it started at midnight. mississippi governor, he pardoned four convicted killers on his way out from office. they were all serving life sentences in murder cases. all of them had also worked in a special program at the governor's mansion. >> and i'm not sure if you saw these pictures, but awesome. check this out. this is a tanker with ice cutters trying to plow through the alaskan ice because it's got a critical shipment of fuel. and it's headed towards an alaskan city that really, really needs that fuel and could run out if they can't cut the ice in time. >> things we take for granted. >> i know. and a bama blowout, crimson tide wins the national title. tweet revenge against lsu. >> i have no idea what she is talking about. i don't know anything about football. >> i follow this one. >> did you? >> yeah. well, i'm lying. >> spl say it was boring. was it boring? >> it wasn't boring. >> i guess it depends on where you're from and what you think. first up, the new hampshire primary is finally officially under way which is weird, right? normally you wouldn't expect those ballot boxes to be open until 7:00 p.m. but not in new hampshire. no way. every time they have the distinction of opening up the ballot boxes at midnight. you are ready for the number of voters that turned out? nine. nine people. but those are nine very special americans because they respect their right to vote so much they will get up at midnight and go in. >> can you believe that? >> i love it. and they get all the media attention. what may be most fascinating is just how the numbers shook out. >> yeah. so on the republican side, john huntsman and mitt romney with two votes each. ron paul and newt gingrich with one vote each. shannon travis is live with us. an indication of things to come today? >> reporter: well, you know what? this could be a real gri time for john huntsman. i mean he'll probably get a really big headline out of this. because one really big thing about this is that the winner of this vote for the republicans since they've been doing this vote since 1960 has gone on to win the republican nomination consistently since 1968. so, because i wasn't really a clear winner, it was tied between mitt romney and john huntsman, again, everybody is expecting mitt romney to do well. but this bodes very well for john huntsman. >> there was a clear winner if you count actual votes. there were three votes for president obama. so he actually had the highest talley. but historically, dixville notch is not so good at picking the democratic candidate. this year i think they're right, aren't they? >> that's right. they had been very good at picking the eventual republican nominee. but they haven't been so good at picking the democratic nominee. or even for that matter the person to win the new hampshire primary or even the white house. so it's kind of like a time honored tradition they started in 1960, primarily because there's no place around here really to vote. one really wealthy man took it upon himself to say i'm going to incorporate this town just for the purpose of voting. and he's been doing that and having this midnight voting ever since 1960. >> well, it's nice you have there to wrap it all up for us, shannon travis live in dixville notch, thank you. you can keep it on cnn now through november for the best political coverage on television. newt gingrich live on "starting point" at 7:30 eastern. >> we've been doing a lot of coverage on what's going on in syria. it is not pretty. in fact, the president of that country has finally decided to do something he rarely does, speak publicly. and this is him live at the mike. he's actually been that mike for about an hour now addressing the national television audience there. but also a group of somewhat supportive folks. he breaks every so often for rousing applause. essentially what he's been saying is what's going on in syria, the violence against protesters there has made his heart cry. he's called it events not violence. but does he say it's part of an external conspiracy and that the mask has fallen off these faces. all very sort of unusual you've mystic descriptions for what has been the most bloody crackdown of many of the spring uprisings in the arab nations. >> we have new video from youtube. it appears to show protesters being shot at as arab league observers watch. cnn has been shutout of the country for months. nick robertson is on the phone from damascus. he spoke about foreign parties trying to destabilize syria. what do you think he meant fwha? and, you know, part of the reason that we don't see you is because your equipment was confiscated when you arrived, is that right? >> reporter: we're banned from having any live broadcast equipment. the country he's referring to and won't say his name is kata. kata is playing a big role in the arab league. kata is widely regarded to be behind the violence that's going on in the country. but the president's speech that's been going on for an hour now, the most important thing is he hasn't said anything that i've heard that would convince the opposition that he really means to actually build a government of national unity which is what -- which is what he's been talking about. there's a no mention of that. he's appealing here to a hard core supporters and to some people in the middle ground who want reforms on, for example, corruption in the government. so he is not reaching ais kro the divide here at the moment. >> it's so bizarre to hear that kind of a speech come willing from a president when it sounds like sort of de facto policy as opposed to brutal violence and bloodshed. i think we got elections coming up in february in that nation. do we have any idea at this point if monitors are going to stay until elections and if these elections mean anything anyway given the fact that we've got government payment going to thugs to kill and brutalize people in the streets protesting? >> reporter: there's no indication that the monitors will stay past nine days. they are increasing their numbers. we were with the monitors this morning. they were having a briefing from the sued knees generdanese gene charge of them. there were gun shots fired around the vehicle that he was in. he refused to say anything about it. very, very sensitive subject for the monitors. they feel they're in between two groups of people, pro and anti-government supporters that trusted by no one. so it's not clear that their mission will go on. however, the president's speech just got another round of applause here. i can see a lot of people here are paying a lot of attention to it. but it doesn't appear that it's going to bring any change. but he does seem to be preparing the people for the fact that arab league monitors may stay longer. so i think perhaps indications are that although nothing firm that they will be here for some time to come. if they get shot at again as appears to be the case yesterday or shot by a neighbor, it's all in question. >> i have to ask you, we are real down on our reporting a lot of what is going on in syria because we don't get access there. we can't get the other side very often. one thing i was fascinated to hear about your movements is that so far you really have not been completely restricted. when i was in syria, i was completely restricted in where i can go. i would have expected particularly now that you would have been. but you're able to move with those monitors freely? >> reporter: you know, you're so right. normally the government here is incredibly strict and tight. even a local producer here said that government officials have been more helpful. the government admits that it is letting journalists in for the first time. i don't think we're going to get to see everything that's going on. we're not giving permission to go with the monitors yesterday. we did go to a very strong anti-government demonstration where they were burying a young 32-year-old man who was killed the day before by government forces. lots of people showed bullet wounds and injuries they say were inflicted by government security forces. i think we're getting some of the picture. but i think it's far from a sea change for this government. they just want to bow to a little bit of pressure from the arab league. >> we're running out of time here. be safe as you continue your travels through syria. thank you for joining us this morning. >> it is nine minutes past the hour. we give you an early start to your day alerting you to the news that is happening and the stories developing just now. so here we go. humanitiment we'll find out whether it's closer to total destruction today. scientists decide whether to nudge the doomsday clock closer to midnight. the clock now sits at six minutes to midnightment. >> i have no idea what any of that means. i honestly don't know what any of it means. i'm feeling a little more scared today than i did yesterday. let's talk about this. the indecency police facing the supreme court todayment they're decided to set if the fcc policies towards language and nudity broadcast on your tv violates free speech. >> treasury secretary timothy geithner is heading to china to try to convince that country it needs to turn up the pressure on iran by squeezing its oil revenues. >> and we have a bit of a shake-up in president obama's inner circle. who is expecting this one? bill daley trodditting out withe president telling everybody he is stepping down. he said he wants to spend more time with his family in chicago. he just wants to go back to chicago. he must just love it, right? that's what we understand. i don't believe it. >> i don't either. i remember i think wolf blitzer saying yesterday that's code. when you say you want to spend more time with your family, it's code for something else is going on. by the way, the president is saying without question daily's absence will be felt. >> there is no question that i'm going to deeply miss having bill by my side here at the white house. but as he will soon find out, chicago is only a phone call away and i'm going to be using that phone number quite a bit. >> so the man has a house there. >> there is that, too. the man on his left though if you were looking at that picture standing beside the microphone was jack lu. if you don't know who he is. he is important. he was the white house budget director until yesterday. he's now the new white house chief of staff. our brianna keeler does this for a living. she watches the whole white house business going on. i'm glad you got up early. when