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CNNW Inside July 2, 2024



today on "inside politics," it's election day in america. key races in virginia, ohio, kentucky and mississippi could give us clues about the mood of the electorate with one year to go until voters pick a president. one big issue in all these races is abortion. democrats think it galvanizes voters still fearhouse about the dobbs decision, but nearly a year and a half later, does it pack the political punch it did in the midterms? the house is poised to vote on a resolution censoring a congresswoman for recent comments many see as anti-semitic. we'll talk to one of her colleagues about whether fellow dremocrats will standby her. i'm dana bash. let's go behind the headlines and "inside politics." we begin with today's off-year election. issues like abortion and inflation are dominating today's races, along with how voters feel about both the man currently in the white house and the man who wants it back. we are in kentucky where governor ann beshear is fighting for reelection. jessica dean is in virginia, where governmor glenn youngkin, who is not on the ballot today, is hoping that his party wins full control of the state legislature, and with it, the power to pass a 15-week abortion ban. jessica, let's start with you. these are all local races. state delegates, state senators, but they really have been nationalized, haven't they? >> reporter: they sure have. if you were to ask governor youngkin, he would say this is about virginians. this isn't about republicans and democrats, but to your point, so many national implications are running through this state, as they head to the polls today. chiefly among them, that issue of abortion. you really hit the nail on the head at the beginning of your show. how much political punch does it still hold? we saw it holding so much in last year's midterms and helping democrats maintain control of the u.s. senate. so the question here is somewhat of a proxy battle to see how it plays out. just to set the scene for everyone, the democrats hold the state senate. republicans hold the state house. and youngkin is going all across the state selling his vision and pitching himself to voters along with his vision saying it you'll send a complete republican control to the legislature, we can get this agenda done. it's now up to the voters. do they want to move forward with that, or do they want some checks and balances. democrats here in the state of virginia looking to hold on to the state senate and even expand into the house as well. and key to all of this is that potential 15-week abortion ban. right now it's 26 weeks in virginia and it's worth noting that virginia is the only southern state that's not pursued further restrictions since roe wade was turned. glenn youngkin tried to do that, but the democrats stopped him. that's whey he's going to voters and pitching this. but he's really talking about a whole host of issues. police reform and also public schools, but in the end, so many of the adds and what democrats are talking about is abortion. so we'll be looking to see how that all plays out tonight. >> it's really interesting about virginia being the only southern state that didn't change its law. thank you so much. appreciate it. now let's go to eva in louisville covering the governor's race. eva, donald trump won kentucky by more than 25 points in 2020. but the governor there, who is a democrat, has a fighting chance at getting reelected. >> reporter: he does. still, though, governor beshear faces a key test here. is his brand of politics, does it have durability? we were with him last night in lexington. he was talking about infrastructure and he was speaking to his supporters and saying, listen, there's no such thing as a democrat bridge or a republican bridge. he has been at the helm here over several natural disasters, oversaw the pan demic, some tragedies in the state. all the while he's branded those efforts as being part of the same team. we know that that is a message that resinates with at least some trump supporters. trump supporters he'll need if he's able to pull off a victory here. now daniel cameron, the attorney general, still presents a real challenge for governor beshear. he voted here earlier this morning with his family. what he has done is endlessly tie the governor to biden. biden not pop already in the state of kentucky. cameron has also attacked the governor for his record on the pandemic. arguing that more needs to be done to work in concert with the republican-controlled state legislature, which he argues he's better suited to do to address learning loss. one thing is for sure. what we're hearing from a lot of people is they believe this race is going to be incredibly close. >> so interesting. thank you so much. appreciate that reporting. now we want to bring in our exceptional panel to discuss the big picture around today's elections. margaret tol live, daniel strauss, and heidi. thank you so much to all of you. happy election day. it's quite an election day. for anoff here. and in their own right, these are all fascinating races. you've got in kentucky, this contest for whether a democratic governor can use women's concerns about reproductive freedoms to hang on in a very red state, but he's also opposed against the man who could become the first black republican governor in the united states. and then in mississippi, you have a little sprinkle of elvis presley and a little fight over medicare funding and the reality that there's an enormous african-american population of residents in the state of mississippi, many obstacles to them being able to vote in a number. and is intriguing. and in virginia you have this big litmus test over glenn youngkin's power. >> let's talk about that. it's glen yn youngkin's power definitely. but let's just drill down on one of the big issues, which is what jessica was reporting on. that was the issue of abortion. listen to what the governor has been saying all through virginia as he's campaigning. >> we wanted to be incredibly clear on the bill that we would progress. the only bill that we would progress is to protect life at 15 weeks and to call it a ban is such a mistruth and disinformation. they should all be ashaked of what they said. none of it has been true. >> again, there are a lot of ways to look at the races today. one of the things that i'm fascinated in is the rebrand attempt by republicans on abortion. that word ban being replaced by limit, which i know from my reporting, i'm sure you have heard groups have been pushing republican candidates for that rebrand. he is trying it. and the question