check out this video of the moment the quake hit, also in mexico city, so remarkable about this footage is remember how far away this was from the quake's center. chad myers is tracking the very latest of this down in atlanta. chad, how many people felt this hit? >> some sobering numbers now, john, coming in really here. we'll talk about strong shaking, 600,000 people in mexico felt strong shaking with moderate damage. 2.3 million people felt moderate shaking but i think the number here that may really surprise us tomorrow is the u.s. geological survey has the new computer model that will tell them how many fatalities are estimated. there's a 42% chance that somewhere between 10e and 100 people died in this earthquake. there's a 30% chance of up to 1,000 people dying in this earthquake, and now we know this is just the very latest, igualapa, cnn just confirmed this town is reporting 800 structures have collapsed, mainly homes, but this is very close to the epicenter of the 7.4. now we know that it didn't shake nearly as much into mexico city or acapulco but when you talk about right under the shake, right under this 7.4 violent ripping of the earth, right there at the epicenter, we know that this town was hit the hardest. there are some other bigger towns with up to 45,000 people in them that we haven't heard anything from yet. john? >> chad will continue to track all of this as we track the fallout. we'll get back to the developments. the day's big political news, less than two hours away from the poll closing in illinois. jim acosta, and host of "state of the union" candy crowley with the romney campaign in suburban chicago. you're with that campaign because the romney campaign is expecting a win. what is their biggest expectation there bottom line tonight? >> reporter: the bottom line is they'd like to win the state. they do believe they are going to win this state. the margin they think could help them enormously, if it's a big margin. this they think would be a signal to the folks they'd like to help them wrap this up. we began to hear mitt romney after ohio talk about bringing the party together. they really would like some outside help on that, but then we had the southern primaries in alabama and mississippi where you didn't win so there's the question mark over his head. they would like to take that question mark down here with a big win in illinois, and that is certainly what they're hoping to do. we're not seeing a heck of a lot of turnout up here in the chicago area and sort of the collars they call it around chicago which is where most of the republican votes come from, which should be the friendliest of romney territories. turnout matters as you know john but that's something you watch later tonight. >> i'll be watching it closely. jim, stand by one second. i want to show what candy is talking about. illinois a big state in the middle, the most important part if you're governor romney you care about this top corner of the state. why? because in chicago alone, let me turn this off, in chicago alone you have 23% of the population. now it's a democratic city but there are a fair amount of republicans. these are the color counties, lake county critical to governor romney. if you remember previous states senator santorum wins in the smaller rural communities and governor romney in the rural suburbs. jim acosta, the center is not in illinois. he's home in pennsylvania, that's the battleground next month. what is the expectation? just the other day if you give me an upset in illinois that changes everything. >> reporter: i think john that the fact that the santorum campaign is holding its primary night party in gettysburg, pennsylvania s a sign they don't feel particularly good about illinois. they probably would be in the state if they thought they would be doing well tonight and as we know illinois is sort of an upstate/downstate equation and it just doesn't seem like there's going to be enough support for senator santorum to put him over the top. there's another sign that things aren't going to be going well tonight for the santorum campaign. they held a conference call on the delegate math earlier today. we've seen the romney campaign do that when that particular primary day might not have been going in the direction and we're seeing the same thing from the santorum camp today and frankly, john, they said on the conference call they see a path to the gop nomination, but they conceded at the same time it might be a difficult path for any of these candidates. and then one very interesting development emerged at the end of that conference call, they were talking about the fact they'd been in contact with their own super delegates about the possibility of a contested convention and they feel like they're already starting to put together a strategy in the event that something like that occurs, and then one final indication that today is not really going their way, rick santorum was on conservative talk radio show earlier today still trying to clean up that comment he made yesterday about not being all that interested in the unemployment rate, that it doesn't matter to him. he was still talking about that earlier this morning. it's not a good sign when you're playing catch-up and cleaning up at the same time. john? >> a lot of catch up and cleanup. jim as could ka with the santorum campaign and candy crowley with the romney campaign. sta with us, special coverage begins at 7:00. new revelations in the shooting death of an unarmed florida teenager and no demands for the arrest of the man who shot him. 17-year-old trayvon martin was killed last month by a neighborhood watch volunteer named george zimmerman, you see him on the right. he says he fired in self-defense after he says he was threatened by someone he described as "a black kid with a hoodie on." this morning a lawyer in the case revealed martin's girlfriend was on the phone with him when the incident started. here is an audio clip from her explanation on "good morning america." >> he said this man was watching him sew put a hoodie on. the man said what you doing around here? then somebody pushed trayvon cause the headset just fell. >> the u.s. justice department said it's investigating the shooting. this afternoon the martin family attorney