mar-a-lago is worth $18 million. mar-a-lago is worth probably 15 to 100 times more than that and it's a terrible thing. >> at the end of the day the documentary evidence demonstrated that, in fact, he falsely inflated his assets to basically enrich himself and his family. he continued to persistently engage in fraud. the numbers don't lie. >> donald trump as new york attorney general letitia james after another combative day in court for the former president. we'll recap trump's testimony and get expert legal analysis in just a moment. also ahead israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu continues to reject calls for a cease-fire but appears to be open to some pauses in the gaza offensive. plus, it is election day in america. we'll break down some of the key races across the country. good morning and welcome to "way too early" on this tuesday, november 7th. eit is election day. don't forget to vote. i'm jonathan lemire. thanks for starting your day with us. and we'll begin with donald trump who took the stand yesterday in the new york state $250 million civil fraud trial to defend his actions as head of the trump organization. the former president is accused of directing his workers to exaggerate financial records, to increase his personal net worth in order to help get more favorable rates on loans or insurance policies. frump interest his part has deny any wrongdoing. on the witness stand yesterday the fermer president engaged in several attacks against the judge, the prosecution, and the trial itself. nbc news reports that trump complained to his questioner, quote, you and every other democrat coming after me from 15 different sides all haters. trump later complained that people don't know how good a company i built because people like you are going around demeaning me. he also blasted new york attorney general letitia james as a, quote, political hack and said the case is a disgrace. trump was also combative with the presiding judge after being called out for not answering questions. at one point trump while still on the stand appeared today lose his cool about the judge, yelling, he called me a fraud and he didn't know anything about me. he was referring to the judge's ruling back in september that trump had committed fraud for years over stating his net worth by billions of dollars. between rants trump did acknowledge helping to assemble annual financial statements submitted to the banks. quote, i would see them and i would maybe on occasion have some suggestions. attorney general james and the former president had very different views of how yesterday's testimony went. >> i think it went very well. i think you were there and you listened and you would see this is a case should never have been brought, a case that should be dismissed immediately. the court was the fraudster in this case. >> today we heard from donald trump in our case against him, other defendants and the trump organization. he rambled. he hurled insults, but we expected that. at the end of the day the documentary evidence demonstrated that, in fact, he falsely inflated his assets to basically enrich himself and his family. he continued to persistently engage in fraud. the numbers don't lie. and mr. trump obviously wants to distract and that's what he did -- committed on thp stand today engaging in distractions and engaging in name-calling. but i will not be bullied. i will not be harassed. this case will go on. >> now, this may not be the last time we see trump on the stand in this case. his lawyers are expected to call him as a witness when they present their case starting at some point next week. joining us now former u.s. attorney and an msnbc contribute, our friend barbara mcquade. barbara, great to see you this morning. so let's start with your take on trump's antics, and i think that's a word we can use, their antics on stand. do we think they helped to hurt the case and who was truly his audience? >> this is cleary a performance not for the judge who's the fact finder in iscase but clearly for the voters. he talked about how this was unfair and biased and the judge was biased against him, but i don't think he helped himself at all. he did make a couple of key admissions, one he was involved in the valuation of some of these properties and he did know these were used and relied upon by banks in making decisions whether to make loans. to that extent i can the attorney general scored some points. but mostly he played himself in the role he so often plays as a disrupter, and i don't think he did anything to dispel what the judge has already found, which is findings of fraud based on the documents. >> so trump's defense team is expected to call him back to the stand next week as a witness. how do you anticipate they are going to try to utilize him? >> one, i don't know that they will. there's danger there because it means the attorney general's office gets to cross examine him and they may not want to do it, but he does have a wider platform when he is testifying and they're calling him as a witness. to the extent he wants to volunteer any information, that is an opportunity to do that. yesterday he got frustrate would the judge asked him to answer the question that's been asked and he wanted to give a little speech on something else, so that posed some difficulty for him. when he is called, when he can control what the questions are and that can elicit the answers he might want to get out