all of our colleagues who were in iman yesterday, everyone would welcome that, because, again, it would advance things we're all trying to accomplish, including getting hostages back, including getting a lot more assistance into gaza, including getting people into gaza. >> secretary of state blinken continues his trip oversaers as arab leaders are calling for a cease-fire in gaza. the troops have reached the coastline, splitting the territory in two. also ahead, new polling in five swing states that are very concerning for democrats and president joe biden. we'll go through those numbers on a potential 2020 rematching with donald trump. meanwhile florida governor ron desantis just landed a powe potentially key endorsement in the 2024 republican presidential primary. we'll tell you who it is. ♪♪ good morning and welcome to "way too early" on this monday, november 6th. happy 9th birthday to flynn lemaire, my son. thank you for starting with us on "way too early." let's get right to it. a new poll on the 2024 matchup is sparking concern. in the latest "new york times" siena college survey, trump leads biden in five states won by biden in the last election. in voters went to the polls today, in arizona, they would go to trump by 5 points, 49% to 44%. in georgia, trump's lead is 6 points, 49% to 43%. in michigan, trump leads by 5 points, in nevada, trump leads by 11 points. in pennsylvania, trump leads by 4 points, 48% to 44%. the only state biden would be ahead is wisconsin. biden leads by 2 points,47% to 45%. voters say they trust trump more an biden to handle most key issues. on the economy, trump is favored by 22 points, a huge number. on immigration, the latest, 12. on handling the israeli hamas war, trump leads. biden is favored by 9 points on the issue of abortion. despite there being just a three-year age gaep between the two candidates, 71% of the poll's respondents say biden is too old while 39% say the same about trump. 53% of those voters also say they've been personally hurt by the current president's policies compared to just 35% who have been helped. on the flip side, 51% of those same voters say trump's policies have helped them while 34% say the opposite. joining us now, national political correspondent for axios, alex thompson. thank you for joining us here on set in washington. to say the least, this poll landed with a shock wave yesterday morning in "the new york times" siena polls, coupled with a poll that says the country is not happy. let's go through the six battleground states, trump up by fierchlt what is the reaction of the biden team? >> they're defensive. they're saying you all counted us out before, stop bed-wetting, stop panicking. their message to democrats is keep your head down, this is just one poll. the thing is this is not just one poll. this is a series of polls and this is the worst of them. and this comes literally after the biden campaign has spent an unprecedented amount of money on television the last three months, well over $10 million in these states, and they are not negative ads. they're not anti-trump ads. they're pro-trump ads and they focus on these issues, on the economy. you've spent $10 million by trying to boost favor and trump is ahead. the exact same poll came out four years ago and it was a huge win for biden. it showed biden ahead in all of these states. it was one of the reasons he got the nomination because he was running on electability, and he was the most electable democrat. now many democrats are thinking maybe he's the least likely. >> let's be clear. it's still a year out. a lot can change. and certainly the biden team believes, as we look at the numbers here, next year they thinkome of the economic ogress will be better felt by the americans. they also believe donald trump sitting in a courtroom will turn off a whole lot of swing voters who actually decide these elections. this is a pretty stunning spread for trump to have those kinds of leads when, first of all, he's already been in dieted four times. also, the biden team has put in a lot in michigan and pennsylvania, and he can't win the white house without them. >> also very striking, the one state he's ahead in, wisconsin, the least diverse states. that shows a real slippage with people of color, especially people of color under 30 years old. it was also really interesting. they compared biden to kamala harris who has a lower approval rating than biden across the board. in these polls, in part because of age and slippage with other voters of color, kamala harris is doing better than joe biden in these states, and the unnamed gentlemen nair democrat who would be brought down with the attack ads, there was a 13-point difference for an unnamed democrat over joe biden in next year's election. >> we don't want to make too much out of it, but to your point, it's part of the trend. very quickly, a few prominent voices suggest that president biden maybe should. even run again. that's a possibility, correct? >> i've not heard anything like that at all. if he were to make that decision, it would have to be very quick. >> the record is impressive. the voters have their concerns. national correspondent for axios, alex thompson. appreciate it. elsewhere, republican candidate ron desantis is about to score a big endorsement in the op primary race. nbc news is reporting that iowa governor kim reynolds who initially indicated she would remain neutral in the race now plans to back the florida governor. sources say she will appear alongside desantis at a rally tonight in des moines. her support could provide a possible lift to desantis in the hawkeye state. according to the latest nbc news "des moines register" media roll, trump leads over desantis, 43% to 16%. haley came in ne. trump aus of reynolds of disloyalty adding her, quote, endorsement would be the end of her political