demanded zimmerman's arrest. >> we don't want the buck passed, agency to agency, we want to have george zimmerman arrested for killing trayvon martin in cold blood. he had a .9 millimeter gun. trayvon martin had a bag of skittles. where is the self-defense in that? >> cnn legal analyst sunny hostin with us. a number of new developments today. let's start with the fact that you hear the recording there, the young woman saying she was on the phone at the beginning of this incident. trayvon said he was being followed. he pulled up his hoodie. in terms of the value of that as evidence, what is it? >> it cannot be underestimated because the police, john, in florida have said that the reason that george zimmerman has not been and was not arrested is because he claimed self-defense under the florida stand your ground law. there is an exception to that law and that is if you are the first aggressor, if you are the pursuer. you cannot avail yourself of that defense. the police have said that they have no evidence to dispute the self-defense claim. well this young girl's story, her depiction of what happened while she was on the phone with trayvon martin, if taken as true, disputes entirely the self-defense claim, because it proves, i think, certainly in conjunction with the fact that george zimmerman also says that he pursued and followed trayvon martin, it shows that he was pursuing him, that he was the first aggressor, especially if it is true that he indeed sort of tackled trayvon martin or pushed trayvon martin, and so i believe after speaking with one of the family attorneys, they believe that this call in particular, this discussion with this girl is why the state attorney's office has now sent this to the grand jury. it will be heard in front of the grand jury on april 21st. >> and that was my next question. now you have a grand jury process in this state. >> april 10th, sorry. >> you have the united states justice department saying we're going to take a look at how the police handled this and keep an eye on the state investigation as it goes forward. the family has what it wanted in terms of the attention. you're a former prosecutor. to have the attorney demanding at rest of mr. zimmerman, does that cross the line or is that fair game? >> i think it's fair game. certainly the family has asked for justice for trayvon martin for some time. remember this happened february 26th, almost a month. let me correct myself, it's april 10th the grand jury will be hearing this, not april 21st. so we do know as you mentioned the justice department is also investigating the shooting, the civil rights division, the fbi is also investigating. i don't believe they will be taking over the investigation because this is very much so a local law enforcement matter, but they will be working in tandem and we now know the considerable talent at the justice department will also be looking at this. and so the family has what they wanted. they not only wanted some attention, some media attention, they wanted another investigation. they say they don't trust the police department and in fact they've turned over that taped interview to the federal authorities as opposed to the state authorities, after again speaking with one of the family attorneys, my understanding is that the police have not interviewed at least that's what the family attorney is telling me, have not interviewed this witness, and in my view, she is a crucial witness, john, to this event. >> certainly makes no sense now that they know she's out there, we would assume they'd contact her soon. sunny hostin making clear the investigation and the mistrust complicating things as well. thanks for your help. >> thanks. illinois voter have two hours to cast their ballots. there's a new poll out in virginia, get this, has president obama beating mitt romney and all of his gop rivals, any of the gop candidates and when you add virginia republican governor bob mcdonnell to the ticket, that doesn't seem to help. we'll squ governor mcdonnell about those numbers, next. ♪ [ male announcer ] for our families... our neighbors... and our communities... america's beverage companies have created a wide range of new choices. developing smaller portion sizes and more low- & no-calorie beverages... adding clear calorie labels so you know exactly what you're choosing... and in schools, replacing full-calorie soft drinks with lower-calorie options. with more choices and fewer calories, america's beverage companies are delivering. do about medicare and social security... security. that's what matters to me... me? 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[ beeping ] ...to bring all the right results. it's the at&t network -- doing more with data to help business do more for customers. ♪ breaking news from the white house tonight, a source telling cnn the president is about to announce his administration will fast track permission of the construction of the southern half of the keystone pipeline connecting oklahoma to the gulf coast. this has been a controversial, more than that, a controversy. brianna keilar what's happening? >> reporter: we've learned the president as he's going on this energy tour over the next couple of days, when he's in oklahoma on thursday his plan according to a source familiar with his announcement is to say his administration will be expediting the permit process when it comes to moving along this portion of the keystone excel pipeline. as you'll recall baaing in january the administration objected to the entire 1,700 mile pipeline that would have brought fuel down from the oil sands of canada all the way down to the gulf. this is a segment of that pipeline, as right now transcanada, the company behind the pipeline tries to rework basically the root on the northern part, so this is a segment of this original pipeline route that would go from cushing down to the gulf. no doubt criticism from some environmentalists and already being met by some criticism from republicans on capitol hill. >> brianna keilar, thank you very much. big stakes today in illinois for mitt romney and if he can pull off a win you'll likely see him talking more about president obama and looking ahead to the general election but some signs of trouble in one of the big battleground