there. >> and for trump all part of his claim he's the victim of some witch-hunt, some sort of deep state prosecution. barbara, stay with us for this other trump legal story. special counsel jack smith says the january 6th insurrection was a culmination of the plane conspiracy theories that trump promoted after the 2020 election, the election he lost to joe biden. that declaration coming in a court filing yesterday from the special counsel's office opposing multiple trump team motions to dismiss the federal election interference case all together. smith's team writes this, the defendant also claims that he could not have known his actions were criminal because in the past others whoave questioned, challenged, or protested election results were not prosecuted. but the defendant stands alone in american historyor his alleged crimes. no other president has engaged in conspiracy and obstruction to overturn valid election results and illegitimately return power. in another they argue judge tanya chutkan should deny the former president's request to pause the trial's progress until he rules on his claim of presidential immunity. so barbara, amid the flurry of responses yesterday, the only motion to dismiss that is ready for a ruling is that one, trump's claim of presidential immunity. can you explain what that is and if you believe he has any chance to win it? >> yes, the argument is because he was president at the time he is immune from being prosecuted for any crimes at. essentially this is the richard nixon line of when the president does it, it's not illegal. of course that's an absurd argument. the president does have wide berth to do his job and should not be prosecuted for anything within the scope of his job duties. but as the prosecution argued not only is it illegal but what he's doing itself is beyond the scope of the president. states have the duty of administering their elections. it is not part of the president's duties to interfere with their elections. so i think that's a ludser. but the reason they're asking for the prompt disposition of this notion and one another which is based on double jeopardy he says because he was prosecuted essentially that during the impeachment that precludes this criminal case against him for the same crime of this election interference. those two are immediately appealable before the trial. all the other motions have to wait until to trial is over. and so what the prosecutor is saying is, judge, please decide these two motions first so we can get that process going because if we do then the court of appeals can likely hear that and we can stay on track for our march trial date. let's not let that one languish, so that's the request they have before the court. >> terrific legal analysis as always from former u.s. attorney barbara mcquade. thank you, barbara. we'll talk to you again soon. we turn now to news overseas and today marks one month since the suhamas terrorist attack in israel. now israeli forces are severing ground from the rest of the territory. yesterday israel pounded the region with air strikes. officials say they hit 450 targets killing a number of hamas commanders. casualties are expected to rise sharply once the war turns to close urban combat. israeli media reports that troops are expected to enter gaza city soon. still, several hundred thousand people are believed today still be in northern gaza where the assaults are taking place. israel's military says there is a one-way corridor for civilians to plea the area and head south, but many are afraid to take that route. now, israel's prooem benjamin netanyahu, is continuing to reject growing calls for a cease-fire but says he is open to a short pause in the fighting in gaza. yesterday a phone call with netanyahu, president joe biden mentioned possible tactical pauses to say they would allow time for more aid to enter gaza and let civilians safely leave the territory. the white house says it could also help with hostage negotiations. shortly after that call netanyahu appeared on abc news for his first televised interview since the october 7th terrorist attack. here's what netanyahu had to say about a possible cease-fire. >> well, there'll be no cease-fire, general cease-fire in gaza without the release of our hostages. as far as tactical little pauses and here and there we've had them before. i suppose we'll check the circumstances in order to enable humanitarian good tuesday come in or individual hostages to leave, but i don't think there's going to be a general cease-fire. it's not that i don't think -- i don't think it'll hamper the war effort. it'll hamper our effort to get the hostage out because the only thing that works on these criminals in hamas is the military pressure that we're exerting. >> we'll have more on the war in the middle east a little later in the show. next, though, florida governor ron desantis picks up a key endorsement in iowa. we'll show you what governor kim reynolds had to say about supporting desantis over donald trump in the 2024 primary. also ahead, a look at which republican presidential candidates will be on the stage for tomorrow night's gop debate live on nbc. those stories and a check on weather and sports when we come right back. i'm not just accomplished. i am accomplishing. so i'm doing all i can to help lower my risk of breaking a bone. for postmenopausal women with osteoporosis at high risk for fracture taking calcium and vitamin d may