career. meanwhile some republican voters in florida were not happy to see presidential candidate chris christie over the weekend. the former new jersey governor was greeted with boos and jeers from the pro-trump crowd just seconds after he walked on stage at the gop freedom summit, which was held just outside of orlando. christie slammed back at the audience. >> yeah. well now it feels like home, thank you all very much. what a shock, you're for trump. i'm going to fall over dead. now, look. now, look. every one of those boos, every one of those cat calls, every one of those yells will not -- >> boo. >> yes, sure -- will not solve one problem we face in this country, will not solve -- and will not make this country better. your anger, your anger, your anger against the truth is reprehensible. >> you can certainly hear the boos there. christie wasn't the only republican to spar with the crowd. former arkansas governor asa hutchinson received similar jeers when he called to attention trump's many legal woes. the next republican debate this wednesday night on nbc. still ahead, ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy is inviting trump to the war-torn country in response to his claims that he could negotiate a peace deal in just 24 hours. plus, new reports on trump's plans for revenge if he gets a second chance in the white house. those stories and more and a check on sports when we come right back. check on sports when we come right back (ella) fashion moves fast. 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>> former president trump said in 24 hours he can manage it and finish the war. for me, what can i say? so he's very welcome. president biden was here and he -- i think he understood some details, which you can only understand being here. i invite president trump, if he can come here. i will need 24 minutes -- yes, 24 minutes, not more -- not more. 24 minutes to explain president trump that he can't manage this war. he can't bring peace because of the putin. >> do you think he would have ukraine's back if he were to be reelected? >> really, i don't know. really, i don't know. i hope that -- i hope that -- it depends not only on the president institutionally. i think it depends on the opinion of americans, of your society. i think that is most important. meanwhile a stunning new report from "the washington post" reveals that donald trump and his allies have started mapping out specific plans to use the federal government to punish his critics and opponents if he were to win a second term in the white house. this plan has been dubbed project 2025. there's been a slew of new reporting about it in recent weeks. the pollsters adding to the conversation that trump has named individuals he wants to investigate or prosecute. those people include former chief of staff john kelly. former attorney general bill barr. former attorney ty cobb, and former chief of staff chairman general mark milley. those are the people who spoke on trump in anonymity. trump has also talked about prosecuting officials at the fbi and the didn't of justice. additionally the paper reports that the former president's associates have drafted plans to potentially invoke the insurrection act on his first day in office to apply trump to deploy the military against the civil demonstrations that would surely be held that day. elsewhere, the publisher of mark meadows' book is sawing him for nearly $2 million over false statements about the 2020 election. the legal action is in response to an abc news report that meadows received immunity for his testimony for a grand jury called by special counsel jack smith. meadows reportedly told smith's team and jurors that he repeatedly told trump in the weeks after the election that the allegations of significant voter fraud were baseless. now, in its lawsuit, all seasons press says meadows violated their agreement regarding false statement. the publisher singles out a chapter in the book which begins with this quote, "i knew he didn't lose." oh, mark. the publisher also cites the reporting for causing sales of the book to, quote, precipitously decline, with only 60,000 copies sold of d first 200,000 printed. still ahead, we'll turn to sports and get a recap from the action across all of the nfl. plus, we'll get a check on the forecast as millions across the country could see warm and record-breaking temperatures this week. we'll be right back with that. we'll be right back with that. you didn't live this strong, this long to get put on the shelf like a porcelain doll. if you have postmenopausal osteoporosis and are at high risk for fracture, you can build new bone with evenity®. ask your doctor if you can do more than just slowing down bone loss with evenity®. want stronger bones? then build new bone; evenity® can help in just 12 months. evenity® is proven to reduce spine fracture risk by 73%. evenity® can increase risk of heart attack, stroke, or death from a cardiovascular problem. do not take evenity® if you have low blood calcium, or are allergic to it. serious allergic reactions and low blood calcium have occurred. tell your doctor about jaw bone problems, as they have been reported with evenity®. or about pain in your hip, groin, or thigh, as unusual thigh bone fractures have occurred. don't let a break put you on a shelf. talk to your doctor about building new bone with evenity®! it is loose and picked up. brandin cooks! touchdown! >> the best starting field position for the raiders at the 40 yard line, and o'connell wants to take a deep shot. he's got tucker out there. tucker diving, and he makes the catch. >> second and five. we'll keep an eye on it. there's that speed. mitchell to the end zone. >> again, four-man pressure, going deep for the end zone. devonta smith has got it. touchdown, philadelphia. >> second down and ten. here's howell. going