states of virginia, president obama beats romney by eight points in a hypothetical matchup. the president beats all four of the presidential contenders. is the romney campaign concerned? we turn to virginia governor bob mcdonnell. you heard brianna keilar at the white house. a lot of republicans, including republican governors said hey mr. president approve the entire keystone pipeline. is approving half of it progress? >> it's progress but it's not a coherent energy strategy. john, i can tell you from being our state that produces a lot of coal and natural gas and nuclear, we've had nothing but three years of tough regulations coming out of the epa and this obama administration. he turned it down once, the senate under harry reid's leadership turned down the keystone pipeline and eight months before an election we've got a little bit of progress so yeah, that's great they're going to expedite that but this is oil from canada that will help us and reduce our reliance on foreign sources of oil. why not do the whole thing if we're serious about reducing gas rices. >> we'll ask about the northern half trust me if we get a question to the president and his team. we showed a poll saying president obama one of his big accomplishments in 2008 was winning virginia, one of nine red states he turned blue. he'd carry the state if the election were today and they also asked the question what if the republicans governor romney added bob mcdonnell to the ticket. obama/biden 50, romney/mcdonnell 43%. the numbers don't change. >> no, nobody cares about v.p. we have four candidates, trying to find a nominee, john, so nobody's paying any attention to that yet. and guess what? the election's not held today. it's going to be held in eight months and i think once we go head to head and it's romney against obama the numbers will change. i'd rather be up than down in all honesty in a swing state like virginia but this is going to change quite a bit as we get the head-to-head matchup. >> i was down to see you not that long ago and we had the conversation why can't governor romney close the deal. a month, six weeks later and i ask why can't governor romney seal the deal. santorum wins in mississippi and alabama. people say wow. romney wins in puerto ree ricoe. what does he have to do to convince people this is over or are we going to june? >> well he's got to get 1,144 votes, that's what he's got to do. there's four talented people in the race, all want to win. nobody's given up but mitt romney has twice as many delegates as any other candidate, won 18 states and territo territories, won all over the country, the only candidate with a message, that's got the money and an organization permanently in every state. he's getting more and more endorsement from key people, conhe serve tifrs, ingd pents, moderates. i think he'll be the nominee and i think it will be by june so of course there is a spirited contest right now. president obama and hillary clinton were in it until june 27th, 2008. i'd rather it be done but we have a ways to go and i think he will be the nominee sooner rather than later. >> governor romney tries to keep most of the focus on the economy. if you have a town hall voters can ask whatever is on their mind. listen a couple had questions for governor romney last night. >> do you no he what would make me happy? free birth control. >> if you are looking for free stuff you don't have to pay for, vote for the other guy, that's what he's all about. that's not what i'm about. >> the specifics are different in different conversations, whether it's about contraception should be covered in health care plans. governor you've gone through this with the personhood debate and the ultrasound bill in the state of virginia, if you look at your facebook page there's a feisty conversation going on there. in terms of the democrats are calling this a war on women. do republicans need to be, is it more careful in their language? what is it? >> well on that dialogue that i just heard, i do think this is the heart and soul of this campaign. are we a nation of guarantees or are we a nation of opportunities to achieve the american dream? that is a fundamental difference between what this president's been selling and i think what mitt romney is going to talk about, and secondly, i would say this war on women argument is very unfortunate. it's false, and it's been a political theater from the democrats for a couple months. john, the war i'm worried about is the war on the taxpayer that we've seen coming out of the white house, more taxes, more regulation, more class warfare, more separating and dividing people, and more unwillingness to be able to control spending, so that we can get our nation out of this horrific debt. listen, if i had obama's record on jobs, on spending, on debt and deficit, on energy, i'd want to talk about something else, too, and john that's really what's going on, and it's just very unfortunate that this politics of division separating men from women, rich from the middle class, continues to be the theme of this campaign. it's just not right. >> governor bob mcdonnell of virginia, appreciate your time tonight. stay in touch with the campaign. >> appreciate being on with you. thank you. >> thank you. so far mitt romney collected about half the delegates he needs for the republican nomination. what about the other half? we'll do the delegate math in a bit. next some questions michelle obama decided not to answer. all energy development comes with some risk, but proven technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. i'm michael bazinet, president of creative digital imaging of bangor, maine. we have customers all over the united states. we rely on the postal service for everything that we do. the eastern maine processing facility is vital to our operation and our success. if we lose this processing facility we could lose clientele because of increased mailing times. we would have to consider layoffs as a result of that. closure of this plant will affect all of us. ♪ you'd use carbon fiber and machined aluminum, to make it more beautiful, and more durable. you'd use edge-to-edge gorilla glass for a stunning display in a more compact form. and you'd choose an intel® core i7™ processor for maximum processing