not be enough. adding prolia® is 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comcast business. powering all your devices with gig-speed wifi. and you get fast downloads and uploads. pick it up! pick it up! oh we got this! because it's powered by the next generation 10g network. more speed for your business? it's not just possible. it's happening. get started for $59.99 a month for 12 months. plus, ask how to get an $800 prepaid card with a qualifying internet bundle. comcast business, powering possibilities. it's official. iowa governor kim reynolds has endorsed florida governor ron desantis for president. >> someone who calls out our moral decline for what it is, who looks to the future and not the past. someone who most importantly can win, and that person is ron desantis. and it is why i am so proud to stand here tonight and give him my full support and endorsement as president of the united states of america. >> last night the two governors appeared at a campaign rally in des moines where reynolds touted desantis' accomplishments. now the florida governor is hoping the endorsement will boost his sagging presidential campaign. in an exclusive sit down interview with nbc news, the republican presidential candidate weighed in on trump's intimidation tactics in securing political support. >> it's almost like with donald trump if you don't kiss the ring, you could be the best governor ever and he'll trash you. you could be a terrible, corrupt politician, but if you kiss his ring then all of a sudden he'll praise you. i've had people come to me and say they endorsed him because of the threats and everything like that. that's not how i roll but it is how he rolls. look, at the end of the day if you can look in the mirror and say you did what you think is right for the right reasons, then let the chips fall where they may. >> lpen arkansas governor and former press secretary sarah huckabee sanders, she's set to endorse her old boss in his run for the white house. a source familiar with the matter tells nbc newsanders will make her announcement at trump's rally near miami tomorrow night. that's his counter programming he skips the republican debate. sanders released a statement on her endorsement writing in par this, it's not question between right and left anymore. it's normal versus crazy and president bide on and the left are doubling down onra. the time has come to return to the normal policies of the trump era which created a safer, stronger, more prosperous america and that's why i'm proud to endorse donald trump for president. most of that was not true, we should note. iba statement trump wrote, quote, it's an honor to have sarah's endorsement. i look forward to having her at the big rally on wednesday. she's been considered a rising star in the gop after becoming the first female governor of arkansas. i will note some of the trump cam unhappy with her it took her this long to endorse her former boss. meanwhile, interest republican national committee has announced the candidates who will be on stage for that debate tomorrow night. the rnc said five candidates qualified for the debate in miami and hosted by nbc news. the after hosting the first two debates north dakota doug bergman did not qualify for the third one after he missed the minimum requirements set by the rnc. here who is on the debate stage tomorrow night. there were some doubts whether scot would qualify. nbc news is hosting the third republican presidential primary debate in miami tomorrow from 8:00 p.m. to 10:00 p.m. eastern. the debate will also stream live on nbcnews.com and we'll have analysis for you on msnbc. still ahead, we'll turn to sports. the new york jets offense was a no-show again. this time on monday night football. we'll have the highlights from a dominant performance by the l.a. chargers. plus, a stunning managerial move in major league baseball. that's all straight ahead. e basl that's all straight ahead. ge ani knew i was going to be a vet. once alexandra called me to let me know that bank of america had approved 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(vo) this holiday turn any iphone, in any condition, into a new iphone 15 pro with titanium, apple tv 4k, and six months of apple one. all three on us. it's holiday everyday with verizon. my most important kitchen tool? my brain. so i choose new neuriva ultra. unlike some others, it supports 7 brain health indicators, including mental alertness from one serving. to help keep me sharp. try new neuriva ultra. think bigger. 3 and out from each side. thomas moorstead is having in some ways his best year at 37 years old. and good turns into great. he's gone. flags on the field, and those are the first points on this monday night. touch down for the rookie. >> darius davis with an 87-yard punt return to the end zone for the los angeles chargers early in the opening quarter of last night's game against the new york jets. as the l.a. defense completely stopped the jets offense sacking quarterback zack wilson eight times and forcing multiple turnovers. remember a week or so ago when the jet fans were starting to think their team had a shot at the playoffs. now to some early off-season challenges in major league baseball. this one caught a lot of people by surprise. enchicago the cubs fired manager david ross and instead hired craig counsell. espn reports counsell is signing on with a record five-year $40 million contract. the new york mets