south carolina, which means that gingrich might not be able to capitalize on that momentum surge that he was experiencing after south carolina. and also, the former speaker didn't even open a campaign office in nevada until last week. not great for him. but we'll see how that plays out. in the meantime, you want to make sure for the best political coverage on tv, keep it here on cnn. at 7:00 a.m. on "starting point," soledad o'brien going one on one with the winner, mitt romney. >> and every morning we give you an early start to your day by alerting you to the news happening later. stories just developing now. the showdown over syria is expected to get more intense today at the united nations with pressure on russia. the secretary of state hillary clinton leading the charge to get president bashar al assad out. russia refused to accept action on syria that would have assad removed from office. me meantime, syrian troops crushed pockets of fighters on the outskirts of the capital of damascus yesterday. coming up at 7:30 eastern on "starting point," former secretary of state jamie rubin will join soledad to talk about the bloodshed and crisis in syria and what it could take to stop it. also making news, wikileaks founder julian assange is entering the final stage of his extradition battle l in the uk later on. he has been fighting the effort to be moved back to sweden to fight the allegations of rape and sexual assault. hopefully, we'll have news later on today what happens. and it's what the entire tech world has been waiting for. the facebook ipo filing could come as early as today, folks. experts say the social network could be valued between $75 billion and $100 billion once it starts trading publicly. mind boggling. >> a lot of money. it would be an expensive ipo if you want to get in on it. happening now, an alaskan volcano looks like it might be ready to blow. if you think it's a long way away and couldn't affect you, it could threaten intercontinental air travel. apparently 90% of air freight from asia and 20,000 passengers fly through that air space daily. the satellite data is detecting eruptive activity. it's the cleveland volcano, way down the archipelago southwest of anchorage in the aleutian islands. apparently, the eruptions could happen at any time. they're really keeping an eye. this is the last time it erupted back in 2009. >> spectacular pictures. just incredible. >> look at the cloud of ash. obviously, that dissipates pretty quickly. it goes as high as 20,000 feet, which obviously can threaten the aircraft and the major travel in that hub. we're watching that for you. >> not somewhere you want to be traveling at that moment. ja jacqu jacqui jeras has the big weather picture. spotty showers in the northeast. but the temperatures are going to be crazy warm again today east of the rockies. watch out for thunder and lightning across parts of louisiana into mississippi. it's really across the deep south where the heaviest of rain will be throughout the day today. stuff you're getting across the northeast just kind of spitting. look for occasional showers. we also have poor visibility along the gulf coast with dense fog advisories for you. san antonio into austin and houston as well. still watching that fire area into parts of florida. so as we look at that big picture, this is really the big storm system across the east. another one in the pacific northwest bringing rain and valley snow. this is going to be the storm to watch as we head through the rest of the week because it's going to dip on down and make its way up as we head towards the weekend. let's talk about the good temperatures. this is insane. how is a groundhog going to predict the end of winter if winter never actually happened? tomorrow is groundhog day. 60 in new york. 67 in d.c. 71 in raleigh today, ladies. >> i think the new predictor is if the groundhog is sweaty. sees his shadow. >> thank you, jacqui. let's talk first lady of the night, shall we? michelle obama was on "the tonight show." she's talking about her workout routine. >> i'd really like to know in detail. >> those arms. those arms. the right to bare arms. and then she talked about this great little anecdote about the time al roker got in her way. >> i usually start out with a three-mile run, and then i do anything from weights to a little kick boxing sometimes. >> kick boxing? >> sometimes. >> i saw you with al gore. not al gore. i saw you with al roker. >> i didn't kick him. >> it looks like you got a little testy with al roker. show that footage. >> are jumping jacks your exercise of choice? >> you know, i do everything. jumping jacks, squats, lunges. >> uh-oh. >> we do a little everything, little boxing. >> does the president have to worry about the boxing part? >> sometimes when he sees me punching, he kind of -- >> what a great moment. don't you love that? >> that's the problem with news. we're not allowed to edit like that. we're not allowed to make that stuff up. that's pretty funny stuff. >> it is 5:14 in the east. time to check the stories making news this morning. fresh off of his florida victory, gop front-runner mitt romney is headed to minnesota today. they're holding their caucus in a week. it will be the first visit to the state for romney during the campaign. he'll be meeting with former governor tim pawlenty before heading to las vegas. let's take you overseas for a moment. children of the minnesota couple that's missing in that italian cruise ship disaster say they are now planning a memorial service for their parents, gerald and barbara hough are 2 of 16 passengers still missing from the