wolf said that yesterday, i think you were on air with him yesterday when he mentioned that. that it's code for something else going on. are we any closer to finding out what else is going on and -- or will we know? >> good morning, ash . i think we are. that claim i'm going to back to chicago in january. i'm a little dubious. but in all seriousness, when it comes to having the president's ear, there is only so much oxygen in the room. and bill daley very accomplished in his own right, part of that big heavy hitting chicago political family, he was competing for that oxygen with top aides like valerie jarrod, david cluf, david axelrod and perhaps lacking influence. he wasn't able to have the chance, the backing of the president to make some of the staff changes he want. and then there is another element to this and it has to do with congress. this is an administration that you guys are aware has had issues with congress. you talk to sources on the hill, not just republicans, democrats, too, and they say the relationship with the white house leaves something to be strived for. daily was at the helm when the grand bargain fell apart with speaker boehner but more significant snafus. >> i'm sure in the coming days we'll hear more and more about this. remember whether rahm emanuel departed. a lot of bickering behind that as well. we appreciate it. >> what happened to no drama obama? i thought that was supposed to be the mantra of this white house? you know who knows a lot about this? john podesta. he is going to talk to soledad o'brien at 8:00 a.m. that is a really tough job, folks. make no mistakes. if you don't know what the white house chief of staff does, he is gatekeeper or she is gatekeeper and it is not fun. lots of room for, you know, angst. >> yeah. a lot of times not the popular person in the room. it is 13 minutes past the hour. u.s. markets closed higher yesterday. the s&p 500 and the nasdaq were up just a bit. closing almost flat. >> hi there. >> it's interesting that a budget guy taking over. it shows you how money is the thing the economy is the thing that is so front and center. so chief of staff, former budget guy. >> i tend to think that is not a job that a lot of people want either. >> or they do because it's a certain -- it's a real -- serbly in an election year, too. talking about stocks this morning, stock futures rup. oil is up as well. weeping watching to see how the meetings with afrpg la america will and nicholas sarkozy are going on the debt crisis. so we're still an eye to europe and also looking at home. the new numbers from the fed that shows the consumer borrowing is up. consumer borrowing is up by the big nest one month since november 2001. remember what was happening then? we were recovering from the terrorist attacks of 2001 and people were rushing out and using more credit. you can see the two shaded parts. this is federal reserve data. the two shaded parts are' sessions. you can see during recessions, especially most recent, people railroad deleveraging. people were like wait a minute. i don't have enough money in the bank. i have too much debt. so they were cutting debt. they were putting money in the bank. >> you mean they were being smart. >> now what are they doing? they're taking on debt and not putting more money in the bank. 3.5% is now the savings rate. i don't that i is good enough or responsible. >> i don't get how you can have a job situation in this country where it is and a spending situation that seems to reflect the opposite. >> a couple things happening. you saw auto loans and student loans that, is part of the step number, they're going up. student loans, that's an a necessity for a lot of people. so student loan dead is growing. now it's the credit card debt we're seeing growing. people are more confident and that's good for the economy. they're more confident saying in my job situation i'm secure. i'm going to put more money on a credit card. or they have very short memories. and they're putting more -- they're putting more debt on the credit cards because they have to. >> how about they're desperate? >> perhaps they're not as scared as they used to be, either. >> time makes -- i don't know, that recession was bad. that financial crisis was bad. my advice to people is let someone else hold up the economy. you need to save more money. that's what i would say. >> government is not going to want to hear you say that. >> that's the truth. that's the truth. it may be good for the economy, but worry about your economy. >> thank you. >> it is 16 minutes past the hour which is 5:00 if you're really an early riser in the east. time to check top stories. one precinct reporting, mitt romney and john huntsman dead heat, a tie. two votes apiece. nine residents turned out in the tiny town of dixville knox for the midnight madness. newt gingrich and ron paul, one vote apiece. for what that's worth. president obama is losing his right-hand man, we just talked about this. the white house chief of staff bill daley who took over for ram he manu sell stepping down. he'll be replaced by the current white house budget director jack lu. >> okay. i'm going to have to go with what my friends who work with me told me on this one. for the second time in three years, alabama is the bcs national champs. they shutout lsu 20-0 to win the title avenging their only regular season loss this year. how about that? i'm sorry. i don't know anything about football. >> still ahead, families are outraged after a governor lets four convicted killers off the hook. >> bizarre. absolutely bizarre story. and also, talk about an ice breaker. literally an ice breaker. this is a big old tanker full of fuel and it is trying to get to a place that really, really needs it and it ain't easy. it is going to make it? we'll take a look at that. good morning to you, tampa bay. right now 57 degrees. guess what? later it's going to be sunny and 79 degrees. count your blessings. in the east, it's pretty cold. the temperatures are dipping. it is 21 minutes past the hour. and we're getting an early read on your local newsmaking national headlines. this morning, we have papers from tampa, florida and dayton ohio. wondering why we're showing you the temperatures there? this is from the tampa tribune. a local muslim man is arrested for plotting to obtain guns and explosives to blow up clubs, bars, and a law enforcement agency. the suspect is 25-year-old sammy osmakak. he has extreme views. the local muslim community really concerned that he was a ticking time bomb. the feds say that it was the muslim community that actually provided the information that led to his arrest. >> which is critical. they oftentimes get a bad rap for protecting their own. so that's huge. let's go to the colder climate. dayton, ohio. daily news there reporting, are you ready for this, if you want to go to the emergency room, make an pintment. i am not kidding. >> that makes sense, right? you need emergency services. make an appointment. >> they truly are saying make an appointment. and, of course, this is for people who have things like migraines and sprained ankles, things that are not as serious. those that have to get there by ambulance are going to get treated. apparently at least in this community, 70% of the e.r. patients are coming in with things like they can take care of themselves. so if it's that simple, let's alleviate all the congestion. it ain't fun to sit in the waiting room anyway. so make an piappointment for th er. >> i think more hospitals will adopt that. a lot of people are sitting there with supposed nonemergencies. >> at least they're not hanging up on you. >> so this next story is kind of an outrageous one. families of victims in total disbelief and shock this morning after mississippi's governor pardons four convicted killers. all of them were serving life sentences in murder cases. >> you heard right. >> unbelievable. >> it is such a bizarre story. we had to ask if it was a mistake or something was misprinted or recinded story in a local paper. parentally these four guys all got a chance to sort of get out of the jail and work in a program in the governor's mansion. that is a gateway, too, to be able to get a pardon. one of these guys was just denied parole. >> is governor going to pardon us for our aches and pains and heartache that we have to suffer? is it going to pardon a child that had to grow up without a mother? is he going to pardon me for never being able to feel her arms around my neck again? >> that is the victim's mother there that we're listening to. martin savage is joining us again. our mouths wide open. how does this happen? what's going on? >> well, first, let me begin by saying good morning, ladies. welcome to both of you. wonderful to see you again. >> thank you, marty. the first time i haven't seen you in a war zone. pleasant to see you in a suit. >> great to see you here. >> listen, that mother's daughter was 20 years old. was holding her 2-month-old baby when her estranged guy walks in and blows her away. and then shoots the guy with her who survives. these are not run of the mill killers. >> no, this was outrageous crime that took place. let me bring a little context here. i covered the south for a long time. i've been in mississippi. great state, fine people. haley bar bore enjoys something that many politicians can't really understand. he is loved by the people of mississippi. republican conservative. mississippi probably the most conservative state in the entire country. so you know that if you let four murderers free, people are going to be outraged. and they are. and this is a wtw moment to be polite, what in the world was the governor thinking. >> this is his last day so it doesn't really matter. >> but he has a legacy. and, you know, he rose to prom nan prominence after hurricane katrina. people thought look at the great he's done for mississippi. all that is negated by what he's done in the last final moments of letting these four men free. kint talk abo i can't talk about all of them. david gavin walks in a his estranged wife's trailer and shoots her in the head. >> the baby was a newborn. >> this is why you got this tremendous outrage and why people are saying, you know, how can it happen? and the injury that the salt is rubbed in the wounds for the families is the fact this has gone on the quiet. they don't learn about the pardons. there is no way for them to intercede or argue to a parole board. instead, they're set free. they hear about it only after their out of prison. >> what are they doing in the governor's mansion to begin with? >> this is a program that is going to get a lot of attention. but it dates back decades. it is part of the tradition in the state of many mississippi that you can work as a trustee in the governor's mansion. now whether you work directly in the house or working connected with the governor's mansion is not quite clear. but this is one way to get a ticket out of jail for even the most heinous of crimes. >> and they don't pick and choose who they allow to be part of this program. perhaps it is a way to get out. >> well, i mean to be honest this is really an early time that i'm looking into this program. but there are a lot of questions. >> do you know what your assignment is today? >> and we put in a request to the governor to say what is going on here? he has not spoken. you can understand why given the fact that people are just jaw dropping. >> oh, my gosh. >> i thought it was a mistake. >> the poor families. the poor families. to have to get that phone call. good to see you. thank you so much. marty savage reporting live in studio. >> want to get you up on the early start ahead moment. the new hampshire primary has already begun. believe it or not, the voting has begun. dixville knox starts at midnight and they were finished within minutes. we have a winner or two and tell how many people actually voted. 