who had been the favorite to get him, the stead they didn't look too far to find their new manager reportedly set to hire carlos mendoza who spent the last 15 years with the cross town yankees in multiple roles. and now to the nba, the new york knicks spoiled james harden's long awaited debut with the los angeles clippers last night. to msg, harden made six of nine shots and finished with six assists in 39 minutes. not bad. then l.a.'s effort fell well short. the knicks would have been okay so far this year, but they cruised last night 111-97. and there are no more undefeated teams in the nba. the boston celtics took their first loss yesterday as well. time now for the weather, and let's go to meteorologist angie lassman who's up there at 30 rock for us with the forecast. angie, how's it looking? >> you know what, it's looking like spring, jonathan. we've got warm temperatures, potentially record breaking temperatures across the country. notice we have a bit of mountain snow we're going to battle across the north west and windy conditions for parts of new england, really northern new england. but let's talk about those temperatures. we are running 20 to even 30 degrees above normal this time of year, and temperatures across much of the southern plains upper 80s to low 90s. roswell blows away the record most likely by this afternoon with a high of 90 degrees and 85 in jackson. a lot of folks will potentially see this for multiple days, too. so shorts and t-shirt is something you might want to have out today and tomorrow. most of the southern tier of the country will end up in those low to mid-80s but places like collin station 87 degrees tomorrow. as far north as charleston upper 70s to low 80s across parts of indiana. the good news is by the weekend if you're looking for more seenable conditions we'll start to see that settle in. 50s on tap for minneapolis indianapolis and upper 50s to mid-50s in new york as we head into the weekend and still hold out in charlotte all low 80s and eventually 60s will return, too. so everyone gets back to normal in no time. >> great to see you. thank you for that one. we'll talk to you tomorrow. still ahead here on "way too early" voters hit the polls in parts of the u.s. today including in ohio where abortion rights are on the ballot and in virginia where control of the entire state legislature is on the table in an election that could be a big test for both parties ahead of 2024. that's coming up next on "way too early." 2024. that's coming up next on "way too early. ent of gain flings... time stops. 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it is with comcast business. powering all your devices with gig-speed wifi. and you get fast downloads and uploads. pick it up! pick it up! oh we got this! because it's powered by the next generation 10g network. more speed for your business? it's not just possible. it's happening. get started for $59.99 a month for 12 months. plus, ask how to get an $800 prepaid card with a qualifying internet bundle. comcast business, powering possibilities. welcome back to "way too early." it is 5:30 a.m. on the east coast, 2:30 a.m. out west on this tuesday morning, election day. i'm jonathan lemire, thanks for being with us. and we are one year away from the 2024 presidential election, but voters today will decide a number of other key positions and measures across this country of ours. that includes kentucky where democratic incumbent governor andy bashir is looking to secure a second four-year term. there's also a governor's race in mississippi where tatte reeves is facing a stiff challenge from democratic brandon presley, the second cousin of rock and roll legend elvis presley. and in ohio a ballot measure that could enshrine abortion rights into the state's constitution. and in virginia all 140 seats across the state's two legislative chambers are up for grabs. joining us now to help us make sense of it all, state politics reporter for politico. zack, great to see you this morning. give us the lay of the land and in particular kentucky, mississippi, two highly closely watched governor's races and then abortion rights yet again on the ballot this time in ohio. >> what's interesting with these governor races, both states former president trump carried by no less than double digits in 2020 but they're both super competitive. kentucky in particular is interesting. that's andy beshear, he's an incumbent democrat but heading to election day he had the upper hand and been so, so popular. he's been a new breed of democrats in the south. democrats have been more or less wiped out there especially since former president obama. but andy beshear is someone in the driver's seat because voters separate him from the national party. that will be the pest today. can he separate himself enough from joe biden in a state democrats really don't have a chance in? an ohio the latest vote there is to codify abortion right. so a yes vote would make abortion rights protected in ohio. and like every other we've seen in the past couple of years this one looks like it's going to pass. >> there's been such energy to protect abortion rights in a number of states since the dobbs decision. let's turn to virginia. both in the state legislature are up, being seen as a referendum of glen youngkin's mr.itical future. >> both chambers are up and about 120 and both think heading into today they have a shot to win. everyone thinks oh, democrats