is will it work. >> the reason that there's a push to rebrand. republicans and abortions have seen the results in the last few cycles and major elections and see that that doesn't yield the result they want. both youngkin and the party at large. and there are a sense of being in the wilderness on how it address abortion while pushing some kind of new laws and new restrictions. and that's what youngkin is looking for here. if he can lead a resurgence in republican control a wave election in his hate, he can argue that he now has the blueprint for the rest of the party across country that may save them in the next cycle. in the prlt psychal and may lead to whoever the nominee is, probably donald trump, to have a way to address that in the general election. >> virginia to me is the most important race, if you had to pick one to watch what's happening. before new hampshire, before iowa, there's the virginia off year elections. and this year we're talking about two big trends that we'll be watching here. which is suburban voters and the issue of abortion. that cuts across ohio, it cuts across virginia and many of the other races today, but in virginia, i don't know that rebranding is going to work if you remember going back to really the women's march after trump was elected. a lot of this was about women's rights. it wasn't just about abortion, but it was about voters rising up and we saw that with the women's march. we saw that with the women waiting in the rain to cast their votes in opposition to trump in the off year elections. this is going to be a test of we know what we saw right after the dobbs decision came down, which was mind blowing referendums in states like kansas. does that still hold? is that passion still there? >> look, you also have to remember that what propelled youngkin to the governor's mansion was not a ro discussion. it was a contrast with mccull love. >> that is true. sibs since we're on the subject of virginia, let's stay on it. because we live in d.c. and we have access to what we see on tv. the virginia ads run on our television sets for people who actually still watch television, if you're watching, thank you. let's look at some of the messaging we have seen tying the republicans on the ballot, these are locals races to the maga movement. >> maga republicans were one vote away from banning abortion in virginia. >> embraces the maga crowd and funds extremists who back trump. >> because of the new law, maga republicans are banning books like these across virginia. censoring what our students learn. >> barbara kom stock, former republican from virginia, told the union that's potent. >> this is a test for 2024. this is a message for 2024. every time you hear joe biden go out and give a speech, you'll hear that phrase. if it works in virginia, it may work in other pivotal swing states. but i think trying to distinguish the idea that there can be moderate republicans from the idea that trump is the standard bareer of the party and can be no moderation is going to be something the democrats try to use. abortion and health care in the last two or three elections have been so vital to democrats and the fact that either abortion or health care through the med debate is on the billion lot. >> you mentioned indicate.allot. >> you mentioned indicate. >> he's not leaning very far into it, but he's not ignoring it. why would you? >> i'm shower that can do nothing but help you in the south. >>s personally if you're a democrat in mississippi. >> but that's not the only reason why he stands a fighting chance here. some of it is demographic. 40% of the population isn that state is black and he gets strong support from that setting the. it will all depend on turnout. if he was able to pull this off, it would be a massive upset. but the other thing he has is some crossover support from republicans. i have seen interviews with republicans on the issue of medicaid and cutting back medicaid spending. despite the party's broader platform, a lot of the states that want to cut medicaid are where red voters rely most on it. this is a class a example of that. >> there are voter who is rely on medicaid, whether it is for prenatal care or health insurance or coverage, or because they are in a rural area. people want health care from both parties, of all political persuasions is. >> a great conversation. standby. coming up, what donald trump's testimony in court tells us about his strategien the campaign trail going forward. donald trump's testimony in new york gave the courtroom and the country a taste of what a 2024 race would look like when a major party candidate isment broiled in legal problems. polls show him continuing to dominate his party competitors, but also pulling ahead of president biden in several key battleground states. jeff zeleny joins us now. you got a look at how things would play out on the campaign trail from the witness stand yesterday. i know you're already in miami ahead of tomorrow's debate. he will not be there, but he's going to be doing his own thing. >> reporter: he is. the witness stand is going to become a familiar place for donald trump, as is the defense table. we did get a glimpse yesterday of what we really have seen for several months. he was under oath, which he sell dom is, but he was as defined as ever. what has become clear is something we have been saying for so many months. his political strategy is intertwined. we saw that playing out yesterday in the courtroom, him being defiant and going out immediately is and using those same talking points to try to portray himself as the victim. that is his strategy going for forward, and it has worked. right now he has consolidated the base behind him and look for him to continue to do that tomorrow evening at a rally he will be having here in florida. he will be talking about his court cases, how he is the victim in all of this, but what we don't know is even though his message is the same, the rules are far different. how he's judged in a courtroom could be far different than he's judged by voters. >> let's talk about the endorsement game, if you will. and we saw yesterday, we saw his former press secretary, who happens to be the governor of arkansas, endorse trump. then ron desantis over the weekend scored an endorsement, a key one, from iowa's popular dove north kim reynolds. the question that we ask every single cycle is does it matter? >> reporter: look, both of those governors will be coming here to miami. the iowa governor will be at a fundraiser tonight with florida governor ron desantis. her endorsement certainly matters far more than sara huckabee sanders. we won't get to the arkansas