8% every 10 years. wow. wow. but you can help fight muscle loss with exercise and ensure muscle health. i've got revigor. what's revigor? it's the amino acid metabolite, hmb to help rebuild muscle and strength naturally lost over time. [ female announcer ] ensure muscle health has revigor and protein to help protect, preserve, and promote muscle health. keeps you from getting soft. [ major nutrition ] ensure. nutrition in charge! ♪ [ female announcer ] if whole grain isn't the first ingredient in your breakfast cereal, what is? now, in every box of general mills big g cereal, there's more whole grain than any other ingredient. that's why it's listed first on the side. from honey nut cheerios to cinnamon toast crunch to lucky charms, get more whole grain than any other ingredient... without question. just look for the white check. good morning. >> it's such an exciting day. it is primary day. and they've already begun, believe it or not. we have top stories we want to get you to right away. >> it is around 2:00. the republican presidential primary race. the first vote to new hampshire, they were cast just after midnight in tiny dixville notch. one of the nine -- of the nine registered voters, two went for mitt romney and two for john huntsman. >> and in a very rare public appearance and speech, the syrian president blamed an external conspiracy for all that violence that's been plaguing his country. he claims hundreds of media outlets are working against his regime. >> and for lsu fans, it wasn't a game. it was a shame, right? the tigers were thoroughly beaten by alabama 21-0 in the bcs national championship game. it's alabama's second college football title. that in the last three years. >> wow, how about that? i can't believe it. i totally can believe it. i have no idea what the stats were anyway. so let's get you up on the politics story. it's been going on all night. if you were sleeping and up now at 5:32, america's first primary has begun in dixville notch, new hampshire. >> small, small, small. >> itty-bitty and near the canadian border. man, they are hearty folk. they get up at midnight and they get out and vote. let me give ut results. they have a reputation for picking republican winners, well, candidates. they have a good track record for the republican nominee. but they don't have such a good one for the democratic nominee. and this has been going on since 1968. they have made these sort of predictions with an itty-bitty sampling of the voters. are you ready? it's a tie. john huntsman and mitt romney with two, not percent, two votes each. gingrich with one vote, ron paul with one vote. nobody turned out for rick santorum or rick perry. but if you do the math there, two, four, six voters, that leaves three more. there were nine total. the three folks went to obama. you might actually say obama kind of won that thing. john avalon is a senior columnist for "newsweek" and the daily beast. he joins us now and a democratic strategist is joining us live as well. you got the memo on the pink shirt. i'm glad. >> yeah, i did. >> all right. folks, while i love the whole dixville knox thing, it's not completely representative of what is going to happen as we move forward. i want to move to money. i love to follow the money. if you look at where the money has been spent in the ad campaigns. by the way, these are not sup superpacs. this is all of 2011 right through sunday of this week. mitt romney spent $2.5 million. perry close with $2.3 million and ron paul sending $1.8 million. you can see how the totals get lower from there. that's fascinating. but perhaps what's more fascinating panel is what the superpacs are sending. we can't even tell you because there is so much secrecy and difficult to track some of the ads that keep getting placed. so much so that senator john mccain came and said this about superpacs and where he thinks they're headed. >> it's now that the system under which we operate which leads to this kind of campaigning and will lead to xrupgs and scandals i guarantee it. >> john avalon, he guarantees it. i want you to weigh in on whether we're going to have one term of superpacs or whether they're a thing of the future? >> mccain is right. they tried to clean up the system. look, this is a supreme court decision which is created this environment where we have these anonymous entities that are going to release avalanches of negative ads like the one that basically cut newt gingrich's numbers in half in iowa. i think it's going to increase disgust with the political process. it's going to get worse during the cycle. then we have to decide whether we want to remedy it or if we want democracy to look like this. i think it's going to turn people off the process. >> let's stick with the money theme. i cant you to weigh in on this one, kiki. we were talking to ron paul about skipping ahead and actually skipping florida altogether. and he kind of tempered what he had been considering. and suggested that if he gets a good bump out of new hampshire and able to bring in some serious dough out of new hampshire, he may revisit the whole notion of spending some time in florida. in fact, i think he put out a note overnight to supporters asking for a big old money bomb this saturday. do you think it was a dumb idea to start with, to suggest even at the beginning to skip florida? >> no. i don't think so. he's got a regular base that will feed him. he's got a big base of small donors who will come back to him because they are loyal time and time again. what's really interesting you is see the progression from new hampshire where you're talking about the two to three million dollar neighborhood, moving into south carolina writ takes more. florida where it takes, you know, the equivalent of a national campaign to run media there is that what makes saturation and what does a candidate need to do what they need to to turn votes out? in new hampshire, those numbers of $2 million to $3, you have saturation. there is only so much you can buy. by the same token, we could see big surprises. don't forget, four years ago every pollster was off by ten points. it becomes a matter of volume and capacity and what you need to do to turn out your vote. ron paul won't need as much money in floridament he'll need more than he has in south carolina or new hampshire. >> i love how you bring up the fallibility of the polls. this is a favorite for politicians. >> it's proven true. it's proven true. >> you're right. you're right. absolutely. especially in this particular race. we've had a new front-runner every ten minutes. florida's come out with a good poll. it has romney leading at 36%. newt at 24%. santorum at 16%. paul at 10%. perry at 5%. huntsman, man, what happened? he's at 2%. it leads me to think if this is the way things are polling, romney, gingrich and santorum, would it have been -- this is going to sound crazy, lenny, but would it have been a possibility or would it have been a notion to not maybe pay so much attention to the other three, iowa, new hampshire and south carolina? because by my math, florida has 50 delegates. and those three states combined have only 65. >> well, you could take that approach. you also have to have momentum. you have to look like a winner. people vote for a winner. if you don't have that win underneunde underneunde underneath your belt. you can't say i can actually win a race. san tore quum was waving at the end of the debate panel saying hey, remember me over here. you haven't talked to me in 50 minutes. now he's at center after tension. he's getting the publicity he needs and rising in the polls. you to have to have the first three contests to be able to move into florida and say listen, i can win not only the nomination, but i can win the white house back if you don't have that, you can't really get the money that you need to move into the general election. >> and if i had run flat out of time, you know, john avalon, i would have gotten you to weigh in on thisment i know that your man, giuliani, you were his chief speechwriter. but, dang, i'm out of time my friend. >> it didn't work so well. >> thanks so much. i know we'll hear coming up from you in the next hour. make sure that you keep it here on cnn, too. from now right through november we have the best political coverage on tv. yes, i'm biassed. of course, i work for cnn. but it is really good. this is how good it is. at 7:30 in the morning, our s e soledad o'brien has newt gingrich. she's going to speak to him about liz strhis strategies. >> still to come on "early start," we're going to continue to look beyond new hampshire. south carolina and florida coming up next. the gop nominee decided them perhaps? you're watching "early start." copd makes it hard to breathe, so i wasn't playing much of a role in my own life, but with advair, i'm breathing better so now i can take the lead on a science adventure. advair is clinically proven to help significantly improve lung function. unlike most copd medications, advair contains both an anti-inflammatory and a long-acting bronchodilator, working together to help improve your lung function all day. advair