are going to win, not true. there's republican governor glen youngkin, and he's put a lot of time and effort into flipping one of the chambers and keeping the other one. what's been different and interesting there is that youngkin has been talking about abortion in the way republicans haven't. if you remember in the mid-terms everyone stuffed their head in the sand and didn't say a word. glen youngkin ran ads. this is a referendum on youngkin's ten year serve but also a test can republican bab on abortion be left out of the room. >> a year out from the presidential election we look at what will happen tonight and what it could mean for next year. what are some trends or signs that could offer us a preview of what we could expect for the presidential year from now sph. >> of all these states the one i'm watching the most is virginia. virginia probably not going to be competitive on the presidential front. but the big thing there are the suburban districts that make up that 20 or so competitive seats. they're not going to be competitive next year, places lake that will be where the house is decided next year, where the presidential election is decided next year. the suburbs of richmond kind of look like the suburbs of detroit and milwaukee. that's where the presidential election will be decided next year. >> a great point. and there's been so much democratic angst in recent days about poll numbers, but many party lea k me, we keep winning elections and there's a chance they'll keep doing that as well. thank you for joining us this morning. that was really insightful. we'll of course have more coverage of the election on this show and all day and all night long here onmist #. next, though, we'll speak with our friends on cnbc and take a look what's driving the markets this morning. we'll be right back with that. e this morning we'll be right back with that. ma, ma, ma— ( clears throat ) for fast sore throat relief, try vicks vapocool drops. with two times more menthol per drop, and powerful vicks vapors to vaporize sore throat pain. vicks vapocool drops. vaporize sore throat pain. ♪ i have type 2 diabetes, but i manage it well. ♪ ♪ jardiance ♪ ♪ it's a little pill with a big story to tell. ♪ ♪ i take once-daily jardiance, ♪ ♪ at each day's staaart. ♪ ♪ as time went on it was easy to seee. ♪ ♪ i'm lowering my a1c. ♪ jardiance works 24/7 in your body to flush out some sugar! and for adults with type 2 diabetes and known heart disease, jardiance can lower the risk of cardiovascular death, too. jardiance may cause serious side effects including ketoacidosis that may be fatal, dehydration, that can lead to sudden worsening of kidney function, and genital yeast or urinary tract infections. a rare, life-threatening bacterial infection in the skin of the perineum could occur. stop taking jardiance and call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of this infection, ketoacidosis, or an allergic reaction, and don't take it if you're on dialysis. taking jardiance with a sulfonylurea or insulin may cause low blood sugar. ♪ jardiance is really swell, ♪ ♪ the little pill with a big story to tell. ♪ sometimes jonah wrestles with falling asleep... ...so he takes zzzquil. the world's #1 sleep aid brand for a better night sleep. so now, he wakes up feeling like himself. the reigning family room middle-weight champion. better days start with zzzquil nights. meta's ceo mark zuckerberg revealed on friday he tore his acl after training for a competitive mma fight. apparently what happened was there was a coffee table in the way. >> nicely done, seth. let's turn to business news, and we won't talk about his injury but we'll bring in cnbc's julianna tatelbaum joining us live umfrom london. and we'll start by talking about quarterly earnings. as investors are trying to assess the whether the rallies from last week people were happy to see, whether that rally can continue. how's wall street shaping up in the early morning hours today? >> well, john, at the moment u.s. futures are pointing to a weaker start for today's trading session. but follows another positiveay yesterday which as you said built on the positive momentum we saw last week. the nasdaq, the tech heavy has recorded its longest streak since january consecutive session. we'll see if things change throughout the training day. you mention earnings in focus. here in europe you've got a couple of big movers this morning. and the swiss banking giant has delivered an update, the first full quarter where it has integrated credit suisse. and integration is going faster than expected in many respects so shares are doing quite well. >> citi group is apparently planning to cut at least 10% of all jobs acrass its major businesses. that feels like a big deal to me. juliana, give us a sense what's going on here. >> this is a pretty big number. and this is according to people familiar with the process. cnbc has done reporting on this story. citi group has about 240,000 employees, so if we're talking about cuts of 10%, that's a pretty big number in absolute terms. jan frazie pg, the ceo of citi group indicated job cuts would be coming. she's trying to cut costs, and the people familiar with this process say that cutting jobs to this degree would give her more direct control over the business. she said back in september in a memo to staff we'll be saying good-bye to some very talented and hardworking colleagues. the reorganization project has been called