some news so you can out-trump trump. and by the way, how's that going for you, ron? you're down 41 points in your own home state. but there's one thing in closing that we have in common is neither of us will be the nominee for our party in 2024. >> ouch. two strong moments from california governor gavin newsom last night in his debate with florida governor ron desantis. it comes, of course, as nikki haley is gaining significant momentum as the top alternative to donald trump in the republican presidential primary. plus, israel and hamas are blaming each other for the end to a temporary cease-fire deal. we'll have all the latest on negotiations to renew the truce. and also ahead a gag order against donald trump is reinstated in the new york civil fraud trial. we'll get expert analysis on that coming up straight ahead. good morning and welcome to "way too early" on this friday, december 1st. yes, it's december. i'm in for jonathan lemire. we begin this morning with israel and hamas resuming the fighting in gaza, ending a seven-day truce in the region. the israeli government says rockets were launched from gaza overnight in the final minutes of the truce. the prime minister's office also claims hamas did not meet its obligation to release all of the women hostages, thereby violating the agreed upon terms of the deal. the truce had been extended and was set to expire at the end of the day yesterday. diplomatic talks to continue the temporary pause in fighting came down to the wire last night, signaling that negotiations may have broken down. international mediators are, however, continuing discussions in qatar in the hopes of a breakthrough. before the fighting resumed, hamas released eight hostages yesterday. the group consisted of mostly women and included dual nationals from mexico, russia and uruguay. israel freed 240 prisoners. it's believed that about 137 people are still being held captive in gaza. that includes a few americans. the majority of the hostages are men now. it's unclear how many of them are israeli soldiers. among the hostages released yesterday was 21-year-old mia shem. shem was kidnapped from the site of the musical festival where at least 260 people were killed on october 7th. she was then shown in a hamas video a week after her abduction. this was the moment her mother received the phone call that mia was coming home. karen shem has been campaigning for her release. in an emotional reunion the two embraced each other yesterday for the first time in nearly two months. in a statement the family thanked everyone who helped secure mia nfs release, adding that she must receive medical treatment before she can go home. so joining us now national security and military reporter for politico paul mccleary. thank you for joining us on "way too early" this friday morning. so fighting has resumed after this seven-day pause. what do you think we're going to see over the course of the next two days in gaza? >> right, if there's resumption of the talks and prisoner exchanges, we'll see what we saw over the past several weeks -- massive israeli air strikes, the idf moving -- look like they're going to move from the north to south and start pressing the south where they think hamas leadership is. so it'll be a combination of air and ground maneuver trying to clear some of the tunnels hamas has dug under gaza while hitting command and control sites above ground and underground across the strip. over a million people have moved from the north to the south in gaza, so southern gaza is densely, densely packed at this point, which makes it more difficult not only for air strikes nor to hit targets precisely without killing civilians but harder for israeli troops to push south and try to engage some of these hamas factions and other groups that are fighting in the south there. so as the days go on and the campaign continues, it'll get more and more difficult to keep civilians safe, keep civilians out of harms way while still pressing hamas leadership. >> on that issue trying to protect civilians in gaza of course tony blinken has been back in the region pushing publicly the israelis to stick by international law. what are your indications on whether the netanyahu government is listening to the white house or not? >> there's been tension between the netp hew government and the white house on this issue. i mean every government makes different risk assessments. every government has done it with drone strikes in particular over the years. depending on what the target, you know, you have a certain number of civilian casualties which you consider acceptable to conduct the operations. and every country does it differently. israeli numbers tend to be a little higher just because they're fighting in these dense areas and hamas hides among the population, which makes it more difficult. these are kind of classic counter insurgency difficulties we're seeing here. the united states has seen this in iraq, afghanistan, syria, anywhere where there's an insurgency where fighters can hide among the people and fight from among the people. it makes it much more difficult for a state government to go in there and prosecute the war that they're looking to fight without putting civilians in harms way. >> okay, paul, stay with us because we want to turn now to the war in ukraine and the latest on the front lines from that war where ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy visited yesterday to meet with troops. as the war heads into the winter season, zelenskyy is telling the associated press the conflict has entered yet another phase as conditions will once again complicate fighting. and it's possible russia will resort to the same tactics it used last winter. it was targeting ukraine's energy infrastructure. yesterday national security spokesperson john kirby spoke about this and what the united states expects to see in ukraine this winter. >> last winter russia sought to destroy ukraine's critical infrastructure, the energy infrastructure and deprive the ukrainian people to access to heat and electricity at the coldest time of the year. russia tried to break the will of the ukrainian people but of course it failed. as we head into yet another winter, we expect that russia will return to this cruel tactic and again try to pursue a campaign to destroy ukraine's critical energy infrastructure. in