won't replace fast-acting inhalers for sudden symptoms and should not be used more than twice a day. people with copd taking advair may have a higher chance of pneumonia. advair may increase your risk of osteoporosis and some eye problems. tell your doctor if you have a heart condition or high blood pressure before taking advair. if you're still having difficulty breathing, take the lead. ask your doctor if including advair could help improve your lung function. get your first full prescription free and save on refills at advaircopd.com. it is not over until all the votes are counted. a lot of people predict the new hampshire primary will be a battle for second place. mitt romney expected to rule. let's look ahead to the next two primaries. >> one on the 21st of january that, is south carolina. and then just ten days later, 31st of january, we're going to head to florida of i want that assignment. nice and toasty. you know, mitt rom i doing pretty well. he's ahead in both states. a lot of folks in the gop are suggesting that it's possible that the nominee might actually be decided by then. i love that line. it's never over until it's over. >> that is true. >> john zorella is in plantation, florida. first, we're going to get to david mattingly who is looking at voter registration in south carolina. it's nice to see you both. david, let's start with you. talk to me about what is going on there, pollwise and what you're seeing. the saturation on tv must be awful. >> that's right. poll wise, let's look at. that romney leading here double digits over his closest competitor santorum. but that was last week. and the one thing we saw that was really surprising with the poll results here is that half the people who have a preference right now could easily change their mind by the time they go to the polls just 11 days from now. so very volatile here. we're already seeing millions of dollars being spent on television time. expect to see the airwaves completely saturated here by this weekend. so south carolina is going to be really a crunch time for all the candidates, even mitt romney who is leading here and leading among the conservative he van gellic all voters here who make up more than half of the votes who are going to be cast here. so this is going to be the place where romney could establish himself as the solid front-runner and the favorite to beat here in this campaign or could be the game changer for one of his competitors. so in other words, wait and see. we still have a lot of time here. >> okay. let's get over to florida now. sunshine state holding the first primary just three weeks from now. and like you heard, mitt romney double digit lead in the poll there as well. >> here's how it is shaping up. romney, 12 points ahead of gingrich with santorum a distant third. john zorella, how are things looking there? >> just as david said in south carolina, there's 54% of those republicans who were polled in florida saying, you know, we're not really set completely on who we're going to vote for. so the numbers could switch. another interesting thing, when you were talking to your guest, they were talking about the money. it's going to cost $10 million is what the experts say to run an effective tv campaign in florida. that is a lot of coin. and more than any of the candidates spent in both states so far. so right now you're not seeing much at all of any television advertising here in south florida from the candidates. because it's just so costly. when you have miami here, orlando here, tampa there, such diverse markets. it's so much money they have to spend down here. you're not going to see a lot spent until everybody knows where they stand coming out of south carolina. >> $10 million? >> $10 million. >> how does ron paul and john huntsman, how are they supposed to pay for that? >> they're not. they're not. >> all right. gentlemen, thank you so much for joeng us this morning. we appreciate it. still to come, sea ice. it is delaying fuel delivery to an alaskan town. are they really in dire straits right now? 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[ female announcer ] people who choose more whole grain tend to weigh less than those who don't... multigrain cheerios has five whole grains and 110 lightly sweetened calories per serving... more grains. less you! multigrain cheerios. lack welcome back to "early start." you know how we take our oil for granted. thick ice is threatening a shipment to fome, alaska. a ship stranded 100 miles away in the icing baring sea. the u.s. coast guard's only ice breaker -- only ice breaker is working to cut a path for the tanker to actually get through. so we're talking to ben matson. he's on the phone with us live this morning from nome, alaska. and he's a reporter there. and, you know, i'm reading here, are you there, first of all? hello? >> reporter: yeah, good morning. >> good morning you to. so this town is 3500 people on the western alaska coastline. i'm reading some reports here that say the tanker is not going to be able to arrive in nome this morning which is when you were expecting it. so what does this do to the community? are they in dire straits expecting this delivery? >> dire straits isn't quite the right phrase there. we do have a buffer of about two or three months of fuel. we would be getting short in about the month of march. but we do have adequate supplies for the time being. not an emergency at this point. >> so can you explain this for us who never have to really receive our fuel this way? what exact sli happening? >> well, we typically receive our fuel by barge during the summer season. the oceans have frozen over. but we have a short summer shipping season. the last barge was delayed by storm and miscommunication and goofups with the companies doing that. that wasn't able to come in during the short sipping shn. so it's turned into a very unconventional delivery with the use of the russian tanker, this ice clash russian tanker that has done business all over the arctic plus the help of an unlikely partner, the u.s. coast guard and the only ice breaker that has extended the working season by about six weeks now to make this really unconventional journey through the ice. the first ever winter fuel delivery in western alaska. >> if you really get yourself into an emergency situation, is there another way to deliver? >> there are proven methods for flying in fuel. and before the pieces came together on this russian tanker delivery, they were in discussions to fly in fuel. that would add three or four dollars to the price of the gallon of gas or diesel with gas currently at $5.43, diesel at $5.93, that could push gas to $9 a gallon. >> wow. that is an expensive proposition. the folks that are really expecting this fuel, hospitals, i understand? >> everyone's a customer of fuel in this town. everyone eventually has to buy fuel. it's not heating fuel, it's automotive. everyone needs it. >> yeah. all right. ben matson, thank you so much for joining us this morning. good luck. >> thank you very much. >> do you remember like over a decade ago there was a story about dolly the sheep? >> yes. >> yeah. i guess since then the technology has gotten homie. now can you clone your own dog. but you are going to pay for it. and this woman apparently plans to pay big. we're going to tell you why she's trending on google this morning and why she wants to do this. that's coming up. >> i always wanted to dloclone myself. cereal? yummy. 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[ male announcer ] the new capital one cash rewards card. the card for people who want 50% more cash. what's in your wallet? sorry i'll clean this up. shouldn't have made it rain. sowill be giving away up. passafree copies of the alcoholism & addiction cure. to get yours, go to ssagesmalibubook.com. all right, we were talking about this before we went to break. i would want to dloen myself. >> only in a matter of speaking. moms have so much work to do at home. >> we need a wife w we think we would be our best wives. >> so we're taking a look at what it trending on the web and in social media. trending onna hoo, making double trouble. a woman from the tlc special i cloned my dog, i didn't even know it existed. there is a clone right there. she paid $50,000 to clone her dog trouble. she was actually on anderson's talk show yesterday. this is what she did. she went to south korea where they offer commercial dog cloning. all of trouble's clothes hoping he would come back. >> that is really weird. >> a lot of people like dressing up their pets, right? >> matching outfits. >> you ready for this one? >> i know you are more than i am. >> i like spanish music. >> i like it, too. i just want it playing in my house. i don't want to have to go somewhere to listen to it. there are a lot of people that dig it that they'll go out and brave the crowds and craziness. this is california fun thing to do, folks. apparently it's one of the big trends on google. it's number one on google today, trending. because the twitter alert went out to fans saying that the remaining three-day passes are going on sale friday for $285 which is a very expensive ticket. however, so apparently everybody went bananas and black eyed peas -- no, it's the black keys, radio head, snoop dog, dr. dre. it's gay show. all the celebrities go out. >> just a lot of people. >> drew barrymore i saw last year wearing her, you know, crazy outfits from, you know -- >> i don't know. >> hippy land. it always looks like a grateful dead concert. it's a big concert. people love it. they expanded it this year. >> relatively inexpensive i think for all of the different bands. ahead in the next hour, dna links a killer to a pilgrim. a bizarre break in a 20-year-old murder/mystery of a high school cheerleader. we have that and so much more. you're watching "early start." [ beep ] [ mom ] scooter? the progresso chicken noodle you made is so good. it's got tender white meat chicken. the way i always made it for you. one more thing.... those pj's you like, i bought you five new pairs. love you. did you see the hockey game last night? [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. it's 6:00 in the east and it's 3:00 a.m. in the west. good morning, everyone. this is "early start." i'm ashley banfield. >> it is time to wake up this morning. i'm zoraida sambolin. let's get started here. >> decision day. did you hear? whatever you might call it, it's a tie day. believe it or not we have a tie and win in new hampshire. i'm