project bora bora. that's the code name -- banks like to use code names for these projects internally according to our reporting. >> all right, julianna, lastly, another headline from yesterday. wework, the office sharing company is filing for bankruptcy. it was riding high just a few years ago. what prompted this move? >> huge fall from grace for wework. they've been struggling for years now. essentially they want to get out of their leases and by filing for chapter 11 bankruptcy should allow them to terminate their leases with a slimmer penalty. will they emerge a slimmer company on the other side of this process remains tuesday be seen. >> all right, cnbc's julianna tatelbaum, thank you as always. we'll talk to you again tomorrow. still ahead here we'll move to politics. house republicans are targeting a democrat who has drawn criticism from both parties on their comments on the israel-hamas war. "way too early" will be back with that. rael-hamas war "way too early" will be back with that. with febreze air mist. febreze's fine mist floats longer in the air to fight even your toughest odors. so long stinky smells and hello amazing freshness. febreze air mist. [city ambience sounds] [car screech] [car door slam] [camera shutter sfx] introducing ned's plaque psoriasis. [camera shutter sfx] he thinks his flaky, red patches are all people see. otezla is the #1 prescribed pill to treat plaque psoriasis. 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>> well, first of all, so good to see you, jonathan. i think we have to understand this is a very difficult time. peoples lives, families are at stake here. the conflict cuts to the heart of some deep historical rifts. we have to acknowledge the horror of october 7th. we have to acknowledge in some ways at the same time the horror we're seeing on the ground in gaza, one of the most densely populated areas in the country. and for the most part across college campuses, jonathan, that tension,he difficulty of the conversation is happening. it's happening in relation civilly for the most part. in some instances it's uncivil, but we have to understand and we have to remember there are over 4,000 four-year colleges and universities in the country. over 4,000. and we're hearing tension, but for the most part it's happening in the ways it typically happens, these sorts of debate are happening on college campuses. arguments are being had and colleges and universities are doing what they typically do even as we grapple with this very tense moment. >> eddie, language is so important here and so sensitive on this particular war. you and i have talked about it some. what is your sense as to how we in the media are talking about this? what are we doing well, but frankly what could we be doing better? >> i think it's really important that we understand the passions that are at stake, but we avoid conflating, you know, critiques of israel's execution of the war in gaza with claims of anti-semitism. we to understand, i think, at least i believe we have to understand the background conditions here. you know, i'll put it this way, jonathan, unspeakable evil happened on october 7th and we all need to conceive that. anti-sem-touch in any form is unacceptable, and we need to reject it without provocation. we must also understand that experience of evil doesn't give one license to act with impunity, to act outside the bounds of international law, to act outside of moral constraint. and part of our coverage i think must in some significant way kind of keep track of that as well as keep track of the historical backdrop as well as keep track of the actual lives that are at stake in this thing. and i think it's very hard to do because i think so much is -- how can i put it? it's one of the most intense and most difficult issues the modern world faces. >> such important words. and lastly and very quickly just the politics of this for president biden, what do you make of how his handling of the response is frankly potentially dragging out some of his poll numbers? >> well, you know, i think it's very, very, very difficult. he has to be careful. i worry about worry about young. there is a sense in which, you know, beyond the poll numbers we saw in "the new york times" poll, there is a sense in which this issue, as vexed as it is, evidences itself among certain demographics in particular sorts of ways. he has to be very, very careful here. the uted states cannot be seen as participating in mass murder. it cannot, even as it defends its most staunch ally in the middle east. it cannot be perceived as such. we need to understand that moral command, that moral expectation, jonathan, of the united states. >> all right. we're getting valuable insight from our friend, eddie glaude jr. of princeton university. ahead, kim reynolds is throwing her support behind ron desantis. what she is warning could happen if donald trump wins the nomination. coming up on "morning joe," contentious testimony and battling with the judge. we'll break it down. plus, democratic senators tim kaine and richard blumenthal will be guests. also ahead, national security communication's john kirby will join us as the war between israel and hamas enters a new phrase. and hamas enters a new phrase (husband) no way they'd take this wreck. 