just the last couple of days we've seen some air strikes taken by the russians that seem to be going after the kind of defensive systems that the ukrainians have in place to protect their energy infrastructure. >> so the battlefield fighting may be grinding to a halt because the winter is settic in. of course that doesn't mean the war stops. other tactics can be used as john kirby was pointing out there. what impact do you expect this winter to have in terms of fighting on both sides? >> this winter is going to be different than last winter in ukraine. last year we were looking at a springtime counter offensive that most in the west thought would really push the russians in the south and east and probably not retake crimea but pressure crimea more than ukraine has been able to do. so this year is different. the ukrainians launched a counter offensive, but they just ran into a brick wall in the south. the russians were well-entrenched and fought back pretty hard. so this winter it does look like the russians will increase their missile strikes and drone strikes against civilian infrastructure. but the ukrainians have done that as well. they launched just last week a multiple drone attack against power generation sites in the south, the russian occupied south and cut power for a new days. it looks to be an air power centric winter. not necessarily foikter jets and things like that but drones and ballistic missiles, and ukraine has poured millions and millions of dollars into developing these ballistic missiles and drones in order to hit these russian sites well behind the front lines. >> we have been so focused on the middle east, but do not forget what's happening in ukraine. that war still going very bloodily for everybody especially ukrainians at the moment. national security reporter for politico, paul mccleary, thank you very much for joining us. the drama could be winding to an end. back here at home today could be the final day of congressman george santos' congressional career, illustrious congressional career. hours from now the house is expected to vote on expelling the lawmaker who has repeatedly refused to resign despite a damning ethics report that found substantial evidence. here's what some of his colleagues from his own party in favor of expelling him had to say. >> george santos is a liar. >> he fabricated his qualifications, his background, lied to the fec and unemployment fraud. >> he has manufactured his entire life. >> he blatantly stole from his campaign. >> he can defend himself in a court of law, but for the purposes of this body he's got to go. >> you know what they say? with friends like that, who needs enemies. but many who support santos argued that expelling the congressman would set a dangerous precedent. >> i'll oppose the george santos expulsion. >> what? because santos was buying botox and onlyfans we got to throw him out? >> the swamp water is very murky. it's deep. but for george santos there doesn't appear to be a safe lily pad. >> the congressional equivalent of a public crucifixion. >> at the end of the debate santos acknowledged he could be removed from office and insisted he would be at peace with the decision. santos, we barely knew you. still ahead republican senator tommy tuberville seems to be back off his blockade of some military promotionings following more backlash from members of his own party. meanwhile, far-right republicans in the house are reconsidering their hard line demands on spending cuts ahead of the next budget battle. we'll have those stories, sports, and a check on the weather when we come right back. e weather when we come right back. 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[ting] ♪♪ live in the moment. ask your doctor about otezla. there's challenges, and i love overcoming challenges. ♪ when better money habits® content first started coming out, it expanded what i could do for special olympics athletes with developmental needs. thousands of bank of america employees like scott spend countless hours volunteering to teach people how to reach their financial goals. it felt good. it felt like i could take on the whole world. republican senator tommy tuberville of alabama is signaling he'll likely be drop his hold on military promotions next week. the senator has blocked over 350 promotions over an unrelated department of defense policy that will reimburse a service member who needs to cross state lines for abortion care. tuberville has not specified how many promotions he'd let through or which he would continue to block, but he said they wouldn't be contingent on rank. the alabama senator also said that a language change in the pentagon's abortion travel policy was stripped from the budget, which was one of the solutions that he was counting on. tuberville's move comes as members of his own party have criticized the military hold over concerns that they affect military readiness. here's what senator tuberville, though, said yesterday. >> i'm not going to be pushed and shoved and hurried on this because we've taken our time with it. we've done it the right way, and at the end of the day i know these people, you know, need to be promote. it's not that they have not done anything wrong, but it's the only way that we've been able to get the attention of the democrats. i mean and it's the only thing you have to get their attention when you have no pow. and so we've got their attention, and we've got them stirred up pretty good. but at the end of the day i understand the need for promotions. >> senator tuberville. the leaders of the house freedom caucus are softening their stance on spending over fears there will be locked out of talks because of their extreme demands. the group's chairman, pennsylvania congressman scott perry, now says he supports the top line spending level agreed by president biden and house speaker kevin mccarthy earlier this year. this after the far-right caucus spent months railing against the overall spending level and nearly forcing the government to shutdown this fall. the shift comes as now house speaker mike johnson cogs that congress may need to pass a yearlong continuing resolution to fund the government if both parties can't reach a deal. okay, i don't know if you missed this one but stay tight because it was extraordinary. elon musk, the world's richest person, is rolling out a new project