talking about one it theity bitty little place that decides to hold the vote at midnight. we have the results. guess what, good news for obama. dna links a killer to a pilgrim. this is fascinating. it's a break in a 20-year-old murderer mystery of a high school cheerleader. we're going to talk to someone about that. also, in the west wind, things are usually settled until they aren't. the guy on the right out, the guy on the right in. why did the chief of staff -- guy on the left and guy on the right. why did he decide he had just had enough? sorry, why did bill daily decide he had had enough as chief of staff and call it quits? we'll tell you. blowout, crimson tide wins the national title. sweet revenge against lsu. >> so many darn dailies, it's hard to keep them straight. it's all over the place. clearly, he must have missed chicago because he's on his way back, or something else is afoot. >> typically, right? >> typically. but this is big politics day elsewhere, too. in new hampshire, it's the first primary. it's officially under way because at midnight in a itty-bitty place called dixville notch, they are the first to vote and they do so just when the clock strikes midnight and minutes later they can count because only nine voters showed up. three votes went to president obama. i suppose you can say he kind of won it. but the others were split. >> on the republican side, jon huntsman and mitt romney, two votes each. ron paul, newt gingrich with one vote each. shannon trav vish is is live in dixville notch. did you get to talk to them? >> reporter: i talked to a few of the people after they voted,ia. among those nine registered voters there were four independents, three republicans and two democrats. that means one of the independents voted for president obama, which is kind of a big deal. but the other big deal, headline from this, is the tie between mitt romney and jon huntsman both getting two votes. the organizer, the man in charge of the voting here tells me that's never happened before. that's one historical he'd line to add to this historical headline. since 1968, the republican winner of this very small vote here has gone on to become the republican nominee. so a little bit of bragging rights for mitt romney and jon huntsm huntsman, both of them obviously want to do that this year. >> all right. thank you. sorry. >> a little delay on this end. >> we're just really, really sleepy, my friend. but you look great and you did good work and you should be sleepier than we are. >> reporter: join the club. >> i know. we shouldn't complain, right? that's at midnight. >> hardworking man right there, my friends. >> many political analysts believe today's new hampshire race is a battle for second place. the research group has mitt romney with 37% of the vote. huntsman, 18%. paul 17% prks santorum, 11%. gingrich, 10%. it's getting nasty. big flap over this remark from mitt romney which he claims has been taken out of context by his rivals. listen up. >> i want individuals to have their own insurance. that means the insurance company will have an incentive to keep you healthy. it also means that if you don't like what they do, you can fire them. i like being able to fire people who provide services to me. >> john avalon is a cnn contributor and senior political columnist for "newsweek" and the "daily beast." kiki mclean and live from chicago, and lenny mcallister. thank you for joining us. let's begin with you, john. we just heard in that sound bite, you know, that was taken out of context, at least that's what romney is claiming. can that hurt him with the voter it is they don't understand where that -- how it fits in to the totality of what he was saying? >> short answer, yes. look, it was taken out of context. but again, this re-enforces, i think, some of the general election your going to see which is mitt romney, mr. 1%. not feeling the pain of folks still struggling through this great recession. that's the last thing that some voters went to bed with in their heads last night. that help frames how they vote on election day. and just like out of dixville notch, romney/huntsman tied. huntsman folks have seen a surge in the last couple of days who believe their candidate can have a shot. it's short-term bad news for romney and good news for huntsman. but the only poll counts is today, realtime, that's what's happening. >> kiki, let's talk about that. huntsman, tied or in second place. he may be relying on the independent vote there, which is high. it's at 40%. are these part of the undecideds and could they sway the vote in his favor? >> they could completely sway the vote in his favor. he could be experiencing a dixville notch pump today as we sit here and talk about him. last week we took a look at the social media, talked about what my team does and what we saw yesterday was santorum receding in the social media. we see some of the energy deflating out of santorum in new hampshire. that makes more votes available. that does build the bridge to some of that conservative support for huntsman. not just the independents. and again, like we talked about earlier this morning, 2008 in the democratic primary, a ten-point misfire by all the polling. so anything can happen tonight. >> let talk a little bit about santorum then there. yesterday morning i believe that he said that, you know, this could be neck and neck and by yesterday evening he was saying i'm happy if i come in second place. what do you think is going to happen there? >> well, i think that the battle here -- there is a favorite son element to mitt romney, right? so the question is who does come in second. don't forget the famous comeback kid in the former bill clinton. moments where it brought hillary clinton back and others in that second and third string run. but i do think santorum's got to do a little better than be in a recession like he is right now. he needed to show more movement, not count solely on south carolina to be considered viable in florida. >> let's talk to you here. assume that romney wins today, make that assumption, should we be talking about who takes second and third place, given the contentious nature of this campaign, the meeting that's going to be happening in texas this week to wrap their arms around somebody who is not romney? so do you think that there could come from behind winner, perhaps, could happen here? moving forward. >> i think the come from behind winner could be somebody such as a gingrich or santorum. even if huntsman gets second place, unless he gets this huge infusion of money i don't see him playing well in south carolina or in florida to really stay in this race. ron paul, despite the niche of supporters that he has i don't see him being a viable one to go against mitt romney. we're looking at gingrich or santorum. it will be interesting to see who ends up being in third place. if it's huntsman, is it going to be paul in third place or somebody such as a gingrich slide into third place this evening coming into new hampshire when everything closes down. if that ends up being the case, now gingrich or santorum has momentum for for south carolina. it could be a major player in florida, where, you remember, gingrich had a huge lead not too long ago. this is the an opportunity to solidify more footing. get some more money coming in and then go back into more debates and make more of a contrast before they vote in south carolina. >> lenny mcallister, kiki mclean, thank you for joining us. keep it here for the best political coverage on television. newt gingrich is live at 7:30 eastern with "starting point." okay. eight minutes past 6:00. u.s. markets closed higher yesterday. dow gained 33 points. s&p and nasdaq up just a wee bit closing kind of flat. 0.9% on the nasdaq. i would like to call it an alarming one-day trend. >> watching earnings, companies are telling us how much they're making. it's amazing how they're able to squeeze blood from a turnip. >> that is to iowa. >> i know. i know. >> blood from a turn anip? >> that's what we're expecting from companies. alc alcoa. and europe, i keep saying europe is our biggest customer, canada is our biggest one customer. we're watching that. 20212 is going to be the same old story for europe, right? trying to get out of debt. i'm not too concerned about the one-day move in stocks but i am concerned about what they're doing with our money and debt because consumer borrowing is up. consumer borrowing is bigger than since november 2001. remember what happened after november 2001, after the terrorist attacks. starting to add debt. we've been adding student loan debt. we've been adding car loan debt. now we're adding credit card debt. it could be good. it could mean that people are feeling better about things and people having money in their pocket -- >> cautious, though. >> it could have people have a short memory and that deleveraging that we should still be doing is going away. >> i still have to say i feel differently about that. >> what do you mean? >> i wonder if people are throwing things on their credit card because they don't have any money. >> living paycheck to paycheck. it's true. when you look at the discounters and dollar stores, their customers are living paycheck to paycheck like we've never seen before. might be that they're digging into savings around putting money on the cards again. the credit card companies have been trying to find the people who can afford to pay. have you been getting mailings frr credit cards? if you have, it means that your credit history is good and they want to spend more money. 