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>> i believe he can't win, and i believe ron can. that's a big reason i got behind him. i do not think he'll win the general. you will see the media shift and come at him, so with the narrative we're seeing now, it's not going to be the narrative. he is the candidate moving forward, it's not going to be. that's all there is to it. he can't win. i also believe we are just living in unprecedented times. as a mother and as a grandmother and as an american, i just felt like i couldn't sit on the sidelines any longer. we have too much at stake. our country is in a world of hurt. the world is a powder keg, and i think it's just really important that we put the right person in office. >> that was iowa governor kim reynolds speaking exclusively with nbc news about what led to her endorsement of the man sitting next to her, florida governor ron desantis, and why she believes that donald trump cannot win the general election. joining us now, national politics reporter for "the hill," julia manchester. great to see you. let's talk about that endorsement. it comes at a moment where desantis is well down in the polls in iowa to trump. iowa is a state desantis has basically bet everything on. he has to do really well there. do you have a sense that this reynolds, who is popular in her home state, could this make any difference? >> it could. polling shows that trump is still far ahead of desantis in iowa, as essentially the incumbent republican running in many ways. at the same time, though, reynolds certainly has pull with a lot of the social culturally conservative circles in iowa, which could help desantis potentially. however, i think there's always this question we grapple with, do endorsements actually matter? is the average iowa republican going to look to reynolds and say, you endorsed desantis, so i'll switch my support from trump to desantis. that's yet to be seen. >> she's making the argument trump can't be elected, but we saw a series of battleground states over the weekend that shows trump over president biden which has caused a lot of alarm among democrats. that will be part of the backdrop also tomorrow night when the republicans meet for their third debate on nbc in miami. it's only five people now on the stage. what are you looking for? i mean, clock is ticking for all of them, but, in particular, who needs to have a big night? >> i'm looking at nikki haley and ron desantis. i think ron desantis has to have a big night. he has to break through. i don't think he's performed particularly badly at any of the debates, however, he hasn't stood out the way nikki haley has. ron desantis, in many ways, may be coming for nikki haley. we've seen their campaigns and super pacs telegraphing a lot of attacks between the two of them. the candidates themselves attacked each other. they're fighting for the second place spot behind donald trump. it seems, in the polls, nikki haley has in many ways, with the exception of iowa, but usurped ron desantis from the second place. there's going to be sparks there. >> the hope being if one can be the clear second place, there's pressure on the rest to drop out and maybe we have a one-on-one. it is election night in america. i know you've been following virginia in particular. give us a sense as to what you expect. >> you know, look, the democrats and republicans have obviously poured quite a bit into this. glenn youngkin has been on the campaign trail with republicans. he even got involved in primaries earlier this year. this is seen in many ways as a referendum on his first two years in office. that being said, though, democrats have put so much into this race on abortion. every ad you see in northern virginia, just across the river, is maga extremist republican or, you know, abortion -- the threat of an abortion ban in virginia. you're going to see a test of that message. in terms of who wins, look, it seems democrats have a bit of an upper hand. at the same time, glenn youngkin is very popular. >> i have new reporting out this morning about divides in the biden camp as to how aggressive they should be going after trump, second guessing they haven't done enough to this point. they thought his republican primary contenders would do that, and they haven't. they've largely stayed abae way from attacking trump. as we look at what we're going to see to want, what are lessons we could learn about these elections and what can it tell us about 2024? >> a lot. i covered virginia in 2021. you saw terry mcauliffe try to tie glenn youngkin to trump, and it didn't work. we're sees democrats do it with the endorsement candidates. there is this feeling that donald trump might be weaker than he was two years ago or so. abortion is going to be a big test case for republicans and democrats. what i think is interesting, though, is that while democrats are hammering republicans on abortion, many republicans, like state senator that's running in the richmond area, she's leaning into abortion as a republican, saying, look, a 15-week ban isn't that extreme. it's moderate. it's relatively popular, so we'll see if that sticks. >> complete coverage tonight, of course. national politics reporter for "the hill," julia manchester. thank you for being on this morning. and thank you to all of you for being with us this tuesday morning. "morning joe" starts right now. i don't know if you saw the poll in "the new york times" that scared the hell out of everybody. trump is ahead of biden in five of the six battleground states. i can barely wrap my head around it. it's like after the "return of the