costa concordia shipwreck of the the italian authorities have now called off that search citing a danger to the rescue workers. the hough family said in a statement, we are certainly disheartened to hear this news, but we understand and accept that decision. >> they also thanked everybody for their efforts in trying to find their parents. >> just heart breaking. police in miami breaking up an occupy protest camp. they swept through the camp site last night ejecting the demonstrators, tearing down the tents, and making a few arrests as well. the protesters had been hunkered down at that location for more than three months. >> so if you live in florida, and even if you don't, you know that the campaign ads were so incredibly nasty, but on the level of nastiness, just how bad was it? you might be really surprised. oops. the fbi busts into the wrong apartment with a chain saw. take a look at that picture. the feds are apologizing to the terrified woman and her 3-year-old daughter who was crying in another room. what happened? that story coming up. i wouldn't do that. pay the check? no, i wouldn't use that single miles credit card. hey, aren't you... shhh. i'm researching a role. today's special... the capital one venture card. you earn double miles on every purchase. impressive. chalk is a lost medium. if you're not earning double miles... you're settling for half. was that 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[ male announcer ] you do, business pro. you do. in addition to the two hundred plus facilities that the university of phoenix has we have a very progressive online learning environment. we have something called phoenix connect that allows students to have a social network. you can post discussion questions. we have more than twenty thousand faculty members, chances are one of them is online when you need some assistance. i'm ron gdovic, i'm committed to providing my students with a twenty-first-century education and i am a phoenix. we're taking a look at local headlines. let's start with nashville, "the tennesseean." senator rand paul's run-in at the airport is starting to ask questions of people about the accuracy of the screeners we have to go through. there was a big to do in the terminal when rand paul refused the pat down after setting off one of the scanner alarms. the critics are saying those scanners aren't so accurate, and they send out false positives. studies revealing they might be oversensitive to sweat or certain kinds of clothing. the tsa doesn't answer questions. >> he was saying they arbitrarily go off. that's what he said. >> they did answer they don't arbitrarily go off. rand paul didn't care. he was mad. >> so the boston herald here. a horror film come to life. listen to this. the mom and her 3-year-old daughter were terrified. that's probably an understatement. when armed men break their door down with a chain saw. it turns out, folks, the fbi raided the wrong apartment. the agents meant to bust the next door neighbor's door down. it was a drug conspiracy crackdown. the fbi has apologized. listen to this. they kept her on the floor for up to 45 minutes while her 3-year-old daughter wailed in the next room. >> you've got to be kidding me. >> that's what happened? >> they just left the 3-year-old for 45 minutes alone. >> yes, while she was on the floor. when they were trying to figure out -- even though it says they knew from the moment they walked in there they had the wrong apartment. >> i don't know. that's all i know. kind of crazy. >> there's got to be some kind of policy. there's lots of criminals who have kids. there's got to be some kind of policy when they have a raid so they know what to do. usually you sigh the officers on shows like "cops" running out with kids. >> i think the chain saw, the mother screaming, set this off. >> i smell a civil suit. >> you always smell a suit. >> it's such a litigious country. here's something you will not escape, even if you don't live in florida. in almost every election, the race to the finish line is extremely competitive. people are saying the rivalry between mitt and newt is off the rails. new heights of hostility, particularly those millions and millions spent on campaign ads in florida. take a peak. >> gingrich was paid over $1.6 million by the scandal ridden agency that helped create the crisis. >> what kind of man would mislead, distort, and deceive just to win an election? this man would. mitt romney. >> tonight he has on his own record the judgment of his peers, democrat and republican alike, by an overwhelming vote, they found him guilty of ethics violations. >> if we can't trust what mitt romney says about his own record, how can we trust him on anything? >> more than likely coming to a tv near you, states ahead, because that's just florida so far. according to the cantor media campaign analysis group, 92% of the ads that ran in florida this past week were negative. joined now by the president of that organization, ken goldstein. i am so thrilled to talk to you because i know that in the many years that you have been doing the work that you do, you get calls from people like me saying, ken, is this the worst it's ever been? and you're always having to get us off the ledge. but not this year. >> exactly. i think i've been studying this for 14 years. as you said, folks like you call me and ask is this the most negative campaign i've ever seen? and i say no. and i have a discussion over whether negative advertising is actually that bad. this last week in florida, over 92% of all the ads were negative. i've certainly never seen anything like that. never s