3 1/2% is the savings right now. >> rip them if you're not going to use them. don't just use them. >> that's true. save you're identity. >> thanks. all right. so every morning we give you an early start to your day by alerting you to the news happening later and the stories just developing now and the big stories of tonight. iranian president mahmoud ahmadinejad keeping up friendships right in washington's backyard. fresh off his visit with yugo chavez he will be in nicaragua -- >> say that again? >> venezuela, you ugo chavez. he's going to attend -- there's my problem. when the names are in spanish that's how they come out. >> i love it. she's going to start teaching me a word of the day. i'm looking forward to that. we're looking at something that's on the radar here. the family of that florida a&m drum major hazed to death, they're going to hold a news conference at 11:00 because robert champion's family filed a lawsuit against the university in november saying that the school officials didn't do anything to stop what they called that culture of hazing. treasury secretary timothy geithner is heading to china to convince that country needs to turn up the pressure on iran by squeezing the oil revenues. it's 12 minutes past 6:00 in the east and 12 minutes past 3:00 a.m. in l.a., so night-night. rob marciano who usually does the duty of weather is not here today. just to prove how new we are here, jacqui jeras -- >> you have no idea who i am. >> hi, jacqui, nice to see you. >> i was in makeup when you guys came up so i didn't get to introduce myself. >> nice to meet you. >> i watched you so i kind of feel like i know you. >> thank you. i can't wait to get to know you dpis better. sorry we have such lousy weather to greet you with. >> it's not that bad. >> this is a skyline picture right now in the atlanta metro area. yeah, there's a lot of fog out there. rough go on my way in along interstate 75. really low clouds. that means a mess at the airport. unfortunately, ladies, this storm system is going to travel up the coast for you. when you get in new york on thursday, yeah, that rain will be there with you once again. how about that? get comfortable with the storm. it's going to be a very cloudy, dreary, wet day all across the south, from texas, extending up into the carolinas. we've got the dense fog advisory. travel delays, extensive. it's going to be down a quarter of a mile at times for some of you. show going on the interstates. there is some kick to this storm. as we head into the afternoon hour, showers and thunderstorms that could become severe. that includes you in new orleans up towards greenville. even into birmingham, alabama. so be aware of isolated tornadoes here. and as we take a look at the temperatures, yeah, it is mild. it's crazy mild out there. look at the highs. minneapolis, you're about 25 degrees above where you should be for this time of year. reality is setting in, ladies. believe it or not these temperatures will be changing quite a bit. we're talking about 18 for a high in minneapolis by thursday. finally that cold air is going to start to move? >> yay. >> aren't you excites? >> there was a really pretty shot at the white house, i think it was brianna keilar yesterday. looked like christmas. it was so gentle and pretty but i'm sure it was messy. >> half an inch. >> that much? >> yeah. >> hello. it's very nice to meet you for the first time. >> you, too. >> how weird is that? >> we're really truly meeting for the first time. >> things are kind of hectic at election time. >> i know. running. >> thank you very much. 14 minutes past 6:00. that's in the east, of course. time to get your top stories. checking them for you this morning. decision in dixville notch, they traditionally vote first in the state's primary. and they cast two votes, not 2% of the votes, two votes for mitt romney, two votes for jon huntsman, that all happened just after midnight. newt gingrich and ron paul each came in at one vote apiece. syrian president bashiral la sad. in a rare speech to the nation, he described them as arabian and western. he claimed hundreds of media outlets are working against syria. in alabama, apparently alabama's king, especially when you chant the genlg boobl, bama, they call it. it's the crimson tide. 21-0. lsu had handed alabama their only loss of the season back in november. so i suppose the victory was pretty darn sweet. >> yes, it was. and ahead on ""early start," might be a break in a 20-year-old cold murder case in seattle. the suspect has been genetically linked to a pilgrim on the "may flower." unbelievable. can that help solve this homicide? if you're a smoker or you were a smoker did you ever try the patch? lots of people have. the nicotine patch has had some success, people say, but guess what, there's a long-term study out now and you are not going to believe what it found out. you're watching "early start." you know when i grow up, i'm going to own my own restaurant. i want to be a volunteer firefighter. when i grow up, i want to write a novel. i want to go on a road trip. when i grow up, i'm going to go there. i want to fix up old houses. 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[ male announcer ] osteo bi-flex with 5-loxin advanced™. shows improvement in joint comfort within 7 days. osteo bi-flex. the #1 doctor and pharmacist recommended brand. it's 19 minutes past 6:00 in the east and 19 minutes past 3:00 in the west. we got an early read on your local news making national headlines this morning. papers from new york and palm beach, let's start on this one. it's a "new york times" story but also a cnn.com story. guess what, you know that nicotine patch that a lot of people have been trying? and actually studies have said work? apparently a new study says, not so much. apparently it doesn't have a lasting effect, the kind of effect that most people thought. which is tricky because people say that if you had used the patch properly, regularly, that it might have had a different effect. but jack lowe, where is the we steady cam? >> over there. >> you use a patch. >> i used it. i had used it in the patch. >> no, didn't work? >> didn't work for me. >> you're not surprised for this study? >> i tried a month. in fact, i still have a box of patches. >> what are you going to do with those? >> i think you should have tried it longer. according to this study. >> apparently not. it's not so much the short term. people say it worked short term -- at least the studies show it worked short term and had approvals based on the medical studies but now it is a long-term study that says, no, absolutely not. so interesting stuff. >> good luck. >> thank you, jack. let's go to the palm beach post here. reports that a florida senate committee has passed a bill that would allow up to three new las vegas style casinos in the sunshine state. so this is a first hurdle for an incredibly controversial bill. malaysian gambling firm is pitching $3.8 billion casino. it's a hotel complex on miami's biscayne bay. the supporters call it a nice anecdote to 10% unemployment. disney is lobbying hard to defeat the bill. the state is really -- this would be good for them, right, they can finally control gambling and perhaps make the money themselves as opposed to it going unregulated. >> but if you're disney and you want all of those tourists in frl going to your parknd not the casinos. i don't know. maybe that's behind the lobby. i could see that being a problem. >> one of the politicians there, my hope is that we shop the ro li proliferation of clubber lawyering and loopholes. this is a bizarre-o story. it's a 20-year-old unsolved murder case. they've been searching for a suspect all this time. it happened near seattle. it's bringing investigators back to the earliest days of america. believe it or not. let me get you back up to this. sarah yarborough, 16 years old, raped and murdered on her way to school in 1991. and now investigators have actually taken dna from the crime and put it into a massive batch. this is sort of my language here. but made a jennetgenetic link b the killer and a descendent of a passenger on the "mayflower." i kid you not. you can't write this stuff. detective jim allen is assigned to the case. he's live on the phone in seattle. it's only 20 past 3:00 there. thank you for waking up. can you hear me, detective? >> yes, i can. >> this story really caught our eye. it is absolutely bizarre. i'm not sure how much science you know on this, but can you at least tell me how this worked, how they got that dna sample and what they did with it to determine that it comes from someone who is a descendent of that "mayflower" passenger? >> from my understanding, a company by the name of ideafinders international. the president, colin fitzpatrick, she can take a ymdr dna sample and using so proprietary software of hers, search genetic dna databases and she did that with dna in our case. >> but that got her back to the 17th century somehow? >> well, from my understanding, it probably dna matches from more contemporary sources, persons doing their own dna -- doing their own genealogy. but they list thers in the database by their oldest known ancestor that they've traced back. >> so as i understand it, and you have to correct me if i'm wrong because i was reading up last minute on this as i came in this morning. the trace has gone to the family of robert fuller who apparently settled in salem, massachusetts, back in the 17th century. and somehow it is assumed by investigators at this point that the person they're looking for -- and i can show a sketch, actually, which is all we've had thus far, since this crime was committed, more than two decades ago, but they think he might actually have the last name fuller still in how on earth do we get there? >> well, from my understanding, that's why they -- in the generalology they used the ystr from the male linage, so in a perfect world the name fuller would have been passed down all of the way through until today. but there is also a chance that the person may not be named fuller but he's still related to the fullers through adoption or other interruptions in the genealogy. >> you need to call john walsh with america's most wanted and get that on there because i think he would dig this one. the history is fascinating. i can't believe we could do this. detective jim allen, thank you for your time. and thank you for waking up early for us. i know that's a big deal. >> no problem. thank you for airing this for us. >> good luck. let us know how you do, if you get a break in the case, we'll be fascinated to know. that is so incredible. >> okay. >> we just lost him. especially since they seem to think that they still have the last name fuller at play. >> yes. it's a very, very bizarre story. >> centuries later. >> a great commitment, right? getting up at that ridiculous hour of the morning in order to get attention on that. ahead on "early start" here, new hampshire primary under way. did you hear? dixville notch, the first town. nowing looking ahead to south carolina and florida. dixville notch cast their vote admit night. >> great folks in that town. >> would the nomination be won by the end of the month? you are watching "early start." you're on the road sort of non-stop. typically, i'll have to get up early, go to radio performance. >> hi, this is gavin. >> meet some fans. >> nice to meet you. when you get up in the morning, sometimes people start taking pictures of you right away. i think everybody should be allotted at least a four-hour period of pajama time. today we went to st. jude's here in the memphis area. i think they did us a service just by showing us how much care they take in every possible aspect of catering to someone's health and their family's health in turn. that was great. that was really great. it really is a full-time gig, but i couldn't possibly complain about it. thank you for coming! capital one's new cash rewards card gives you a 50% annual bonus! so you earn 50% more cash. according to research, everybody likes more cash. well, almost everybody... ♪ would you like 50% more cash? 