race until later next year. the question is it enough to pull the florida governor over the finish line? we'll find out. she's a deeply popular figure in the republican party in iowa. but at the end of the day, endorsements do not win campaigns. candidates have to do it themselves. >> i mean, i think in recent times, the endorsement that mattered the most maybe more than any, was jim clyburn endorse ing joe biden back in t south carolina primary in 2020. jeff, thank you so much. i'll see you in miami tomorrow night. our panel is back here. let's sort of move on and talk about the democrat in the white house, who is running for reelection. and how they have been trying to in the biden campaign and at the dnc trying to frame their paid immemedia, the ads. this is really interesting. this is according to ad impact. by far, the majority of the ads up are positive ads. this is what president biden has done. thsz what he has -- this is why he's benefitted from him in the white house. more than $7 medical, contrast ads, just 64,000. we all know where we are. it's one year out to election day. it's extremely early. we can expect that to change dramatically, but what does that tell us about the position that the white house thinks that the president is in right now internally, not just what we're seeing in public polls. >> that's a really interesting question. it's been long part of boiden's brand to try to project an optimistic or positive image or idea of being able to bridge divides and move forward. he's still trying to define the economy positively, attaching his own name to it. another two data points to consider are they don't want to elevate donald trump too much right now out of the gate. he's not the nominee yet. and they don't want to help make it a fore gone conclusion. the other thing of this, every democrat is mindful of hillary clinton's race for president and sort of in the rear view mirror, the inability to define a positive message is to focus on the negative of trump. all that is part of the state of play. >> they don't need to dwanefine trump. it's no the stret they feel there's a big disconnect now between what's happening in some of the economic data. and what people's feelings are about the state of the economy. which was supposed to be really an amazing accomplishment here for the president to have taken us out of covid and out of what could have been a really devastating recession. yet they feel not to have credit for that. that said, his poll numbers, this recent poll is not good. i'm hesitant to read too much into the polls after 2016. >> as you're talking about it, i want to put up on the screen the polls you're talking about. >> after 2016 and 2022, to read too much into the polls, further more, the administration is point ing out where obama was a this point and that he came back, but i know you're going to get to this, but the one thing that did not exist back then that exists now that's so important are some of these voices, allies of the president coming out and saying, hey, i think maybe he should reconsider getting out of the race, which is kind of devastating. >> that's what former candidate for senate, who did not win, tim ryan said to our colleague kasie hunt yesterday. david axelrod, our colleague here didn't say get out of the race, but he's sounding the alarm very loudly, which is not exactly welcome sound at the white house. >> and look, it's pretty clear between the polling we have seen and the voices sounding a public alarm that there's a concern within the democratic party that they can't rebuff attacks about biden as being too old. he's not much older than donald trump. but demeanor wise, the contrast is pretty clear. that's why i think we're seeing positive ads right now instead of snegatives. there will be a cocontrast when there's a nominee. this is augustering to be a very negative election. what the team is clearly doing right now is looking to motivate their voters or their base that usually and relily votes for them and get them excite d. that's clearly an issue. >> thanks. we're going to switch gears now as we head to break and look at what is happening in israel today. people gathered to mark one month since the hamas attacks. >> 1,400 people were brutally massacred. and still nearly 250 people are hostages in gaza. we're going to go to israel, next. the power goes out and we still have wifi to do our homework. and that's a good thing? great in my book! who are you? no power? no problem. introducing storm-ready wifi. now you can stay reliably connected through power outages with unlimited cellular data and up to 4 hours of battery back-up to keep you online. only from xfinity. home of the xfinity 10g network. for 30 days now, hundreds of families have anxiously awaited word on the fate of their loved ones being the held hostage in gaza. several family members joined house republican leaders this morning on capitol hill to beg for help and for an end to their silent suffering. here is doris, her son and best friend were taken during the attack on the music festival near gaza. >> every day is like eternity to me. i can't wait any longer. i know -- i don't know anything. i'm so proud of being an earn and being an israeli as well. but need you now. there's nothing helping me now. i pray. please help me. >> today marks exactly one month since hamass terrorists launched that horrific attack on israel. hamas is still holding nearly 250 hostages and israeli troops are inside gaza and circling gaza city. the israeli prime minister says he's open to short humanitarian pauses, but no cease-fire without the release of hostages. i want to go straight to nr n live for us. there's a lot happening at this moment. >> there is. i'm going to look over my shoulder here and maybe jon can go over the horizon. pitch black, seconds ago, we saw a series of rockets taking off out of gaza. what you're looking at now is in the direction of gaza city, where the head of the idf southern command says troops are currently fighting in the heart of gaza city. yet we've seen a series of eight rockets coming out of gaza city headed towards central israel. when the missiles are not intercepted here close to us, that means they are very like going to trigger the alarms, perhaps around tel aviv, perhaps in other places, and the iron dome will intercept them further north from here. but that gives you an indication that while the idf is making gains on the ground, they killed ten operatives today, they have taken control of a number of rockets. they are continuing to move forward on the ground. hamas despite that is

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