even as he faces intense backlash for his toxic social media posts. nbc news correspondent emilie ikeda has more. >> reporter: it was back to business for tesla ceo elon musk with a highly delayed and anticipated initial delivery of the ev company's other worldly cyber truck. >> finally the future will look like the future. >> reporter: it comes less than 24 hours since musk's stunning sit down with cnbc's andrew ross sorkin. >> if someone is going to blackmail me with advertising, blackmail with money, go [ bleep ] yourself. is that clear? i hope it is. hey, bob. >> reporter: that was the bombshell message from the world's richest person to advertisers for pulling ad spending from his social media platform, an exodus after musk appeared to endorse an anti-semitic post on "x." >> i'm sorry for that post. it was foolish of me. >> reporter: musk says he meant to suggest jewish people shouldn't fund organizations that support their elimination. her boss making clear he's not concerned with people's comfort with him, boasting the success of his wide ranging businesses that traverse social media, space, cars, and tech. >> hate me, like me, or indifference do you want the best car or do you not want the best car? >> interesting way to try to win over advertisers. let's see if it works. nbc's emilie ikeda reporting there. still ahead, it was a no-win november for one nba team. we'll tell you who that is. plus we'll have the highlights from thursday night football as the sea hawks and caw boys kicked off week 13. "way too early" will be right back. week 13 "way too early" will be right back who's winning? we are, my friend. we are. new emergen-c crystals pop and fizz when you throw them back. and who doesn't love a good throwback? [sfx: video game] emergen-c crystals. from the left. look towards lamb, shoulder shake. throw, going to be caught by ferguson. touch down. >> okay, let's do this. cowboys quarterback dak prescott his third touch down of the game. the sea hawks qb gino smith also had three touch down passes of them thrown to -- including this opening catch in the third quarter. extending the cowboys winning streak at home to 14 consecutive games. well-done there. staying with the nfl, buffalo bills linebacker von miller turned himself into police in texas yesterday. he's accused of assaulting his girlfriend at their high rise apartment in the dallas area earlier this week. according to the arrest affidavit, the woman told police the assault happened during an argument over travel plans and that she is 6 weeks pregnant. miller was released from jail yesterday after posting bond. in a statement the nfl said it was aware of the matter and had been in contact with the team. turning now to the nba and the dubious record set by the detroit pistons at madison square garden. to new york city jalen brunsen scored a game high 42 points as the knicks cept the pistons to their franchise record 16th loss in a row. 118-112. the pistons have not won a game since october 28th. now to a rare feat on the nhl ice in tampa. pittsburgh penguins tristan jarry marking the first goal by a goalie in franathize history and cementing the penguins 4-2 victory over the lightening. wow, amazing. even i'm impressed. time now for the weather. let's go to meteorologist michelle grossman for the forecast. michelle, it's chillier here in washington. what's everyone else got? >> it is chilly first day of december. and we're feeling winter-like across the country. starting out west we have a series of fronts going to be moving onshore over the weekend. and we're going to see inches of rain, even up to 10 inches in some spots. feet of snow, up to 2 feet. in the four corners seeing some precipitation, and as we move east we're seeing lots of rain. you can see the bright colors here. that's showing us where that heavier rain is falling, even seeing some lightening and storms along the gulf coast. we could see winds gusting up to 16 miles per hour, some hail, a chance of a few tornados. as this moves up to the north and east, it'll eventually move up through d.c. not a whole lot of rain, but still we do need this rain, but it's friday. as we look towards the rest of the country portions of of midwest we're looking at a mixture. also in the higher elevations there, the great lakes looking at some precipitation as well. taking loo a look at saturday pacific rain onshore and mountain west higher elevation and drying out through the southern plains. that's good news. going to be a nice saturday with lots of sunshine. heavy rain in the southeast and that's where we're looking for a chance of heavy rain. and that rains continues in the southeast. >> rain, rain. michelle grossman, thank you. still ahead we're taking a look at the challenges the biden administration could face in the new year with both domestic and foreign policy issues. "way too early" coming right back. issues. "way too early" coming right back welcome back to "way too early." it's 5:30 on the east coast, 2:30 out west. i'm kathy kay. the white house is kicking off the holiday season as the first lady and president presided over the lighting of the national christmas tree on the white house lawn last night. this just days after high winds knocked over the 40-foot spruce. the national park service had it standing again after a few hours. this was the 101st tree lighting ceremony at the white house. during the event president biden delivered a holiday message about unity. >> we look to one another and we look out for one another. we leave no one behind. and for our best we are united at our best. we're the united states of america. we begin another holiday season. let's remember how blessed we are as americans with a gift that is our nation. so merry christmas, america. may god bless you all and may god protect our troops. merry, merry christmas. >> unity may be exactly what the president needs. joining us now white house correspondent for reuters, jeff mason. jeff, we're getting towards the end of the year, so it's worth taking stock. how is the biden administration looking to work with divided government next year? it didn't seem to go so well this year. and it looks like -- looks like jeff is frozen which is kind of apt for this time of year and the weather. if we can get him back, we will get him back. but still ahead we'll go live to cnbc for an early look what's d