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[ female announcer ] people who choose more whole grain tend to weigh less than those who don't... multigrain cheerios has five whole grains and 110 lightly sweetened calories per serving... more grains. less you! multigrain cheerios. good morning to you. welcome back to "early start." i'm zoraida sambolin. >> hey, everybody. lots to show you. on the agenda in the next half hour. here we go. the american who was sentenced to death in iran accuse of being a spy there, apparently he has 20 days to appeal that sentence. and while he's mulling that over, which you can assume won't take very long, the white house is slamming this decision by iran. we're going to hear from the man's attorney in a cnn exclusive. bama blowout, crimson tide wins the national title. did the system work this year? we're going to talk to joe carter about this. but first, it's time to check the stories making news this morning. polls open in new hampshire just about half hour from now. the traditional first votes, however, were cast just after midnight in the town of dixville notch, new hampshire. so far the race is extremely close. two votes for mitt romney, two for jon huntsman, and one apiece for newt gingrich and ron paul. just as his re-election campaign is heating up, oopsie. the president gets some bad news. he's losing his chief of staff, bill daily. daily is resigning after less than a year on the job. he's going to be replaced by the current white house budget director. last night the president sounded very much like the campaigner in chief. saying the republicans run for president are the same as those blocking him in congress. >> when you get the top republican in the senate saying his party is number one priority is not to create jobs, not to fix the economy, but to beat me, that gives you a sense of the mentality here. things aren't on the level. that's how you end up with republicans in congress voting against all kinds of proposals that they supported in the past. it is decision day in new hampshire. i don't know. did you hear? the nation's first primary, folks, people there are going to be pretty much looking at who is going to get second place if you believe the polls because mitt romney is pretty much expected to win. that's what the polls are saying anyway. let's look ahead to the next two primaries, shall we? january 21st, south carolina is on your map. january 31st is florida, which is a big kahuna. lots of delegates at stake in florida. mitt romney is ahead in both of those states. many in the gop, they think pretty much the nominee could be decided by the teend of this month. john zarrella is live in plantation, florida. first to david mattingly live in charleston, south carolina. david, the latest cnn/time poll shows romney 18% lead in south carolina over santorum and 19-point lead over gingrich. >> that's right. but remember, that poll was taken last week. and most of those voters are saying -- half of those voters are saying they could change their mind before the primary here. all of these candidates do have a lot to prove once they get on the ground here. there's already been millions of dallas spent on ads here. expect to say the area waves saturated by the end of this weekend. this is going to be the place where romney could be able to claim that he is the true front runner this case and has what it takes to go all of the way to the nomination. on the other hand, it could be the place where it could be a game changer for any number of his competitors. you're talking about the poll results. one thing to look at those when you drill a little bit deeper, looking at the votes by born again christian, evangelical voters, they make up more than half of the votes that will cast for republicans here. romney is leading with that group, as well, but when you dig a little bit deeper, you find that born again christians who are siding with the tea party are less likely to vote for romney than the other born again christian who are not siding with the tea party. so here, economic issues will be paramount and that's where these candidates are going to be looked at and scrutinized very thoroughly. >> proving, david mattingly, that evangelicals are not single issue voters. thank you for that, john zarrella and david mattingly. we're going to go to florida because the sunshine state is holding its first primary in three weeks. mitt romney with double digit leads there. holy smokes, 12 points ahead. here's how things are shaping up, if you want to look at the polls there. romney ahead of gingrich with santorum in a distant third. john zarrella, jump in on this. a lot of people were surprised to see newt gingrich were doing as well. he was plummeting in the polls but doing good there. >> the florida poll, 54% of those people said, you know, it's not etched in stone that we're actually going to vote for who we said we're going to vote. we can have our minds changed depends on who is still standing when they get to florida. gingrich, though, aside from romney, has the best organization in this state of florida. in fact, former attorney general bill mccollum, is his state chairman. hugely influential guy in the state of florida. on the other hand, romney has pam bondy who came out and supported him over the weekend. hugely popular. current a.g. here in fred graham. another thing, i know you guys were talking about florida being the big kahuna prize. well, you know, if you remember, it used to be an even bigger kahuna when it had 100 delegates that they sent to the convention. but when they moved their primary up four years ago, the republican party slapped florida on the wrist, okay, we're cutting your delegates in half, you only get 50 and that still stands this year, only 50 delegates. one other point, the cost of television advertising is enormous in florida. 9 to $10 million is estimated to run an effective campaign in florida because of the costly markets. miami, orlando, tampa. >> you know what? >> yeah. >> i still think it's great that you just reminded everybody about all of that delegate cutting the rnc did. i know that's a big deal. but i could have sworn i heard something about the rnc reconsidering possibly. do we have any idea where the reconsidering stands? is there still a chance, right, florida could get all the delegates back and go back up to 99, 100. >> reporter: what they could do though is wait until they go to the convention and say, okay, your others can vote now, too. it could also wait until actually at the convention before they give them those delegates back. so, you know, but let's face it, when it t comes to the general election, 19 electoral votes and both sides want this state badly come general election. >> that picture behind you is so pretty. i just have to say it. you've got the sun coming up on the boats behind you. you have a nice assignment, mister. >> yes. >> i heard you guys are lobbying to see who is coming down to work florida. >> we're trying. we're trying. >> we're going to do a wwf and wrestle for the florida assignment because we heard you would buy us breakfast if we came. >> i think we're probably just going to see him. that's what's going to happen. john zarrella, thank you for joining us this morning. >> absolutely. 37 minutes past the hour. still ahead, the college football championship game was a rematch of the nations absolute best, alabama versus lsu. the outcome, totally different. you're watching "early start."ok p me too. you booked our room right? not yet, thanks for reminding me. wait, what? fret not ma'lady. i have the hotels.com app so we can get a great deal even at the last minute. ah, well played sir. download the free hotels.com app and get exclusive mobile deals. hotels.com. be smart. book smart. when bp made a commitment to the gulf, we knew it would take time, but we were determined to see it through. today, while our work continues, i want to update you on the progress: bp has set aside 20 billion dollars to fund economic and environmental recovery. we're paying for all spill- related clean-up costs. and we've established a 500 million dollar fund so independent scientists can study the gulf's wildlife and environment for ten years. thousands of environmental samples from across the gulf have been analyzed by independent labs under the direction of the us coast guard. i'm glad to report all beaches and waters are open for everyone to enjoy. and the economy is showing progress with many areas on the gulf coast having their best tourism seasons in years. i was born here, i'm still here and so is bp. we're committed to the gulf for everyone who loves it, and everyone who calls it home. life with crohn's disease is a daily game of "what ifs". what if my stomach pain and cramps come back? what if the plane gets delayed? what if i can't hide my symptoms? what if this takes too long? what if? but what if the most important question is the one you're not asking? what if the underlying cause of your crohn's symptoms is damaging inflammation? for help getting the answers you need visit knowcrohns.com/tv and use the interactive discussion guide to speak with your gastroenterologist. alabama players and fans have something big to celebrate. college football championship. crimson tide shut out lsu 21-0 in the bcs national title game. alabama's second title in three years. >> i'm laughing because i didn't even know the game was on. i am that pathetic. >> we talked about it yesterday. >> i didn't know it was on last night. i love these pictures. i moan, i always love to see a coach getting douse with gatorade. but the guy who was at the game, who is our colleague and knows way more about football than i do is joe carter, our cnn -- cnn sports guru. he joins me live now in new orleans. i don't even know what question to ask you. i have to be completely