deep. to the end zone. it is caught. touchdown, dobson. >> third and fourth. time. catch. brandon powell, touchdown, vyingings, and they have the lead. >> sanders. they come through. it's intercepted again. again, it's picked up by moore. it's picked up. second and six. watkins. caught in the air. it's caught. cooper, touchdown. >> horses? >> horses, my bad. >> makes the connection with brown. straddling the sideline. does he have the angle? he does. touchdown! >> those are some of the biggest plays from across the nfl yesterday, including one of the five touchdowns thrown by texans' quarterback cj stroud. he aired it out for 470 yards in the game, setting a new rookie record as houston came back to beat the tampa bay buccaneers, 39-37. stroud seems like he's got it. he's been a lot of fun so far this year. let's go to cincinnati. the bengals hosting the buffalo bills on surnltd night football last night on nbc. a fourth consecutive victory puts the bengals back in play offconversation. joe burrow struggled with a calf injury. he's healthy now. the cincinnati defense forced two big turnovers, interaccepting josh allen to shut down that drive in the second quarter. and later, recovering a fumble early in the fourth. the bengals beat the bills 24-18. that i have buffalo bills' numbers. damar hamlin, the buffalo bills player who suffered cardiac arrest on that very field in cincinnati didn't play, but walked on the field and thanked all those who saved his life. we're glad he's doing so well. the finale is tonight. the new york jets will try for a win hosting los angeles chargers on "monday night football." time now for the weather. let's go to meteorologist michelle grossman for the weather. michelle, great to see you. as we teased moments ago, a lot of warm weather for the second week of november. >> i know, it's crazy. hi, jonathan. it's crazy. we're talking record warmth, 10 to 20 degrees above normal. we're looking at temperatures into the mid-80s in abilene and el paso. even up up in chicago, 70 degrees today. that's almost 20 degrees above average. tomorrow, temperatures in the 80 s, 70s. southwest, phoenix, 90s. we're looking warm in st. louis. 78 degrees. that's two days. then we kind of get back to normal wednesday, thursday, friday. still no complaints. we're in the mid-50s in new york city by wednesday, thursday. crisp and fall-like toward the later part of the week. out west, we're looking at higher elevation rain and mountain snow. windy conditions. we could see winds gusting up to 16 miles an hour. gusty wind toward the great lakes. ohio valley, we could see rain. even slight snow further to the north. that will dissipate as we go throughout the next 12 days. jonathan? >> michelle grossman, thank you very much. still ahead on "way too early," we'll recap secretary of state anthony blinken's trip to the middle east as he met with arab leaders callinging for a cease-fire in the gaza strip. and lara selman joins us on "way too early" on trying to ease tensions. that's coming up after the break. ease tensions. that's coming up after the break. ef. don't get burned by winter nose. a nose in need deserves puffs indeed. america's #1 lotion tissue. 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(vo) this holiday turn any iphone, in any condition, into a new iphone 15 pro with titanium, apple tv 4k, and six months of apple one. all three on us. it's holiday everyday with verizon. you're probably not easily persuaded to switch mobile providers for your business. but what if we told you it's possible that comcast business mobile can save you up to 75% a year on your wireless bill versus the big three carriers? have we piqued your interest? you can get two unlimited lines for just $30 each a month. there are no term contracts or line activation fees. and you can bring your own device. oh, and all on the most reliable 5g mobile network nationwide. wireless that works for you. it's not just possible. welcome back to "way too early." it is precisely 5:30 on the east coast, 2:30 out west on this monday morning. i'm jonathan lemire. thanks for being with us. secretary of state antony blinken is wrapping up his trip to the middle east as he tries to quell tensions amid the israel/hamas war. yesterday after meeting with arab leaders in jordan, he made a pair of surprises, one to the west bank and one to iraq. he met with palestinian leaders and reassured them the united states is working with israel to minimize harm to civilians in the gaza strip, this as the palestinian authority is calling for an immediate halt to the war. blinken also reiterated america's support for a two-state solution and condemned extremist violence, many from the settlers in the west bank. blinken then traveled to baghdad where he met with the prime minister. he signaled to iran not to jump into the conflict and i state will defend itself and its allies if things escalate. the warning comes as the u.s. in iraq and syria are being attacked by iranian-backed proxies. >> it was very important to send a very clear message to anyone who might seek to take advantage of the conflict in gaza to threaten our personnel here or never anywhere else in the region. don't do it. i made very clear the attacks, the threats coming from the militia aligned with iran are totally unacceptable, and we will take every necessary step to protect our people. we're not looking for conflict with iran, we've made that very clear, but we'll do what's necessary to protect our personnel, be they military or civilian. >> blinken continues his trip through the region with a stop in turkey. this morning he met with the country's foreign minister. the secretary of state now heads further on into air shah where he'll advance effort for an open state didn't. joining us now reporting for the pentagon from "politico," lara seligmann. let's look