honest, joe. i cannot fudge my way through this. i don't know what i'm talking about. >> you know what, you were there. how about the highlights of the game and how unexpected, right? >> i can tell you this, ladies. i'm kind of unexpected. we expected a good game. we had hoped it would be a good game. we didn't realize alabama's defense was going to be so dominant. not even tim tebow would have beat alabama defense last night. they were fantastic. statistically all year they had been very good. against lsu last night they dominated them from wire to wire. it's the first time in bcs history that a team has been shut out. alabama's defense only allowed lsu to cross the 50-yard line one time last night. so basically they didn't have any chance at scoring. alabama won 21-0. it's second title for this school in three years. it's a school that's used to winning national football championships. this one is a little extra special considering the tornadoes that devastated tuscaloosa back in april. so as we asked the i plaer what's this championship means for that town as they begin to -- as they continue to rebuild and recover. >> fortas a loose is a it means a lot because, like i said, we lost a lot of people in the tornado. and i totally -- i told the team before, you know, the season, that it's going to mean a lot to a lot of people that we do make it to the championship. i said before the season, i said, we're going to win the national champ wron shionchampi >> for us to bring back the crystal ball to the town, it brings a lot of hope and dreams to tuscaloosa. >> reporter: last time these two teams played was back in november. it was a defensive battle again but alabama missed four field goals in that game. that was the real difference. last night they only needed one field goal but actually tied a record with five. nick saban, the coach of alabama, has now won three national championships in the s.e.c. conference in the last ten years. one lsu, two with alabama. i would say he's definitely worth all $4.6 million they pay him every single year. ladies? >> joe, i really nice for you to give us some perspective from some of the players. it's nice to see that. i was read that come the nfl draft, they're going to be having a field day with some of the players from both of these teams. >> reporter: when you look at the starting lineups on both lsu and alabama, i'm telling you, every single one has the ability b to play in the nfl. whether they do or not is yet to be seen, but they have the ability. it's incredible when you watch these two teams go at it. people don't appreciate when you see a low-scoring defensive battle but that's what we had last night, was two really good teams that are really well coached playing each other for all the marbles. >> all right. joe carter, thanks for joining us this morning. all that perspective. >> thank god. i'm serious. thank god he was here. i have no clue what was going on in that game. no idea. city ahead, american sentenced to death has 20 days now to appeal his case. what's going to happen there? you're watching "early start." forty years ago, he wasn't looking for financial advice. back then he had something more important to do. he wasn't focused on his future. but fortunately, somebody else was. at usaa we provide retirement planning for our military, veterans and their families. now more than ever, it's important to get financial advice from people who share your military values. for our free usaa retirement guide, call 877-242-usaa. it's 47 minutes past the hour, which is a perfect time before you get in the shower or head out the door to check the morning headlines. and so here we go. voters, on your marks, in 13 minutes in the east here, your polls are going to open. that is unless you live in dixville notch and you were putting your ballots in the ballot box at midnight last night. we got the results from that. we'll give those to you later. statewide, mitt romney is expected to win this nation's first primary. so the big story could be the battle for second and third place. a long time new jersey lawmaker collapsed and died at the state house late last night following a marathon legislative session. 75-year-old alex was a republican leader of the state assembly. the governor chris christie called the lawmaker a dear friend and postponed his scheduled state of the state speech. one of president obama's close advisers is out, chief of staff bill daley who replaced rahm emanuel a year ago wants to spend more time with his family in chicago. but that could be code for something else. we never know. current white house budget director jack lou, guy on the left of obama there, he's going to replace daley and that change will take effect at the end of this month. it is 48 minutes past the hour. soledad o'brien is here with what's ahead on "starting point." >> good morning. so much, so much ahead. we're many manchester, new hampshire, again today back in our diner. ten minutes later, we're going to be talking to newt gingrich live. the speaker as you know has been talking about and been a victim of nastiness in the campaign. now he says it's my turn. he's planning to pick up the attacks on mitt romney. also in mississippi, four killers are off the hook. they've been charged by the governor, fallies are outraged. they say they are not getting any word on why this happened. this morning we'll speak to a nephew of one of the victims. those stories and much more ahead on "starting point" in about ten minutes. short break. welcome back to "early start." i'm zoraida sambolin along with ashleigh banfield. the obama administration is slamming iran this morning after the country handed down the first death sentence against on american since the islamic revolution 33 years ago. >> iran is saying that amir hekmati, foreign marine interpreter is a u.s. spy using a family trip to see his granny as a cover-up. cnn's zain vergee just spoke exclusively to the family's attorney who is a former u.s. ambassador for war crimes. >> i hear from them easily five, six times a day. as you can imagine, the distress is very, very high. the news is not positive. but we try to reassure them that it's not over. we will engage the government and hope that they will show compassion. >> wow. remarkable story. iran is saying that hekmati and his attorney and family have 20 days to appeal that case. whatever the appeal means in that country, because that trial sure came about fast. >> very quickly. >> i didn't even know it was on. i have to be honest with you. the moment we found out he was actually in custody was just a few weeks ago. we're watch that for you. also we are watching a trending story for you this morning. remember right fred ♪ i'm too sexy for my shirt" apparently this photo is too darn sexy for this high school senior ears yearbook. >> she chose the picture. >> she did. but you know what? you're going to hear about why the aclu is getting involved in this photo flag. 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[ male announcer ] the new citi simplicity card. no late fees. no penalty rate. no worries. can you enjoy vegetables withe. sauce and still reach your weight loss goals? you can with green giant frozen vegetables. over twenty delicious varieties have sixty calories or less per serving and are now weight watchers-endorsed. try green giant frozen vegetables with sauce. have more fiber than other leading brands. they're the better way to enjoy your fiber. hi-ya. we a r. really big on -- punch drunk this morning. it's 6:0056 on the east coast. >> what's in the coffee cups, voces. >> vodka. straight vodka. no, the culture, we love pop culture. what else are you going to talk to your friends at work about, sflit. >> these are trending high. >> they are. trending huge. charlie sheen, charlie sheen has announced he's not crazy anymore. >> wow. >> literally said the words, i'm not crazy anymore. this is coming to us from people.com. we had heard before that he said i don't do drugs anymore, i'm cured. but now apparently he's decided he's going to spend some more time with his kids and he's doing so. very good news. also good news, he's dumped the goddesses. apparently they're not part of his life anymore. and he's got a new show. you probably heard about the effects program "anger management." hers gearing up. he said he's psyched about get that show under way. i don't think we had heard this before. he watched that final episode of "two and a half men." i didn't watch it but there was a funeral scene. >> yes, i remember him talking to someone on late night television about that. >> did he say he thought it was bizar bizarre? >> he said it was odd to watch it. >> he said it was bizarre to watch his own funeral on that -- i guess it wasn't -- it was the premier. >> yes. that's how we t go it. >> good luck. charlie, good luck. i hope you pull it to the and that you do well on your next pro. here's another one for you. take a look at this. this yearbook photo was rejected apparently it was too sexy. this is a story come out of denver, colorado. so the student committee at this particular school, durango high school, refused to publish the picture. calling it inappropriate. >> if students decided not no to? >> yeah. >> you do not have to go with the standard photo. apparently you can submit photos for the yearbook and you can submit them depending on what you like. a lot of kids are dressed in their sports attire, right? whatever it is that they're interested in. she didn't want the same old boring photo. she wanted to do something different. >> she's like 18. >> yeah. >> yeah, she is 18 years old. she got her mother's approval to have that photo and her dad says that's okay, also. but the students decided that this was too racy, too sexy. they were really mean about it, too. they said you are gross and your parents are losers just like you are. yeah. it's awful. you know, how they dealt with it. the aclu now may be getting involved. >> soledad, we're just going to send it to you on that note. how does that sound? >> wow. wow. can we go back to, i'm not crazy because i'm not crazy either today. good morning, ladies. welcome to our new show "starting point" as we are a couple of days in, week number two, day number two. we are back in manchester, new hampshire, as we told you about yesterday. sorry. we're serving breakfast, as well. we told you about the specialty, putin, that was the french fries and cheese curd and gravy.
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